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NDQUSD trade ideas

Bullish Signal NAS100Trade Setup: Market: NAS100 (US100 Cash CFD) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Entry Strategy: Looking for a retracement to a key price level (Killzone) before a bullish move toward resting liquidity. Key Components of the Analysis: 1. Market Structure & Price Action The market is in a downtrend, but there is a sign of a potential reversal. Price is approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone, around 19,565 - 19,668, where buying pressure is expected. The 50% - 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels indicate an area of interest for buyers. 2. Liquidity & Key Price Levels A key price level is marked around 20,450, acting as a potential resistance zone. Resting liquidity (liq) is positioned higher at 20,880, suggesting an upside target if the trade plays out. The killzone (highlighted in red) is the ideal area for a possible buy entry. 3. Trade Execution Plan Entry: Within the Fibonacci retracement zone (Killzone) around 19,565 - 19,668. Stop Loss: Below the 100% Fibonacci retracement level (19,403) to avoid being stopped out by market noise. Take Profit: Targeting the resting liquidity zone around 20,880, aligning with a previous supply zone. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the green risk/reward box indicates a positive R:R setup. 4. Additional Confluences The 200 EMA (blue line) may act as dynamic support. Volume profile shows a high liquidity area near the killzone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce. Previous price action suggests strong reactions from similar levels.
BLACKBULL:NAS100
by RSTrad1ng
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning Folks, As you can see we are nearing a take profit zone. If you followed my NDX profile you would have started accumulating stocks during the 19500 Zone - This accumulation would have giving you roughly 30% on most stocks trending with the NASDAQ (This is also applicable to other Indexes). We are nearing another point of uncertainty which is the April tariffs - Will this strike fear in investors again or is it already priced in. Amidst uncertainty I will always take profit - I am a swing trader which means there is opportunity everyday and every week!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by mindfullylost
Nas bullish outlook, buy here 20151 and 20069Good morning, I´m expecting that Nas has bottomed and it will start to climb as shown in the idea. If you decide to trade this idea, you can enter now with smaller size or you can wait till 20069 will be tested. In the second option, entry is safer, but also the chance to miss the trade. I´m expecting that today the "follow up candle" will be bullish. Price got a momentum, so expecting 330-450 are to be tested. Wish you good luck. P.S. I´m not a signal service, do not sell anything here. Also do not have any premium channel to sell something. We are a group of traders sharing-trading same strategy. If you want to buy something, please contact one of the signal factories.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Rendon1
USTEC (NASDAQ 100) Analysis – 30M Timeframe 1️⃣ Market Structure & Current Position Current Price: 19,758 Recent Swing Low: 19,200 (March 14) Recent Swing High: 19,900 (March 20) Key Observations: The market is ranging between 19,200 – 19,900. Breakout above 19,900 could trigger a strong rally due to thin liquidity above. If rejected, price could retest 19,600 or 19,200 before resuming upside. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels (Support & Resistance) Support Zones (Demand Areas) 19,600 – 19,650 → High volume node, key retest level. 19,200 – 19,250 → Major liquidity zone, potential bounce area. Resistance Zones (Supply Areas) 19,900 – 19,950 → Immediate resistance, key breakout level. 20,400 – 20,450 → Fibonacci 1.618 extension. 20,850 – 20,900 → Fibonacci 2.618 extension, potential exhaustion zone. 📌 Gann Confluence Levels: 19,800 – 19,850 → 1/8th division of the last major range. 20,250 – 20,300 → 2/8th division, possible reaction point. 3️⃣ Probable Scenarios & Probability (%) 📈 Bullish Scenario (70% Probability) Break & Retest of 19,900 → Target 20,400 – 20,850. Confirmation: Volume spike above 19,950 & bullish close on H4. Wave 3 of Elliott Cycle could push price to 20,900 if momentum is strong. 📉 Bearish Scenario (30% Probability) Rejection at 19,900 → Drop to 19,600, possibly 19,200. Confirmation: Bearish engulfing candle below 19,750 & increase in sell-side liquidity. If 19,200 breaks, expect deeper pullback to 18,900 – 18,800. 4️⃣ Conclusion & Trading Strategy 🎯 Bias: Bullish above 19,900, cautious if rejected. ✅ Long Entries: Break & Retest of 19,900 → TP1: 20,400, TP2: 20,850, TP3: 21,300 Aggressive Buy: Bounce from 19,600 with strong bullish rejection. ❌ Short Entries: Rejection from 19,900 → Target 19,600 & 19,200. Aggressive Short: If price fails to break 19,750 with increasing sell volume. 🎯 Stop Loss Levels: For Longs: Below 19,500. For Shorts: Above 20,600. 🚀 Final Thoughts If USTEC clears 19,900 with volume, we could see an explosive move to 20,400 – 20,850. If rejected, price may revisit 19,600 – 19,200 before another breakout attempt.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by MAKFX21
