GOLD BUT OPPORTUNITYThe price has reached the bottom of the channel,
and has reached its breakeven
a great support area
To increase the percentage , entr with Signal Bar Key bar
Tp1: 2.800
Tp2: 2.820
PS : 2725
COMEX:GC1!
SGUF2025 trade ideas
How to Manage Gold RisesGold is likely to continue its upward trend.
And how I have been managing it both as an investor and a trader for the Gold. I hope this tutorial will be helpful for two groups of people:
1. Those who already have some positions and would like to know how to accumulate more, and
2. Those who do not yet have a position but are considering getting in and trading it, though you may be worried about entering at a peak, as gold continues to reach new highs.
Micro Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gold creates a new ATH or prepares for a big price drop?I'm not a market maker so I won't know exactly how the market will behave but I will contribute my opinion on the issues that concern you.
Gold - 29 october reviewForecasting 3% to 4% Profit-Taking Opportunities in Gold
Gold prices reached an all-time high today, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid the approaching, last week’s highly competitive U.S. presidential election.
Gold has been steadily reaching new record highs, while other precious metals have also seen gains. However, silver prices have faced resistance near their 52-week peak.
In 2024, gold and silver prices have increased by approximately 35% and 60%, respectively.
In morning today’s US sessions, December gold futures hit a record high of $2,783.95 per ounce, while spot gold prices climbed to $2,771.73 per ounce.
An economic downturn would alter the dynamics affecting the prices of precious metals both silver and gold. Gold was supported by safe-haven demand as the conflict in the Middle East continued. Traders were anticipating Israel's response to Iran following an attack in early October.
Additionally, a 25-basis point reduction by the ECB suggested that major global central banks were positioned to implement further rate cuts, creating a lower interest rate environment that is expected to benefit gold and other non-yielding assets.
Overall, gold prices are considered overbought, yet a combination of factors is driving the current rally.
Despite the strengthening U.S. dollar, gold prices continue to rise, highlighting the ongoing inverse correlation between the U.S. dollar and gold, which adds downward pressure on gold prices.
A stronger U.S. dollar tends to make gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies, as gold is priced in dollars. When the dollar appreciates, it increases the cost of purchasing gold for foreign buyers, thereby reducing the metal's appeal as an investment. This inverse relationship between the dollar and gold often leads to decreased demand for the precious metal in times of dollar strength, as investors seek more affordable alternatives or move to other assets. Consequently, a rising dollar can weigh on gold prices, making it less attractive in global markets.
Short-term traders in the gold market are engaging in profit-taking, capitalizing on recent price increases. These traders, who typically seek to benefit from short-term fluctuations, are selling off their positions to lock in gains. This activity can temporarily pressure gold prices, creating volatility in the market, as selling momentum increases. Profit-taking is a common strategy when traders believe the asset may have reached or is approaching a life time high peak, signalling a potential pullback before prices stabilize or resume an upward trend.
Key Strategies Traders Should Consider Amid Gold Market Volatility
Considering recent market conditions, spot gold (XAUUSD) reached a high of $2,771.73 at morning US sessions, presenting a potential strategic entry opportunity for traders.
If profit-taking occurs and prices continue to fall, spot gold (XAUUSD) could test the 5-day moving average at $2,742.16. A break below this level may trigger a move towards the 20-day moving average at $2,685.32, with further declines potentially reaching the October 10 low of $2,604.15. On the other hand, if upward momentum persists, gold could attempt to set a new record high. However, based on my analysis, spot gold prices are expected to experience profit-taking, with a potential decline of around 3.00% to 4.00% from recent record highs in the coming days.
MCX December Gold Futures price of ₹79,277 per 10 grams reached an all-time high today, acts as a key entry point. Potential downside targets include ₹78,111 per 10 grams, the yesterday’s low. A breach of this level could lead to a test of last Week's low at ₹77,613 per 10 grams, with further declines possibly reaching 15th October’s low of ₹75,766 per 10 grams. A drop below this level would indicate a significant downtrend, with the next support likely around ₹74,757 per 10 grams, this month's low (October 10 low).
Holding Period – Maximum 2/3 weeks.
