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DJIA H4 | Potential bearish reversalDJIA (US30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 43,058.41 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 43,850.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 42,139.85 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Short
by FXCM
2
DOW JONES What signals the top of this Cycle?Dow Jones (DJI) has been on a highly systematic pattern ever since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis and this chart on the 3W time-frame depicts very accurately the symmetrical nature of the Cycles that the index is going through in the past 15 years. As you see, ever since the October 2011 bounce on both the 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA200 (orange trend-line), Dow started a hyper aggressive Bull Cycle, which after making a Top on each phase, it broke below the 3W MA50 to become a buy opportunity again but has never yet broken below the 3W MA200. So far we have completed three such phases and we are currently on the 4th. In the three that have already been completed, the Top of the Phase was signaled by the RSI. At a certain point that it broke above the 70.00 overbought barrier, it started a Channel Down comprised of 4 legs (a through d). On the (d) leg, it gave a signal that Dow had (or is very close to) topped. That was the ultimate long-term Sell Signal. Similarly, when the index broke below its MA50 and the RSI double bottomed, it has been the ultimate signal to buy. Right now it appears that the RSI has completed Leg (a) and is starting the rise to Leg (b) of its newly emerged Channel Down. That means that the market has around another 12 months before it Tops again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
US30/USD 4H ChartOur Preferance The index shows signs of weakness amid ongoing market uncertainties and potential macroeconomic headwinds. Price has retested resistance at 43,780, forming a bearish rejection. A support area has been identified at 41,708. Potential short setup with SL above 43,780 and TP1 at 42,753, TP2 at the support level. Monitor key economic data releases for further confirmation. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe
OANDA:US30USDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
1
US30USDUS30USD Based on Technical and Fundamental Analysis The chart shows a clear rejection from the resistance zone at 44,500, confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern (highlighted in orange). This aligns with weakening market sentiment and the potential for continued downside movement. A short entry is justified below the 43,200 level, targeting TP1 at 42,000 and TP2 at 41,600, as marked on the chart. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data or geopolitical factors that may further strengthen the bearish trend. Risk management is crucial—set a stop loss above the key resistance zone Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
Overlap resistance ahead?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 43,351.87 1st Support: 41,852.98 1st Resistance: 44,363.95 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by ICmarkets
1
DOW JONES: Ignore the pullback, this is a new bullish wave.Dow Jones turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -138.420, ADX = 33.278) as it failed to hold the 4H MA50 as support today and crossed under it. The 1D MA100 is coming in as the next level of support, which formed the Dec 18th-19th low. According to the 4H MACD, the index formed during those 2 days a bottom similar to of August 5th. As long as the 1D MA100 holds, it is more likely to see a bounce above the 4H MA50 again like August 13th. Our goal is a wave, so we're targeting the R1 level (TP = 45,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
Mastering the trading on US 30 (Part 2)Hi and Merry Christmas to you and your families )) ** This idea is the continuation of the previous idea (Mastering the trading on US 30) ** It will go to the purple uptrend line which was not broken since 23.10.2023 as TP1 ** High chance will go to my Fib retracement level in orange colour for TP2 then to retrace to the purple line up again. ** The index had fallen from the rising channel in yellow lines and had lost already to do 3rd HL ** We are ,by not hitting the 3rd HL, in a long term bearish wave regardless any bullish retrace up except if the index will go to TP1 and retrace up from without closing the day candle on its right. ** If the day candle will close down to the purple line, I will set another idea for US 30 and will be expected further downside moves. My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:US30Short
by moustafa_marei
3
DJI Hits Weekly Support: What's Next? - Market Breadth AnalysisThe DJI has recently declined as previously predicted and has now completed a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a bearish trend. The index has reached a significant weekly support zone around the 42,500 level (🟩 marked by the green box). So, what’s next? 🤔 Looking at the H1 chart, we notice some interesting market breadth outlook: - US30 Market Breadth EMA20 Indicator: The EMA histogram has shifted from 🟩 green to 🟨 yellow, indicating an increasing number of stocks with strong bullish momentum. However, the height of the histogram (yellow) bars 📉 is decreasing, suggesting that the overall number of stocks with strong bullish momentum is also diminishing. - Market Breadth MACD Indicator: The 🔴 red line (representing strongly bearish stocks) is clearly declining, showing a reduction in the number of stocks with strong downward momentum. Meanwhile, the 🔵 blue line is increasing significantly, suggesting that many stocks are reversing upward even within a bearish momentum. The 🟢 green line, which represents strongly bullish stocks, is climbing but still lacks the strength to signal a decisive shift. A significant breakout would require the green line to rise further, confirming a stronger bullish momentum across a larger number of stocks. - Market Breadth EMA Alignment: The 🔴 red line crossed above the 🟢 green line quite some time ago and continues to widen. This suggests that a bullish crossover (green crossing above red) is unlikely in the near term. A confirmed bullish signal would require the green line to overtake the red line again. - Summary: While there are early signs of potential reversal, the bullish momentum is not yet strong enough to suggest a significant upward breakout. It’s crucial to monitor whether the 🟢 green line in the MACD and US30 Market Breadth EMA20 indicators can rise substantially, indicating a larger number of stocks gaining solid bullish momentum. ⚠️ Until then, the uptrend remains weak, and caution is warranted. While DJI might retest previous highs, breaking past those highs to form new all-time highs seems challenging at this point. Strategy: Given the current conditions, it might be more advantageous to look for shorting opportunities. 📉
