DOWUSD trade ideas
US30 Trading Plan โ Bearish Outlook Following Support BreakThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently exhibiting a bearish trend, having recently broken below a key support level. This breakdown signals potential further downside momentum, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Technical Analysis Summary:
Trend: Bearish
Breakdown Confirmation: Price has closed below the previous support level, confirming a breakdown and potential trend continuation.
Entry Signal: Entry positions can be considered on a retest of the broken support level, now acting as resistance, or upon confirmation of continued selling pressure.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: The first profit target is set at the next significant support zone, which has historically acted as a demand area.
Target 2: The second profit target is located at a lower, more established support level, providing a deeper downside opportunity if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: A stop-loss should be placed above the newly formed resistance level (formerly support) to protect against false breakouts and trend reversals.
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1โ2% of account equity per trade to maintain proper risk management.
Trade Rationale:
The breakdown of the support level on US30 suggests increased selling pressure and the potential for a continuation of the downward trend. By identifying two profit targets, this plan allows for partial profit-taking at the first support level and full exit or trailing stop at the second, depending on price action and market conditions.
WHY I THINK US30 WILL BUY INSTEAD OF SELL๐ฅ Bias: Bullish continuation
๐ Timeframe: 60-minute
๐ Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones)
1๏ธโฃ Volume Profile Context
POC (Fair Value): ~41,680
HVN (Acceptance): 41,660โ41,700
LVN (Balance Break): 41,540โ41,600
2๏ธโฃ Footprint Signals
Seller Imbalances in the 13:00 & 14:00 candles (ฮโ159 @ 9.13K & ฮโ121 @ 7.97K)
โ Price didnโt drop, closed near highs โ Supply absorbed
Absorption above 41,700 shows hidden bid
3๏ธโฃ Structure & Key Zones
Higher highs & higher lows intact since the 07:00โ08:00 low.
Buy zone / demand: 41,400โ41,500 (strong initiative buying & positive deltas)
Support to hold: 41,660โ41,680 (POC / HVN)
โถ๏ธ Trade Plan
Entry: On pullback to 41,660โ41,680 (POC support)
Stop: Below 41,640 (below LVN)
Target 1: 41,880 (previous high & volume shelf)
Target 2: 41,920+ (upper HVN rejection zone)
โ
Confirmation: Look for bullish footprint bars (positive delta, absorption of sellers) at entry zone.
US30: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 togetherโบ๏ธ
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 41,589.0 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
โค๏ธSending you lots of Love and Hugsโค๏ธ
Hanzo / US30 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )๐ US30
The Path of Precision โ Hanzoโs Market Strike
๐ฅ Key Levels & Breakout Strategy โ 15M TF
โ๏ธ Bearish Setup After Break Out โ 41750 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
โ๏ธ Bullish Setup After Break Out โ 41950 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
๐ฉธ 15M Time Frame Confluence
โโโโ
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 41820
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 41600
Strong Rejection from 42000 โ The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 41450 โ The Ultimate Pivot
๐ฅ 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 41750 โ Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 41450 โ Liquidity Engineered
sell US30๐ Technical Indicators
As of May 22, 2025, at 1:05 PM GMT, the Dow Jones 30 Futures show the following:
Investing.com
Price: 41,880.00 USD
Technical Summary: Strong Sell
Moving Averages: Strong Sell (12 out of 12 indicators)
Technical Indicators: Strong Sell (7 out of 7 indicators)
Investing.com
+1
TradingView
+1
Key indicators include:
RSI (14): 31.72 (approaching oversold territory)
MACD (12,26): -151.76 (bearish)
CCI (14): -260.43 (oversold)
Williams %R: -0.503 (overbought)
Stochastic RSI (14): 100 (overbought)
FastBull
+5
Investing.com
+5
TradingView
+5
๐ Footprint Chart Insights
Footprint charts, which display executed buy and sell orders at specific price levels, are valuable for assessing market sentiment. Currently, the charts indicate:
Optimus Futures
+1
Wikipedia
+1
Investing.com
Sell Imbalances: Higher volume of sell orders at key price levels, suggesting strong selling pressure.
Point of Control (POC): Located at lower price levels, indicating that the majority of trading volume is occurring at these prices, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Lack of Buy Imbalances: Minimal indications of strong buying interest at current levels.