In conclusion, the current dynamics of the gold market suggest that traders should remain vigilant as profit-taking appears imminent, with expectations of a potential decline of 3% to 4% from recent highs. Key technical levels, including the 5-day and 20-day moving averages, will serve as crucial indicators for market direction. Should gold prices breach significant support levels, such as those observed last Thursday and Wednesday, it may trigger further declines, warranting careful consideration of entry and exit strategies. Conversely, if upward momentum resumes, there could be opportunities for new record highs. As always, a thorough analysis of market conditions, combined with a disciplined trading approach, will be essential for navigating the evolving landscape of gold investments.
XS.com: Gold hits more record highs amidst accelerating global Written by Samer Hasn, Senior Market Analyst at XS.com
Gold hit more record highs today, barely touching $2,790 an ounce, while December COMEX futures broke above $2,800 for the first time today.
Gold’s gains come as demand for gold accelerates amid political and economic uncertainty and still-high levels of geopolitical tension.
Today, we saw the World Gold Council’s Q3 Gold Trends Report, which showed that global demand grown by more than 5% year-on-year to over 1,300 tons in Q3, with demand value exceeding $100 billion for the first time. This growth in demand for the second consecutive quarter was driven by increased investment demand, a recovery in jewelry consumption growth, and the return of physical gold ETFs to accumulate bullion for the first time after nine consecutive quarters of selling.
As for the supply side, with the successive increase in prices, mine production recorded growth for the second consecutive quarter to reach 989 tons.
While producers have almost completely stopped hedging against falling prices, which may reflect their optimism about the future of prices that may continue to gain, which may reduce their desire to hedge, which may be costly. The Wall Street Journal had also reported in March that the desire to hedge has declined in an effort by producers to fully benefit from the upward trend in gold, including the world's largest producer, Newmont, which told the newspaper that it its policy is to not hedge.
There are many positive factors supporting the increase in demand for gold, while there does not appear to be a chance towards weakening these factors on the near horizon.
In the Middle East, with the approach of the presidential elections in the US, we are witnessing increasing momentum around ceasefire talks, whether in Lebanon or Gaza. This is not the first time, as it was preceded by many previous attempts regarding Gaza, which the US administration said at the time that an agreement was close to being reached, but those negotiations followed only escalated the conflict to become a regional war.
Regarding Gaza, which any agreement to stop the war there is expected to push for a calm in the entire region, negotiations are still ongoing this week with the participation of the US.
However, it is unlikely that Hamas and Israel will reach an agreement on the terms at least before the end of the elections in the US, according to what The New York Times quoted from officials earlier this week. A Hamas official said yesterday that they will not agree to any agreement that does not include a complete cessation of the war and Israel’s withdrawal from the Strip, which the latter rejects.
The Times also quoted officials as saying that the Israeli Prime Minister will wait to know the identity of who will head the White House before entering a diplomatic path – in reference to the bet on Donald Trump’s victory to give Israel a free hand in the region.
Therefore, optimism about the calm will not be justified unless an agreement is actually signed, regardless of what the US administration may say later.
In Lebanon, the picture may seem more mixed. reported, citing officials, that US President Joe Biden will arrive in Israel on Thursday to try to reach an agreement to end the war in Lebanon. This agreement may take a few weeks according to Axios – beyond the election. It is also worth noting that Israel has abandoned a previous high-ceilinged demand to allow for “active enforcement” in Lebanon against Hezbollah even after the war has stopped, which would have been met with a Lebanese rejection. But there is no indication that the far-right coalition in Israel is lenient in pushing for an agreement and accepting an end to the war, as they call for continued military action and reject any agreement for a permanent calm.
After the election, we will be waiting for the next round of attacks and counterattacks between Iran and Israel. The recent Israeli attack on air defense systems surrounding oil infrastructures may suggest its intention to target those facilities in the next round, which may prompt Iran to escalate its counterattack much more than before and to activate the role of its allies in the region more and obstruct the flow of supplies from the Strait of Hormuz, according to what Iranian officials told The Times last week. This will have an impact on the global economy as a whole through higher oil prices and fueling inflation again.
That said, I do not think that the region is heading in any direction towards calming down at least in the near future, which may maintain the geopolitical risk premium for gold and push it to continue its historical gains.
As for the economic front, the series of labor market numbers in the United States began with a negative surprise in the job openings in the JOLTS report, which was 7.44 million in September, which represents the lowest level in more than three years. This was in contrast to a greater than expected increase in Consumer Confidence Index.
While these figures did not change the assumption that the Fed will inevitably cut interest rates at the November and December meetings, they have strengthened it for next January, with a probability of more than 50% that we will see a quarter point cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
This contributed to reversing the upward trend in the 10-year Treasury bond yields, which continue to decline today after reaching their highest level in three months, which pave the way for gold to complete its gains.