NSDQ100 INTRADAY Bearish oversold bounce back Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 19972 Resistance Level 2: 20127 Resistance Level 3: 20658 Support Level 1: 19124 Support Level 2: 18732 Support Level 3: 18100 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NQ: FED's Day... a big dayGood day! Big day today! Today's FED is one of the most important ones this year. Does the Fed bend the knee to Trump and print free money and rate cuts ( for the next meetings, not this one) or not? The Conference will be very relevant to watch. Market is looking for a relief sign; otherwise, NQ will drop heavenly. Only precaution here is that many large funds and corporation are still holding from above and their pants are down right now or under the water. So there is a possibility that, even with no hint from the FED, they will push the price up (yellow box) to liquidate their positions and sell from above. This will be short live up move. Hence trade safely and keep in mind this possibility.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl
Nasdaq Elliott wave study … math study .. Refined Elliott Wave Count (Higher Degree) Let’s re-evaluate the larger wave structure with more precision by focusing on the price action from late 2024 to mid-March 2025: Wave 1 (Impulsive): Start: The low around late 2024 appears to be near 18,250 (approximated from the chart’s early price action). End: The first significant high is around 19,500, which occurred in early January 2025. Length: 19,500 - 18,250 = 1,250 points. This move up is Wave 1 of the higher-degree impulsive wave. Wave 2 (Corrective): Start: 19,500. End: The pullback to around 18,750 (a low in mid-January 2025). Retracement: 19,500 - 18,750 = 750 points, which is a 60% retracement of Wave 1 (1,250 × 0.618 = 772 points). This is a deep but acceptable retracement for Wave 2, as Wave 2 can retrace up to 61.8% of Wave 1 without invalidating the count. Wave 2 appears to have completed around 18,750. Wave 3 (Impulsive): Start: 18,750. End: The high at 21,750, which occurred in early March 2025. Length: 21,750 - 18,750 = 3,000 points. Fibonacci Extension: Wave 3 often extends to 1.618 or 2.618 times the length of Wave 1. 1.618 × 1,250 = 2,022.5 points. From the Wave 2 low: 18,750 + 2,022.5 = 20,772.5. 2.618 × 1,250 = 3,272.5 points. From the Wave 2 low: 18,750 + 3,272.5 = 22,022.5. The actual Wave 3 length (3,000 points) is very close to the 2.618 extension (3,272.5 points), which is typical for Wave 3 in a strong trending market like the Nasdaq 100. This confirms that the high at 21,750 is likely the end of Wave 3. Wave 4 (Corrective): Start: 21,750. Current Price: 19,490.7 (as of March 19, 2025). Retracement Levels: 23.6% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.236) = 21,750 - 708 = 21,042. 38.2% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.382) = 21,750 - 1,146 = 20,604. 50% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.5) = 21,750 - 1,500 = 20,250. 61.8% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.618) = 21,750 - 1,854 = 19,896. Current Position: The price at 19,490.7 has retraced slightly beyond the 61.8% level (19,896), which is a deep retracement but still within the acceptable range for Wave 4. In Elliott Wave theory, Wave 4 can retrace up to 78.6% of Wave 3 in some cases, especially in indices: 78.6% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.786) = 21,750 - 2,358 = 19,392. The price is very close to the 78.6% retracement (19,392) and is also testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel at 19,425, providing strong confluence for a potential Wave 4 low. Wave 5 (Projected Impulsive): Wave 5 typically equals the length of Wave 1 or reaches a Fibonacci extension of the entire Wave 1-3 move. Wave 1 Length: 1,250 points. From the potential Wave 4 low at 19,490.7: 19,490.7 + 1,250 = 20,740.7. 0.618 Extension of Wave 1-3: Wave 1-3 range: 18,250 to 21,750 = 3,500 points. 0.618 × 3,500 = 2,163 points. From the Wave 4 low: 19,490.7 + 2,163 = 21,653.7. 1.0 Extension of Wave 1-3: 1.0 × 3,500 = 3,500 points. From the Wave 4 low: 19,490.7 + 3,500 = 22,990.7. Channel Target: The upper boundary of the ascending channel is around 22,250 (as marked on the chart), which aligns closely with the 0.618 extension target of 21,653.7 and suggests a realistic Wave 5 target in the 21,650–22,250 range. 