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Riding the Bull: My Probability-Based Approach to Trading GER30The German DAX (GER30) is showing promising signs for potential upside movement, supported by several key fundamental factors: 1. European Central Bank's accommodative stance 2. Improving economic indicators in the Eurozone 3. Strong performance of German export-oriented companies 4. Increasing investor confidence in the European market recovery To capitalize on this bullish outlook, I'm employing a probability-based approach to enter long positions on GER30. Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea. 12M: 3D: 1H:
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by Jasminex1x2
DAX Index Recovers Its Losses!Following the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report, which came in below expectations, market risk appetite weakened. The DAX index also accelerated its decline, targeting the 18,257 support level. Expectations for a Fed rate cut have strengthened to 50 basis points, while the ECB is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this week. Technically, if the 18,285 level is broken on the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,075 support and then to 17,920. On the upside, if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first towards the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900.
XETR:DAX
by primequotes
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. NOTE: These charts use the ‘Pro Trading Tools’ available on the SpreadEx trading platform. To use them, log in to your SpreadEx Financials Account and click ‘Technical’ from the menu on any chart. *KEY Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below) Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 Germany 40 is in a bullish trend, currently in a corrective phase with the price at 18,364, slightly above the VWAP of 18,184. Support and resistance levels stand at 18,184 and 19,055, respectively. RSI is at 46, indicating mild bullish momentum. UK 100 UK 100 remains neutral, continuing its consolidation. The price is at 8,222, below the VWAP of 8,303. Support is at 8,163, and resistance at 8,443. RSI at 45 shows stable momentum. Wall Street Wall Street is in a bullish trend, though in a corrective phase after last week’s steep sell-off - the worst this year. The price is 40,463, below the VWAP of 41,001. Support is at 40,281, and resistance is at 41,721. The RSI of 45 suggests moderate bullish momentum. Brent Crude Brent Crude continues its bearish trend with fresh multi-month lows. The price is 71.83, below the VWAP of 76.36. Support is at 70.79, with resistance at 81.92. The RSI is 33, indicating strong bearish momentum. Gold Gold remains bullish, now in a corrective phase under a shallow down-sloping resistance. The price is 2,495, close to the VWAP of 2,504. Support is at 2,483, with resistance at 2,525. RSI is at 52, showing balanced momentum. EUR/USD EUR/USD stays in a bullish trend, but in a corrective phase. The price is 1.1074, under the VWAP of 1.1102. Support and resistance are at 1.1001 and 1.1203, respectively. RSI is at 53, indicating a potential for consolidation. GBP/USD GBP/USD continues in a bullish trend, now in a corrective phase with a bearish daily engulfing candlestick causing a fakeout over 1.32. The price is at 1.3114, under the VWAP of 1.3115. Support is at 1.2976, with resistance at 1.3278. RSI at 55 suggests ongoing bullish momentum. USD/JPY USD/JPY remains bearish in an impulsive phase. The price is 142.94, below the VWAP of 144.97. Support is at 141.85, and resistance is at 148.08. RSI at 37 reflects strong bearish momentum.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
DAX H4 | Overlap resistance at 50.0% Fibonacci retracementDAX (GER30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 18,658.25 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 18,900.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 18,269.64 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Short
by FXCM
9.9.24Sorry for the messy charts folks. This week ahead we have heavy data in the middle of the week which I believe may influence the direction of the charts just to give confidence to market players that interest rates will definately be cut. Right now on both charts we have strong bearish momentum for the meantime on both charts. Last week us30 did not create any new highs as that was one of my targets but ger40 mad new highs before it come right back down. I'll be interested to see US30 reach 39,999.99 and GER40 reach 18,006.4. Till then if I see any bullish price charts my bias will change
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by S0202Trades
GERMANY 40 / DE40 Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHola ola My Dear, Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, This is our master plan to Heist GERMANY 40 / DE40 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 1H timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Thief_Trader
