DOWUSD trade ideas
Bullish Us30 Hunting for a 300point move to the upside , trends in trends move h1 is confirming as well as the m15 timeframe
Potential bearish set up on the 1 hour chartConsider entering a short position if the price shows signs of rejection at the resistance area. This trade setup anticipates a move down towards the lower end of the channel, with a stop-loss above the resistance. Keep in mind that this is a short-term setup, and price action should confirm any entry.
This is a technical view and should be used alongside other analysis methods and risk management strategies.
A Market Walking On EggshellsThe Dow finished up on Friday, but off it's high as selling came in late...notice the sincere break of the trend line last week and Friday's action came back to kiss the under line..odds are that this week coming is down.
Just a few days until the big show, the outcome has already been decided, they are selected, not elected.
Whatever the outcome of the theatre, the masses still believe change will happen to improve their lives, only disappointment ensues.
Expect volatility this week, any negative event will trigger fast moves to the downside, watch your position size.
Gold sold off towards the end of last week, a correction is due...a sell signal triggered.
PM's are a long term play, we have been bulls for 20 years, gold has risen over 35% this year, silver around 40%. This bull has a fair way to go before peaking, we are only in wave 3 of 5...expect a minor wave 4 pullback now and a huge spike coming by years end or so. The coming collapse will drive gold and silver to unseen levels, our target for gold in Australia is $10,000 an ounce, that could be shattered, and up to $15K or more, silver target of $300, perhaps high hundreds or $1000 and ounce...the catalyst will be contagion.
We stay short the Dow, prepare for the unexpected this week.
Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
us30 pay me While observing the market i developed a point of interest and determined where the next draw on liquidity would be. I am anticipating price to be distributed to the upside once that area of demand ( bullish order block) is tested
Dow Jones H1 | Falling to pullback supportDow Jones (US30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 43,909.20 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 43,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 44,527.74 which is a swing-high resistance at the all-time high.
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DOW JONES: Short term target 44,850.Dow Jones is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.283, MACD = 438.030, ADX = 26.531) and on top of that, the 4H RSI has been inside overbought territory since November 5th. The price action remains inside the Channel Up that started in August but every time the 4H RSI trades sideways like this on overbought ranges, the price enters a smaller Channel Up and leads to the peak HH. That's what we are aiming for now (TP = 44,850).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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SHORT DOWOver extended trump trade, buys around 43,30 - 42,90 people get too manipulated by the idea of trump for stocks and stocks just go one way!
Dow Jones Wave Analysis 11 November 2024
- Dow Jones rising inside impulse wave 5
- Likely to reach resistance level 45000.00
Dow Jones index continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave 5, which previously broke the key resistance level 43500.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from August.
The active impulse wave 5 belongs to the weekly upward impulse sequence (C) from April of this year.
Given the clear weekly uptrend, Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
US30 Trendline Breakout AnalysisRecently, US30 (the Dow Jones Industrial Average) broke through a key resistance trendline, signaling a potential shift in market momentum. Here’s why we think this breakout is significant and why the index may continue to rise:
Positive Economic Indicators: Recent economic data has shown resilience, with strong corporate earnings reports and steady employment numbers, reducing fears of an imminent recession. These factors boost investor confidence, attracting buying pressure and supporting upward price movement.
Lower Interest Rate Concerns: With inflation showing signs of cooling, the Federal Reserve may ease on aggressive rate hikes, which typically weigh on equities. The market often rallies when the outlook on interest rates is more favorable, as it lowers borrowing costs and encourages investment in riskier assets like equities.
Technical Breakout Confirmation: The recent breach of the resistance trendline was supported by high trading volume, which often validates the strength of a breakout. Additionally, other technical indicators, such as moving averages and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), show bullish momentum, suggesting that the breakout is not a false signal.
Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Investors appear to be shifting toward a "risk-on" mode, with increased demand for growth-oriented and blue-chip stocks in the US market. This shift in sentiment often leads to further gains in major indices like the US30, especially as it represents stable, high-performing companies.
