Dolar indexmoze po news otestovat breakovanú zónu
Ale stále nemá dostatočnú podporu na rast, trend je klesajúci
USDOLLAR trade ideas
Inverse correlation>USDollar vs Markets>USD go UP rest goes DOWNThis is an oldie well semi recent oldie but goodie if that makes sense. As we began to see more and more liquidity on ramps (off ramps a whole other discussion) ie as money was able to flow quickly and more efficiently into CRYPTO markets we began to see the same correlation other die-hards had been seeing in the traditional markets. IE DOLLAR GOES UP MARKETS GO DOWN AND VICE VERSA... this was more a general/bigger Macro trend then a hard and fast rule you always trad off of, a way to confirm your general overall trend/read of the markets. (IE BEAR/BULL/SIDEWAYS and the different ways you trade in each market condition) I think this dives deeper into many other practical and not so practical theories. Like a underground root system hunting for water... if you dont believe there is some type of correlation real cause and effect of how much or how little money is actively in our system (ie how much is liquid and moving freely is how i look at it vs the idea of do we lock this up in something else for a bit or keep the liquid liquid..?) if money is scarce, well you do the math... and if money is easy to get (easier... never easy) Poeple r looking to make moves ie pump the markets. or HODL in fear is what this always comes down to. take the noise out and remember stuff happens for a reason... always cause and effect. even if not obvious or in plain site these underground rivers decide where the roots of liquidity end up physically sitting and where they drink from
US Dollar Breakout
Technicals:
New Breakout in UUP (US Dollar) coming. There is a tight area that lasted for 5 weeks, coupled with a cloud twist and higher volume and a cup pattern (no handle).
MACDIchimoku's MACD in the golden zone and kijun newly above the water line.
USDollar DXY LongBest Idea for long term
Look at the points correctly and if the analysis suits you, adopt it
We take no responsibility for any loss
Dollar to decline Dollar decline for next two months The decline of the US dollar, also known as "dollar depreciation," refers to the decrease in the value of the United States dollar relative to other currencies. Several factors can contribute to such a decline:
1. Inflation: When the US experiences higher inflation rates compared to its trading partners, the purchasing power of the dollar decreases, causing a decline in its value.
2. Monetary Policy: Changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, such as lowering interest rates or increasing the money supply, can influence the dollar's value.
3. Economic Conditions: Weak economic performance, high levels of debt, or political instability can erode investor confidence in the dollar and lead to depreciation.
4. Trade Balance: A persistent trade deficit (importing more than exporting) can put downward pressure on the dollar, as it requires more foreign currency to pay for imports.
5. Geopolitical Events: Events like trade disputes, international conflicts, or political instability can affect the dollar's exchange rate.
6. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment and market speculation can also influence currency markets, causing fluctuations in the dollar's value.
A declining dollar can have various economic implications, including potentially making US exports more competitive, but also increasing the cost of imported goods and contributing to higher inflation. It's important to note that currency markets are complex, and multiple factors can interact to affect the dollar's value.
Dow Jones 30 minute Time Frame The Dow Jones is now reacting off my area of interest I am now expecting the Dow Jones to start swing bearish
Confluences
-0.618 bearish fib
-0.27 bullish fib
Incline trendline
Decline Trendline
Rejection point
London Session
rejection candlesticks
USDOLLAR - Top of Up ChannelI expect a double top at the top of this up channel that can be plotted
This allows for a larger slanted inverted H&S structure to be formed in the process.
Bearish at top of the channel.
Oct 16th, 2023- Oct 20th, 2023: USD
Last week failed at the low, then took short term buyside. I am willing to short from above one of the daily short-term highs, but I am finding longs more attractive for now.
I'd like to see a play on internal range liquidity where the two BISI(D) are stacked with the BPR(M) low before getting long this week.
Going to be looking for 1-2 opportunities/day Mon-Fri. If my model is clear, i will execute.
I want to see where SQ2/SQ3 engage with a 15m imbalance and reacts with a 2m block(RB/OB/BB).
Dow Jones 4hr TF
The Dow Jones has recently breached a bearish flag pattern, leading me to anticipate a shift towards a bearish trend following nine consecutive weeks of bullish performance. There are several factors aligning to suggest that the Dow Jones may embark on a downward trajectory. Meanwhile, the outlook for gold appears favorable for long positions, signaling a potential shift towards a bullish trend.