2. Sub-Wave Structure of Wave 4 (A-B-C Correction) Wave 4 is a corrective wave, typically unfolding in a three-wave A-B-C structure. Let’s break it down with more precision: Wave A: Start: 21,750. End: The first significant low after the peak, which is around 20,276 (a previous support level marked on the chart). Length: 21,750 - 20,276 = 1,474 points. Wave B: Start: 20,276. End: The bounce to 20,833 (a minor high before the next decline). Length: 20,833 - 20,276 = 557 points. Retracement of Wave A: 557 / 1,474 = 37.8%, which is close to a typical 38.2% retracement for Wave B in an A-B-C correction. Wave C: Start: 20,833. Current Price: 19,490.7. Length So Far: 20,833 - 19,490.7 = 1,342.3 points. Wave C Projections: Wave C often equals Wave A: 1,474 points. From the Wave B high: 20,833 - 1,474 = 19,359. Wave C can extend to 1.618 × Wave A: 1,474 × 1.618 = 2,384.9 points. From the Wave B high: 20,833 - 2,384.9 = 18,448.1. Current Position: The price at 19,490.7 is very close to the 1:1 projection of Wave C (19,359), suggesting that Wave C (and thus Wave 4) is likely nearing completion. The deeper projection to 18,448 seems less likely unless the price breaks below the channel support at 19,425. 3. Confluence with the Ascending Channel The ascending channel provides additional context for the Elliott Wave count: Lower Channel Support: The price is currently testing the lower boundary of the channel at 19,425, which aligns closely with the 78.6% retracement of Wave 3 (19,392) and the 1:1 Wave C projection (19,359). This confluence of levels strengthens the case for a Wave 4 low. Middle of the Channel: The middle of the channel (around 20,276–20,833) acted as resistance during the Wave B bounce and will likely be the first target for Wave 5. Upper Channel Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel (around 22,250) aligns with the projected Wave 5 target, providing a realistic endpoint for the impulsive wave. 4. RSI Analysis in the Context of Elliott Wave The RSI is currently at 44.2, down from a recent low of around 40. Wave 4 and RSI: In Elliott Wave theory, Wave 4 corrections often coincide with RSI readings near oversold levels (30–40). The RSI dipping to 40 and now showing a slight uptick (with a green arrow) suggests that selling pressure may be exhausting, which is typical at the end of a Wave 4 correction. Bullish Divergence: The RSI is starting to turn upward while the price is near support, indicating a potential bullish divergence. This supports the idea that Wave 4 is nearing completion and Wave 5 may begin soon. 5. More Accurate Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Wave 5 Upward): Confirmation: A bounce above 19,490.7, followed by a break above 20,276 (the Wave B high), would confirm the start of Wave 5. Targets: First target: 20,276–20,833 (middle of the channel and previous highs). Second target: 21,653.7 (0.618 extension of Wave 1-3). Final target: 22,250 (upper channel boundary and potential Wave 5 completion). Wave 5 Sub-Waves: Wave 5 itself will likely unfold in five sub-waves, so we can expect some consolidation or minor pullbacks as it progresses toward the target. Bearish Scenario (Deeper Correction): Invalidation: If the price breaks below 19,425 (the lower channel support), it could invalidate the current Elliott Wave count. A break below 19,000 (the Wave 1 high) would confirm that the larger trend has shifted. Alternative Count: If the move from 18,750 to 21,750 was a corrective wave (e.g., a larger Wave B), we could be in a larger Wave C down. Targets for a deeper correction would be: 19,000 (psychological support). 18,448 (1.618 extension of Wave A in the A-B-C correction). 18,250 (the start of the larger wave structure). 6. Key Levels to Watch Support: 19,425 (lower channel boundary and current support). 19,392 (78.6% retracement of Wave 3). 19,359 (1:1 Wave C projection). 19,000 (psychological level and Wave 1 high; a break below this would invalidate the bullish count). Resistance: 20,276 (Wave B high and middle of the channel). 20,833 (previous high within the channel). 21,653.7 (Wave 5 target based on 0.618 extension). 22,250 (upper channel boundary and final Wave 5 target). 7. Conclusion with More Accurate Details Current Wave Position: The price is likely completing Wave 4 of a higher-degree impulsive wave, with the A-B-C correction nearing its end around 19,359–19,425. The deep retracement to 78.6% of Wave 3 (19,392) and the alignment with the lower channel support (19,425) provide strong confluence for a Wave 4 low. Next Move: If the price holds above 19,425 and breaks above 20,276, Wave 5 is likely underway, targeting 21,653.7–22,250. The RSI showing signs of a reversal (bullish divergence) supports this scenario. Trading Strategy: Bullish: Enter a long position on a confirmed bounce above 19,490.7, with a stop-loss below 19,425. Target 20,276 as the first level, followed by 20,833 and 22,250. Bearish: If the price breaks below 19,425, consider a short position with a stop-loss above 19,490.7, targeting 19,000 and potentially 18,448. Risk Management: The deep retracement in Wave 4 suggests higher volatility, so use tight stop-losses and monitor price action closely for confirmation of the next wave.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by MAKFX21