CNHUSD trade ideas
View on USD/CNH (10/11)Price fails to break below the support level.
However, taking a long set up now would be consider a counter trend trade but provides good R:R
I am on the bullish side unless price breaks below 6.586
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
I am not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activity
Dollar will keep fallingChina is US' 2nd biggest trading partner after EU and watch what is happening with Dollar vs Yuan...dollar running through no volume zone, no liquidity to stop the fall. I marked where is next major support.
Turnover between US and EU is not so different as that is with China.
List of the largest trading partners of the United States
1 European Union 717,902
2 China 635,364
Sell dollar rallies on USDXXX pairs...
Buy XXXUSD rallies...Eurusd is likely to hit 1.22.
USD/CNH REPORT UPDATEWhat i said last week regarding the USD/CHN PAIR...
USDCNH drops below 6.6917, down 0.39% intraday. China will not only overcome the coronavirus pandemic but will also aim to become the world's largest economy which could be favouring USDCNH bears. ( China's communist party 2020 GDP to exceed 100 TRILLION YUAN)
A clear break of the one week old support line could drag USDCNH prices towards the monthly bottom near 6.6275. Meanwhile a 13 day old resistance line at 6.7325 can probe buyers even if they manage to cross previous support, now resistance around 6.7025.
One week later and im very much still bearish on this pair. At the time of writing USDCHN broke below the bear flag that have been forming for a couple days which is where i re-entered the market. Please keep in mind that the U.S elections are tomorrow which will lead to some volatility in the market.
USD/CNH REPORT!FX:USDCNH
USDCNH drops below 6.6917, down 0.39% intraday. China will not only overcome the coronavirus pandemic but will also aim to become the world's largest economy which could be favouring USDCNH bears. ( China's communist party 2020 GDP to exceed 100 TRILLION YUAN)
A clear break of the one week old support line could drag USDCNH prices towards the monthly bottom near 6.6275. Meanwhile a 13 day old resistance line at 6.7325 can probe buyers even if they manage to cross previous support, now resistance around 6.7025.
let me know what you guys think....
(EP #165) Kelvin Trade Ideas USDCNH Bat Pattern 2020-10-29A bearish bat pattern is spotted in the four hours chart, it provides a potential reversal level is 6.74970 to 6.74280. I will first wait for the market to reach 6.74970. If the market gives me conformational signals, then I will decide should I short the market.
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View on USD/CNH (27/10)Seeing some support coming in.
Waiting for price to retrace lower before buying.
support - 6.63
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
I am not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activity
$USDCNH DRIVES USD WEAKNESS BUT POSSIBLE MEASURED MOVE COMPLETEUSDCNH has been a strong driver of USD weakness and has weakened more that 7% over 5months, straight line.
Looking at the technical structure of the double top and breakdown right through the neckline levels, the measured move takes us down to where USDCNH put in a low last week at 6.627. Last week produced a reversal candle (though a weak one) closing around 6.665 just below the key 6.67 and 6.74 handles. There is momentum divergence on the lower lows and completes the measured move. Technically a strong case for a bounce here.
PBOC are getting concerned about recent USD weakness which could hurt exports and meeting inflation targets. They will act to achieve their targets and this pivot zone looks like a good reference level on how much they are willing to let the CNY appreciate against the USD. For now, the added uncertainty of US elections and what it means for escalating US-China tensions means market sentiment will lean on the cautious side and see some safe have demand, and some upward consolidation in USDCNH.
I don't have a position but keeping an eye on this as I engage in pro-USD trades.
USDCNH ANALYSISUSDCNH is trading in downtrend
Strong bearish wave (a) ended at level at 6.6280
then corrective bullish wave (b) rejected from strong daily supply zone corresponding to 38.2% Fibonacci level at 6.6797
Below SMA 100
MACD shows weakness in bullish momentum
RSI broke uptrendline
Below HVN at level 6.7331
It's expected for coming strong bearish wave (c) to target level 6.5500