DJI trade ideas
Avoid Trading Indices on Long Weekends and Bank HolidaysTrading indices during long weekends or bank holidays can be risky due to lower liquidity and higher volatility. Many major financial institutions and market participants are away, leading to thinner trading volumes. This can cause exaggerated price swings, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, unexpected news or geopolitical events over the extended break can trigger sharp gaps when markets reopen, increasing the chances of significant losses.
Another key concern is the lack of immediate reaction time. Since markets are closed for an extended period, traders have no opportunity to adjust positions in response to breaking news. This can leave portfolios exposed to unforeseen risks. Spreads on indices also tend to widen during these times, increasing trading costs. For these reasons, it’s often safer to wait for normal trading conditions rather than risking unpredictable moves during illiquid holiday sessions.
Dow Jones INTRADAY resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Monthly Market Structure Analysis (April 2025) – OLHC BUY
As we analyze the monthly structure of the US30 index for April 2025, several key technical developments and strategic insights are worth noting:
1. Monthly Low Established:
The price action for this month has thus far established a significant low, indicating a potential bottoming pattern that may signal the beginning of a bullish move.
2. Key Support Level and First Rejection:
A strong bullish rejection was observed at the 37,000 level, which has proven to be a substantial support zone. This level held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest and institutional accumulation.
3.Target Projection:
My primary take-profit target for this upward move is projected at **41,834.42** , which aligns with higher timeframe resistance and Fibonacci extension levels. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for long entries.
4. Waiting for Confirmation:
At present, I am closely monitoring price behavior near a **minor support zone**, where I anticipate another rejection that could provide the ideal entry signal for initiating buy positions. Patience remains key as we await further confirmation.
5. Strategic Considerations:
- Risk Management: Traders are advised to apply proper risk management protocols. Avoid over-leveraging, and ensure your trade size is appropriate to your account equity.
- Discipline: Do not rush into trades. Wait for solid confirmation signals, such as bullish candlestick patterns or momentum shifts, before committing capital.
- Market Conditions: Be aware of upcoming economic events or fundamental news that may impact US indices, and adjust your strategy accordingly.
6. Community Engagement:
If you found this analysis insightful and aligned with your trading view, feel free to like, share, and follow for more structured market updates and trading ideas.
Let’s trade smart, stay patient, and manage risk with precision. All the best this month!
US30 Outlook on 4H TF - LONG US30 - Bullish Wave 5 Push to 42,000 📈
We're still in a Wave 4 correction on the daily, but price just retested Wave 4 lows at 38,900 area and held (for now). Now forming a double bottom on the 4H, and Wave 1 is starting on the 1H.
Looking for a Wave 5 push up toward 42,000 before a major selloff.
Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 38,970
🔹 TP Zones: 40,000 → 41,000 → 42,000
🔻 Short Bias kicks in after Wave 5 completes (Target: 38,100-38,200)
Plan: Buy dips while above 38,900, scale out near 42K, watch for reversal confirmation.
DOW JONES / US30There is a possibility of price correction from the range of 38903.71 towards 39915 and it can be entered as a trade.
April 14th analysis follow through The sell off analysis from April 14th is currently up by 558 pips at the moment as I type this out. I currently have 3 entries in this sell to bull support off the 2nd low on April 10th.
us30 bullishI'm back again with nice setup for us30 bullish movement up we go no looking back, break and retest support level.
DOW/US30 - what the expectation from the marketTeam, last week we kill the market
I have prepare for the next week strategy
We currently have some small volume position long at this stage
and will add more if the market down to next level,
However, we expect some recovery at this stage.
Strategy:
TARGET 1 - 39266-39335
TARGET 2 - 39375-39467
TARGET 3 at 39600-39929
TARGET 4 at 40.400-41400 - run with mini volume and hold.
US30 - SHORTPrice continued to push to the downside last week after a brief push to the upside. I expect price to continue selling momentum throughout this week after a price action confirmation at this current level on the 4 hour or 1 hour time frame.
TP set at 36975.
check the trendIt is expected that a trend change will form within the current support range and we will witness the start of an uptrend. Then, given the behavior of the indicator in the resistance range, the continuation of the movement trend will be determined.
DOW/US30Team, time to go long DOW/US30
yesterday the market disappointed on the FED decision,
i just cant believe the FED compare the inflation in 2020-2021 that is where the COVID and lock down. And compare to 2024. he should have cut the interest rate to ease the market.
