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Cocoa Cash Contract

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COCOA trade ideas

COCOA Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the COCOA Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 11.600 (swing Trade) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 9.600 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental & Positioning: COCOA Commodities CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. Bearish Factors Improved Weather Conditions: Improved weather conditions in West Africa, the world's largest cocoa-producing region, could lead to increased cocoa production and lower prices. Increased Global Production: Global cocoa production is expected to increase in the 2024-25 season, which could lead to a surplus and lower prices. Weak Demand from Chocolate Manufacturers: Chocolate manufacturers, who are the largest consumers of cocoa, have been reducing their demand due to high prices and weak consumer demand. Speculative Selling: Speculators have been net sellers of cocoa futures, which could lead to a price decline. Technical Resistance: Cocoa prices are approaching technical resistance levels, which could lead to a price reversal. Global Economic Slowdown: A global economic slowdown could lead to reduced demand for cocoa and lower prices. Competition from Alternative Commodities: Cocoa faces competition from alternative commodities such as coffee and sugar, which could lead to reduced demand and lower prices. Bearish Scenarios Global Production Surplus: If global cocoa production exceeds demand, it could lead to a surplus and lower prices. Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to reduced demand for cocoa and lower prices. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SKILLING:COCOAShort
by Thief_Trader
1
COCOA - We had a good drop, but demand is still high,so we go upHi guys, recently had a rollecoaster with Cocoa , but eventually the price went back and stabilized, now I am coming back to it hence , I see that there has been an ascending channel formulated. The overall technical overview is that the asset is indeed overbought, but at this current stage the fundamentals are out-weighting the technicals, bringing up the prices. From a fundamental perspective, currently for yet another year we have had weather problems which causes the nearby crop of Cocoa in the Ivory coast which is the biggest exporter will be limited in spring as analysts are predicting. Additionally the weather circumstances have lead to an almost two year hiatus where we have problems with the supply of Cocoa, while the demand remains to be high. ‘Like coffee, chocolate is one of those things consumers are reluctant to give up. Poster items for inelastic demand.’ Entry: 11,203 Target 1: 12,404 Target 2: 13,036 Target 3: 14,026 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by DG55Capital
2
"COCOA" Commodity CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COCOA" Commodity CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout. Buy entry above 11,800 Sell Entry below 10,000 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 13,600 (or) Escape Before the Target Bearish Robbers TP 8,800 (or) Escape Before the Target Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The COCOA Market is expected to move in a Bullish direction, driven by the following key factors: 🔵Macro Factors: Global Economic Growth: Rising global economic growth, particularly in emerging markets, is expected to increase demand for cocoa. Inflation: Moderate inflation levels in major cocoa-consuming countries are expected to support cocoa prices. Currency Fluctuations: A weaker US dollar is expected to support cocoa prices, as it makes cocoa more competitive in international markets. 🟡Fundamental Factors: Supply and Demand Imbalance: The global cocoa market is expected to face a supply shortage in the 2022/23 crop year, supporting prices. Weather Conditions: Favorable weather conditions in major cocoa-producing countries, such as Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana, are expected to support cocoa yields. Certification and Sustainability: Growing demand for certified and sustainable cocoa is expected to support prices for high-quality cocoa beans. 🟠Sentimental Factors: Investor Sentiment: Positive investor sentiment, driven by improving global economic growth and supply chain disruptions, is expected to support cocoa prices. Market Positioning: The commitment of traders (CoT) report shows that hedge funds and other large speculators are net long cocoa, indicating a bullish sentiment. Technical Analysis: Cocoa prices have broken out above a key resistance level, indicating a bullish trend. - Bullish Sentiment: 83% of clients are long on COCOA, indicating a strong bullish trend. - Bearish Sentiment: 17% of clients are short on COCOA, indicating a relatively weak bearish trend. - Neutral Sentiment: No explicit data available, but we can infer it's relatively low given the strong bullish trend. 📌Please note that sentiment analysis can change rapidly and may not always reflect the actual market performance. These percentages are based on current market data and may not reflect future market movements. That this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
SKILLING:COCOALong
by Thief_Trader
Cocoa Plunge Ahead – Targeting $9,853!📊 Trade Setup: Entry Price: 10,877 Take Profit: 9,853 (at previous low) Stop Loss: 11,883 (above the gap level) 📈 Analysis: The previous buy trade in the channel hit the target perfectly by closing the gap and reaching our take profit before dropping significantly. Now, with the current bearish sentiment in the market, the setup points to another potential sell trade. Given the price rejection near the gap level and the overall market pressure, we expect a further decline towards the previous low at $9,853, where strong support may come into play. 🎯 Target: $9,853: Key support zone (previous low) 🔹 Risk Management: Stop loss at $11,883, just above the gap level, where price may encounter resistance and trigger further downside. ⚡ Do you expect Cocoa to continue its bearish trend, or could we see a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! ⚡
SKILLING:COCOALong
by ValchevFinance
4
Cocoa: Potential Reversal Opportunity After Recent DropAfter capturing the significant drop in Cocoa prices over the past few days, we could now be looking at a favorable setup for a reversal to the upside. Key Observations Demand Zone Reaction: Price has entered a major Demand Zone , collected liquidity, and is showing a sharp bounce directly from the opening. RSI Recovery: The RSI is rebounding strongly from oversold levels, signaling a possible shift in momentum. Gap to Be Filled: There is a visible gap between 11,750 and 11,100 that aligns with our upward target. Filling this gap could provide the momentum for a bullish run. Trade Setup Take Profit: 11,750 (gap fill target). Stop Loss: 9,525 (placed below the Demand Zone). Risk Management Reminder Cocoa is known for its volatility. Always apply proper risk management and adjust your position size accordingly to protect your capital. Conclusion This setup provides a solid risk-reward opportunity for traders watching the Cocoa market.
