Dow Jones Swing Short IdeaComing off All Time Highs after a trump victory rally it is time for an exhausted bull market to come back and find fair value for the real bulls that buy this. the amount of greed that's sits currently in this market is to dream of for bears, and their time haas come 34500 inbound...this target should come through in the next 12month candle so its a long term leap trade.
DXY has been coming down too much, it's time to hit the kill switch on stocks and worry more on the dollar and all this inflation/tarriffs/war/ trump/ etc . DXY up = stocks down
DJI trade ideas
Trade Idea: Long Bias on US30I'm currently monitoring a potential long setup on US30. Price has broken out of a consolidation zone and is respecting an ascending channel. A breakout and retest pattern is forming around the upper trendline, with strong bullish momentum following a clean break of resistance near 40,350. I'm anticipating a brief pullback toward the breakout area (marked by the demand zone and retest block), followed by a continuation to the upside toward the 40,620–40,650 supply zone.
Trade Direction: Long
Entry Zone: 40,350–40,375 (on retest confirmation)
Target: 40,620–40,650
Invalidation: Clean break below 40,300
Context: Strong impulsive breakout + channel breakout with clear liquidity sweep below prior lows.
📌 Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and should not be taken as financial advice. I’m still learning and refining my strategy — please do your own research and manage your risk carefully.
Potential Formation of a Triangle Pattern ObservedOn the daily timeframe, the Dow Jones movement currently presents two possible scenarios.
Under the black label, there is a potential formation of a triangle pattern, suggesting that the Dow Jones may enter a prolonged consolidation phase to complete wave B, with an expected range between 38,200 and 40,400.
However, under the red label (alternative scenario), a bearish triangle could be forming as part of wave X.
US30 LOCAL SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 40,947
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 40,314
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 40360
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 40130
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
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Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 40420
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 39870
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 39900 – Major support / Key level
➗ 40300 : 40400 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 40200 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 40550 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 40200 – Equal lows
• 40420 – Equal highs
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
US 30 - Ranges overview (update) Let's have a look at US 30. Just like most markets it's trading up and following the plans we sketched out earlier.
Let's see how me trade from here.
We are currently entering the HTF inverted FVG sitting around 42115.
IF we hold the HTF inverted fair value gap expect us to aggressively trade towards 42500 and and the buyside liquidity sitting around 45000 (red line).
IF we fail to hold the HTF inverted fair value gap expect us to trade back towards 40400.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming (12/05/2025) 📈 US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming? (12/05/2025) 🚀
US30 just smashed through key resistance at 41,400–41,700 and is now trading above 42,150 🟢. After weeks of range-bound structure, buyers finally broke the chokehold with volume and momentum confirmation.
Both the 20 EMA (white) and 50 EMA (blue) are angled up — and price is riding above them. We’re in strong bullish structure 🧠.
🔑 Updated Key Levels:
📍 New Support: 41,700–41,400 (previous resistance flipped)
⚠️ Mid-support: 40,694
🧱 Major Support: 39,775
🎯 Next resistance to watch: 42,359 (previous swing high zone)
🎯 Playbook Going Forward:
✅ Hold above 41,700? → Expect continuation to 42,359 and possibly 43K+
⚠️ Fakeout alert: If we close back below 41,400 on high volume → bear trap or liquidity grab
🧠 Pullbacks into EMAs = potential long entries with confluence
🧠 Psychology Check:
Don’t short strength — wait for breakdown structure
High breakout = higher risk → let price pull back to react
US30 Reaches Critical Resistance – Breakout or Major Rejection IThe Dow Jones is testing a key supply zone near 41,700 after a strong bullish rally. But with multiple U.S. economic events on deck, this could be a make-or-break moment for US30.
1H Technical Breakdown:
1. Major Supply Zone (Resistance):
41,119 – 41,800 zone is a major supply cluster identified by LuxAlgo’s Visible Range.
Price is consolidating right at the top – signs of distribution may be forming.