Seasonal Trends and Year-End Rally Potential: Historically, the end of the year often brings about a “Santa Claus rally” in equity markets, where stock prices trend upward due to favorable market sentiment and portfolio adjustments. This seasonal pattern may further support the US30’s upward trajectory as we approach the year-end.
Dow Jones index probabilitiesThe possibility of a fall in American economic indices in the long term is painful, but in the short term, investors will inject liquidity into the indices and there is a possibility of an increase again.
Sasha Charkhchian
11-11 US30: after the elections there is clarity for the shares. because of that there is an uptrend going on the indexes. we have placed a buy at 44530.0. we see no obstacle in taking this position but we are cautious. Our trade system gives the following score: +5 consisting of Cot Data 2, Retail sentiment -1, Seasonality 2, Trend reading 2, GDP -1, Manufacturing PMI -1, Services PMI 1, Retail Sales 1, Inflation 2, Employment Change -1 Unemployment Rate 0,
Interest Rates -1
Dow Jones temporary price reductionIn the continuation of the long-term rise of the Dow Jones, after the price correction and the temporary decrease in the price of each share, we can expect an increase in the price along with an increase in liquidity.
Sasha Charkhchian
Dow Jones Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 43900 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 43900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dow JonesDJI - Dow Jones
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves. Bullish Channel as an corrective pattern in short time frame and rejection from Upper Trend Line at Fibonacci Level - 261.8%. Strong Divergence with Break of Structure
Selling outlookWe are looking at sell opportunities targeting the recently broken higher time frame swing high level, an acceleration in price to be expected towards this level as break and test retail traders will be opening buy positions to push price to the upside.
We are selling against the late buyers given that the DXY is gaining strength and the drop in Gold price is the greatest signal we can use in our advantage at the moment.
Dow Jones Priced in GoldUS Equities (priced in gold) aren't quite done yet.
Just a massive range for the past 10 years...
#gold #djia #spx #stocks #inflation #recession
Bearish Correction Expected with Key Bullish Trigger at 44270Technical Analysis
The price has increased by approximately +5.20% over the past week.
Today, a corrective move toward 43900 is expected, with a break below 43760 potentially signaling a bearish trend targeting 43350.
Alternatively, a break above 44270 would open a new bullish phase, aiming for 44400 and 44600.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 44270
Resistance Levels: 44400, 44600
Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43350
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Correction toward 43900
Bullish Continuation above 44270
previous idea:
US30 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 44,172.7.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 44,971.3.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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US30_Bull RunTECHNICAL OUTLOOK AT 4H:
1. No Divergence yet
2. 0.5 Fib level retracement
3. ABCD Pattern
TRADE PLAN:
Keep buying at Dips and ride it till the Projected value of 44,970.
US30 / TRADING INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Trends:
Following Trump’s win, the US30 index rose by 4.90% , The index is now testing historical peak levels around 44,045, with a potential to reach 44,532 if the upward trend holds.
Technical Levels and Price Action:
The analysis suggests that if prices stay below a certain “ascending channel line,” it could indicate weakness, possibly leading to a decline , The first potential downside target is a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 43,381 and 42,984 , If prices break this zone, further declines could target another FVG range between 42,716 and 42,335.
Trend Confirmation:
If the price remains below the second FVG zone, it might confirm a downtrend , Conversely, if it stays above these levels, it suggests potential for a continued increase.
SELL probability on US30SELL probability
@ the crossunder/closers below
44.060
SL -- 44.100
(( SELL prob. again below 44.140 with + - 100points SL ))
TP ¹ -- 44.000
(( Watch if reversal to entry with W%R ))
TP ² -- 43.900
(( REVERSAL ))
TP ³ -- 43.800
(( Friday lows max ))
HappyTradingWeek
Blacc Tone StrategyThis video is my first on chart self recording video. so don't expect to much , just chill and listen and know that my actions must speak louder then my words 💯
