GOLD is Setting Up For LONGS! Prepare to BUY!Price is pulling back to the Daily +FVG, which is nested in the Weekly +FVG, which is intersected by the Swing High. Three strong confluences for a high probability LONG.
Be patient, look for price to contact the POI, and then let your valid buy setup form.
Let the rest unfold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GC1! trade ideas
GOLD..BuyGave a good flag breakout...on to the last leg up...tgt calculated as per pattern...Looks good for the tgt..So buy ...Time tgt approx early next year
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Gold - Bulls got the breakout above and got rejected at 2700 again. I think we will spend a bit more time at the highs until bulls give up or we find more buyers willing to buy above 2700. Right now I still favor the bulls for continuation but only willing to buy on strong momentum.
comment : Retest 2700 is done, now what? We have a proper channel, so trade it. 2690 right now is not a good spot. Wait for a closer price to the lower trend line or look for shorts near 2700, if bulls show weakness again. New highs inside the channel are getting sold, so you should not buy into strength but rather on pullbacks.
current market cycle: bull trend (also trading range on the daily chart - 2619 - 2710)
key levels: 2670 - 2710
bull case: Bulls will likely retest 2700 tomorrow. Can they get another big breakout above it? I think so but right now it does not look like it. I expect more sideways until the bull trend line on the daily chart is closer. Bulls still in full control and I would not look for shorts on this.
Invalidation is below 2670.
bear case: Bears selling new highs but thats about it. Market is grinding higher again and we are near the ath. Nothing bearish about this. Bears can start a case if they close below 2670 again.
Invalidation is above 2720.
short term: neutral - I would not buy 2700 in hope of 2710 but rather buy decent pullbacks inside the current channel.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Selling 2700.
Dxy gold silver Weimar Republic 10 16 24. here the dxy may be coming to sellers and this is where I would expect a reversal. the dxy and the metals have been going higher which is not typical. this is probably a signal that the metals are bullish which means there are buyers. on the other hand if the gold or the silver trade lower.... that would be possibly a good time to buy the metals, and I explain this in the video. this is a very dangerous time and a lot of people feel that the US must change its strategy because the dollar cannot be sustained with The amount of spending that has occurred.
Gold looks to be drawing to the upside... My conviction for gold is that it is drawing towards the upside... I'm noticing daily failure swings that price seems to be very interesting in buy side liquidity. Plus price has reacted nicely off a +IFVG and has formed a daily CISD. I'll be looking for a OLHC daily candle formation for tomorrow trading toward the weekly draws.
The Wyckoff VSA Method Showing Selling and No Demand In this short video, Author of "Trading in the Shadow of the Smart Money", Gavin Holmes, explains one of the most important trades to the short side, and ironically it works in any timeframe as shown. This is Gold Futures, but if you look at the NQ today as I filmed this it also set up early to the short side in NVIDIA, ARM and the NQ Futures.
One More Gold Short Left in the ChamberGold is showing signs of weakness after testing resistance during the early trading session. With recent volatility and strong moves in the U.S. dollar, I’m expecting bearish momentum to continue intraday.
GOLD SELL SET UPI have a 4hr up trend that was broken on the 1hr. I got a 1hr retest, now Im lookn to take it down to the next previous low of around 2,573.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE!!!
Bitcoin halts as gold advances (and vice versa)
THIS HAS PLAYED OUT, AGAIN!
Bitcoin halted its advance as gold broke out.
Now bitcoin's hope is that gold stalls...
#bitcoin #gold
Options Blueprint Series [Intermediate]: Vega-Neutral Gold Play1. Introduction
Gold is currently in an uptrend, presenting a potentially favorable environment for bullish traders. However, with implied volatility (IV) sitting around its mean, there’s uncertainty about whether IV will rise or fall in the near future. In such a scenario, traders may want to neutralize their vega exposure to avoid being negatively affected by changes in volatility.
