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NOLG2025 trade ideas

Are CL Futures starting a new bull trend in 2025?Crude Oil WTI Nymex Futures NYMEX:CL1! Big Picture: Crude Oil WTI NYMEX Futures Update – January 2025 Crude Oil WTI NYMEX futures are trading higher, with bullish price action evident at the start of 2025. Price has broken above the 2024 Composite Value Area High (CVAH) and is now approaching the Composite Value Area High from the 2022 high, as shown in the chart above. Macroeconomic Outlook From a global perspective, persistent inflation may be supported by elevated commodity prices. Higher crude oil prices, coupled with potential trade wars and tariffs, could drive up costs in major sectors, such as rare earth minerals. In this scenario, we anticipate central banks, including the Federal Reserve, maintaining higher interest rates. We believe the previously expected two rate cuts of 25 basis points each for this year may be reduced to zero. However, this creates a challenging environment for central banks. A combination of sticky inflation, resilient job markets, and low unemployment could lead to a "goldilocks" scenario. Recessionary risks will be increased unless some means of fiscal policy measures provide further support to the US economy. Key Levels to Watch Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. CVAH: 79.50 Resistance R1: 79.50 – 79.85 Resistance R2: 81.30 – 81.60 Neutral Level: 78.77 CVAH 2024 / Support: 75.00 Support (Yearly Open): 71.85 Scenario 1: Exhausted Buyers, Mean Reversion In this scenario, we anticipate range-bound price action, offering a potential short opportunity if buyers appear exhausted. Price action and volume analysis would need to confirm this. Look for absorption around the neutral zone or below R1/CVAH, with prices failing to push higher. A lower high and seller dominance would confirm a mean reversion short setup. Scenario 2: Breakout Above CVAH A confirmed breakout above CVAH could indicate further bullish price discovery and the potential for a new uptrend. Consolidation above CVAH followed by strong price action would provide a trigger for long positions. However, significant resistance at this level necessitates confirmation via price action and volume analysis before taking action. Scenario 3: Swing Failure at CVAH In this scenario, prices rise above the neutral zone and R1/CVAH, but sellers regain control, pushing prices lower. A swing failure candle with a long wick near the resistance zone would indicate the failure. A subsequent higher low could present a short opportunity for a mean reversion trade. We encourage you to monitor these levels closely and incorporate them into your trade planning. Share your thoughts or insights on these key levels in the comments below.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
8
Bullish Analysis for Crude OilCurrent Price: 73.80 USD Price Action: After a strong bounce from the Demand Zone, Crude Oil is now pushing higher, targeting previous Resistance Levels. 🚀 Momentum: The market is showing strong bullish momentum, ready to test those upper levels! 📈 🔑 Entry: Buy at 73.80 USD Take Profit Levels: 🎯 Take Profit 1: 74.00 USD (first resistance hurdle) 🎯 Take Profit 2: 74.65 USD (next resistance level to conquer) 🎯Take Profit 3: 74.90 USD (key resistance level to break through) 💰 💥 Stop Loss: Set your safety net at 72.54 USD, just below the demand zone to manage risk effectively. 🛡 This setup has all the right signs for a bullish continuation! With an attractive risk-reward ratio and strong technicals behind it, this trade is geared up for a potential run toward the next resistance levels. Let’s capture that upward momentum! 🌊📊
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by ValchevFinance
2
2025-01-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr oil - Bearish but only slightly and probably better after a lower high above 74. Bears broke the bull trend line and made new lows. 75 got 2 big rejections and we either continue down or we do a lower high below 75.29. Selling below 73.5 has not been profitable for a week, so don’t try be the first. On the daily chart it’s still just a minor two-legged correction, so it’s not the best short to take. Bears probably want better confirmation. Their first target below 73 is 72 and then likely the daily 20ema around 71.5. comment: We have touched the bear trend line and my bullish targets are met. The daily bar closed on it’s low and is decent enough for bears to get potential follow-through into the end of the week. I would want either very strong confirmation for shorts below 73 or a lower high below 75 before I short this. No interest in longs. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 71 - 75.5 bull case: Bulls are still in control and making higher highs and higher lows. They want a daily close above 75 to retest the October high 77.38. They see a two-legged correction on the daily chart and that is a buy signal in a bull trend. Invalidation is below 71. bear case: Bears producing amazing bear bars above 74.5 but the follow through is terrible. They need lower lows below 72.7 to trap late bulls. The volume increase on the selling is good for them but until the trading range 72.7 - 75.3 is broken, bulls remain in control or market is at least neutral inside that range. I do think the overall structure on the daily/weekly time frames is in favor of the bears and once they get below 72.7, it’s a sell signal if you can hold a swing short with a wide stop. Next target is 72 and then 71.5ish (daily 20ema). Invalidation is above 75.3. short term: Neutral inside range and bearish below 72.7 or above 75 for a swing short. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-02: Still no better medium-long term outlook to write about. The triangle has been going on for so long, it’s highly unlikely that we will break above it. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Selling 75 again was decent for 200 ticks.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
