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GC1! trade ideas

STEEL-NERVE SETUP – ARE WE RE-LIVING GOLD’S 2020 BEAR-TRAP?Retail sentiment is ultra-bearish, positioning is cooling, Silver is outperforming and the S&P 500 is screaming risk-on … exactly the cocktail we saw in June 2020, right before Gold & Silver exploded higher. 1️⃣ WHY THIS FEELS LIKE 2020 AGAIN 2025 (now) 2020 (pre-rally) Read-through > 70 % of TradingView ideas are bearish 💬 > 60 % were bearish Crowd may be offsides again Managed-money net-longs -18 % from April peak 📉 -25 % from March peak Powder for fresh longs First monthly ETF outflow (-$1.8 bn) 🚪 Record inflows Capitulation, not euphoria Gold/Silver ratio down to 94 ⚖️ Fell to 95 Silver leadership = bottoming tell S&P 500 at new ATH 📈 S&P at new ATH Risk-on backdrop identical 2️⃣ WHAT’S DIFFERENT THIS TIME Real 10-y TIPS yield +0.7 % (2020: -1 %) → smaller monetary tail-wind. Gold already at inflation-adjusted ATH → upside could be shorter & sharper, not a fresh super-cycle (yet). 3️⃣ CHECKLIST FOR A REAL BEAR-TRAP Signal Watch-level Gold holds $3 200–3 250 (100-d SMA + fib) Daily close above zone Gold/Silver ratio breaks < 90 Momentum confirmation CFTC net-longs < 150 k Position flush ETF flows turn positive Fear → FOMO S&P stumbles / vols spike Classic risk-bid for Gold Need 3 of 5 boxes ticked to validate the squeeze thesis. 4️⃣ CATALYST CALENDAR 3 Jul – NFP: sub-75 k print could fire the opening salvo. 9 Jul – Tariff freeze decision: escalation would revive safe-haven demand. 15 Jul – CPI & 30-31 Jul – FOMC: dovish turn + soft data could complete the squeeze. Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal opinion for educational purposes only; it is not financial advice. Trading futures and commodities involves substantial risk and can lead to total loss of capital—do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified professional before acting.
COMEX:GC1!
by AustrianTradingMachine
1
Navigating Gold Futures: Support, Resistance, and ProjectionsCOMEX:GC1! The chart appears to depict a clear five-wave pattern: I, II, III, IV, and V. Waves I to III show strong upward movements, indicating bullish sentiment. Wave IV looks like it could be a corrective phase, with a potential dip before another upward movement in Wave V. Support and Resistance Levels: The horizontal lines around 2,800 and 2,575.3 indicate critical Fibonacci retracement levels (38.20% and 50%). If the price approaches these levels during the correction, they could serve as support, making it a potential buying opportunity. RSI Indicator: From the bottom indicator (RSI), we can see fluctuations in momentum, which can aid in timing trades. Look for interpretations of the RSI: if it trends towards the extremes (overbought/oversold), that could signal reversal points. Future Projections: Should the market respect the outlined support levels, Wave V could potentially push towards a new high above 4,000 as indicated by the upward projection. Market Sentiment: Overall, the pattern suggests a bullish outlook long-term, but caution is warranted during corrective phases as prices might retrace towards support levels.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Trwin
Is time to be a Gold Bull?Gold has been steadily repricing lower prices since June 16th after it took out May 16th's High. On Friday, June 27th, Gold moved into the Daily BISI (+FVG) zone and retraced upside. We may see another lower prices to purge the sellside liquidity before reverse upside for the short term. I don't expect another ATH next month, unless we have the right catalyst to do so. I'd anticipate for the price action to remain inside a large consolidation within the current Dealing Range as indicated in the chart. My Bullish case will be if price breaks above the 3500 convincingly, and the Bearish case if it breaks below 3120 convincingly also. In the meantime, we'll have to be satisfied playing tic tac toe inside the range. Don't get married to a strict bias at this time. Stay nimble, and let the price presents itself to you.
COMEX:GC1!
by Martingale_FX
Gold 4H-figment of my imagination. Chart Overview: Timeframe: 4H (MCX) Current Price: ₹95,524 Volume: 1.6K Trend: Short-term bearish 📉 Observations: 1. Break of Support Zones: Multiple support zones have been drawn on the chart: Around ₹96,200, ₹94,700, ₹91,800, and finally near ₹86,600–82,200. Price is now trading below the ₹96,200 support, showing clear weakness. 2. Structure: This looks like a lower high – lower low formation. Recent price action has broken previous swing lows, indicating bearish momentum continuation. 3. Next Key Supports: ₹94,700 – could act as the next immediate support (minor bounce possible) ₹91,800 – stronger historical zone ₹86,600 to ₹82,200 – major demand zone (strong support last seen in April) 4. Volume Analysis: Volume hasn’t spiked significantly on the recent fall, suggesting no panic yet, but also lack of buying interest. 📌 Conclusion: The trend is weak and corrective, favoring sell on rise until price reclaims ₹96,200 convincingly. Safe buy zone: Near ₹91,800–₹86,600, if price shows reversal signals. Watch out: If ₹91,800 breaks, ₹86,600 or even ₹82,200 could be tested.