๐ Market Sentiment
Recent analyses from trading communities suggest a bearish outlook for US30. For instance, a TradingView analysis notes that US30 is reacting from a strong demand zone (42,400 - 42,500), showing a possible reversal after a liquidity grab below recent lows. However, the overall trend remains bearish, and traders are advised to watch price action closely and confirm momentum before entering.
TradingView
+1
TradingView
+1
TradingView
โ
Conclusion
Given the prevailing technical indicators and order flow data, the US30 is currently in a bearish phase. Traders should exercise caution and consider waiting for clear signs of reversal or stabilization before entering long positions. Monitoring key support levels and staying updated with market news will be crucial in the coming days.
For a visual understanding of US30 order flow trading, you might find this video insightful:
Dow Jones Short Term Sell Trading PlanM15 - Strong bearish momentum
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold I expect the price to continue lower further.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30 (Dow Jones) Update โ May 22, 2025 ๐ US30 (Dow Jones) Update โ May 22, 2025 โ ๏ธ
Massive Breakdown Below 42,000 โ Momentum Shift in Full Effect ๐งจ
๐ Market Breakdown:
๐ Current Price: 41,803
๐ฅ Major Support Lost: 42,000 โก๏ธ retested + rejected
๐งต Bearish structure confirmed โ lower highs + breakdown of prior higher low
๐ 9/21 EMAs sharply angled down, widening = increasing downside momentum
We're now back below key structure from early May, and that 41,770 zone is hanging by a thread. Volume uptick adds weight to the downside move ๐ป
๐ Key Levels:
๐งฑ Immediate Support: 41,770
๐ป If that breaks โ next target: 40,700, then 39,775
๐ผ Resistance now flips to 42,000 and 42,300
๐ฅ Trade Outlook:
Bearish bias ๐ฅ:
Below 42,000 = continuation expected
Any bounces into 41,900โ42,000 may offer sell setups
Watch for clean break & close below 41,770 for acceleration
Bull case invalid unless:
Price reclaims 42,000 and flips it into solid support with volume โ
๐ง Smart Money Take:
This is a classic supply re-entry zone. Buyers failed to hold higher structure and are now trapped โ liquidity likely fueling this sell-off ๐
Donโt counter-trend guess too early! Wait for reclaim signals.
US30 SMC/ICT Plan โ Waiting for Pullback Short OpportunityIdea/Scenario:
Expecting a pullback to the 42,100โ42,200 zone after a strong bearish move.
Looking for bearish confirmation (price action or rejection) in that area for a potential short entry.
Main target: 41,650โ41,600, possibly lower toward 41,000.
Bias remains bearish below 42,200.
US30 Potential Bullish ContinuationHi there,
US30 appears bullish on the H2 timeframe, but I am anticipating a dip before the bullish continuation.
The price broke above the significant high of 40,860.28 and formed a low, creating a relative bullish wave toward the high of 42,473.33. This low is significant and remains open for a future revisit.
The potential resistance level is 42,949.85, with a market bias toward 43,528.16.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not a trading advice,
DOW/US30 - PERFECT TIME FOR LONG ENTRYTeam, i hope you all making millions on SHORT BOTH SETUP UK100 AND GER30 today
However there is no perfect time to entry LONG DOW/US30 now
please follow the guideline and entry..
target 1st is 150-200 points
2nd target between 300-500 points.
we expect this swing will take tomorrow and next day for the recovery.
sell US30 / US30 Analysis โ 60MPrice has retested the VAL (Value Area Low) after breaking down from the volume structure.
VAL: price retested and showed weakness
๐ A failure to reclaim the POC may lead to a drop toward the next demand zone at 42,160โ42,000.
Volume profile shows a clear shift in control to sellers. Reclaim of POC = possible bullish shift. Hold below = continuation lower.
Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs)๐ง Quick Terminology Refresher:
Absorption = Large volume hitting the book with little price movement (strong limit orders halting progress).
Exhaustion = Declining volume near highs/lows, indicating a potential reversal or lack of continuation.
Delta = Net buying/selling pressure (positive = aggressive buyers, negative = aggressive sellers).
Imbalance zones = Strong activity favoring one side of the market โ high-probability interest areas.