1
Closing CL Long idea early under the down trend line. The CL daily time frame has an up Fibonacci with an extension price point 78.92 about +451 ticks above the market. However the market is near the daily down trend line which could push the market back down. The last three times the market was pushed bearish, the market closed with a long wick towards the north. It will be a good idea to close the current long idea and wait for the market to break and close above the down trend line or to pull back giving a lower price before looking for a new long idea. Entry: Counter trend line break bullish in the buy zone. STOP: 64.60 LIMIT: 78.92
NYMEX:CL1!
by JoshuaMartinez
4
Oil Price Pulls Back to Keep RSI Below 70The price of oil pulls back from a fresh weekly high ($75.29) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 70, and the oscillator may show the bullish momentum abating should it continue to move away from overbought territory. Crude Oil Price Outlook The recent rally in the price of oil seems to be stalling ahead of the October high ($77.38) as it no longer carves a series of higher highs and lows, and lack of momentum to hold above the $73.00 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to $74.00 (50% Fibonacci retracement) zone may push crude back towards $71.70 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement). A break/close below $69.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) opens up the December low ($66.56), with the next area of interest coming in around $66.20 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement). At the same time, the recent weakness in the price of oil may turn out to be temporary should crude defend the monthly low ($71.79) but need a break/close above $76.80 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to bring the October high ($77.38) on the radar. --- Written by David Song, Strategist at FOREX.com
NYMEX:CL1!
by FOREXcom
WTI Crude Oil Futures: The Chokers of the Global EconomyLast Friday, January 10, 2025, the United States announced its most sweeping and aggressive sanctions against Russian oil trade, just ten days before Joe Biden leaves the White House and is replaced by Donald Trump. In fact, it was more of a soap opera at first, as an unofficial document of unknown origin on the subject of sanctions had been circulating on the Web since the Fridays' morning before the official press release from the US Treasury appeared, causing the stock quotes of the companies affected by the sanctions to experience increased volatility in Friday trading on the local exchange. Finally, about 160 oil tankers were sanctioned, and India, a key buyer of seaborne barrels, will not allow ships to call at its ports after the end of the curtailment period in March. If these measures remain in place under Trump, they have a better chance of disrupting Russian oil exports than anything any Western power has done so far. In addition to the tankers, sanctions were imposed on two major producers and exporters, traders arranging hundreds of shipments were listed, major insurers were named and two U.S. oil service providers were ordered to leave. A Chinese oil terminal operator was also included. The measures could theoretically reduce what the International Energy Agency forecasts as a supply glut of nearly 1 million barrels a day this year. Brent and WTI crude futures, which have generally traded lower for the past two and a half years, ended Friday at $80, data from ICE Futures Europe and CME Group's Nymex show. Surgutneftegaz Sanctions RUS:SNGS and Gazpromneft RUS:SIBN are by far the most direct and aggressive move taken so far by Washington or any other Western power. Together, the two companies shipped about 970,000 barrels of oil per day by sea in 2024, and their inclusion on the list will be a cause for concern for refineries in India as well as state-owned companies in China. Putting their seaborne flows in context, that’s more than the global supply glut the International Energy Agency predicts for 2025. It’s also nearly 30% of Russia’s seaborne exports. No one is suggesting that either company’s shipments will be completely shut down, but the fact that they are under sanctions, as well as other measures announced, means that supply chain disruptions and supply shortages cannot be ruled out. Global markets, which were also hit by the December NFP report, reacted as expected. The Nasdaq-100 immediately fell about 1%, the U.S. dollar index TVC:DXY rocketed to the moon while the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds TVC:TNX jumped nearly 10 basis points to 4.785%, its highest since October 2023. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average - a benchmark for the global economy - ended last week lower for a sixth straight week, while Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Bears are already dreaming to enter a Bear Market, approaching a 20% decline from the highs of around $108,000 reached in December 2024. The technical main graph is dedicated specifically to WTI oil futures (the contract following the expiring one), and supported by the averages of the 5- and 10-year SMA. It points to the reversal of the disinflationary time span seen in the previous two and a half years, from mid-2022. // Don't say "hop" , before you throned 😏
NYMEX:CL2!