Today and for the rest of this week, we look forward to the continued flow of labor market, GDP and core PCE numbers. While the emergence of more negative surprises could reinforce the negative picture for the US economy and push gold towards further gains by benefiting from the economic uncertainty.
Finally, gold is benefiting from the political uncertainty resulting from the approaching US elections, where neither candidate is significantly ahead in the polls. Kamala Harris is still leading by a small margin of 1.4 percentage points in the average polls, according to FiveThirtyEight. In addition, we see repeated talk about concerns about the worsening deficit and government debt, whether Trump or Harris wins, which could weaken the appeal of the dollar and be a positive factor for gold.
$3200 targetLast month saw a mostly engulfed candle for #gold futures.
I've just noticed that gold likes like 50% moves at a time during bull markets 👍.
MGC Long 10/30/2024MGC is in an uptrend. Placed a short position in confluence DZ. Taking half risk because price came close to the zone twice and rallied. The upper zone didn't make a new high. Hence, no trade on the upper zone. Risk= $124. Target= 1:1 and 3:1.
intraday call in gold and silver wait below tgt1 before 5pmintraday call in gold and silver...
profit 109900 per lot before 5pm
sell gold 79770 to 79100 78900 78500 and
sell silver 98930 97500 96500 95500 before 5pm
Gold, before US markets
Gold is anticipated to undergo consolidation down prior to the U.S. market open today. Initiating a short position with a target of approximately 2,785.
Initiated a short position in GOLD, successfully reached target Gold may show bullish momentum at today’s open due to several key factors:
Safe-Haven Demand: Rising inflation or economic instability often drives investors toward gold, bolstering its appeal.
Weaker Dollar: A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to international buyers, supporting price gains.
Interest Rate Outlook: Speculation around potential rate cuts or pauses makes holding gold more favorable, reducing its opportunity cost.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: Tensions or instability in global markets can increase demand for gold as a safe asset.
Technical Factors: A recent break above resistance or strong support levels can trigger technical buying, reinforcing an uptrend.
Gold's potential to push higher todayGold's potential to push higher today can be attributed to a few converging factors despite recent volatility. The metal saw significant downside pressure yesterday, likely due to profit-taking after recent highs, yet it remains supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for safe-haven assets. Notably, tensions in the Middle East continue to attract investors to gold as a hedge, providing support amid concerns of an escalation in conflict
KITCO
KITCO
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Another factor involves broader financial market conditions. The dollar remains strong, which often puts pressure on gold, but the likelihood of more dovish moves from the Federal Reserve in the coming months is supporting the metal’s upward trajectory. Analysts from Goldman Sachs expect continued central bank gold purchases, particularly from emerging markets, alongside possible Fed rate cuts, which could sustain demand for gold as a hedge against fiat currency volatility
GOLDMAN SACHS
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Given these dynamics, today’s upward movement in gold could be seen as a response to both immediate geopolitical fears and a continued expectation of supportive monetary policy, potentially leading gold toward further gains in the near term.
Scenario GOLD Maybe a short situation on gold, my analysis starts with a double top that formed around the price of 2770, according to this scenario, this double top could be considered the head of the head-shoulder formation, and as I have drawn, I am waiting for the price to fall to the level of 2560
11/1/2024. GOLD key areaDaily and hourly chart (left).
The daily push higher is in jeopardy, key areas on 1 hour chart failed.
Hourly Buyside hold points: 2762, and 2765. Target of 2771 did hit this hour, but failed to hold both TGT and BKH points.
Sell stops at 2760 and 2758.
what next 77000 or book profit and again 80000 life highALL TGT1 AND TGT2 AND TGT3👍almost achieved again Today also in Gold and Silver—See Today’s sell call on few hours ago
See....Gold....made a low 78650(DEC) range
See...Silver....made a low 94800(DEC) range
WHAT NEXT???—Major Movement.....Before 10pm
What next wait 78000/80000....Gold....Before 10pm
What next wait 92000/98000...Silver....Before 10pm
Today’s sell call profit—+175200/lot again Today’s.....and +18lakh/10lot Today’s sell call......Gold and Silver profit before 8pm(See Today’s sell call in Gold and Silver on few hours ago)......👍
Why To Buy Gold In 3 StepsLearning how to buy gold was a big challenge
because i didn't know the right time to actually buy it
It looks simple at first especially when you
Listen to some financial market gurus that just
say “Buy Gold, dont worry about the price, because its
a huge against inflation.”