SKILLING:COCOALong
by ValchevFinance
Bullish & Bearish cases for CocoaThe GOAT thinks a confirmation above the drawn resistance line (a bit above the double-top) will send the cocoa to 15k (well at least I have an excuse not to buy any chocolate for my boys). A Rejection at that level will send us down, possibly an M top kind of move. RSI was in negative divergence territory but now shows a possible breakout... this makes things a bit biased toward the bull case I personally am too afraid to go long at this level. I have a sell stop order at around 11k... I rather wait and see how this plays out around that hypothetical resistance line.
CAPITALCOM:USCOCOA
by GoatOfWallStreet
2
Cocoa short at 11,400 for a thousand dollarsThere is a potential short entry between the 11,200–11,400 zone, which aligns with a strong supply area causing a break of structure (BOS). This supply zone has shown significant resistance in the past, suggesting it could act as a reversal point. The target for this short trade is around the 9,600–9,200 level, where buyers are expected to come back. This setup depends on price reaching the identified supply zone and rejecting it aggressively. Monitor price action for confirmation signals before entering the trade. if you are a beginner you can follow me and you will see when I enter and exit the trade.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by zito82
9
Huge Cocoa Correction Ahead? Cocoa prices face a strong risk of correction back to $10,000 as bearish fundamentals stack up: Supply Surge Ignored Ivory Coast port arrivals are up 33% from last season, signaling a significant increase in supply from the world’s largest producer. Demand Destruction at High Prices All-time high prices are forcing buyers to scale back purchases or delay deals. Economic slowdowns and weaker spending on luxury products like chocolate further reduce demand. Liquidity Crunch in Physical Markets Massive liquidity issues, including payment delays and a lack of new purchase deals, reflect stress in the cocoa trade and could lead to lower prices. Profit-Taking and Market Correction Cocoa prices appear overbought, increasing the risk of speculative profit-taking and a market pullback. Ghana’s Supply-Boosting Reforms Ghana’s President-elect plans to revamp the cocoa sector and improve production efficiency, which could add to future supply. Stronger U.S. Dollar A stronger USD makes cocoa more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and putting pressure on prices. Soft Commodities Correction Coffee and sugar prices are already correcting, suggesting cocoa may be next in line as markets tend to move together during broader pullbacks.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by ValchevFinance
COCOA overbought, high demand, low supply, but overboughtHi guys, we are going to take a look at a short term correction on the Cocoa, hence it has reacehed very high level in the RSI area, and it is very overbought. Keep in mind that this commodity is very volatile so treat with caution and be careful with your risk management! Entry: 12,650 Target: 12,039 Stop: 13,080 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by DG55Capital
Cocoa and Coffee: “very volatile” Since the beginning of 2024, cocoa futures have more than doubled in price and are currently climbing for the seventh week in a row, hitting record levels. The mix of limited supply, high demand, and uncertain weather is keeping the cocoa market unpredictable. Analysts at ING expect prices to stay volatile through next year. Coffee has also seen a big price jump in 2024, reaching its highest level since 1977. Experts warn that it might take years for coffee prices to come back down. Analysts at Rabobank warned that commodity markets are “very volatile” and “very dangerous,”. Traders in both the cocoa and coffee markets are keeping a close eye on inventory levels and weather forecasts because any disruptions could cause prices to swing even more.