by Pandorra
Crude Oil -Can use the fundamentals to push the strong resitanceHi guys we are going to take a look into CL. The Black Gold has had some interesting fundamental events recently , with the Biden administration imposing a few important and key tarrifs over the Russian exports of OIL. Additionally on a technical preview as we visited this asset a few times, it has broken a few very key support levels, and the price started actually moving in a good direction.Previously we saw the price move sideweays for almost 2 months. Entry: 77.50 Target 1: 78.50 Target 2: 79.50 Target 3. 80.50 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DG55Capital
Crude Oil Prices Showing StrengthCrude Oil Futures have seen continued strength to the upside after seeing a choppy trading environment for several weeks. Crude Oil has several indicators that can sway the prices to the upside or downside very quickly based on global supply and economic uncertainty, and traders and seeing all of this in action starting off the new year. Tensions in the Middle East may give traders concerns about the future supply of Crude, and with the uncertainty of geopolitics moving forward in the United States after the election there are many factors to consider when trading Crude Oil. Today, prices are higher once again on the March contract and are testing highs from July of 2024. Over the years as the popularity of Crude Oil Futures has grown, there were different sized contracts that enable traders to choose their own sizing options with the mini and micro contracts. These contracts range from the full sized contract at 1,000 barrels, the mini contract at 500 barrels, and the micro contract at 100 barrels giving traders the ability to choose a smaller or larger size based on their own risk tolerance. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
NYMEX:CLH2025
by CME_Group
Can the HOUSE CAPITALIZE LONG & target MKL $80.00 Per Barrel?NYMEX:CL1! " A life is not important except in the impact it has on other lives." -Jackie Robinson As we head into the 2nd trading week of the New Year, I hope everyone has a HIGH SET Goal that they want to achieve. Let's be strategic in our goals and make sure we put forth rightful action that will get us the results we desire. In this sport we play there is no Reward without RISK... So, let's get down to business on what exactly were looking for this week to STRIKE GOLD for the HOUSE to benefit... 'Crude OIL': Confluence Profile 500K (Expectational Order-Flow + PA) 10pt STOP / 50-60pt Target Key info: On average Crude Oil runs for 120pts LONG or SHORT during NY session 5am-2pm PST. Our Playbook: We cut 120 in Half = 60pts as our new GOAL to catch for the DAY (Intra Day) Pillar 1) HTF EOF "Market Direction" In which direction are we headed? Who has the stronger hand? Currently Buyers have the stronger hand on both the Daily & 4Hr TF's. Since the New Year kicked off Oil has been rallying to the upside breaking Supply and Demand HOLDING with strong conviction. So now we know that HTF/LTF Pro Trend is LONG and HTF/LTF Counter Trend is SHORT. With Oil Currently trading inside of the HTF Daily Supply Zone I am going to wait for more data to develop in the PA before I start to build the Confluence Profile 500K (Expectational Order-Flow + PA). Once we get our Confluence Profile to flow in symmetry together; HTF Mitigation w LTF Entry Confirmation / Order Flow Footprint + PA we then will enter our positions INTRA DAY.... Keynote: LTF Pro Trend is LONG & LTF Counter Trend is SHORT.... Either way is Profitable!! Done correctly at the right time & price. I will keep update as more date in the PA develops throughout the week. Remember; "Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well Abundance awaits us." -500KTrey
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by TreyHighPwr
A Strategy for Renko ChartsThe first thing that may jump out at you on the chart is that it is not a Renko chart. TradingView does not allow strategies to be posted when on a Renko chart. However, I wanted to publish the following ideas from my journey in creating a trading strategy for a Renko chart. I didn't realize I wouldn't be able to publish it on the chart itself (or anywhere) until after I'd completed the first phase of it. To see this on a Renko chart, you can convert the chart to Renko, set the timeframe to 1 minute and then the blocksize to 20 (for CL1! or WTI) using a close, traditional setting, and no wicks. I had several goals I wanted to achieve when I started building this strategy. Learn PineScript. The best way to learn a new programming language is to have a practical target to reach. Codify some of the ideas I have been putting together over the past several years on trading with Renko charts. Have a way to remove