๐ Breakdown of Key Zones (Right Side of the Chart โ May 20โ21):
๐ด Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs)
May 20 Candle:
Delta: -1.37K on 80.27K volume = net sellers present.
Upper wick shows buy volume at the highs being absorbed by resting sell orders.
Price fails to close above 42,300, the same level it touched multiple times (look left), reinforcing it as resistance.
The cluster of buying at the highs followed by price dropping suggests buying exhaustion + absorption by sellers.
๐ป May 21 Candle (Early):
Delta: -387 on low volume (21.68K) โ early in the session.
Low delta but presence of symmetric buy/sell volume suggests a balance day or low conviction.
However, failure to break back above the previous POC zone (around 42,200โ42,300) + no aggressive buying continuation = bearish bias.
๐ต Prior Bullish Activity (May 15โ19):
May 15: Strong positive delta (+3.84K) with 99.68K total volume โ clear initiative buy pressure.
May 16โ19: Successive candles show diminishing delta and heavy total volume with:
Imbalance blocks shifting down.
Lower highs and failed follow-through after May 15 = exhaustion of buyers.
Especially May 19: delta of -1.14K, and large wick + failed upside = absorbed buys, followed by rejection.
๐งฑ High-Volume Nodes (Support/Resistance):
Resistance Zone: 42,270โ42,300
Multiple failed closes above, heavy sell volume absorbed buyers.
Support Zone: 42,000โ42,100
Yellow highlight zone โ recent volume nodes + last remaining absorption candle May 14โ15.
But current candles are testing this zone, and not bouncing with strength.
๐ Conclusion: Sell Bias Based on Footprint Behavior
โ
Reasons to Lean Bearish / Sell:
Absorption at highs (May 19โ20).
Exhaustion of buying delta after May 15โ16.
Lower highs and lower volume follow-through.
Price failing at POC/resistance zones (42,300) repeatedly.
No new aggressive buying footprints in current bars.
โ ๏ธ Not a Blind Sell โ Wait For:
Break and hold below 42,100, ideally confirmed by:
Negative delta + rising total volume.
Sell imbalances near lower levels.
Signs of no strong passive buyer absorption at 42,000.
๐ Suggested Strategy:
๐ Short Bias: Target zone: 41,850โ41,900
๐ If price reclaims 42,300 with positive delta spike, exit shorts or flip long (failed breakdown = trap).
๐ฏ Watch Volume Profile: Large nodes mean congestion โ avoid taking new trades in the middle of these zones.
Dow Jones INTRADAY supported at 41900Geopolitical Risk: Oil prices spiked after CNN reported Israel may strike Iranโs nuclear sites, increasing market uncertainty. No final decision confirmed yet.
Rising geopolitical tension could weigh on risk sentiment and equities.
Safe-Haven Moves: The Swiss franc and Japanese yen strengthened as investors moved to safety. Reflects cautious tone in global markets, possibly limiting upside for equities.
Morgan Stanley View: Strategists recommend โBuy Americaโ โ but not the US dollar, hinting at confidence in US assets (e.g., stocks), while expecting further USD weakness.
Bond Market Shift: Traders expect long-term US bond yields to rise, which could pressure tech and growth stocks in equity indexes like the Nasdaq.
UK Inflation Watch: UK inflation data expected to tick higher โ adding to global inflation and rate hike concerns, which may influence market mood.
Trading Outlook:
US equity indexes may open mixed to cautious. Geopolitical risks and rising yields could create headwinds, especially for rate-sensitive sectors. Watch for oil-driven inflation fears, bond yield movements, and shifts in safe-haven flows.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42950
Resistance Level 2: 43370
Resistance Level 3: 43630
Support Level 1: 41900
Support Level 2: 41500
Support Level 3: 41200
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 May 21 If athletes get athlete's foot, what do elves get? Mistle-toes.
Now let's get to it. Before heading into the trade, I am definitely bullish. Price seems to be making a retracement before it pushes back up. I have given myself 3 potential entry points. But I am only going to enter them if:
Price makes market structure
Price breaks and retests through a key level/ entry point
If it bounces off of the trend line
Or a break of structure
And all of this, for me has to happen around 12pm est because I like to trade the afternoon session. But like a stallion price is going to do whatever it wants.
Stay safe and be patient