DJ:DJIEducation
by Investic_analytics
Updated idea for the last idea of US 30 (importat!) 27.12.24Hi, How are you doing? Merry Christmas )) ** The used time frame is the daily and I would suggest to open the chart and zoom out, so all will be clearer than how it looks now. ** As you see, the index failed in making another 5th HL, as it went down than the 4HL already and intends to do a lower low currently. ** Have a look now on the blue curved line which points to high tops with high resistance points and they are both at my Fib 50% level! which adds another layer of resistance. ** Also have a look on the previous daily candle which ended up in green, but with an unfilled wick which I assume that it will be filled today when the index moves to the downside. ** The index continued in pushing up the price at the last few days, as a normal reaction after the past 2 bearish weeks. But NO WAY that it could go and close the day candle above the lower yellow line of the rising channel. And by looking at that yellow line, you would easily see that it acted as an uptrend line (as a normal thing of the lower line of the rising channel anyway) and then was broken then the pull back pushed the price up to the current level. but now we have the Fib level, plus the curved blue line tops which are all including the yellow line acting as extra huge and so powerful resistance zones to avoid the index from going more upwards. ** By looking at the daily uptrend line in purple which was not broken since 23.10.2023 that will have to be visited and more likely will be the point which the index is heading down to! ** Also when the index is going down starting from today, hopefully as planned, will mean too the breaking of the uptrend blue line and will send the index to its bottom and that will support the more my idea! ** By going further to my TP will mean a pullback to the red downtrend line which was finally broken by the daily candle of 23.12.2024 then it will act as a support zone to the index for sure! ** The red flag is the TP price where the purple line and the red line will be touched there. **********NOOOOOTE** It is important to monitor when the index reaches to the purple line on the daily frame and immediately close your short trades once it touches that uptrend purple line! whatever the price could be! as I expect an immediate bullish retrace once it touches it! Note: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:US30
by moustafa_marei
US30 - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabThe US30 index has reached a key liquidity zone above resistance, setting up a compelling sell limit opportunity. This price action suggests the market has cleared stop-losses and may be primed for a bearish reversal. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: The price spiked above a critical resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping breakout buyers. Market Structure: Emerging bearish signals, including rejection candles and a loss of bullish momentum, indicate potential downside movement. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and the anticipated reversal zone. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , expecting a move downward from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above the liquidity sweep to protect against false breakouts. Take Profit: Targeting support levels around for a strong risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup capitalizes on a classic liquidity grab, but strict adherence to risk management and position sizing is vital. Monitor price action closely for additional confirmation of bearish momentum.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by Vusizwe_Capital
US30 Bearish King of Pips strategy and a bearish forecast for US30: Strategy Overview The King of Pips strategy is a technical analysis-based trading approach focusing on identifying trend reversals and continuations. This strategy combines multiple indicators and chart patterns to gauge market sentiment and predict price movements. Key Components Entry and Exit Points : Utilize candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, shooting star) and indicator divergences. Risk Management : Set stop-loss orders and position sizing. Bearish Forecast for US30 Based on the King of Pips strategy, we anticipate a bearish outlook for US30: Trading Plan 1. *Entry*: Short US30 at $42,588. 2. *Stop-Loss*: $42,767. 3. *Take-Profit 1*: $42,506. 4. *Take-Profit 2*: $42,425 4. *Position Sizing*: 2% of account balance. Please note that this forecast and strategy are hypothetical and not investment advice. Trading carries risks, and you should consult your financial advisor before making decisions.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by ForexGroup101
1
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG) Confluences on This Trade - Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266 - Rejecting Demand zone - @ 38.2 Fib Retracement - Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI) - Buy Side imbalance fill - Daily Volume Support Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal, WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND **RISK ACCORDINGLY Intro to the next possible move: After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down. **This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF. Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support. with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by brianfj
4