But what if you want to make moeny from the
price action?
You may be thinking,
“Its not possible to make money from the price action”
But the truth is its very much possible to make
a trae from the gold price action.
Here is what i learned:
1. Gold is a protection against inflation
2. Gold performs better than the stock market
3. Gold keeps your buying power
Now if you are just beginning at buying Gold
then you may buy at the top, which is not a cool
place to start from but if you want to learn how to buy
Price the right way then keep reading to understand the strategy i use.
• Gold Buying Strategy
The strategy to buying gold is really not that hard.
Because remember you want to buy it
in order to proit from the price action right?
So maybe you are thinking,
“If only i could make so much money
from the Gold price action and not worry about
storage fees, and delivery fees from physical gold”
Thats even the more reason why you have to learn how to buy
the gold price action right now.
Thats why i use the Rocket booster strategy
The rocket booster strategy is a trend following indicator
this strategy is very simple and yet very powerful
at the same time.
What you need to do is try to understand
the moving averages of the last 50 days of the
price of the asset you are looking at,
Then you need to try to understand the moving price average
of the last 200 days.Then after that you need to
understand the gap up in the price action.
• How The Gap Up In Price Action Happens
The gap up in price action is a very important
step to really think about especailly when you
are looking at the gold price.
You may be thinking
“What if the 50 Moving Average crosses above the
200 Moving average? Isnt that part of the
rocket booster strategy?”
Listen this past week i saw a stock price
that followed the rocket booster strategy
and it was trending on social media heavy.
When i checked on it today i realised that
the price of this particular stock had crashed!
“What the hell happend?”
I thought to myself. This is not crowd pyschology.
Just because a stock is trending on social media
does not give you the green light to trade it.
Also you have to enter the price action
before the gap.Now if you want ro enter after the
Gap then thats up to you,But if you want to follow
the exact strategy its has to be before the gap.
• Why Buying Before The Gap Up Or Rally Up Is Important
Listen in trading they are a bunch of theories
some say buy before the rally some say before
during the price rally.
While otehr will a fiancial expert to wait for
a hot tip.Sadly even after that hot tip.
You will need the confidence of a bull to
Pull the trigger.Trading is a mental game.
You re playing this game with a bunch people
that sadly dont even make the market move at all
Now are there some trading pocket opportunities
that involve pumps and dumps..yes they are.
But remember right now we are looking
at the price of gold.
You may be thinking,
“Gold price action is very boring...why are
we addressing this?”
Because the market is very quiet right now
but you ttrading journey never stops you have to learn more
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky you will lose money wether you like it or not
please risk managment and profit taking strategies.
GOLD BUT OPPORTUNITYThe price has reached the bottom of the channel,
and has reached its breakeven
a great support point
To increase the percentage , entr with Signal Bar Key bar
Tp1: 2.800
Tp2: 2.820
PS : 2725 COMEX:GC1!
Gold Flashing Warning SignsGold Flashing Warning Signs: Why We’re Taking a Cautious Short Position
Today, our Commitment of Traders (COT) strategy triggered a short trade on gold. Yes, we know—shorting gold at all-time highs feels like swimming upstream. But if you’ve been with us long enough, you know we don’t follow the crowd. We follow the data. And the signals? Well, let’s just say they’re getting hard to ignore.
To clarify, this setup wasn’t made on a whim. We got the green light when key technical indicators—Momentum, the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO), and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI)—all confirmed a bearish divergence on the Daily timeframe.
Here’s a closer look at what’s guiding our trade:
1. Commercial Traders Are on High Alert
Commercial players—those who deal with gold at its core—are positioned short like we haven’t seen in over three years. They’re the steady hands here, and their caution is hard to overlook. It suggests that even in a market frenzy, they’re seeing potential downsides others may not be watching.
2. Retail Speculators Are Leaning Long
While not at full extremes, small speculators are heavily positioned on the long side, nearing a six-month high. This confidence could mean trouble—when retail traders load up, it can mark the late stages of a rally. We’re paying attention to this; it’s a classic contrarian indicator.
3. Open Interest Is Surging—But Why?
Open interest in gold futures has been climbing steadily. That’s usually a good thing for bulls, but here’s the twist: large and small speculators have been driving this uptrend. If these buyers lose momentum, who’s left to push prices higher?