emotions out of entering and exiting trades. TradingView does not allow for strategies to be published on Renko charts due to some of the nuances with the charts that can distort results of tests. However, once you understand some of these scenarios, you can look for them and adjust. As for the strategy, to-date, it is based on three indicators: the Least Squares Moving Average , Donchian Channels , and Linear Regression . I wanted all of the inputs to be configurable like the underlying indicators themselves. As I got into the development and testing of ideas (I started over many different times :D), I realized there were other parameters I wanted be able to configure and added the as I went. The approach (as of now): Create a TV strategy that could be used for back testing The strategy should be well supported on Renko charts with a common setup and configurations The strategy could be applied to Renko charts and be configurable enough to support all types of markets For the Renko charts, I typically go with a static setup. As an example, for CL1! or WTI, I use a blocksize of 0.20 or 20 ticks using the closing price and a traditional configuration. I do not use wicks on the charts. I set the timeframe to 1 minute (this is the length of time needed at the sustained price to print the specific brick). In TV strategies, my understanding is that until the brick prints, the strategy won’t be executed for the strategy. I touch on some of the ramifications later but for now know this is probably one of many reasons strategies won’t be published on Renko charts. For the strategy, I wanted to create something that is reactive. I wanted it to be able to detect patterns or the beginnings of some type of pattern and then look for some type of evolution on the incoming bars. One thing I realized during testing is that having a “lookback” introduced latency. Think of the strategy as a series of or layers of filters. As the strategy moves through the execution process for each bar/brick, the filters become more restrictive and constrained. My goal was to be able to back test ideas that gave me the largest profit factor with a minimum number of trades and drawdown. Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA): This is the first layer of the three filters. J Basically, there is an entry and exit threshold that the LSMA is compared against to determine if there is a change in direction with either a crossover or crossunder. If there is a cross, then the first condition to enter a trade is met. In the strategy, this is the only configuration that is turned on by default. Use the LSMA for Flat Detection : If enabled, will detect if the LSMA has not changed brick over brick. If this condition is detected, it will disable the entry of both longs and short. The rationale being that if flat, the market is in short term consolidation and new entries should not be made. With the LSMA length default set to 5, this rarely happens. Use the LSMA for Full Direction Detection : This enables a couple of additional checks that can influence the order process. Is the LSMA direction cross in sync with the price direction (e.g., if the LSMA is crossing over (up) but the brick direction is red (down), then the two are not in sync and entries should be disabled Is the LSMA, on a crossover (up) greater than the last LSMA high (vice versa for a cross under (down)). This can detect scenarios where price is consolidating but not necessarily making new highs or lows. This will keep trades for triggering during this consolidation. Donchian Channels : The second layer in the filters. The initial setting for this is a length of 5. By default, this layer is disabled. If enabled, then the Basis of the DC is used to filter out trades where the price is positioned contrary to it. If the DC is enabled, to enter a long trade, the close must be above the Basis and for a short, the close must be below the Basis. Otherwise, entries are disabled. Use the Basis for Flat Detection : Like the LSMA, if bar over bar the Basis of the DC turns flat, any trades will be disabled. Like the LSMA, the purpose of this flat detection is for consolidation and to not take trades while the market is consolidating. Use the Basis for Full Direction Detection : If enabled, like the LSMA, enforces alignment of the DC’s Basis and price direction. And, like the LSMA, if the Basis has not taken out the previous high or low, then the entry process is disabled. For both the LSMA and the DC Channel, enabling these last two configs can become restrictive. As you experiment with them with the market of your choice, you can fine tune them to fit your trading / account style. The intent of both flat detection and the current to previous high/low is to filter out conditions that lead to price