uptrendIt is expected that there will be fluctuation within the current support area and then we will see a trend change and the start of an uptrend. If the support area is broken, the downtrend will likely continue.
DJI trade ideas
Dow Jones Index Analysis – Daily TimeframeThe Dow Jones Index is currently in a corrective wave, and until this range phase is over, a strong new move is unlikely. However, once the correction is completed, the index could resume its upward trend.
🔹 The key support level in the long-term timeframe is 41,600.
🔹 In the medium-term, the critical level to watch is 44,000.
🎯 The long-term target is set at 46,600.
📈 Upon completion of the corrective wave, the expected growth is approximately 12%.
US30 BIASExpecting US30 to continue the downside liquidity sweep therefore retesting the current support zone since the internal structure support zone already is now a resistance
Bearish continuationYM is currently in a bearish trend and may likely continue this trajectory after having broken through a consolidation phase between 43700 and 43300 to the downside. As of now, price action is trying to rise and retest the break zone and its upper bound. If it remains under 43700, price action may continue in its downward direction towards support barriers below situated at 43050 and 42500.
Dow Oversold reversal, The Week Ahead 03rd March '25The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) index maintains a bullish outlook within its long-term uptrend. However, after reaching an all-time high on December 4, 2024, price action has entered a sideways consolidation phase, suggesting indecision in the market.
________________________________________
Bullish Scenario:
• The 42980 level serves as a critical support zone, aligning with the previous consolidation range and the rising trendline.
• A pullback to this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would reaffirm the uptrend and could trigger upside momentum.
• Potential upside targets include:
44240 (20-day moving average)
44660 (next resistance level)
45000 (key psychological resistance)
A strong recovery from 42980 would reinforce bullish sentiment and indicate a continuation of the broader uptrend.
________________________________________
Bearish Scenario:
• A confirmed break below 42980, with a daily close beneath this level, would signal weakness in the uptrend.
• This could lead to a deeper retracement, exposing key downside levels:
42520 (next significant support)
41920 (200-day moving average), a critical level for long-term trend validation
A sustained breakdown below 42980 could shift sentiment in favour of sellers, increasing the probability of further declines.
________________________________________
Market Outlook:
The 42980 level remains pivotal—holding above this zone will keep the bullish trend intact, while a decisive break lower could trigger an extended pullback. Traders should watch for price action signals and volume confirmation at this key level to assess the market's next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 BULLISH FOR 9000PIPSThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a popular index that tracks 30 large, publicly-owned companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ. A forecast of a 9,000 pips bullish movement in the US30 would imply a significant upward trend in the index. Here's a breakdown of what this could mean and factors to consider:
US30 | Dow Jones Reversal? Bulls Defending Support!📌 Dow Jones at Critical Support – Will Bulls Step In?
🔸 The US30 has been in a downtrend, with price testing a major demand zone at 42,250 - 42,500.
🔸 Key market drivers:
✅ Bond yields rising, pressuring equities.
✅ Fears of delayed rate cuts impacting investor sentiment.
✅ NFP report & Powell’s testimony creating uncertainty.
💡 Upcoming Catalysts
🔹 Stronger-than-expected NFP data → Could delay rate cuts → Bearish for US30.
🔹 Weaker jobs data → Could increase rate cut bets → Bullish for US30.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Demand Zone: $42,250 - $42,500 (Strong support)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
🔸 $43,600 – First upside target.
🔸 $44,704 – Major supply zone (potential reversal area).
📈 Bullish Reversal Setup?
📌 Price is testing a high-probability support zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
📌 If price breaks above $42,750, we could see a rally toward $43,600 & $44,704.
📌 Bullish confirmation if price closes above $43,000.
📊 Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Scenario
Buy near support if price shows rejection.
Target 1: $43,600
Target 2: $44,704
Stop Loss: Below $42,200.
❌ Bearish Alternative
If price breaks below $42,200, expect further downside.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
The Dow Jones is at a key support level – will bulls push back, or will sellers dominate? Comment below with your bias! 📉📈
Possible bottom for Dow JonesDow Jones has made 0.786 retracement and reached the bottom of the channel. There is a positive 4h divergence on RSI. I think we will at least see a bounce from here tomorrow.
short idea on Dow Jones Industrial index us30Hi traders, this idea is based on technical analysis. As you can see, the Dow Jones has broken below the support level of 44533.5, which leads me to expect further sell-off towards 43909.8, 43593.7, and 42598. My stop-loss is at 44533.5.