#202437 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: Full bear mode. Bull trap and of August after making a new ath. Market is clearly in a hurry to go down again. Stairs up, elevator down. Most likely the bear gap to 18750 will stay open and every short sl has to be around that price. 1. tp is 50% pullback 18000 and as of now I expect a pullback there or more sideways movement. Below 18000 we will see 17400 fast. Quote from last week: comment: Bulls printed a new ath and if you would look at the RSI, which I don’t, it would show a divergence. You really really don’t need the RSI to tell you that. Even so, market could go higher and there is no reason to short this yet. I am 90% certain this is not a W1 of a new bull trend that will break above the bull wedge but rather a retest of the highs, in this case a higher high, and it will reverse soon enough. A bigger pullback is overdue but that does not mean you can short this yet. comment: Selling is already too strong for a pullback in a bull trend. We are in a big trading range and on our way to test the lower range somewhere between 17000 - 17500. Do we get there in a straight line like we went up in August? Highly unlikely but so was the climactic selling and the insane reversal over the past 5 weeks. current market cycle: big trading range key levels: 17000 - 19000 bull case: As expected, the first decent selling on Monday and bulls are running for the exits. Climactic buying, followed by climactic selling. I don’t expect the bulls to fight this, like the bears did not fight anything from 17400 to 18990. The 50% pullback at 18000 is a decent target where the bulls could try to stall it and hope for a bounce. At this point it’s useless to try to call a top or anything beyond the next 2 weeks. If anything, it’s 50/50 if we make another ath this year or not. Invalidation is below 18500. bear case: Bears came around right below 19000 and produced strong enough selling to trigger many stops. Bulls are fearful that we test all the way back down to 17000 and that’s why we don’t see much resistance from them. In any bear case over the next weeks, the bear gap to 18730 has to stay open. On the weekly chart it’s now an expanding triangle which is a form of a trading range. To hit 17000 over the next 1-2 weeks would be amazing for the bears again but I highly doubt they could get the market below, without any serious deterioration of macro schmackro stuff. Something has to break for this market to trade back to not maximum overvalued bubble territory. If you don’t think dax above 18000 is bubble territory while gdp is -0.3% for 2023 and flat at best in 2024, I can’t help you. Invalidation is above 18700. outlook last week: short term: Neutral again. I’m confident we will reverse soon but it’s too early to be looking for shorts. Bears need to start making lower lows and lower highs before I start. What do I need to go long? Only scalps after pullbacks for me. Very little interest in buying up here because I do not see this going to 19200. → Last Sunday we traded 18906 and now we are at 18301. It was too early for shorts last Sunday but during Tuesday’s session it became clearer that the market wanted to go down. short term: Bearish but only on momentum again. Any pullback has to stay below 18700. Next targets for bears are 18000 and below that is 17500. Fun times ahead. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: 4 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Next 2000 Points will be made to the downside but it’s too early to short this. current swing trade: Decent to be in swing shorts now. Stop has to be 18700 or even 19000. Will join the bears on Monday, if they go straight below 18270 or on a decent pullback to 18500. chart update: Nothing. Removed the bull wedge and added the bear gap.
XETR:DAXShort
by priceactiontds
DAX KEY LEVELS FOR 09/09/2024**Explanation:** This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. It considers volume, past prices, and price range. **Entry/Exit Points:** - **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the GREEN line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the GREEN line above. - **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next GREEN line below. **Timeframe:** Use a 5-minute timeframe for trading. **Risk Disclaimer:** This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
XETR:DAX
by nandupk
DAX40 Breakout in PlayThe DAX40 has just triggered a rectangle pattern, which has been developing over the past two days and six hours. The difference between the high and low of this rectangle is approximately 153 points. The breach at 18,518 indicates that the price could reach 18,363. Corrections toward the breakout point that do not push the price above 18,572 will keep this pattern valid. However, with the US payroll data due today, volatility could push the price either beyond the target or back into the rectangle formation, triggering a loss. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GShort
by ThinkMarkets