GOLD [4H] - 12.2.2025After reaching 1.61 Fibbo., I do expect a correction towards 2,800 AUX/USD, and in March upward trend over 3,000 AUX/USD.
GC1! trade ideas
Is Gold Overdone?
After an impressive rally which saw gold break through the $2,900/oz level for the first time, the market appears poised to blow off some steam.
Key Points:
- High on the daily RSI was set at the end of January and has been flashing divergence since then.
- The RSI has been in a consolidation channel for the last few weeks but broke through to move lower this morning. The current RSI is sitting just below 50.
- This morning, gold broke through the BB midpoint AND the lower trend channel.
- Really bearish closing candle on the daily yesterday.
Gold's Final Push: $3,000 Target in SightGold (XAUUSD) remains in strong demand, revising the prior bearish outlook. Price action now targets $3,000, completing a possible final wave as part of the bullish structure. This move likely marks the last ride before a potential correction. Watch for key resistance near $3,000.
Gold Sweeps before Major PlaysWait if you looking for the move! Cause price will give us some type of validation of what it wants to do. It can remain bullish and break through this area or it can pull back and grab some liquidity before continuing. We just have to wait for the killzones to show up a clearer read.
Gold vs UNI – Is UNI in the Early Stages of AccumulationThis comparison between Gold (MGC1!) and Uniswap (UNIUSDT) on the weekly timeframe suggests that UNI could be in Phase 1 of a buy program, similar to how gold accumulated before its major breakout.
📌 Key Observations in the Chart Comparison:
PHASE 1: The Accumulation Zone (Green Highlighted Area)
Gold went through a long accumulation period (2013–2017), trading in a sideways range before its parabolic impulse leg kicked in.
UNI is currently in a similar consolidation phase, potentially in the early stages of accumulation.
The monkey face + pointing emoji suggest a "stealth phase" where most retail traders remain unaware of the underlying accumulation.
Old High & Market Structure
Gold formed a major high, crashed, and accumulated before breaking out.
UNI also reached an all-time high (~$44), crashed, and is now ranging in what looks like a potential accumulation phase.
Similar structural formation suggests UNI could be following gold’s footsteps.
Impulse Leg & Breakout Potential
Gold’s first major breakout came after a long accumulation, followed by a massive impulse move (Phase 2).
If UNI is mirroring gold, the next breakout could start the impulse leg leading to a retest of old highs and beyond.
Standard Deviation Extensions (STDVN) – Potential Price Targets
Gold reached 0.5 and 1 STDVN levels after its breakout, which became short-term targets before continuation.
If UNI follows a similar trajectory, targets could be $44.77, $64.98, and eventually $85+ if the accumulation plays out.
🔮 What This Means for UNI?
Early accumulation phase means the smart money is likely positioning.
Price compression leads to expansion—UNI could be preparing for an explosive move.
Similar to gold, UNI could break above accumulation and enter Phase 2, targeting 0.5 and 1 STDVN levels.
If UNI truly follows gold’s structure, long-term price discovery is on the table.
🚨 Lord MEDZ Trading Perspective
"Not financial advice, but let’s keep it real…"
Gold showed the exact same pattern before making a historic move. UNI is mirroring the early accumulation phase.
This is the shakeout before the breakout. Smart money is accumulating while retail panics.
Patience = Wealth. Stay ahead of the crowd.
🚀 UNI could be setting up for something massive. 🚀
GC! Double Top at ATHThis could be a strong opportunity to take a short position. If the price continues to test this resistance and fails, we anticipate a move lower towards the next support zone with a possible gap close on this 4H chart in the coming weeks.
Ethereum vs. Gold Chart Comparison – Potential Explosive The comparison between Micro Gold Futures (MGC1!) and Ethereum (ETHUSDT) on the weekly timeframe suggests that Ethereum could be mirroring gold’s price structure before its parabolic breakout.
Key Similarities Between Gold & Ethereum:
Impulse Leg Formation 🔥
Both assets formed a strong impulse leg after a significant low.
The Ethereum impulse leg started from the ~$1,530 low, pushing toward ~$4,000 before retracing into accumulation.
Gold followed a similar pattern, forming a strong rally before consolidation.
Accumulation Range
Both charts show a clear accumulation phase after the impulse leg.
Gold accumulated sideways for an extended period before exploding to the upside.
Ethereum is currently within its accumulation range, suggesting that it could be preparing for a similar breakout.
This is a shakeout phase designed to trap weak hands before the real move.
Standard Deviation Extensions (STDVN) & Key Levels 🎯
Both charts use standard deviation extensions (STDVN) to project potential short-term targets.
0.5 STDVN & 1 STDVN levels are crucial areas where price could react.
Gold blasted through these levels after breaking out of accumulation.
If Ethereum follows suit, 5,288 (0.5 STDVN) and 6,605 (1 STDVN) could be in play.
Previous Highs Acting as Support/Resistance
Gold broke past its old high, retested, and surged.
Ethereum is still hovering below its previous major high (~4,800).
If Ethereum flips this level into support, it could send price into price discovery mode.
What This Means for Ethereum 🚀
Gold already showed the path—Ethereum is lagging but setting up similarly.
Volatility is part of the process—shakeouts happen before the breakout.
Holding ETH through this phase could be crucial if history repeats itself.
A breakout beyond the accumulation range could send ETH towards $5,200 - $6,600+ in the short term.
Beyond 1 STDVN, ETH enters uncharted territory—an all-time high breakout could be explosive.
Final Thoughts from Lord MEDZ 👑
Not financial advice, but I’m holding ETH through the chop. The last shakeout before an all-time high run is often the toughest. But the chart comparison is clear: Gold did it first. Ethereum could be next.
