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US 30 (DOW) / US DollarUS 30 (DOW) / US DollarUS 30 (DOW) / US Dollar

US 30 (DOW) / US Dollar

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Dow: Key data, earnings and US election all coming upStocks rebounded on Monday with oil prices taking a 5% plunge, amid an apparent easing in Middle East tension. The restrained reaction by Israel after recent attacks has spurred optimism, with markets hoping for stability in the region. European indices closed higher as we begin a very busy two weeks, with lots of data, US election and central banks meetings on the way. Treasury yields could take toll on stocks With the 10-year rising to a new 3-month month high of 4.29%, this could unravel risk assets. Having just closed lower for the fifth consecutive day, resulting in a weekly loss of more than 2.5%, the Dow could be the one to watch for potential underperformance. Small caps also slumped last week, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq finished flattish, helped by Tesla’s earnings and Nvidia surging to a new record high. Looking under the hood, financials (XLF) led the drop on Friday with a fall of 1.1% and nearly 2.1% for the week. Industrials (XLI) lost 2.8% on the week, while energy (XLE) lost 0.6% on the week and ensured a hattrick of weekly losses. Technology (XLK) was flat on the week, while semiconductor (SMH) rose 0.6%. Once again gold outperformed with GLD rising 0.8% last week. With financials and industrials taking the biggest hit, and energy also not doing great, the Dow and Russell are the obvious markets for the bears to potentially target, if sentiment turns sour again. Economic Data Points to Slower Rate Cuts Last week’s stronger economic indicators have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may take a measured approach to future rate cuts, but will that change in the week ahead with some top-tier data to come including JOLTS, non-farm payrolls and ISM surveys? Last week’s data releases—such as jobless claims, services PMI, and durable goods orders— all surpassed forecasts, suggesting economic resilience. If we see a similar outcome from most of this week’s data releases, then that could even raise question marks over further rate cuts beyond the two more priced in for this year, as the Fed may be more inclined to wait and see before easing policy further. While a strong economy supports corporate earnings, it can also sustain higher yields, which may weigh on stock valuations. As a result, traders and investors are closely watching incoming data to gauge whether the Fed will indeed adopt a more gradual approach to rate reductions. US Election Uncertainty Adds Pressure The US presidential election is also in focus, with polls and odds markets showing a close race. Some betting markets are leaning toward a Trump victory, while other polls show a tie. A Trump win could have inflationary implications, potentially impacting the Federal Reserve’s approach to rate policy. Given Trump’s policies, investors may anticipate a more aggressive Fed response to manage potential inflation, which could affect stock prices and increase market volatility. The uncertain outcome has led investors to adopt a cautious stance, with many waiting to see how the election results may influence the Fed's future policy decisions and overall market sentiment. This has been evident in markets falling last week, VIX rising and gold hitting new record highs. Upcoming Earnings and Economic Reports As we head into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment. Given the recent increase in yields, strong economic data, and the close election race, it is unlikely we’ll see investors rush to buy the dips. For now, a cautious approach may be warranted as investors navigate these uncertainties and await clearer signals for the market’s direction. Week ahead: Jolts, BoJ, NFP and lots of earnings There are at least a couple of major macro factors that could impact the Dow this week, while on a micro level, several tech names are reporting their results. 1) JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday) With the Fed’s focus turning to employment, we will give preference to any labour market indicators over other data releases in the next couple of months. Though this data release is not very up to date (with this one covering August), it can still impact the market because job openings are a leading indicator of overall employment, and they usually take a few months to be filled. Last time we saw a surprisingly strong print of 8.04 million, aiding the dollar’s rally. 