C
by BlackBull_Markets
Cocoa vs BTC. Introducing Cocoa Futures Commodities TradingCommodity trading has been booming in recent months and years, as everything from industrial metals to oil, precious metals to soft commodities (coffee, cocoa) is getting hotter. Last week, coffee futures traded in New York ICEUS:KC1! reached 348 cents per pound of beans, a new historical high, and frozen orange juice concentrate futures ICEUS:OJ1! exceeded the $5 mark for 1 pound, reaching also a new all-time high. The macroeconomic situation, the continuing geopolitical uncertainty, as well as the overall market volatility caused by these large movements, create a lot of new opportunities. In addition, the food and environmental crisis sweeping across the planet (a special type of environmental situation when the habitat of one of the species or populations changes in such a way that it calls into question its further existence) is creating extreme bottlenecks in supply chains everywhere, which leads to shortages on the one hand, and a corresponding increase in prices and opportunities on the other. Both private investors and professional market participants can use Commodities Cocoa Futures to expand the possibilities of investment strategies - hedging risks and profiting from price fluctuations. For market participants involved in the production and processing of cocoa, futures contracts will allow them to better protect their income from undesirable changes in exchange prices for cocoa beans. In addition, for those market participants involved in the wholesale purchase of cocoa, futures contracts allow them to better protect their margins from undesirable price fluctuations in exchange prices for cocoa beans, which lead to an increase in purchasing costs. The underlying asset of the futures is the price of cocoa beans on foreign markets. The contracts reflect the dynamics of the price of cocoa beans supplied from countries in Africa, Asia, Central and South America to any of the five delivery ports in the United States. In fundamental terms, on November 29, 2024, the International Cocoa Association (ICCO) raised its estimate of the world cocoa deficit for 2023/24 to -478,000 tonnes from -462,000 tonnes forecast in May, the largest deficit in more than 60 years. ICCO also lowered its estimate of cocoa production for 2023/24 to 4.380 million tonnes from 4.461 million tonnes in May, a -13.1% decrease from the previous year. ICCO forecasts world cocoa stocks to be 27.0% in 2023/24, a 46-year low. Cocoa prices have risen sharply over the past months due to uncertainty about future cocoa supplies. Recent heavy rains in Ivory Coast have led to reports of high mortality of cocoa buds on trees due to heavy rainfall. Unfavorable weather conditions in West Africa are pushing cocoa prices sharply higher. Heavy rains in Ivory Coast have flooded fields, increased the risk of disease, and affected the quality of the crop. Newly harvested cocoa beans from Ivory Coast are showing lower quality, with quantities of about 105 beans per 100 grams. Ivory Coast regulators allow exporters to purchase quantities of 80 to 100 beans or slightly more per 100 grams. In other words, West Africa is now exporting at its maximum productive capacity, but the deficit in world reserves remains and is growing. The arrival of seasonal harmattan winds could also worsen the situation. Declining global cocoa stocks is also a bullish factor for prices. Cocoa stocks tracked by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) at three major US ports (Delaware River Port, Hampton Roads Port and New York Port) have been declining for the past year and a half and fell to a 20-year low of 1,430,974 bags on Friday, December 13, 2024 (down 15 percent over the past month). Another important factor for prices is the seasonal approach of the Christmas and New Year holidays, especially in the main cocoa consuming regions - the US and Europe. Cocoa prices on world markets are again returning above $ 10,000 per ton, while crypto fanatics in their manic persistence to get the last unmined bitcoin are ready to burn the planet Earth to hell and only deepen the food and environmental crisis striding across the planet. The main graph represents a comparison across BTC and Cocoa prices over past several months. So, what would you like to choose amid of recent rally in both assets - sweet cocoa or binary digits inside your computer? Or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s talk about it! Send your thoughts and questions into comment box below to discuss about Cocoa Futures Commodities Trading!
CAPITALCOM:CCH2025Education
by PandorraResearch
7
MY COCOA LONG IDEA 01/11/2024*Did not enter this trade yet* Direction: Long SL: 7425.4 Indicators: 1. MA (20,50,100,200) 2. Trendline - Algo 3. Support and Resistance 4. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools 5. Fib Time Frame: 4h (I also use other time frames mainly 1D because I like to trade for long period of time) Technical: 1. MA 20 (Yellow) is very bearish and below the MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red) but I expect a reversal in this pattern. 2. Red trendline was broken previously so I'm looking for a breakthrough the green trendline. 3. Price respected the Support zone and is rising towards the fib level at 8216.2. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling RISE on all time frames signifying a very bullish Price action. Fundamental and economic: 1. COCOA is a very tricky commodity but we can simplify this by looking at the COT data where they were short about 1-2 weeks ago making a short-term bearish setups and I think we are past that phase because in the long run COT is bullish on COCOA. 2. Q4 historically is bullish for this pair according to the seasonal indicator by Tradingview. 3. US Elections, Halloween, Winter season, and Christmas is an influence in the Demand of Cocoa.
VANTAGE:COCOALong
by stingotho
2