Swing Trade Idea#3Price break below well respected point of interest zone (support). Now we expect price to pull back to retest the supply zone to sell.
DJI trade ideas
US30 THIS IS POWERFUL!!In this video, I break down us30 into the trade I executed. Making use of a HTF and using a LTF for entries.
DOW JONES Bottom is being formed. Buy for 44000 immediate TargetDow Jones (DJI) eventually made a bullish break-out on our last analysis (October 08, see chart below) and hit our 43200 invalidation Target:
The 3-month Channel Up is still holding and the price is now on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and near the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. The 4H RSI has completed a bottoming sequence similar to the September 11 Higher Low.
As long as the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) supports (closes 1D candles above), this will be a buy opportunity. Our Target is 44000, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, similar with the previous Higher High.
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Dow: Key data, earnings and US election all coming upStocks rebounded on Monday with oil prices taking a 5% plunge, amid an apparent easing in Middle East tension. The restrained reaction by Israel after recent attacks has spurred optimism, with markets hoping for stability in the region. European indices closed higher as we begin a very busy two weeks, with lots of data, US election and central banks meetings on the way.
Treasury yields could take toll on stocks
With the 10-year rising to a new 3-month month high of 4.29%, this could unravel risk assets. Having just closed lower for the fifth consecutive day, resulting in a weekly loss of more than 2.5%, the Dow could be the one to watch for potential underperformance. Small caps also slumped last week, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq finished flattish, helped by Tesla’s earnings and Nvidia surging to a new record high.
Looking under the hood, financials (XLF) led the drop on Friday with a fall of 1.1% and nearly 2.1% for the week. Industrials (XLI) lost 2.8% on the week, while energy (XLE) lost 0.6% on the week and ensured a hattrick of weekly losses. Technology (XLK) was flat on the week, while semiconductor (SMH) rose 0.6%. Once again gold outperformed with GLD rising 0.8% last week.
With financials and industrials taking the biggest hit, and energy also not doing great, the Dow and Russell are the obvious markets for the bears to potentially target, if sentiment turns sour again.
Economic Data Points to Slower Rate Cuts
Last week’s stronger economic indicators have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may take a measured approach to future rate cuts, but will that change in the week ahead with some top-tier data to come including JOLTS, non-farm payrolls and ISM surveys? Last week’s data releases—such as jobless claims, services PMI, and durable goods orders— all surpassed forecasts, suggesting economic resilience. If we see a similar outcome from most of this week’s data releases, then that could even raise question marks over further rate cuts beyond the two more priced in for this year, as the Fed may be more inclined to wait and see before easing policy further.
While a strong economy supports corporate earnings, it can also sustain higher yields, which may weigh on stock valuations. As a result, traders and investors are closely watching incoming data to gauge whether the Fed will indeed adopt a more gradual approach to rate reductions.
US Election Uncertainty Adds Pressure
The US presidential election is also in focus, with polls and odds markets showing a close race. Some betting markets are leaning toward a Trump victory, while other polls show a tie. A Trump win could have inflationary implications, potentially impacting the Federal Reserve’s approach to rate policy. Given Trump’s policies, investors may anticipate a more aggressive Fed response to manage potential inflation, which could affect stock prices and increase market volatility.
The uncertain outcome has led investors to adopt a cautious stance, with many waiting to see how the election results may influence the Fed's future policy decisions and overall market sentiment. This has been evident in markets falling last week, VIX rising and gold hitting new record highs.
Upcoming Earnings and Economic Reports
As we head into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment.
Given the recent increase in yields, strong economic data, and the close election race, it is unlikely we’ll see investors rush to buy the dips. For now, a cautious approach may be warranted as investors navigate these uncertainties and await clearer signals for the market’s direction.
Week ahead: Jolts, BoJ, NFP and lots of earnings
There are at least a couple of major macro factors that could impact the Dow this week, while on a micro level, several tech names are reporting their results.
1) JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday)
With the Fed’s focus turning to employment, we will give preference to any labour market indicators over other data releases in the next couple of months. Though this data release is not very up to date (with this one covering August), it can still impact the market because job openings are a leading indicator of overall employment, and they usually take a few months to be filled. Last time we saw a surprisingly strong print of 8.04 million, aiding the dollar’s rally.
2) US nonfarm payrolls (Friday)
Last month’s surprisingly good nonfarm payrolls data helped to fuel a big rally in the dollar as the market was forced to drop its calls for further outsized rate cuts from the Fed. Let’s see if those numbers will be revised and whether the strength in the labour market continued for another month. Any further strength in employment data could even call into question the now lower expectations of 50 basis points worth of more rate cuts in the next two FOMC meetings in 2024. This will undoubtedly move the Dow and other US indices too.
Dow key levels to watch
The technical Dow forecast has turned a tad bearish following last week’s drop. The last weekly drop of a similar magnitude took place in early September. That time, though, there was no immediate election risk, and so the index quickly bounced back and went on to hit new records in the pursuing weeks. This time, it could be different. Still, we will need to see a lower low to confirm the bearish reversal beneath the last short-term low at 41,800.
If seen, we could see a sizeable drop with the next obvious support not seen until around 40,900 to 41,000 area. The longer-term trend line and 200-day average converge around the psychologically important area of 40,000.
Standing in the way of these potential support levels is another one close to where the market finished on Friday and where it has staged a bounced from today, around 42,000.
In terms of resistance levels to watch, the most important one in my view lies at 42,400 to 42,500. This area is now pivotal insofar as the short-term technical outlook is concerned.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
US30 / Key Levels for Breakout from Consolidation ZoneUS30 Technical Analysis
Following the retest at 42,450, the price has dropped approximately 500 points as anticipated.
Currently, US30 is expected to consolidate between 41,970 and 42,130 until a breakout occurs.
Bearish Scenario: The price needs to break 41960 and stabilize under it to continue the bearish side toward 41740 and 41560
Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 41970
Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450
Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41350
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 42130
Dow Jones Index (US30): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis for US30.
Resistance 1: 42450 - 42720 area
Resistance 2: 43280 - 43310 area
Support 1: 41616 - 41886 area
Support 2: 40850 - 41182 area
Support 3: 40000 - 40240 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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US30 SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERNHere on US30 price form a rising wedge pattern and has broken line 42714.12 which means there is a chance of falling more so trader should go for SHORT and expect profit target of 41470.80 and 40397.01 . Use money management
Us30Buy zone or completion of head&shoulders on us30. Zone on 1h entry on 15m or right shoulder on 5 minute
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 41,894.89
1st Support: 41,497.27
1st Resistance: 42,478.07
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Disclaimer:
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US30 REVERSAL MIGHT BE LURKINGThe US30 is currently in a corrective phase but approaching key support and liquidity levels. A potential bullish reversal is expected from around 42,530, targeting the buy-side liquidity near 43,330. I'll be watching for reactions around the SSL and FVG for entry opportunities, with a stop below 42,393 for risk management.
GLGT!!
LloydFx
US30 BUY AT SUPPORT Hello trader , What do you think about US30 ? Here on US30 price form a support around area of 42270.5 and there is a chance of moving more up and trader should be expected to go LONG with expected profit target of 42790.1 and 43217.3 . Remember to like and share your thought on comment.! Use money management
US30 Holds Bearish Bias Below Key Resistance LevelsUS30 Technical Analysis
As long as trades under 42450 will support a bearish trend to touch 42125and below that will get 41950 as well
Stability above 42,125 may prompt a move toward 42,300 and 42,450; however, a bullish reversal requires a breakout above 42,590.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42280
Resistance Levels: 42770, 42910, 43050
Support Levels: 42125, 41950, 41750
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 42450
- Bullish by stability above 42590
previous idea:
US30 BUY ANALYSIS SUPPORT LEVEL Hello Trader . What do you think about US30 ? Here on US30 price make support around area of 42316.1 zone which is likely to reverse to complete a resistance level before making a change there for trader should go for LONG and target profit around resistance area. Remember to like and share your thought on comment!