4. Sentiment Is Peaking—But Is It Too High?
Market sentiment is at a bullish extreme, with advisors optimistic about gold’s rally. High sentiment can be a double-edged sword. It often means there are few people left to buy, and that’s when reversals happen. It’s a classic market psychology moment—and we’re taking note.
5. Gold Is Pricey Relative to Treasuries
Using our WillVal indicator, we see that gold is hitting valuation peaks compared to treasuries. This isn’t an automatic sell, but it’s a signal that the precious metal might be pushing its limits.
6. ADX Shows Intense Momentum, But There’s Caution
Our ADX indicator is above 40, confirming strong momentum. But we’re cautious here—when the market gets this heated, we often see shifts. Combined with those commercial short positions and high investor sentiment, this momentum could be due for a reality check.
7. Bearish Spread Divergence Is Emerging
There’s divergence between the front-month and next-month gold contracts, a sign that underlying strength may be weakening. It’s a small detail, but one that hints the rally might be overextended.
8. Supplementary Indicators Aren't Looking Optimistic
Rounding things out, our Insider Acc/Dis, %R, and Stochastic indicators are all showing bearish signals. We don’t rely on these alone, but together, they reinforce the caution signals we’re already seeing.
The Bottom Line
Shorting gold during a run like this isn’t a decision we take lightly. But the COT data, market positioning, and sentiment suggest a cooling-off period could be near, and the trade was triggered today via the divergence on the daily. Markets have a way of humbling even the most confident predictions, so we approach this trade with an open mind and a healthy dose of caution.
If you’re interested in seeing how we analyze trades and approach market extremes, stay tuned.
#202444 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold: Neutral. Bears got a minor pullback from the ath but only printed 1 decent bear bar before disappointment again. 2720 is probably next big support and I see the market rather moving sideways and retesting the highs before a bigger move down and a break of the bull trend line.
Quote from last week:
comment: Minor pullback by the bears but they can not get follow through selling and that is why we can only conclude higher prices. We are trading near the top of the bull channel but we can just continue to do so until we hit 2800, which is my next upper target. I do think around 2800 we will see some bigger profit taking.
comment: Decent pullback now on the daily chart but still far above the daily 20ema. Friday’s rejection at 2772 was good enough to expect this to break below 2740 for the second leg down. Problem for the bears is, that even if they break below 2720, the downside is probably limited to the bull trend line from August. So clearly a tough spot to trade. Any long closer to 2700 is better than closer to 2750. Same logic for shorts, I think 2800 continues to be a good level to sell and market moves more sideways instead of another break above that price.
current market cycle: bull trend but it’s getting weaker and we could already be in a trading range 2700-2800.
key levels: 2700 - 2800
bull case: Bulls want this to stay above the previous support 2720 and move sideways between 2720 and 2800. It would show great strength if they would not let the market test down to the bull trend line and move sideways instead. If they do this for a couple more days, bears will give up and try again around 2800. For now I don’t see bulls breaking 2800 again, since the rally was very climactic over the past months.
Invalidation is below 2680.
bear case: Bears finally printed some decent bear bars on the 4h chart and they want a second leg down to test the bull trend line around 2700. There we can expect some sideways movement and a battle for the big round number. Until it is clearly broken, I favor the bulls to continue sideways to up again and that 2700 is support.
Invalidation is above 2820.
outlook last week:
short term: Bullish for 2800. Again.
→ Last Sunday we traded 2754 and now we are at 2749. Perfect outlook, 2801 was hit on Wednesday and Thursday. Hope you made some.
short term: Slightly bearish for a test down to 2700-2710.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-03: For now I can’t see this breaking above 2800, since the rally was climactic. Until 2700 is broken, I expect sideways movement inside this range. Market should test down to the weekly 20ema over the next weeks/months but bears have absolutely nothing to show for since June and that’s why we can’t expect bigger selling until they clearly do more.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Added potential two legged correction down to 2700
10/31/2024. GOLD daily chartGold daily chart. Buyside has to hold $2795.5, next target 2840. If 2795 fails, retracement to 2672 possible.
Weekly Forex Forecast OCT. 28: BUY GOLD | XAUUSD!This weekly forecast is for Oct 28 - Nov 1st.
Gold is still bullish, and BUYS are still the best bet. The formation of the highlighted Weekly and Daily +FVGs confirm the bullish order flow. Buys are in order.