Given the fact the market is dropping 1000 points, i expect we should have some recover at least 200-300 points medium
Target 1 at 39225
Target 2 at 39335-39420
Target 3 at 39560-39670
We should see the market pump in 2-3 hour time frame or recover.
Drop followed followed by long.Dow Jones is currently attempting to continue its bullish resurgence, but has failed to do so by failing to stabilise above 40,883. As long as price action is under the 40k mark, the points may likely retest the previous support barriers, situated between 39,500 and 38,750, as likely bullish catalysts for a long opportunity. However, by failing to go down, breaking, and stabilising above 40,883, the price may continue going up, targeting 42,600 and 42,000.
Areas to watch DJI Trend lines to watch in the coming weeks for the DJI
if the initial one breaks down a test of the Covid trend line might come
Lets see how it goes
Daily timeframe
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 17 April 2025
- Dow Jones reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 38500.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 40815,00 (former strong support from the start of March), 20-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last month.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor correction (iv) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 38500.00.
Moustafa! My analysis and view for US 30! on 16.03.2025!- I expected a huge bearish wave would hit the index by end of December and also in January and I sat an idea for it and it was right and that is the new idea
- On the weekly frame, you would notice that the index is in a rising channel
- Formed a double top pattern and even broke the neckline of it and is supposed to go to minimum the Take profit 2 then after the retrace towards the take profit 3
- The index retraced to the upside due to the uptrend line in green and there is a possibility that it could continue the bullish run but I do not expect here that a weekly candle would close above the neckline before reaching to the below TPs
- The lower weekly candles wicks from 15.04.2024 and 05.08.2024 must be filled anyway, which is giving another confirmation to the validation of this idea concept and the continuation of the bearish wave on the weekly chart! we could see on the way some retracements on the daily frame and the lower frames, but that will not have any influence on the bigger bearish image!
- The index had broken already the uptrend line (in red) which was not broken from October 2023! and the last week candle closed under the moving average 50!
- By reaching to the TP3, means that the index would go to the lower line of the rising channel
-- Conclusion is that we are in a bearish market on the weekly chart and the real target is exactly when the index will reach to the line (in yellow)
I sat also another idea for Nasdaq
which I see also there the continuation of the big bearish wave on the weekly chart! so feel free to have a look on too! so all is going in harmony together!
Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025.
Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DOW: 37645 | the Top is in a necessary RESETGATT and WTO was favorable to competitive nations
goods and services make up the economy of countries
and with the rise of demand on both
TRUMP is looking at the LONG GAME
Long US30 chart CMCMARKETS:US30 NDS style analysis : Based on this NDS-style analysis from DR fuzzy logic, we expect that for the completion of our king pattern, from this point f2 after hitting ND, our chart will temporarily become Saudi to hit point 2, then we will fall again to below F3 to create the F3 peak.
DJI being squeezed into a long term bearish wedgeI know, I sound like a bear monger when the market looks very bullish and at best possible technical support. Nothing wrong with taking advantage of it, but shouldn't forget the bigger picture. The market valuation has been pushed up by easy money since GFC and valuation. The covid money printing made it worse. Bigger the bubble, bigger the burst
With recession around the corner and many hedge funds are facing margin calls, the risks are highest from all metrics, market/GDP, Pe ratios, real income growth, jobs are all slowing down, Debt to GDP has only accelerated. Fringe Economist have been crying wolf since GFC and they are not wrong but when ? This year ?
The market could rally one last leg up to finish in a ending diagonal (if you know wave theory)
Will Sellers win the battle in US30?IN this idea i believe should the us30 break down and close with the candle it will be a good opportunity to push the market to the downside further
DOW JONES: High volatility but clear picture long term.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.021, MACD = -1063.380, ADX = 32.380) as it is correcting brutally yesterday's gains on uncertainty regarding the 90-day pause of tariffs. We can't overlook however the fact that yesterday's rebound happened on the 1W MA200 and at the bottom (HL) of the Bullish Megaphone. The very same sequence of events unfolded during the last big U.S.-China trade war that bottomed in December 2018. First a Channel Down bottomed on the 1W MA200 and started the Bullish Megaphone that bottomed on the 2018 trade war.
Both trade war corrections were -19% and if what follows replicates the 2019 rise, then we are up for a +35% rally. Potential TP = 49,000.
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