MCX:GOLD1!
by Pushpmegh
Long & Short Entry Forecast For GoldCooling war tensions seem to be cooling the Gold bullish rally as well. But we're still in the same range since April 15th and will likely stay in the range until further notice *or the next tweet* The Sell entry is great now cos we're near the top of the high volume node, so even if we consolidate around that POC this sell entry will still be putting us closest to the top of the node. Hold your sell and TP at the VAL . We have a very deep low volume area there and its being a point of support since April. So we can place bets with small risk on hoping it holds cos if it doesn't, it wont be pretty. That is still the best place to buy regardless. So manage your risk accordingly TP 1 for the Buy trade is at the POC , which also happens to be the top of the huge volume node. Totally make sense to take a decent chunk of profit of your position there, then move you stop loss into profit and grab some pop corn. Depending on the news , the best case scenario of for the uptrend is to continue all the way up to TP2 which is at the VAH Secure the bag :) Enjoy
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by ExoProtocol
8
Gold LongsBullish weekly bias for Gold. Classic Expansion Weekly profile in play. Price opened lower first, Im treating this as the possible manipulation for the week. Tuesday swept key ssl and closed back inside the range. Drop to a 4h and OB is confirmed. 1h CISD aligned with 4h. Execution off 4h OB with stop at OB Low / Tuesday low. If BSL is the draw, I would like to see Tuesday low be protected. LRLR is first low hanging fruit objective. 3420 roughly, with equal highs at 3476 being final target.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CEOTraders
Global Gold at the Crossroads of CrisisGold’s response to historic geopolitical crises demonstrates that while “big fear” is rapidly priced in, the durability of rallies—or the depth of corrections—depends on a confluence of monetary policy, dollar valuation, oil prices, and the genuine scale of the threat. At present, the gold market sits squarely between global “fear of instability” and “hope for de-escalation.” Divergent signals from the Fed, global central banks, and oil markets only deepen volatility, making investor decisions more complex. As previous wars (Iran–Iraq, Ukraine) have shown, gold is prone to both scenarios, but its long-term direction will be shaped by a mix of economic, policy, and psychological factors.
COMEX:GC1!
by amir.etasi
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th. Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now. This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib. Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not supported by fundamentals, though. As the market environment is more risk on than off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new bearish leg to begin. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
3
$MGC / $GC / Gold - Target acquired! Where are we going next.Hello fellow gamblers, Price did not go all the way inside the target range, but it is close enough for me to be satisfied with the play and take profits. Now it is the time to be looking for where we are going next. - I am already seeing some reversal signals in the 15min TF but no signals in the higher TFs. - For now, we will continue going lower as long as the blue trendline is not broken, but it is possible for price to have a bounce before continuing lower. If price breaks above 3357, I am looking at that FVG gap as a possible target for the bounce. - It is possible for price to touch that yellow trendline in the bounce, so I'll be paying attention to it. - If we get a rejection of 3357, I can see price filling our W2 Target range and finding support at 3283. A break of that level could take us all the way down to 3222.8 - 3174.4 range shown in the chart. - For bullish scenario, I'd want a break above 3418, but i do believe that it is still early to talk bullish scenarios, so I'll leave it for next time. - Levels to watch: 3418 - 3357 - 3283 - 3207
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by Caramel0