churn and trading thrash. The indicators up to now have been reactionary to price movement. Regardless of a larger view of direct or bias, an entry is triggered; long or short. What if you want to trade with a bias or at least back test to see how it may influence your trades? What can you use to determine a bias. The method I chose in this strategy is Linear Regression. Linear Regression : The third layer of the filters. This filter is used to determine if the trend is up, down, or flat (transitioning between up and down). Once enabled, trades will only be taken in the direction of the trend (unless in transition). With this filter, you can configure the length and the threshold to detect consolidation. The length will tune how fast a change in direction is detected while the threshold will determine how far from 0 the slope of the regression must be for it to indicate neutral. Additional configurations : Brick Threshold to Pull Rip Cord : Once an entry is made, it can go contrary to your thinking. This setting will let you control how far you are willing for price to drive from original entry contrary to what you were thinking. Close the Position on First Brick: To keep profits close, this will exit any position (long or short) once the first brick contrary to the current position is printed. You will want to experiment with this and back test. Once it does exit, if the position is triggered again in the next several blocks, it will try to enter. Consolidation Length : This config controls the slope threshold in the LR to differentiate from up and down. Again, full disclosure, TradingView does not allow strategies to be published on Renko charts. If you want to experiment with it, you can convert the chart to Renko and configure it as outlined above. Then, you can experiment with various configurations and see what type of results you get. Some things to watch out for: If you apply this to a US stock and focus on the regular session, then there will be gaps at the open that won’t appear as gaps on Renko charts. However, the strategy can try to make it look like you had a great fill on the open (which most likely is not the case). Additional work needs to be done to filter out this specific scenario Limit orders should not be considered in the strategy on a Renko chart because the brick will only be executed when the brick prints. Market orders should only be used and only when the close for the brick prints.
NYMEX:CL1!
by mxb1961
CL Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25Looks like my Directional Bias for CL was off. Instead of price coming lower to fill in the BISI and take the PDLs it rallied higher through the Volume Imbalance and raided all the BSL. Now that wick higher on Friday did not stop at a random spot. Look closely and you will notice its the Premium Daily 50% CE level of the wick and price reversed nicely off from there. Now the question remains does price justify to continue higher and take the BSL at 78.46 or does price reverse from there and then target the SSL and the D BISI? Currently its still looking Bullish since price closed above the Volume Imbalance and the PDH from Thu Oct 10 2024 at 76.24 but lets see how price opens on Sunday and we can definitely expect a volatile week since there is a good amount of economic news drivers.
NYMEX:CL1!
by ProphetTheTrader
Crude Oil breaks and follows projectionAfter the long consolidation time, CL finally broke the Trend-Barrier (TB) and is now on the move to the upside. It's not stupid to aim for the 1/4 line as PTG1. But for sure I would only close a portion of the position, since the upside potential is far higher. And if you don't know how much to bank, just go with 50% of your investment. If it's going higher, you're still participating from the move. If it goes sour, you have already banked 50%. Just create a plan and follow it.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
HTF Directional Bias for CL I like the fact that price traded higher into a premium and found rejection off the Volume Imbalance 50% CE level as it clears the BSL above the PDHs. Currently price is trading inside the wick from the Mon 06 Jan 2025 and looks to have reached as low as the 25% quadrant level. My bias for CL is Bearish as I am looking at the two PDLs in discount above the D BISI which should act as a draw for price to reach lower and clear that SSL at 73.11 and 72.70 From there I could expect price to dip into the D BISI and reject possibly off the high or 50% CE level.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by ProphetTheTrader
