Bullish flag breakout A bull flag is a bullish chart pattern formed by two rallies separated by a brief consolidating retracement period.
The flagpole forms on an almost vertical price spike as sellers get blindsided from the buyers, then a pullback that has parallel upper and lower trendlines, which form the flag.
HG1! trade ideas
Bullish flagA bull flag is a bullish chart pattern formed by two rallies separated by a brief consolidating retracement period.
The flagpole forms on an almost vertical price spike as sellers get blindsided from the buyers, then a pullback that has parallel upper and lower trendlines, which form the flag.
Copper Futures ( HG1!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 3.5875
Pivot: 3.3815
Support: 3.2415
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward channel and crossing below ichimoku cloud . The price may drop form the pivot at 3.3815, where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement is to the 1st support at 3.2415 where the swing low and 78.6% fibonacci projection sits
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 3.5875, where the swing highs and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
DR. Copper Trading The Bearish SequenceCopper on the weekly time frame appears to be carving out a five wave decline as the wave 4 high at 3.7930 holds a minimum downside objective of wave five equaling wave one provides a downside objective at 2.8435. The wave 4 on the daily time frame is creating a descending triangle pattern a break of 3.1380 warrant short exposure to target the wave 5 objective.
Copper Futures ( HG1!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 3.5875
Pivot: 3.3815
Support: 3.2415
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward channel and crossing below ichimoku cloud . The price may drop form the pivot at 3.3815, where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement is to the 1st support at 3.2415 where the swing low and 78.6% fibonacci projection sits
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 3.5875, where the swing highs and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Copper Futures (HG1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 3.5875
Pivot: 3.3815
Support: 3.2415
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward trend and crossing below ichimoku cloud . The price is consolidating now, if the price can break the consolidating area, the price may drop form the pivot at 3.3815, where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement is to the 1st support at 3.2415 where the swing low and 78.6% fibonacci projection sits
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 3.5875, where the swing highs and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Copper Futures (HG1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 3.5875
Pivot: 3.3815
Support: 3.2415
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward trend and crossing below ichimoku cloud. The price is consolidating now, if the price can break the consolidating area, the price may drop form the pivot at 3.3815, where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement is to the 1st support at 3.2415 where the swing low and 78.6% fibonacci projection sits
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 3.5875, where the swing highs and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
BEAR FLAG In the context of technical analysis, a flag is a price pattern that, in a shorter time frame, moves counter to the prevailing price trend observed in a longer time frame on a price chart. It is named because of the way it reminds the viewer of a flag on a flagpole.
The flag pattern is used to identify the possible continuation of a previous trend from a point at which price has drifted against that same trend. Should the trend resume, the price increase could be rapid, making the timing of a trade advantageous by noticing the flag pattern.
Copper Inverse Head and Shoulders December Copper has been trading in a range since the big breakdown at the end of June, and a lot of the downward action has come from negative Covid news out of China along with the dollar pushing higher. As we look at the dollar potentially having a blowoff top and the inverse head and shoulders pattern, there could be a push higher toward the 50-day moving average, also aligning with trendline resistance. Continued bearish news out of China or the dollar continuing higher would hurt copper and could drive the market to the bottom end of its current range.
Copper Futures (HG! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 3.5875
Pivot: 3.3815
Support: 3.2415
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward trend and crossing below ichimoku cloud. The price may drop form the pivot at 3.3815, where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement is to the 1st support at 3.2415 where the swing low and 78.6% fibonacci projection sits
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 3.5875, where the swing highs and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Copper Conflict setup!Copper is prevailing at current price of $3.4560 lbs.
Futures contract name in Pmex: Copper-DE22.
As above you can see Conflict area of HMA and Trend line where prices are consolidates and
indicates continuation of bearish Trend is going to exhaust.
False breakout: If market makers will use shady methods to manipulates than you can see false breakout,
which leads to 3.2460 or in other words you can say Double bottom.
Recommendation:
Buy from current price: 3.4560 (Partial lot).
Incase of false breakout Buy another partial lot at 3.2460
Takeprofit with first lot at 3.5802 and second with 3.8501
Risk Warning!
Trading leveraged products such as Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors as they carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
Copper Futures (HG! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 3.7160
Pivot: 3.4495
Support: 3.2505
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward trend. The price may drop form the pivot at 3.4495, where the 38.2% fibonacci retracement is to the 1st support at 3.2505 where the swing low sits
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 3.7160, where the swing highs are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Copper Futures (HG! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 3.7160
Pivot: 3.4495
Support: 3.2505
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward trend. The price may drop form the pivot at 3.4495, where the 38.2% fibonacci retracement is to the 1st support at 3.2505 where the swing low sits
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 3.7160, where the swing highs are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
HG1! Dr Copper Daily GartleyBodes well for stockmarkets around the world.... short - medium term
Daily Gartley pattern against downtrend, has clear fibonacci cluster just above the pattern which you may wish to take some profits before
I expect this to climb higher, as there are early hints at short term reversion on the higher timeframes, but the extend of the bounce is a ?
Copper’s many tangosIn the following charts below, we will highlight why copper looks interesting to us right now.
Firstly, the Copper Outright prices (orange) vs the Calendar spread (black). Copper calendar spread tend to move in-line with its outright prices, until major turning points, when the calendar spread leads the outright price movement. In February 2022, we observed the copper calendar spread making a significant move lower, with the outright prices following suit in April. With the calendar spread making a significant move higher now, is this what they call déjà vu?
Secondly, copper prices and the Chinese Yuan have a relatively high correlation as China is the world’s largest buyer of the metal, and by a significant margin. The recent weakness in the Yuan has led copper prices lower, but with the CNYUSD pair seemingly recovering now, could some strength in the Yuan lead the copper rally?
Thirdly, the Gold/Copper ratio generally trades within a pretty defined range, with out-of-range moves happening during major market events. The ratio’s recent high can be attributed to copper weakness compared with gold. With signs of the ratio retracing off the upper range, have we marked the end of this move? And is it time for copper to gain some ground against gold?
Looking at the price charts, we see copper trading near the significant long-term support level of 3.3. Previous attempts to break this support in July and September were both rejected.
On a shorter timeframe, we see a descending wedge pattern forming, which is generally considered a reversal pattern.
The same setup is also observed on the Micro Copper contract, which offers greater flexibility and precision in execution.
Copper’s interesting relationships with major currencies and commodities, allow us to analyze it from multiple angles. With some relationships at major inflection points now, we lean bullish on copper.
Entry at 3.44, stop at 3.1335. Target at 3.8320 and 4.0000 .
If you’re keen on understanding more about Copper and its many relationships, do check out our previous research piece: www.cmegroup.com
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.