I will be avoiding sell setups in this market.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
#202443 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold: Clear two legged pullback on the 4h chart. Could be enough for the bulls to take control again and go for 2800 on Monday/Tuesday. If they fail below 2780 again, we could see a more complex pullback down to 2700. Market is clearly still max bullish and I doubt we see better selling until we hit 2800 or even 3000.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bullish it was and still is. 2800 is the next big target to hit. After 4 very strong consecutive bull bars, you can not hold a bearish thought while the market makes daily new ath. Two upper bull trend lines are still to hit, one of them leads to 2760 and the other to 2800. On the monthly chart we are in a 8 month micro channel upwards without any selling pressure. At some point market will pull back more and we will see a correction but until we see much greater selling pressure, we can not trade on hope.
comment: Minor pullback by the bears but they can not get follow through selling and that is why we can only conclude higher prices. We are trading near the top of the bull channel but we can just continue to do so until we hit 2800, which is my next upper target. I do think around 2800 we will see some bigger profit taking.
current market cycle: very strong bull trend (trade the channel until it is clearly broken)
key levels: 2650 - 2800
bull case: All arguments are on the bull side, again. 2800 is the target. Anything below 2680 would surprise me. I don’t expect much interest from buyers above 2800 though.
Invalidation is below 2680.
bear case: Bears got nothing. Again. Daily 20ema is at 2700 and the lower bull channel line is not far from that. If bears get there before 2800, that would surprise me and I do not think those two supports have a decent chance of being broken. If they somehow manage to do so, 2620 would be the next support. I do not have any bearish thoughts about this market until we see 2800 and then much more sideways movement to conclude that market found resistance.
Invalidation is above 2820.
outlook last week:
short term: Bullish for 2800+
→ Last Sunday we traded 2730 and now we are at 2754. Meh outlook. Still not 2800 but we are probably getting there next week.
short term: Bullish for 2800. Again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22 : Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2800 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08.
current swing trade: None
chart update: None
Part 2: gold10.24.24 when markets make new highs... especially all time new highs.... they can be very difficult to trade. obviously when markets make new highs they're also more expensive and expanding markets such as gold represent large amounts of dollars... and if you don't know what you're doing you can lose money or give back money in ways that can really end up being very stressful for you as a Trader. generally as far as I'm concerned I don't want to be a Buy and Hold when markets are at their all-time highs because most of the time they correct. even if I got in at a much lower price... generally speaking I find it's not a good move to buy and hold every time the market makes a new high.... because I'm thinking I'm going to give money back. markets generally range when they make new highs..... think of these as climactic markets that look phenomenal but they're a setup for significant Corrections. obviously this is not always true but from a practical point of view it's true most of the time from my point of view. if you trade multiple contracts it can be helpful to scale in and out of the market and this can yield a very nice return and maybe less stressful if you're willing to trade reversal patterns and Corrections knowing that the big money generally isn't all in or all out.... they probably scale in and out trading larger amounts of money than you and I would trade. a few years ago on trading view I spent some time discussing my version of scaling in and out of the market. A long time ago when I didn't know how to trade I studied some of that from books that you could buy at Barnes and Nobles and I have to tell you it never works for me because I wasn't ready for it and I didn't really understand or follow the strategies of the people who wrote the books. a few years ago when I was interested in working with only 2 students 1 of whom was a very close friend of mine for many years and the other was her sister.... and for different reasons I started talking about scaling techniques for one sister because she was Trading much more volume and was very aggressive so I thought she could reduce her risk because she was Trading 4 or 5 contracts at times...it and I thought that was too risky.... even though she did very well in her Trading... she was amazing..... and I would find out from her sister what she was doing. but my friend didn't have that kind of money to risk.... so I tried to show her how she might trade using scaling techniques using two contracts so that she could stay in the market longer in a way that it could make you very nice gains with much less risk most of the time.... I found out that if you are absolutely risk adverse you can't trade.
Part one....... gold as the example of new highs10.23.24 it is very difficult to trade markets that make new all-time highs. I can only guess from my own experiences that this will be a similar experience for other Traders..... the price action is bullish and yet you're expecting a breakout to retest to a lower value because you're waiting for buyers to close their long position to avoid a drawdown.... especially if the market has given you a good return and now you're worried about the market reversing and you would be worried that it will give back all or most of your entry if you took the position that the market made a new high and you should therefore go along.... markets and knowledgeable smart money is aware of the problems associated with markets that make new all-time highs.
I will try to make my point of view in 2 or 3 videos.