Possible strong trend change in oilOil is at a critical chart crossroads with the Light Crude Oil contract flirting with an upward break of the strong long-term downtrend line “K” that has been passing through the $73 area in the last two sessions. On Friday morning when the article was written, the contract was trading at $72.90. A possible now confirmed upward break of this line will make it difficult for the contract’s sellers as it will have the power to open the way to $76. Above that, the price of $80 per barrel will “flash”. On the other hand, however, the apparent inability of oil to pass above $73 and the “K” will mark a third consecutive exhaustion peak, pushing the contract back below $69. It is of course best not to attempt to push oil prices above $76 because it will begin to "undo" the positive scenario of further weakening inflation.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by manthos
Crude Oil - Is it time that the Black Gold will finally deliverHi guys, we are taking a look again at the Crude Oil , so far we have had a good revival of the price, hence it was trading side ways for the part of Novemeber - December 2024. Currently we can see after the recent price action we have formulated a beautiful ascending pattern which I intend to follow up on. Entry: 73.30 Target :75.00 Stop: 72.30 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DG55Capital
3
The Scorebook: 2024 Commodities PerformanceQuestion: What was the best performing commodity in 2024? For many of us, the first coming to mind would be Gold. Indeed, gold had a spectacular year driven by geopolitical uncertainty and the central bank reserve buildup. Spot gold hit an all-time-high of $2,788.54 per ounce on October 30, 2024. However, Gold retreated nearly $200 since due to the diminishing rate-cut prospects. It ends the year at 2606.72, up 28%. Gold has not won the 2024 commodity championship. • The performance of Precious Metal commodities was mixed. Silver had an annual return of 24.8%, but Platinum was down 4.4%. • Base Metals were weak overall, with Aluminum gaining 9.6% and Copper up just 3.8%. Crude Oil was in the spotlight all year long. The ongoing war in the Middle East, a major oil producing region, should have pushed oil prices sky high. On the contrary, WTI spot price closed at $72 per barrel at year end, practically flat for the year. • The fighting sides of the conflict, Israel, Hamas, Lebanon, Syria, and the Houthis, was not oil producing nations. OPEC+ countries continue to supply the global market without interruption. NYMEX WTI futures price (CL) was up just 5.1% in 2024. • Other Crude and Refined commodities were worse. Weaker demand pushed RBOB Gasoline down 2.0%, while heating oil lost 6.8%. On the bright side, the natural gas product suite was a totally different ball game. Unprecedented weather events result in significant supply and demand shocks, and pump huge volatility in the Nat Gas market. NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures hit a 52-week high of $4.20 on December 30th, after a leading weather forecaster came out predicting record-breaking winter storms in the heavily populated Great Plains and Mid-South regions. • As the storms are still developing, Henry Hub ended the year at $4.01, up 41.2%. Across the Atlantic Ocean, Europe adapts to clean energy more rapidly than the U.S. It is estimated that up to 44% of the electricity in the EU is produced by renewable energy. This heavy reliance could create huge problems if the weather does not cooperate. When Germany ran into days with no wind and a clouded sky, its electricity supply dropped by half. This huge supply gap prompted energy companies to turn on gas-fueled backup plants, pushing Nat Gas prices to a record high. • Dutch Nat Gas contract TTF was up 62.3% in 2024. For Agricultural commodities, Grains and Oilseeds were losing ground. • Corn was up 3.1%, while Soybean and Wheat down 22.3% and 11.8%, respectively. The Meat Department fares much better. Consistent with our grocery shopping experience with ever pricier red meat, Live Cattle went up 23.7%, while Lean Hog gained 12.9% in 2024. Overall, Natural Gas was the reigning King of Commodity in 2024, with Henry Hub up 42% and the Dutch TTF gaining 62%. But wait, if Eggs are tradable, you could book even higher profits. According to the USDA price bulletin, Grade A Large Eggs are now selling at $4.90 a dozen on average nationwide, up 359% from $1.06 a year ago! It’s a pity that CME Egg futures had been delisted since 1981, depriving us a huge trading opportunity. Do you know that the Chicago Mercantile Exchange was originally named Chicago Egg and Butter Board in 1919? If you have access to China’s futures markets, you could still trade Egg Futures from Dalian Commodity Exchange. The JD contract traded 248,533 contracts last Friday. Happy Trading. Disclaimer: The above discussion is my personal view, and not a trading advice.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
4