This article focuses on setting up a Call Ratio Spread, a bullish option strategy that provides positive delta while allowing for further adjustments that could keep vega neutral. This allows traders to capitalize on Gold’s potential uptrend while minimizing risk from changes in implied volatility.
2. Current Market Context
The Gold futures market shows strong levels of support, which reinforces the bullish outlook. On the continuous Gold futures chart above GC1!, we observe key support levels at 2646.2 and 2627.2-2572.5. These levels could act as price floors, helping the uptrend continue if tested.
Similarly, when examining the contract-specific below chart for GCQ2025, we identify supports at 2725.4 and 2729.5-2705.5. These levels provide solid ground for bullish trades on this specific contract, giving traders additional confidence in entering long positions.
With implied volatility near its average (see the chart below), the market’s future volatility direction is unclear. Traders using options may choose adapt to this environment, ensuring that changes in volatility do not work against them.
3. Options Strategy: Call Ratio Spread
To take advantage of Gold’s uptrend while neutralizing the risk from changes in volatility, we could employ a Call Ratio Spread. This strategy offers a bullish stance while maintaining vega neutrality, protecting the trader from swings in implied volatility.
Setup:
Buy 1x 2600 Call at 256.15
Sell 2x 3500 Calls at 23.32
Expiration: July 28, 2025
This configuration generates positive delta, meaning the strategy will benefit from upward price movement. At the same time, by selling two calls at a higher strike, we offset the vega exposure, ensuring that changes in volatility won’t dramatically affect the position.
The strike prices and expiration selected help create a risk profile that works well in a bullish market. The maximum gain potential occurs if Gold continues to rise but stays below the higher 3500 strike, while the vega neutrality minimizes any volatility risks as the trade begins.
Notice the breakeven point for this strategy is 2809.5, meaning the trade becomes profitable if Gold exceeds this level by expiration.
4. Why Use Micros?
Traders looking for a more flexible approach can consider using Micro Gold Futures (symbol: MGC) instead of standard Gold futures contracts. Micro Gold Futures offer smaller contract sizes, which translate into lower margin requirements and a more precise way to control risk. This makes them an attractive alternative for traders with smaller accounts or those looking to scale into positions gradually.
Additionally, Micro Gold Futures allow traders to fine-tune their exposure to Gold without the larger capital commitment required by standard contracts. For those implementing strategies like the Call Ratio Spread, Micros provide a cost-effective way to execute similar trades with a lower financial commitment.
Contract Specs and Margin Requirements
Gold Futures (symbol: GC) represent 100 troy ounces of gold, and their margin requirements can vary depending on market volatility and the broker. Typically, the initial margin requirement for a standard Gold futures contract is around $10,000 to $12,000, but this can fluctuate. For traders seeking more flexibility, Micro Gold Futures (symbol: MGC) offer a smaller contract size, representing 10 troy ounces of gold. The margin requirement for Micro Gold Futures is significantly lower, usually in the range of $1,000 to $1,200, making it a more accessible option for those with smaller accounts or those looking to fine-tune their exposure.
5. Risk Management
As with any options trade, managing risk is essential. In the case of a Call Ratio Spread, the primary risk comes from the naked short calls at the 3500 strike price. If Gold rallies aggressively beyond 3500, the trader faces unlimited risk due to the uncovered nature of the short positions.
To mitigate this risk, traders should consider using stop-loss orders or adjusting the trade if Gold's price approaches the 3500 level too quickly. Another way to eliminate the unlimited risk component to the upside would be to convert the Call Ratio Spread into a Call Butterfly by buying an additional call above the 3500 strike price, effectively capping the risk. This adjustment still allows for positive delta exposure while limiting potential losses if Gold moves sharply higher.