2) US nonfarm payrolls (Friday) Last month’s surprisingly good nonfarm payrolls data helped to fuel a big rally in the dollar as the market was forced to drop its calls for further outsized rate cuts from the Fed. Let’s see if those numbers will be revised and whether the strength in the labour market continued for another month. Any further strength in employment data could even call into question the now lower expectations of 50 basis points worth of more rate cuts in the next two FOMC meetings in 2024. This will undoubtedly move the Dow and other US indices too. Dow key levels to watch The technical Dow forecast has turned a tad bearish following last week’s drop. The last weekly drop of a similar magnitude took place in early September. That time, though, there was no immediate election risk, and so the index quickly bounced back and went on to hit new records in the pursuing weeks. This time, it could be different. Still, we will need to see a lower low to confirm the bearish reversal beneath the last short-term low at 41,800. If seen, we could see a sizeable drop with the next obvious support not seen until around 40,900 to 41,000 area. The longer-term trend line and 200-day average converge around the psychologically important area of 40,000. Standing in the way of these potential support levels is another one close to where the market finished on Friday and where it has staged a bounced from today, around 42,000. In terms of resistance levels to watch, the most important one in my view lies at 42,400 to 42,500. This area is now pivotal insofar as the short-term technical outlook is concerned. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
US30 - Dow Jones IndustrialThe week’s key economic updates kick off tomorrow with the Labor Department's Job Openings and Labor Market Turnover Survey (JOLTS), which is anticipated to provide new insights into labor market dynamics. In its previous report, JOLTS indicated a 4.3% increase in job openings, bringing the total to 8.04 million. However, hiring, layoffs, and resignations all saw a decline, aligning with the Federal Reserve's decision to implement a 50 basis point interest rate cut. For the upcoming September report, analysts predict job openings will decrease by 0.6%, reaching 7.99 million. Additionally, the Conference Board will release its October Consumer Confidence report. Of particular interest will be the job confidence component, as it could offer a complementary perspective to JOLTS findings. The day will also see the release of the Case-Shiller report, the first of several upcoming housing market indicators. According to economists surveyed by Reuters, the 20-city composite index for August is expected to show a moderation in home price growth, down to 5.0% year-over-year from the previous 5.9%.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Sifiso_Ntshingila
US30 Holds Bearish Bias Below Key Resistance LevelsUS30 Technical Analysis As long as trades under 42450 will support a bearish trend to touch 42125and below that will get 41950 as well Stability above 42,125 may prompt a move toward 42,300 and 42,450; however, a bullish reversal requires a breakout above 42,590. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 42280 Resistance Levels: 42770, 42910, 43050 Support Levels: 42125, 41950, 41750 Trend Outlook: - Bearish by stability below 42450 - Bullish by stability above 42590 previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
DreamAnalysis | Dow Jones Analysis Key Levels to Watch!✨ Today’s Focus: Dow Jones (US30) – A Key Market Mover Today, we’re diving into the latest Dow Jones price action, pinpointing critical levels to identify potential trends and strategic trade opportunities. 📊 Market Snapshot: The price is currently oscillating within the previous week’s range. After capturing some crucial buy-side liquidity, such as the Previous Month’s High (PMH), there’s been a strong shift to the sell side. 🔴 Short- vs. Long-Term Outlook: We’ll break down scenarios for both bullish and bearish setups, providing insights for day traders on how to approach short-term and long-term trends. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, a potential retracement higher could take out some Buy-Side Liquidity or hit the midpoint (50%) of the range. Following this, the price may continue downward toward sell-side targets, with the Weekly Imbalance as a significant level to watch. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: Our long-term perspective remains bearish until the price reaches the Weekly Imbalance at the 50% range mark. From there, we’ll need to observe how the market reacts to assess if further declines are likely. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: These levels are likely to shape price movement: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Weekly FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are crucial zones for potential retracement, setting up the next directional move. 📈 Bullish Scenario: For a bullish setup, monitor lower timeframes (LTF) for a sweep of Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity. Look for entry models targeting higher levels, including a move toward the All-Time High (ATH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: For bearish opportunities, use lower timeframes like the 15-minute chart. Seek short entry signals within the 4-Hour Imbalance, or wait for a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity for added confirmation. 📝 Final Thoughts: Stay flexible as market dynamics shift. Monitor these key levels and setups to fine-tune your strategy and capitalize on high-probability trades. 🔮 Coming Up: We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets, with timely insights as trends evolve. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by DreamAnalysis
