SILVER SI1! Bullish Elliott Wave long term analysis
A perfect EWcount for the start of a long term bullish W 3,3,3
All Macd´s cross were for wave 1 end and the beginning of a wave 2.
All waves 1 were either 0,382 or 0,618 of the 5 waves formed to complete the wave 1 of next degree.
The charts speaks for itself!!!
good luck!
SIL1! trade ideas
Silver lags for now, wait for it...dg78 asked me about Silver... so a quick look here.
The Silver Weekly chart is lagging Gold, but does appear to consolidating since mid 2021. Trendlines are tilting downwards as price appear to be testing harder each time. Last week closed above the 55EMA on a nice looking bullish candle that gapped up and pushed to close above the 55EMA. MACD in this instance is also about to cross into the bullish zone.
Lagging Gold, but can turn up fast, like previously.
The Monthly chart shows a pennent/flag pattern with the long term target of about 41.20 in mid-2023. Noted that the retracement since the Aug 2020 top did not reach the 55EMA as a support, which can be viewed as a bullish bias indication.
Not yet ripe, but when it runs, it should run fast with much potential, IMHO...
Silver: Into the Green 🌱 🌿Silver needs to relax a bit and as its last foray into the green was too short to enjoy, it has treated itself with another trip. We expect silver to extend the stay until the upper edge of the green zone between $23.69 and $24.43, where it should finish wave 2 in green. Then, it should turn around and leave the green zone to go down below the support at $21.94 and afterwards even further below $21.41.
Still, there is a 38% chance that silver could surmount the green zone and rise above the resistance at $24.75. If it makes it even above $25.49 afterwards, it should continue the ascent.
Week 06 Updatesee my watch list where I am long or short
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LONG:
after thursdays inflation data report, many re-entry longs where possible, but non of the long trades got stopped out
New long is in theory Silver but palladium and gold are more bullish at the moment. lets not trade all markets but stick with crude oil and soybeans for long trend trades :-)
SHORT
gas still in short trend (stop is trailed above prior days high)
Short on breakWatch for breakdown on Silver - 1H close below trendline
Expectations :
1. Looking for similar action to the one posted here:
2. Whereby - weakness on this current bounce and a pullback or a small ranging action (on lower time frame) around 22.75 -22.85 zone or below
Price targets :
22.15/20 - previous low on the 1H candle 16:00 UTC on 22/1
22.00 - next support level from 6-7 Jan lows
21.45/50 - below that is a 2 times low on 1H candle on 29/9 and 15/12
However should 1H close above previous high of 23.06 this MIGHT be invalidated, will update accordingly
*Prices and trendline drawn based on Silver Continuous Futures listed as on COMEX, prices may differ from your broker especially if you are trading CFDs or other forms derivative
**All timing based on UTC+0
Silver: No Dormancy 🐻 🐻 🐻 Usually, at this time of year, bears would be snuggled up in a cozy cave or den for their annual dormancy. However, at the silver market, they are full of beans and hold onto the price fast.
After agonizing about it for a while, the silver price has finally fallen below the resistance at $23.48. Thus, we consider the downward trend we predicted affirmed. If the bears can keep the price below $23.48, we expect it to go even lower and break through the next marks at $21.94 and $21.41.
Still, there remains a 30% chance that the bulls could interfere and cause a change of direction. If they prevail and bring the price back above $23.48, they could even manage to shove it above the resistance at $25.49.
Silver1.23.22 Silver :I am using a silver chart, but this is more about how to use certain tools, and how to work them into your charting and your trading. Obviously, you would like to use your tool to evaluate some behavior that's important to you, but someone else is looking at different behavior and Willie use the same tool differently because that person has different priorities. If somebody is showing you how to use a tool because that person says the tool works, you want to be very careful about the context and be aware of the reason for that person using this tool. On this video I'm talking about extensions, and two different ways of using extensions, but if you are not really sure of the reason for using that extension, if you're not going to use it consistently and you'll find that it may be less useful to you, or even counterproductive because your success won't be so much about that tool, it will be more related to the way you think about the market.