Additionally, monitoring implied volatility is key. While the position starts with neutral vega exposure, this will change as the underlying asset price moves and time passes, especially as expiration approaches. The vega exposure can increase or decrease depending on these factors. If maintaining the vega-neutral characteristic is a priority, further adjustments—such as rolling options or modifying strike prices—could be made to keep the position aligned with the trader’s volatility outlook.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Bearish Gold on the Intraday Charts I’m looking for potential short opportunities as sellers begin to step in. My approach here is to capitalize on the expected pullback, with a target toward the next support zone. Given the current global market uncertainty and dollar strength, I anticipate further downside pressure on gold.
Recap of gold price from nov 2023 to date (late oct 2024)How did gold move for the past year? where might it go next? will it hold its current price of 2674? who knows
how to use the position size tool in tradingviewi think i cracked it How to know how many micros to use on an instrument for example gold with a fixed dollar stop loss
GOLD Short-Medium-Long Term analysisGold is in a different stage than it has been for over a decade.
After a consolidation from the massive 2000-2011 bull run, GOLD has broken out of its 13 year Cup and Handle.
Longs will witness a historical move as this only happens every several decades.
Few and far between, metals bull markets come rarely, but when they do, nothing beats it.
Watch for details.
goldThe cup pattern can be seen in the weekly time of gold.
Indicators need to be corrected.
It seems that the conditions of the Middle East and the American elections can determine the continuation of gold's path.
Get Ready For The "Top 13 Iron Watchlist" + Gold Price ActionThis is something I have been struggling with
"what indicator to use for the top 13
Iron watchlist ?? "which I will reveal to you
On the 19th Of October,2024
This watchlist is whats going to rocket boost
my trading for 2025
-
Look at this chart notice that the stochastic rsi
3 day moving average
has crossed the 14 day
moving average?
Also notice that the price is in an uptrend?
--
This asset price is from the Top 13 Iron Watchlist
This watchlist is a new way of looking
at not only the market
But what makes this one unique
Is its purpose is to allow me to trade the market cycles
both bear and bull markets alike
One of the assets on this watchlist
is this one COMEX:GC1!
Because its a very powerful asset
that protects against inflation
With this Top13 iron watchlist
the assets on this watchlist
show you the assets that will
turn and show you
the market cycles of 2025 LIVE..
These are the assets that
will show you the market cycles
To learn more
check out the rocket booster
strategy as well
Because I will also be using this
strategy to determine the trend of
the asset found on the Top13 iron watchlist
Rocket boost this content to learn morre.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose
money wether you like it or not
so please learn risk management and profit
taking strategies.
Buying XAUUSD to take out Buyside LiquidityIn a buy trade on the 5 mins timeframe. Looking to take out equal highs from the Asian range.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: GOLD | XAUUSDGOLD | XAUUSD is in consolidation currently. I am waiting for it to touch down at the Weekly +FVG and move higher. I'm interested more in long setups versus shorts. Patience usually pays, so I wait and watch for valid setups to form this week.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold Washout Low/Excess Phase Peak #3 Setup - Get ReadyThis short video highlights why I believe Gold is building a base near $2640 for a big rally move up to $2760++.
Yes, I highlight some concerns in this video.
I expected Gold to move more aggressively to the upside over the last 36 hours, but this is trading. Everything doesn't work out perfectly in all instances.
If you are trading Gold, this video should help you understand what is happening on the price chart and why it is so important for Gold to build a base and move higher from these lows.
If Gold breaks below $2620, all bets are off, and we may see a broader breakdown. But I don't think that is likely to happen with this move.
I still see the $2780 level as the upper target.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
#202440 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold: 2640 - 2700 is the range. Play it. Bulls bought the trend line on Friday and are free to continue the meltup. Above 2680 I expect another try of 2700 and a possible 3rd leg (W5) up to 2800 or higher. Bears need something below 2640 for maybe retesting 2600 (the bigger bull trend line is around that price) but for now I can’t see this happening. The rally/bubble is in full force and market is finding buyers on any pullback. Weekly chart gives a good picture. Last time market stalled 3 weeks before another strong leg up.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls hit 2700 as expected and we pulled back some. I do expect this pullback to become a great buying opportunity but I don’t know how far down bears can get it. Obvious magnets are the breakout price 2630, daily 20ema or the bull trend line around 2620.