Reading marketsTried retail, volume, order foot prints, you name the strategy and I’ve tried it however the case, I have found success in ict trading , why? Not because of order blocks or fvgs or all that, but because of context. The single most differential factor in trading between being a good trader and a mechanical average trader is context, that’s your key, that’s your answer.
US30USDI took a long/buy on US30 because I saw an opportunity after the market made a Break of Structure (BOS) and took the minor low (L) to be a lower high (LH). This caused the market to flip and change direction after it reached the lower high (LH), making the market target the Resistance Level (R LEVEL) where there is unswept liquidity. Our major target is the Quasimodo Level (QML), and this is where we will take our sell again. The QML mitigated on the IFC. Entry price: 42389.3, Stop Loss (SL): 42253.0, Take Profit (TP): 42991.8.
US3O BUY ANALYSIS POI Here on US30 price form a support and a resistance making so range but the over all trend is up which means that buyer is likely to continue pushing the price up and a trader should go for long around area of 41970.08 and target profit of about 43378.87 . Use money management
US30Trend: Bearish market.
Take Profit Levels:
TP 1 at 41681.00: Previous quarter’s low.
TP 2 at 40000.00: Key psychological level.
Confirmation: Breaking the 42568.00 low will confirm bearish momentum.
COT Data: Confirmed bearish sentiment from Commitment of Traders (COT) report, supporting the bearish outlook.
CHART BREAKDOWN US30: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing an essential supply zone: low-risk sell zone spanning from 43.165 to 43.250, respectively, are highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Supply Zone🟢: Identified between 43.165 and 43.250 serving as a low-risk sell.
Bearish Targets📉:
43.100: Possible retracement area.
42.870: Possible retracement area.
42.770: Possible retracement area.
42.560: Possible retracement area.
42.350: Liquidity area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
Dow Jones: Neutrality Strengthens Around 44,000 PointsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has fluctuated within a 1% range over the past few trading sessions, encountering a neutral barrier near the 44,000-point zone.
For now, investors remain cautious as uncertainty grows amid trade and diplomatic tensions from the White House with multiple countries. This prolonged uncertainty has reinforced a neutral bias in recent price movements.
Persistent Neutrality
Currently, the Dow Jones remains trapped in a sideways range, with:
45,000 resistance at the upper boundary.
42,300 support at the lower boundary.
The price remains in the middle of this range, reinforcing the market’s indecision. As long as price action stays within this zone, the neutral structure may extend further in the coming sessions.
MACD Indicator
MACD movements confirm the current neutral market outlook. Both the MACD line and signal line remain oscillating near the 0 neutral zone.
The histogram also remains close to 0, indicating low momentum. As long as these conditions persist, price neutrality is likely to continue in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
45,000 – Key Resistance:
Upper boundary of the sideways range.
A breakout above this level could mark new highs, potentially reviving the long-term uptrend that has been stagnant in recent weeks.
43,000 – Neutral Zone:
Converges with the 50-period and 100-period moving averages.
Also aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
The most important short-term barrier that could limit any short-term bullish attempt.
If price fails to reclaim this level, bearish momentum could grow.
42,000 – Critical Support:
Lower boundary of the sideways channel. A break below this level could create a stronger bearish bias, potentially threatening the long-term uptrend that has been in place since last year.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
DJI - Dow Jones Industrial Target 40000sChart analysis can be simple.
We take our tools, surround them with rules and follow them.
The rules and the framework of the Medianlines are simple, but not easy to follow every time.
The Shiff-Fork catches the resistance and support very nicely. Especially at the Center-Line.
Above the Upper-Medianline-Parallel, at the extreme where the stretch became clear, price had a job to to do, to trade up to the Warning Line. But it failed twice so far.
When price fails to trade to the next line, comes back into the Fork, Chances are >90% that we go to the Center-Line. The first time, it failed (10% fail). The second time, with these market sentiment, I'm even more convinced to follow the rules.
Target at the Center-Line around 40'000ish.
Dow INTRADAY NFP, US Employment data to drive the next moveMarket Context:
After a period of heightened volatility, the Dow Jones (US30) has undergone a corrective pullback. Investor sentiment is now focused on the upcoming US jobs report (8:30 a.m. Washington time, 13:30 London time) as a key catalyst for the next move in equity markets.
A weaker-than-expected jobs report could raise concerns about a slowing economy, potentially fueling recession fears and triggering another leg lower in equities. Conversely, signs of resilience in the labor market may reinforce risk appetite and support a continued recovery in the index.
