Polkadot Targets For 2024-2025ETHEREUM CLASSIC COMPARISON
Ethereum Classic is a coin from around august 2016. It had its first bull run in 2017/2018. It had its second and most powerful bullrun in 2021, when it made an approximately 53x from its (double) bottom.
Coins that were "new" during one bull cycle often perform best in their second, more mature bull cycle. What can be observed with ETC, can also be observed with LTC, ADA, and plenty of other coins that had a first good bull cycle, but an even more impressive 2nd. After the 2nd cycle, the returns tend to diminish because of saturation, large amount of bagholders, and a larger marketcap.
POLKADOT
Polkadot is coincidentally a coin from around august 2020. It launched just in time to participate in the 2021 bull cycle. According to some, it under-performed compared to other cryptocurrencies.
As of July 2023, we can observe a double bottom pattern on the weekly BINANCE:DOTUSD chart, with the 50 weekly MA also flattening out, which is a positive sign for bulls as it shows a weakening bearish trend. Polkadot's BTC ( BINANCE:DOTBTC ) pair is also extremely oversold on the weekly chart.
PRICE TARGETS
Looking at COINBASE:ETCUSD , we can see that Ethereum Classic had a blow-off top to the 3.618 fib level in may 2021, reaching a price of over $165 dollars, or a 53x from its bear market lows.
If Polkadot were to perform similarly, it could potentially reach a price of $193, corresponding with its 3.618 FIB level. A 53x from its bottom would give us an approx. price of $220 per DOT sometime in 2024 or 2025.
PRELIMINARY TARGETS FOR DOT
Polkadot does not have extensive price history like bitcoin or ethereum classic. One of the most important indicators to watch is its 50 day weekly moving average, which currently sits at around $6.14. This price correlates with important horizontal S/R levels. If DOT manages to break past this level, which it currently is not far removed from, then we can expect a rapid appreciation of price. Targets to watch after breaching this level would be between $14 and $23.
WEN ATH?
I believe Polkadot's new ATH will coincide with that of the broader cryptocurrency markets. I believe Bitcoin will reach a new ATH between april 2024 and january 2025, so I expect DOT to reach a new USD-ATH within this same timeframe.
POLKADOT IS SAFU
Polkadot was one of few major PoS (Proof-of-Stake) cryptocurrencies not in the SEC's filings against Binance and Coinbase. This has to do with Polkadot/Web3 Foundation having successfully morphed Polkadot to become software, rather than a security. What sets Polkadot apart from other coins/projects such as ADA, Cosmos, etc. is that Polkadot was actually originally registered as a security. The teams behind the decentralized Polkadot project are doing everything according to US securities law. This could prove to be beneficial from Polkadot during the upcoming bull cycle.
POLKADOT IS THE MOST ACTIVELY DEVELOPED BLOCKCHAIN
Polkadot is one of the most actively developed blockchain, rivaling Ethereum and Cardano. Polkadot is an ecosystem and the people behind it are extremely talented and passionate and focus more on building rather than worrying about the token's price. Gavin Wood, the creator of Polkadot, is also one of the co-founders of Ethereum. The Web3 foundation is behind Polkadot – in fact, Polkadot is their flagship protocol.