comment : My bearish target was 2630 and low of the week was 2646, I do think that is as good of an outlook as it gets. We are still low enough to justify buying 2667 but your stop would have to be 2640. Until the bull trend line and daily 20ema are broken, market is max bullish, so look for longs.
current market cycle: very strong bull trend
key levels: 2640 - 2710 (will probably break above again)
bull case: Bulls have all the arguments on their side and all patterns are as bullish as it gets. Bull trend line held and a buy is a decent trade right now for 2700 or higher. My target for W5 is around 2780. If bulls fail at this smaller bull trend line, the next bigger one would be around 2600 and that is probably the absolute best bears could get over the next days/weeks.
Invalidation is below 2600.
bear case: Bears want to break below the minor bull trend line and the daily ema. We have not touched the daily 20ema for a month so don’t expect the first touch to be a strong break below. Bears do not have good arguments for more weakness and I won’t make some up. Anything below 2640 would surprise me and odds would rise to test down 2600 but right now it’s low probability.
Invalidation is above 2710.
outlook last week:
short term : Neutral and I will only look for longs in Gold. If bears show strength, I might try a small short scalp and hope for 2630 or lower and then I wait for bulls to come around again. Making money on the long side here is the way to go.
→ Last Sunday we traded 2668 and now we are at 2667. Outlook. Was. Perfect. Hope you made some.
short term: Neutral around 2640 - 2670 but favoring the bulls to break above 2670 for 2700 and higher. If bears show strength below 2640, it would be a reasonable trade to try a short for 2600.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Added bull gaps to highlight the bullishness..
Gold Nearing Major Support at 2667 - Bullish ReversalGold is approaching a crucial support level at 2667 on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential bullish reversal. This level holds significant importance due to its confluence with technical indicators that suggest a possible upward move. Let’s break down the key elements of the current setup:
2667 is a well-established major support level where buyers have historically stepped in, making it a critical zone to watch.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) has crossed above 50 multiple times, which is a strong signal of increasing bullish momentum. This suggests that, despite recent price consolidation, there is underlying strength in the market. The fact that RSI is sustaining above the midline indicates that the market sentiment is shifting towards bullishness.
On the 4-hour chart, the most recent candle formed a Hammer, a classic bullish reversal pattern. This suggests that the market is rejecting lower prices, with buyers defending the support level.
Gold closed the weekend at 2667.80, sitting right on this major support level, further confirming the importance of this zone.
All these technical indicators point towards a potential bullish setup for Gold, with the RSI's multiple crossings above 50 strengthening the case for upside movement. If the price bounces from this support, we could see a rally in the near term.
However, it's essential to recognize that Gold's price action is also influenced by global events, particularly geopolitical tensions such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East. These developments could introduce volatility and sudden shifts in sentiment.
Traders should closely monitor price behavior around the 2667 support level and look for further confirmations of a bullish reversal, such as continued RSI strength, bullish candlestick formations, and breaks above resistance levels. If the support holds and these signals align, Gold could be poised for a significant upward move. However, a failure to maintain this level may lead to further downside, so caution is advised.
Stay updated on global events, as they can heavily impact Gold's trajectory in the days ahead.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-4 End Of Week Wrap-upWhat a great week overall! My SPY Cycle patterns worked fairly well to target buy/sell zones 4-7+ days in advance and really provided some much-needed guidance for traders this week.
I've been getting emails and messages from many traders telling me how my research and SPY Cycle Patterns have changed their lives.
It sure makes things easier when you have this level of information about the future of price trends/ranges, right?
As we head into the weekend - let's take some time to help those around us that need our assistance. After the recent Hurricane, I'm sure people within your reach need a little assistance.
Remember, this is when we, as Americans, need to stand up and help fellow Americans.
Be safe, and see you on Monday.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
