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Cocoa vs US DollarCocoa vs US DollarCocoa vs US Dollar

Cocoa vs US Dollar

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COCOA trade ideas

Do you like chocolate? Buy here.If you are interested to trade COCOA, which was in ATH few days ago, I´m suggesting to wait 5325 looks like a good entry level. BUT, please don´t use entry line as a trigger. Use REACTION on that line as a trigger. What does it mean? Price is going to fall there, most likely even below. When you see an aggressive close back ABOVE the entry line, enter and set SL. Don´t fall to the trap by buying lower(because of more favorable price). You can get trapped. Price will be more "favorable", but you will make your trade much riskier this way. Set alarms at the entry line and start to monitor the asset on 15-30M TF when alarm is triggered. If you follow me, I will try to update this trade, when my alarm rings. Wish you good luck.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by Rendon1
2
$COCOA - TEXTBOOK SYMMETRIC TRIANGLE Just updating the subject idea. Back in 2022, this textbook symmetric triangle had caught my attention, for how neatly and ostensibly it was being displayed. I find this pattern interesting because of how it moves from volatility to the lack of it, slowly expelling the traders who are preventing this market from moving where it wants to, until they are no longer participating and the price is free to break-out and move unburdened as it is moving at the moment. Worth mentioning also that fake-out as pointed out by the green arrow, it shows us that there are some traders in this market with pockets deep enough to bid it down, just to trap the more unexperienced traders into selling this breakout and fueling the buy orders of the initial group, which then takes off with few or no more sellers to obstruct the rally. Another note on this fakeout for future reference: wait for a successful retest to enter. Do you see that successful retest in this market? No, those nOv and Dec 2022 candles should have been bearish candlestick patterns or structural breakouts on the short side, created against the broker trendline and EMAs. Instead, they kept on piercing through and in Feb 2023, we received a definite trigger for a trade on the long side. Finally, at this highlighted area, as the area from the massive sell off that preceded this pattern, erupted. The odds are more bears will be sitting in that range. The odds of bullish undisputed control in this market diminish substantially in that area. Most importantly: hindsight and narration bias make you think that this outcome was 100% predictable. It was not. Price action and technical analysis is an excellent tool to guide us into discovering the path of least resistance, quantifying the markets and the patterns therein, however, at the end of the day, this is nothing but a probabilistic assessment. Reality is complex, anything can happen tomorrow, next week, next month ... ... what should that tell you as a trader? Manage risk, manage risk, manage risk, that's just, by far, your paramount remit as a trader. Cheers, Tenacious Tribe - Quantified Trading Strategies & Studies
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by ruben_rodrigues
COCOA BULLISHThe market rally from 03 April 2017 to date is showing corrective properties taking a form of an ABC. The side ways move from 02 April 2018 to date has lasted 53 monthly bars taking the form of a contracting triangle. The market has tested the $2279.6 to $2186.9 price range three times Nov,2020, Jul 2021 and Sep 2022 giving clear indication of a strong support level at 0.618 fib level of Primary Wave A. The last candle formed in September is a PIN BAR, indicating early signs of a buying pressure. Wave C is forecasted to equal wave A @ $3380.6/share and $3223.8/share @ 1.382 reverse fib of the wave B. However the market remains the final arbiter and a close below the $2101.1/share will negate the bullish count.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by Clapperton_