US30 H4 - Long Signal US30 H4 Something like this would make sense for us on Dow Jones, we gapped up massively to start the week and we are still looking to continue higher, once the dust has settled, we can see where we are on US30 and which zones are in play. Hopefully we can gain something buy catching longs from this 42,300 price when it trades higher and retests again as support price. We saw a big selloff Friday, dumping as much as 600 points in a single 4 hour period, seeing that move correct and sustaining would be a requirement for what we are after. The market gaps were no doubt significant, being in excess of 100 points.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
US30 (Dow Jones industrial average) Daily At this current stage of retracement, we saw price slipping lower towards low of month/ higher high that broke structure to the upside📈. Look carefully, we have a few key factors that will influence our market as this is nfp week as well. For all we know, price remains bullish overal on weekly and daily TF📈. We have 📉bearish internal structure which could be aligned with a weekly setup before nfp. Look at our blue/green Fibonacci retracement tool: - price has formed swing high & swing low - Price is at discount zone asour market is worth FWB:42K at current market price and is expensive to buy more assets to fuel a bigger trend. - we have a POINT of interest around price GETTEX:41K This exact zone is at a weekly demand zone that has an inducement LTF zone (current demand price is reacting to). It is also an unmitigated demand zone on daily timeframe. This is no trading signal but you can find a good entry on 4H timeframe respecting our bearish internal structure -
FX:US30Long
by ZIPHO67
US30 (Dow Jones industrial average) Daily At this current stage of retracement, we saw price slipping lower towards low of month/ higher high that broke structure to the upside📈. Look carefully, we have a few key factors that will influence our market as this is nfp week as well. For all we know, price remains bullish overal on weekly and daily TF📈. We have 📉bearish internal structure which could be aligned with a weekly setup before nfp. Look at our blue/green Fibonacci retracement tool: - price has formed swing high & swing low - Price is at discount zone asour market is worth FWB:42K at current market price and is expensive to buy more assets to fuel a bigger trend. - we have a POINT of interest around price GETTEX:41K This exact zone is at a weekly demand zone that has an inducement LTF zone (current demand price is reacting to). It is also an unmitigated demand zone on daily timeframe. This is no trading signal but you can find a good entry on 4H timeframe respecting our bearish internal structure -
FX:US30Long
by ZIPHO67
Could US30 drop from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 42,413.14 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 42,768.22 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 41,939.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:DJ30Short
by VantageMarkets
US30 BUY ANALYSIS US30 BUY ANALYSIS Technical Analysis: 1. Ascending Channel: • The price is trading within a well-defined ascending channel. The current position of the price is at the lower boundary of the channel, which typically acts as a strong support zone. • Buying near the lower trendline is a strategic move, as the expectation is for the price to move back up towards the upper boundary of the channel, following the trend. 2. Support and Risk Management: • The lower channel boundary aligns with a previous key support level, increasing the probability of a bounce. This provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with a clear stop-loss below the channel. • The trade setup targets a move to the upper channel boundary, offering a potential upside while keeping risks managed. 3. Bullish Momentum: • The overall structure remains bullish, with the price making higher highs and higher lows within the channel. This indicates that the broader uptrend is intact, making a buy position at support more attractive. Conclusion: The decision to buy US30 here is based on the current position within the ascending channel, taking advantage of the support provided by the lower trendline and targeting a potential move back towards the channel’s upper boundary for profitable opportunities.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by US30EMPIRE
USA30 H1 time frame possible entry.Hi traders am expecting a rejection from 41800 n a bit of consolidation before a pick however we are on earnings report since last week,if you want to trade it well do your own analysis in smaller time frame n see if you gonna find same zones n see where you can place stop looses I recommend you to hold a trade for week if you are to talking it atleast for better bread your risks is the one that's gonna tells you how long you can last in the trade thanks.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by mulaudzimpho