2. Key Support Levels to Watch:
39,274: If the price rejects and breaks below this, a medium-term reversal could start.
37,484: High volume demand area and previous macro support – this would be the key bounce zone in case of sharp correction.
3. Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish case: Break and hold above 41,800 could trigger a squeeze toward all-time highs.
Bearish case: If the index fails to clear this supply zone and drops below 41,119, expect pullbacks to 39,274 and potentially 37,484.
4. Macro Catalyst:
Multiple U.S. economic events approaching (highlighted on chart: CPI, FOMC, etc.)
These will bring volatility – timing your entries around them is critical!
Possible Trade Setups:
Short Setup: Wait for rejection near 41,800 with a breakdown below 41,119
TP1: 39,274
TP2: 37,484
SL: Above 41,900
Long Setup: Breakout retest above 41,800 with bullish momentum
TP1: 42,500
SL: Below 41,200
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Let’s debate:
Is this a bull trap or the beginning of another rally?
Comment with your thoughts and setups!
#US30 #DowJones #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #MacroTrading #SupplyDemand #LuxAlgo #StockMarket
US30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Sell AlertUS30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Sell Alert
Price has tapped into a strong resistance zone near 41,700, where previous rejections occurred. After a sharp bullish push, momentum appears to be slowing, and the market is overextended on the 1H chart. We expect a potential retracement toward the mid-range or support zone near 41,600–41,550. Stochastic is in the overbought area, signaling a possible reversal.
Bullish Rebound from Key Support Zone on US30CANDLE MASTER UPDATE !
Technical Analysis Overview
Key Levels:
Support Zone: ~40,652 – 40,736
Resistance Zone: ~41,240 – 41,443
Target Point: 41,443
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): Currently at 41,046.6
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at 40,652.0
Trading Idea: Bullish Rebound from Support
Context:
Price recently bounced from the support zone, marked by the green arrow.
The support zone overlaps with the 200 EMA, which often acts as a strong dynamic support.
A similar bounce occurred earlier (see prior green arrow), leading to a strong rally toward resistance.
The current price action is showing a higher low, which may signal bullish continuation.
Trade Setup:
Entry (Long): Near current level (~41,080), or on a slight pullback.
Stop Loss: Below 40,652 (EMA 200 and support base).
Take Profit: At or near the resistance/target point at 41,443.
Bias:
✅ Bullish – as long as price remains above the 200 EMA and support zone.
Dow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key DriversDow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key Drivers
Summary: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is under pressure and likely headed for a correction due to the Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, trade uncertainty from Trump’s tariffs, and weak economic data.
Key Drivers:
➖ Federal Reserve Policy: At the May 6–7 meeting, the Fed is expected to maintain the 4.25–4.5% interest rate due to persistent inflation (2.7% forecast for 2025) and a robust labor market (+177K jobs in April). This dampens hopes for rate cuts, pressuring stocks.
➖ Trump’s Tariffs: New tariffs raise inflation risks and recession fears, reducing the appeal of Dow Jones constituents like Caterpillar and Walmart.
➖ Weak GDP and Global Volatility: A 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and declines in Asian markets (1.6–1.8%) signal global instability.
➖ Technical Indicators: DIA trades below its 200-day moving average (~420 USD), with fewer stocks above this level (down from 76% to 55% since January), indicating market weakness.
➖ Outlook: Analysts (Long Forecast) predict volatility, with a potential drop to 38,958 in May, despite an average forecast of 43,370 by month-end. Historically, corrections occur every 1.88 years, and current conditions (tariffs, inflation, GDP) heighten the likelihood of a 10–15% decline.
Target: My downside target for the Dow Jones is 38,555.00.
Current factors and historical trends strongly suggest a near-term correction.
Idea for S&P 500:
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41,900
Resistance Level 2: 42,470
Resistance Level 3: 43,600
Support Level 1: 40,680
Support Level 2: 40,240
Support Level 3: 39,700
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