USDOLLAR - Double Top Within Up ChannelPrice is reaching the top of an up channel
I expect this to act as a rejection point for price as my current analysis. I have made other analyses in the past that differ from this but this is my latest thoughts.
Staying within the channel is the most likely scenario.
USDOLLAR - Inverted H&S An inverted H&S pattern on the daily timeframe
The more thick green line is a strong trend line and should be held
I expect the right shoulder to recover bullishly
DOLLAR (DXY) ____ ANOTHER BULLISH RALLY Hello Guys,
This week might end the dollar bullishness as I speculate that Friday 'could' be the last bull run before the bearish move starts...
If you look at the daily chart of the dollar index, you would notice how price was manipulated to get people to sell the dollar only for it to reverse and rally. This rally, however, should continue.
It would be nice to see price retrace into the order block and see if price will change from bearish to bullish before continuing the rally. However, due to the manipulation that happened yesterday, there is a chance that price would not retrace to the order block before continuing to rally.
Since the dollar is bullish, it simply means that pairs such as AUDUSD, GBPUSD, and NZDUSD would print a bearish candle by the end of Friday while USDCAD & USDCHF would print bullish candles.
Follow for more updates like this.
Cheers,
Jabari
DXY Weekly ChartAfter the exaggerated drop in the DXY last week following a marginal miss on US CPI, the USD has regained some of its poise. The DXY has returned to 101, a level which provided solid support through most of H1 23. A rebound in US yields has likely played its part in the bounce-back, as equity markets remain elevated suggesting little or no ‘safe haven’ element to the USD recovery. Price has bounced off the 200 EMA(Green) data dependent this week it could be the pullback needed to enter EUR/USD longs from the 1.11 level.
DXY Daily Chart
We will be monitoring how price reacts at the 20 EMA(Blue) to see if we form a lower high.
USDOLLAR is looking still weak ,it did not behave as I expected USDOLLAR is still unstable. So the area below can be visited faster than the upper part. My short entry will be here with a sl of 40 pips and a RR of 1:4.Let s see!
USDOLLAR ShortWe will be looking for pullbacks now as the USD is looking oversold on both the Stochastic and RSI. We continue to believe that the USD is in the early stages of a structural decline, and that its move lower may not be linear. The most recent break in the USD’s recent trading range, to
the downside, gives us increased confidence in this view.
USDOLLAR New Level to watch If we will bounce from this area - 12653 will be the new entry for me .let's see what the market will offer
USDOLLAR long entry will be nice:) To watch this week on the USDOLLAR , a long possibility with a RR of at least 1:4 I m waiting to have my entry on 12642 with my T1 on 12743.Let s see !
Dow Jones 4hr TF I anticipate an impending retracement for the Dow Jones index, as it has recently reached its target of 12,756. We should begin witnessing a decline from this point onwards.
The Dow Jones index has recently established a new lower low, and I am awaiting a price break below 12,745, which would further confirm the bearish sentiment.
US DOLLAR INDEX ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys,
As I have stated most times that at some point, the dollar will rally and reach higher prices.
I suspect we have gotten to that period. I will insert my previous analysis for this.
With this view of the dollar rally, I would be looking out for USD pairs that have a good structure in alignment with the dollar rally.
Pairs like: USDCHF, USDSGD & XAGUSD have very interesting price structures. I advise you to monitor them.
Follow me for more updates.
US DOLLAR INDEX (Previous analysis)
Cheers,
Jabari
US Dollar Index Bearish...US Dollar Index...
This is not sell or buy signal. Never risk more than 1% of your account on any position. And don't forget to have more than 5 confirmation for any trade!
DXY shortDXY stuck in this wedge formation, unlikely to see a breakout unless significant news comes in.
DXY, H4 | Bearish breakout?We're looking at DXY today and we can see that price is forming a sort of elliott wave structure - with wave 4 potentially recently finishing.
A break of 12856 which is a major overlap support could trigger the bearish acceleration down towards the 12801 level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
US Dollar shortMS strategy gave short signal on US dollar. Because US dollar and US market indexes have opposite relation, So I predict US market goes up at least for couple of next weeks.
