📈Strategic Insights on DYDX Movements🔔🔍Yesterday, Bitcoin was rejected at the 63,200 resistance level and remains within its trading box, potentially heading towards the bottom. As Bitcoin dominance continues to rise, altcoins have suffered more, with many breaking through their support levels and continuing to decline. One such altcoin is DYDX, a DeFi token that allows users to open long or short futures positions with leverage in a decentralized environment. This appeals to those concerned about the security of their assets and who do not trust centralized exchanges.
⏳Previously, I provided a spot market analysis for DYDX. Since then, the stop-loss has been triggered, and the trade ended in a loss. However, as emphasized repeatedly, proper risk management should minimize your losses. At worst, you should only be down 0.5-1% of your capital, which should be manageable given the risk coverage from other recommendations (such as TON). With this in mind, let's analyze DYDX in the 4-hour timeframe and identify trading triggers for futures positions.
📉The chart clearly shows a downtrend, suggesting that short positions are more favorable. The trigger for a short position was at 1.951, which has now been activated. The price is likely to move towards the target of 1.794. Based on this, you can either enter a short position with the current candle or drop down to a 15-minute timeframe to find a more precise short trigger.
⚡️If you have an existing short position from higher levels, it is recommended to hold it until you observe a reversal candle or signs of trend weakness. The initial target is 1.794, but considering the move from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, the price could potentially reach the 1 Fibonacci extension level at 1.529, which coincides with a significant support level.
📊Given the downtrend and increasing volume in red candles, along with the RSI losing support at 31.71, we could see a sharp bearish move in the coming hours. However, the market is unpredictable, and the trend could reverse, pushing the price back into the box. If this happens, it indicates strong buying pressure and could drive the price higher.
📈If the downtrend is invalidated and the price stabilizes above 2.032, it may be a signal to enter a long position, as this would indicate a fakeout of the bearish move and introduce bullish momentum. A more reliable long trigger would be at 2.433. Until the downtrend changes, any long positions should be taken with lower risk and closed quickly to lock in profits.
📝In summary, DYDX presents a clear short opportunity given the current downtrend and bearish indicators. The target for the short position is 1.794, with a potential extension to 1.529. If the market reverses and stabilizes above 2.032, a cautious long position may be warranted, with a more secure trigger at 2.433. Proper risk management and monitoring of market conditions are essential for successful trading in these volatile conditions.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