GOLD FUTURES: LOADED COIL OR BREAKDOWN RISK ### 📉 **GOLD FUTURES: Loaded Coil or Breakdown Risk?** **Symbol:** MGCQ25 / MGC1! **Date:** June 24, 2025 **Session:** NY Open Pre-Market --- ### 🔍 **Top-Down Analysis (TE GRID Aligned)** #### 🕵️‍♂️ 1D Macro Bias: Gold’s daily candle is an aggressive rejection off the \$3,400s with a break of the prior demand zone. Heavy volume on the red day signals **institutional unwinding** 📉. Price cracked through the previous bullish imbalance zone and now floats just above key structural support at **\$3,295**. * 🟣 **Bias:** **Bearish until proven otherwise** * ⚠️ Watch: If today closes below \$3,295, opens door for \$3,170 sweep --- #### 🧠 4H/1H HTF Structure: * 4H shows textbook lower high + BOS formation — order blocks at **\$3,378–\$3,400** rejected price multiple times. * 1H VWAP anchored from the last major high at \$3,400 is pressing down — no reclaim, no rally. * Big liquidity cluster sits below at **\$3,170–\$3,130**, possibly magnetic. 🔵 **HTF TE GRID Check**: * ✅ HTF Bias: Bearish * ✅ No support reclaim * ✅ Liquidity below → **Short bias confirmed** --- #### 🧪 15m Intraday Liquidity Check: * VWAP = resistance * EQ (Equilibrium) from consolidation = broken * Price action: forming lower highs beneath \$3,336–\$3,340 * Volume dropping on minor pullbacks = weak buyer response 🔴 **Intraday Bias:** Fade rallies into HTF resistance --- ### ⚔️ **TE GRID Trade Setup Ideas** (Execution-Ready) #### 🎯 **Setup #1 – HTF Supply Rejection Short** * 🔹 *Entry:* \$3,336–\$3,340 zone (intraday VWAP retest) * 🔹 *Stop:* Above \$3,350 (invalidates idea) * 🔹 *Target 1:* \$3,295 (gap fill) * 🔹 *Target 2:* \$3,170 (macro sweep target) * 🧠 *TE GRID Alignment:* * HTF down ✅ * Liquidity above swept ✅ * Rejection from imbalance ✅ #### 🎯 **Setup #2 – Breakdown Momentum Play** * 🔹 *Entry:* Break & retest of \$3,295 * 🔹 *Stop:* Above \$3,305 * 🔹 *Target:* \$3,170 → \$3,130 * 🧠 *TE GRID Alignment:* * Structure BOS ✅ * Rejection of EQ ✅ * No buyer absorption ✅ --- --- 🚨 **Gold Futures Breakdown In Progress — Powell Speech Could Seal the Deal** 🧠💣 Gold is under heavy pressure as the market rotates out of safe havens amid a cooling in geopolitical risk — but price action says this isn’t over yet 👀. The **Israel–Iran ceasefire** may have stunned gold bulls, but the real signal is coming from **macro and technical structure**. Powell’s testimony today could either validate the Fed’s dovish lean — or crush the dollar further. Either way, volatility is loading. ⚡️ --- 📉 **TE GRID Top-Down Breakdown** 1️⃣ **Daily:** Bearish rejection from prior demand 2️⃣ **4H/1H:** Rejected from VWAP and macro imbalance at \$3,378–\$3,400 3️⃣ **15m:** Weak bounce volume, liquidity gaps below = fade rallies --- 🎯 **Key Trade Levels:** * **Short Zone:** \$3,336–\$3,340 * **Breakdown Trigger:** \$3,295 * **Targets:** * \$3,170 = HTF liquidity draw 🧲 * \$3,130 = macro flush if Powell disappoints 🪓 --- ⚖️ **Narrative:** Gold is stuck between **a falling dollar** and a **waning fear premium**. Powell is the final wildcard — if he leans dovish, the dollar could slide further. But without structural reclaim, **gold remains a short-the-rip environment**. Stay tactical. Let price confirm before you commit. 🧠📉 --- 🛑 *Disclaimer:* Not financial advice. This is professional-grade trade research. Execute with precision.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by bencryptoknight
Gold GC1! heading to $3,476 next with a 4.15R long trade TVC:GOLD Gold/ COMEX:GC1! hit the 0.705 fib level right between the 0.618 and 0.786 what I like to call the sweet spot for fibonacci tools. If it misses the 0.618 then the 0.705 is just as good, signals are showing a bottom forming and slowly but sure the rsi is about to cross up over 50, it should pump hard this time -4.15R trade -1.5% capital risk -as soon as gold starts to move, we'll drag our stop loss to or even past break even if it really pops up hard...
COMEX:GC1!Long
by SakisBack
Move\Manipulate/Grab/Consolidate/PushFIrst ever idea on trading view. Bias: Bullish I have deveoped a stratagey that uses the Trend indicator (2.3) by dviz Wont say everything but if you get a candle whos body is completly in the "cloud" of the trend indicator.. this is a signal candle body 1 must be smaller than the wick 2 wick has to be wick outside the cloud green candle for reversal red hold 70 tick stop +50 tick tp1 +70 tick tp2 +120 tick tp1 when trade hits tp1 = risk free trade
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by LivingPro0f
1
$GC/$MGC/Gold - Weekend UpdateHello Fellow Gamblers, Gold is currently playing with our feelings. We've been trough these short up and downs this past week but I believe that we are now ready for a reversal. Price had a good bounce from the 3357 support, which broke the minor trendline and is now creating a flag pattern, hinting at a possible continuation. - We need 3357 to hold and a break of 3418 and 3442 for a continuation up. - A break below 3357 will bring us back to our bearish scenario. - Levels to watch: 3283, 3357, 3418, 3504
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by Caramel0