"A Brave New World" an ideal from Civilization V More trading less showing in 2017. 1Hr/4Hr trading are using EMA system from FXCM desktop and learning swing trading "Fractal Quad Components" pine program original source from Pythagoras.
CNYUSD trade ideas
USDCNY: The trend that keeps on givingI'd like to bring your attention to the $USDCNY monthly chart here. If we examine previous levels of support and resistance, and analyze price action using Tim West's methods, we could conclude that the uptrend in this pair, and logically, the one in Bitcoin, has still ample upside in its future.
It would be logical to observe 19% more upside in $USDCNY, and 760% more in $BTCCNY, if we maintain the current uptrend speed, which is yet to be seen. For now, we can look to fade short term and intermediate term selloffs in these instruments, with considerable comfort, and a rather high win rate.
My preference is to hold bitcoin positions, but we can speculate on both instruments, and also in smaller timeframes.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
cnyusd this make no senseHistoric lows for cnyusd. Easy to see previous effects on S&P when this pair dips, us markets dip. Started to this time, but whoops, something happened, the upset special, the unexpected, TRUMP, Oil ministers actually talking to each other, stealing all the headlines and the world attention away from, you guessed that HUGE CHINA MANUFACTURING ENGINE that could and did, and now is switching the a service economy, and using currency manipulation to fool its markets into thinking their GDP is just fine. It aint fine, its terrible. Trump knows this, he has pointed it out time after time, but no one cares. When China opens its doors to allowing another batch of its money to flee in january, this little pair will dip way below the black line, and Trump will enjoy the festivities for a moment, and then his first thing to do in office is deal with china currency issues affecting our economy and markets big time.
CNYUSD false hopeWe are headed for a battle with china currency in January, when their citizens can sell their Yuans again, and buy dollars. Yuan continuing to devalue, and then, our markets head up, why? The inevitable search for yield, the ultimate rotation, sell to buy something else that for now is heading up. Dollar gains, not good ultimately, Euro looking at heading down also. Oil heading North. Stronger dollar will ultimately be a dissaster. Trump has said it over and over again, currency with China war is on, everything else is just noise, and background music for day traders. The dark currency war cloud is forming for January. Let's see January 20 would be one of those days? But China may trump Trump's inauguration date with their cash outflows before that. Dealing with that may have to be one of his first to do's in office. And we are seeing strength levels on indicators for the CNYUSD NEVER BEFORE SEEN, they need to make more room on the indicator boxes for where this may be heading.
USDCNY 100% Will Drop Dec.2016Yes, take my words.
Sell when price breaks the purple line, or else price will test upper grey line.
Recommend to short when price fail to stand above 6.90.
Fundamental:
1.USD---Bear will join to bring down the dollar as Trump's action scare out of investors.
1.1. When market is 99% sure of increasing interest rate, take the 1% side, because you will always win as the market manipulation is real.
2.CNY-Demand of CNY will increase as investors are now able to trade with HK(Hong Kong) Market.
Technically :AB=CD Finish.
Conclusion: No doubt CNY will find some buyer on this level and say good buy with the strong $ for a while.
USDCNY short setup for corrective moveSETUP - Best entry would be at B at the retest of the break of the dashed line. But for that you need to wait. It looks action is going down to A, I'll update as It goes along.
USDCNY retracement to 4 comming soonTarget was hit last week. Now expecting a retracement to 4, hit of the trendline then move up.
USDCNY almost at target, too late to enterUSDCNY almost at target, too late to enter, better to wait for a retracement.
USDCNY impulse continuationUSDCNY correction didn't go as low as expected and it looks like the impulse 5 is resuming.
spx500 defying the laws of gravityThis is the mother of all artificial market (AMM) manipulations. Can someone definitively tell me why this market has not corrected please? Everything stocks do NOT like has happened since 9-30-16. Dollar up, other currencies down large, note the previous red boxes and historically. And now DXY is up and oil is up, oil Barron's are manipulating price. What happened to supply and demand and fundamental evaluation? Gone, finished, out of here. Biased news, AMM, and the forces coming from that large hidden room where commands are given daily of what to prop up by those who would be unnamed, are the only forces that matter. That is THE BUBBLE folks, where no economics substantially matter, and stock price is news dependent, or better yet purpose generated rumor dependent. Better odds betting on two turtles racing these days, and more exciting. Until Nov 9th, throwing in the towel, taking a break, crying uncle, watching from the sidelines, licking my wounds, getting some R & R, etc, etc,etc. This election will change the USA forever, one way or the other, and as a result will revise trading back to fundamentals and economics (Trump), or not just more of the same AMM, but a much worse version of it, which would make me throw in the towel. Nothing is real anymore, just created for a purpose, real or not, leaked, and used for political and market prop purposes. Can't prove it, but I cannot see the the wind either, but I feel the it when it blows, and I know it is there. Careful trading folks, careful, careful.
Two clear action points!The trend is your friend!
If we could trade above the last high @ 6.7 i exspect the next buying wave up to 6.75 (6.8 overshooting)
A dip down to 6.6 can be seen as a retest of the last bo - here is also based the last top from january 2016, which should be a supportive zone.
Trading below 6.6 has to be seen critically. The next TP below 6.6 could be the ema 200 @ 6.56 (inxreasing)
Best regards Mary
Comments are Welcome
USDCNY short or long, depends on strategyPersonaly I'll wait for the long, but there might be an opportunity for a short.
Closely watching for selling to beginThe pair could drop rapidly once breaking 6.65 price level. Buyers activity has toned down significantly.
OIL cannot stand up against the dollar strength Which is about to happen. China will devalue when needed, as needed. Japan needs the yen down to validate all the QE lately. Pound going to parity with dollar sooner than later. etc. and if inventory build is more than expected. look out below.