US30 / Dow Jones Buys!!!Analysis Confirmation
1. Fibonacci Levels: I’ve marked the 0.618, 0.786, and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which align well with potential reversal and target areas. The 0.618 level at approximately 42,327 acts as support, while the 0.786 level around 42,479 provides additional confirmation near the breakout point.
2. Descending Triangle Breakout: Your chart shows a descending triangle with the resistance trendline below the 42,500 area, indicating a potential breakout if the price can close above it. This pattern suggests bearish exhaustion, so a breakout above the trendline could initiate a bullish move.
3. Target Levels: You’ve set the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci extension levels as potential targets, at approximately 42,884 and 43,374 respectively. These strong resistance zones give realistic take-profit levels if the breakout occurs.
4. Moving Averages and Support: The price is supported by the 200-period moving average (black line) and is currently testing the 50-period moving average (blue line). A break and hold above the 50-period moving average could signify bullish strength.
Trade Description
Entry:
- Enter a buy position on a confirmed breakout above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level around 42,479. Look for a strong close above this level to confirm momentum.
Stop Loss:
- Set a stop loss below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, around 42,340, to manage risk in case of a pullback or false breakout.
Take Profit:
- First target: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level around 42,884, which could serve as the initial resistance.
- Second target: 2.618 Fibonacci extension level around 43,374, if bullish momentum continues.
Risk Management:
- Keep your risk per trade low, ideally around 1-2% of your account balance, especially if this is part of your account growth strategy.
I see the Dow Jones index going down soon!Considering the political developments in the world as well as the upcoming American elections, and on the other hand, according to the economic data published in the last few weeks, it seems that the Dow Jones index will start to move downwards from this price point! The long-term target is specified in the chart
US30 LongWe will retest 38.2 area, then we are going back to the liquidity zone and take out all the SL and then we will hit 70.0 fibonacci
US30 / Key Levels for Bearish Continuation or Bullish BreakoutUS30 Technical Analysis
The price has declined from the previously identified resistance line and is now approaching 42,125. A break below this level is necessary to continue the current trend.
Bearish Scenario: The price must break below 41,960 and stabilize beneath this level to extend the bearish move towards 41,560.
Bullish Scenario: US30 is likely to consolidate between 42,125 and 42,450. A breakout above 42,450 and subsequently 42,590 would strengthen the bullish outlook, targeting 42,770 and 42,910.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42125
Resistance Levels: 42430, 42590, 42770
Support Levels: 41960, 41750, 41560
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 42125
- Bullish by stability above 42450
PREVIOUS IDEA:
Dow Jones IndustrialHello community,
A short daily analysis of the famous Dow Jones Industrial.
As long as we stay above the red line at 41832 points, there is not much to worry about.
However, if we break this level, it is another story.
I drew a Fibonacci, to have the levels.
The market is nervous with the Trump and Kamala duel.
The trend is still bullish, because we are above the simple average of the 200 periods!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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how im setup on xauusd whating my videoshi friends i hope you like my next prediction on xauusd , how im set up my movements if you like to know more asking me please like make sure you make $$$$$$
USA30 H1 time frame possible entry.Hi traders am expecting a rejection from 41800 n a bit of consolidation before a pick however we are on earnings report since last week,if you want to trade it well do your own analysis in smaller time frame n see if you gonna find same zones n see where you can place stop looses I recommend you to hold a trade for week if you are to talking it atleast for better bread your risks is the one that's gonna tells you how long you can last in the trade thanks.
Us30 shorts loading for New York !!!Reason for Trade
1) There a 1 hour up trend that was broken
2) I see a range on the 1 hour that was broken
US30 SELL NOW!!!!!!!!US30 since taken out the sell side liquidity price have been ranging downwards to the liquidity area and now again made a strong rejections from the liquidity trendline zone am in on sell holding till new lows is created
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