🔥 Patience. Conviction. Execution. 🔥
GOLD, Short, 1h✅ GOLD is pulling back to the 0.236 Fibonacci level, where a temporary decline is expected before continuing its movement. The price is also likely to reach the 21 EMA as part of this retracement.
SHORT 🔥
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Gold’s Correction Ahead? Technical Signals Point to Bearish MoveGold (XAUUSD) on the 4H timeframe signals a potential bearish move. Wave (X) appears complete, with an ABC correction likely targeting $2,645.90 (1:1 W=Y). Bearish RSI & Stochastic divergence suggest weakening momentum, supporting downside bias. Wave 4 may complete before a bullish continuation.
Aiming for Long Positions in Gold as Bullish Momentum Continues
- Key Insights: Gold continues to demonstrate strong upward momentum driven by
central bank demand and geopolitical anxiety. An anticipated rotation from
tech to commodities, particularly gold, presents a favorable opportunity for
investors. Positive sentiment suggests a continued bullish trend, with
expert opinions indicating potential price targets near $3,000 or higher.
- Price Targets: Next week targets for a long position are T1 at $2,980 and T2
at $3,050. Stop levels to consider are S1 at $2,850 and S2 at $2,800,
ensuring strong support while maintaining a positive risk-to-reward ratio.
- Recent Performance: Gold recently peaked at $2,910, affirming the bullish
trend despite minor challenges for some traders. The market has shown
resilience, and the overall sentiment remains largely optimistic amidst
fluctuations.
- Expert Analysis: Experts project further increases in gold prices, especially
if interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve materialize. Watchful
investors are encouraged to view pullbacks as potential entry points into
the market, with an outlook that remains bullish.
- News Impact: Notable investments from the UAE in Zimbabwe’s gold sector
illustrate the growing global dynamics favoring gold. Geopolitical tensions,
tariff concerns, and a heightened demand for physical gold and gold-backed
cryptocurrencies underscore gold's position as a reliable hedge against
uncertainty and inflation.
GC topping near 3000Gold is on its last leg of an Elliot impulse wave. The top looks to be 3k using a fib retracement strategy. This aligns with the previous cup, handle, breakout to 2x above the handle from the 1980 to 2012 chart.
Gold Unstoppable to get to 3000, but we might see a pullbackOn Gold futures I clearly see this going for new historical highs, but since everyone is joining the ride a pullback is around the corner.
Liquidity has just been swept on the 4Hr, so this would be a perfect scenario to squeeze the longs all the way down to a bullish order block/demand zone at 2853,2
EWTSU GOLD future intermediate (4)
Elliott Wave Trade Setup
GOLD future intermediate (4)
intermediate (4) running
B of expanded flat ABC
prices reached target of B at 2900 area - should reverse in wave C
C target beyond the end of wave A (2543 area)
alternative
intermediate (4) ended in a running zigzag ABC (C low 2597)
minor 1 of intermediate (5) developping
MGC1! SELLAfter series of various bullish maneuvers, it failed to break a higher high.
The presence of a bearish pattern like the H&S which shows the rejection coming in. I hope to see a clean breakdown to the downside.
What do you think? Follow and Like for ideas.
Gold major breakout ? Major breakout of trendline in gold on weekly basis.
Can zoom to 92-95 levels very soon.
GOLD IS HOT RIGHT NOW!!!The moves are on FIRE!!! Looking for the bullish momentum to continue. Price has moved above the previous daily level and the area is starting to hold. As we push up I'm looking for a entry inside of the Asian session's Kill zone.
GC - Futures Gold - Short term bearish then bullish moveBased on confluences, a bullish move will likely continue after a short-term bearish retracement. I am not a financial advisor, trade at your own risk.
Gold continues higher within its well-established channelGold continues higher within its well-established channel, reaching a fresh record high at $2837. Interesting to note the spread between XAUUSD and GCJ5 continues to normalise with cash chasing higher towards the futures price. Win-win.
TARGET REACHED ON OUR TRADEEarlier I posted to buy on Gold, and the market now reached our target to continue going higher and higher.
Follow for more!
BUY GC1!Good morning traders!
I'm sharing this trade for futures traders, you can place the same order as mine, so the market can fill it when it gets back to the entry point.
Follow for more!
GOLD Setting up for a nice run!Now that we are in a new week and new month it looks like its setting up for a big move. Just have to wait for the killzones for a solid entry. I just need to see it fill in some gaps. Waiting for the Asian range but it looks like it might be bearish until the London session. For London we could see a sweep and then aggressive push to go bullish. We just have to wait and see.
- Aiming for Long Positions in Gold as Bullish Momentum Persists- Key Insights: Gold's recent all-time high showcases strong bullish sentiment.
The market is buoyed by geopolitical uncertainties that drive investors
toward gold as a safe-haven asset. Monitoring for potential corrections
remains critical. Consider entering long positions as the overall trend
continues positively.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are T1 at $2,900 and T2 at $3,000. Stop
levels are S1 at $2,760 and S2 at $2,740.
- Recent Performance: Gold has maintained a strong trajectory amidst favorable
commodity movements and high trading volumes. The precious metal's status as
a preferred asset has led to its outperformance compared to many traditional
equities, reflecting its desirability during volatile periods.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook, while cautioning about
potential corrections due to rising short positions. Continued capital
rotation into gold suggests that institutional flows will likely push prices
further. Traders should pay attention to market signals reflecting shifts in
sentiment.
- News Impact: Growing geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns heighten gold's
strategic importance as a safe-haven investment. Recent initiatives in Saudi
Arabia to engage with gold supply chains indicate heightened market demand.
Ongoing developments in the GLD ETF reveal strong investor interest, further
supporting bullish sentiment around gold.