Technical Outlook:
Current Price Action: Sideways Consolidation
Resistance: 43145
Support: 42303
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 43145 would signal renewed upside momentum, with initial resistance at 43337, followed by 43636 and 44026 as extended targets.
Positive labor market data or market resilience post-jobs report could provide the necessary catalyst for a bullish continuation.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed loss of 42303 support would shift the bias bearish, increasing the likelihood of further downside toward 42000, with a deeper retracement potentially testing 41650.
A significant deterioration in job market data could heighten recession concerns, amplifying risk-off sentiment and weighing on equity markets.
Conclusion:
The US jobs report will be the key driver of market direction. A breakout above 43145 could confirm bullish continuation, while a breakdown below 42303 may open the door for deeper losses. Traders should closely monitor price reactions around these levels for confirmation of the next trend move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 *Possible short term sell.Daily chart analysis* Market in an Up trend, at price 45,040.38 had made a double top, that was the highest price historically. Currently is retracing at 43,327.36 zone, waiting on a 4 hour/1 hour timeframe if price is going to break or retest that zone for a possible short term sell from the retracement zone to the trend line and support zone at 41,741.22.
Future Possible buy zone at 41,741.22 or sell if support zone and trend line is broken and retested.
Dow INTRADAY Key Trading Levels ahead of US OpenThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) index maintains a bullish outlook within its long-term uptrend. However, after reaching an all-time high on December 4, 2024, price action has entered a sideways consolidation phase, suggesting indecision in the market.
________________________________________
Bullish Scenario:
• The 42980 level serves as a critical support zone, aligning with the previous consolidation range and the rising trendline.
• A pullback to this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would reaffirm the uptrend and could trigger upside momentum.
• Potential upside targets include:
44240 (20-day moving average)
44660 (next resistance level)
45000 (key psychological resistance)
A strong recovery from 42980 would reinforce bullish sentiment and indicate a continuation of the broader uptrend.
________________________________________
Bearish Scenario:
• A confirmed break below 42980, with a daily close beneath this level, would signal weakness in the uptrend.
• This could lead to a deeper retracement, exposing key downside levels:
42520 (next significant support)
41920 (200-day moving average), a critical level for long-term trend validation
A sustained breakdown below 42980 could shift sentiment in favour of sellers, increasing the probability of further declines.
________________________________________
Market Outlook:
The 42980 level remains pivotal—holding above this zone will keep the bullish trend intact, while a decisive break lower could trigger an extended pullback. Traders should watch for price action signals and volume confirmation at this key level to assess the market's next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Critical Support Levels & Trendline Retest
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has been facing headwinds recently, as market sentiment shifts amid macroeconomic uncertainties. The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates remains a key driver, with investors closely watching inflation data and employment reports. Despite a resilient labor market, concerns over persistent inflation have led to speculation about further rate hikes, which could weigh on equities.
Earnings season has been mixed, with some key industrial and financial stocks underperforming expectations, adding downward pressure on the index. Geopolitical tensions and ongoing supply chain issues continue to create volatility, making technical levels even more crucial for traders.
Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 1D
Trendline Retest: The price is currently testing a long-term ascending trendline, which has acted as a strong dynamic support since mid-2024.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
42,223.71 – A strong horizontal support level, previously tested multiple times.
41,664.81 – Deeper support level, aligning with past demand zones.
Resistance Levels:
43,072.00 – A short-term resistance zone where sellers have recently stepped in.
Bearish Break Risk: If US30 closes below the trendline and breaks the 42,223.71 level, a deeper correction toward 41,664.81 could be in play.
Bullish Scenario: Holding above the trendline could trigger a bounce, with buyers targeting 43,072.00 and potentially higher levels.
Final Thoughts
The market remains at a pivotal moment. A breakdown below the trendline could accelerate bearish momentum, while a successful bounce could confirm continued bullish structure. Traders should monitor macroeconomic developments and technical confirmations closely before positioning themselves.
Happy Trading
📌 What’s Your Bias? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📉
US30 LongTarget at 45,273 have still not been met.
Price has kept collecting orders at in order to reach that target.
Two weeks ago we saw price tank heavily in an attempt to collect orders at an liquidity region.
This region seems to be at 43,100 daily liquidity level.
Price hit that daily level and then we saw a sudden surge of buy momentum, indicating that price is going high.
Price has broken structure on the daily and 4 hour timeframes, indicating that price will continue going upwards.
Due to the monthly and weekly candlestick closures, I can tell that price is due to retrace lower before going upwards.
I expect price to retrace lower forming an obvious liquidity region before I buy.
