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US Tech (NDQ) / US Dollar

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NDQUSD trade ideas

STOCKS LOWER??This is what Im gauging on the NAS100, as well as the Dow Jones and SnP500 (even though the charts aren't presented). Technically, I see a 4H QM which sets the high, with the lows not giving the same HTF strength that the highs have given. We've got a nice trading range as price hasn't realigned for the stocks to show its true bullish direction to the ATHs, meaning I see this huge sell off continue until those lows have been ran. I see price printing lower. Fundamentally, I like to think of the worst case scenario for Trump and the season we're in currently, its made me nice trades. Lets see
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by JUGGSONGO
2
US100 Triangle Squeeze – Breakout or Fakeout?Hey Traders, Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, squeezing between rising support and descending resistance. Two potential bullish scenarios on watch: 🔹 Scenario 1: Breakout above triangle resistance with confirmation → Potential rally toward the 19,200–19,600 zone. 🔹 Scenario 2: Short-term rejection at resistance → Pullback to triangle support or the 18,370 level → Then bounce for continuation to the upside. If the triangle breaks to the downside, I’ll be watching the 18,000 and 17,600 demand zones for a potential reaction. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 18,800 / 19,200 / 19,600 Support: 18,370 / 18,000 / 17,600 ⚠️ Not financial advice – just sharing market insights. – Mr. Wolf 🐺 #US100 #NAS100 #DowJones #Indices #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by MrWolf10
NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest U.S. futures rose and the dollar strengthened after Donald Trump eased concerns that had been weighing on markets. He stated he has no plans to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite ongoing frustrations over interest rates. While this helped calm nerves, Bloomberg's John Authers cautions against viewing it as a major shift in sentiment. Trump also struck a more conciliatory tone on China, saying he intends to be “very nice” in trade talks and suggested tariffs could be lowered if a deal is reached—indicating a possible softening of his approach toward Beijing. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 19195 Resistance Level 2: 19600 Resistance Level 3: 20080 Support Level 1: 17820 Support Level 2: 17330 Support Level 3: 16700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
US 100 Index - Is 17404/749 Support Important?As European traders return from their extended Easter break they turn on their screens to find US assets back under pressure. The US 100 index dropped 2.2% yesterday to close at 17779, which included a late rally from a mid session low at 17570. These moves are potentially reflecting a growing unease around numerous important issues, including, a lack of progress in trade talks with US allies, US economic growth concerns and President Trump's on-going challenge to Federal Reserve independence. Looking forward, US 100 traders have a lot to focus on this week, Tesla reports its earnings after the close tonight, against a backdrop of weekend news reports which suggested it may be about to delay production of cheaper EVs. That aside, investors may also be focused on sales projections for 2025, autonomous driving plans and the impact of tariffs on the company's profitability. It may well be a similar story when Alphabet reports its earnings after the close on Thursday. Throw in the latest April Preliminary PMI Survey releases on Wednesday from the developed economies, which could well start to show the impact of tariffs on growth, business sentiment and inflation, and it is possible that the recent US 100 index volatility could continue across the week. Technical Update: Could Potential Support at 17404/17749 Be Important? As impressive as the 18% recovery in the US 100 index from the April 7th 2025 low to the April 10th 2025 high (16290 up to 19222) appeared, after the latest price weakness, this upside may prove to be a limited reactive move, although further confirmation may still be required. As the chart above shows, the latest upside strength saw the index back to what some traders may have viewed as an important resistance, marked by a combination of the declining Bollinger mid-average (18992 at the time) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the February 18th 2025 to April 7th 2025 weakness, which stands at 19258. With the latest price activity seeing weakness materialise again, it might now be suggested this potential resistance range remains the important focus on the topside, although much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends. With this in mind, what are the potential supports we might wish to monitor, to help us gauge how much further the current weakness may have to carry? Possible Support Levels: Fibonacci retracements can offer an insight into potential support zones, with them possibly able to hold, even reverse price weakness back to the upside. Therefore, 17404/17749, which is equal to the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of the April price strength, maybe an area traders are currently focusing on. However, there could still be potential for a further period of price weakness if this 17404/17749 range is broken on a closing basis. In that case, the next support may well then be represented by the April 7th 2025 session low at 16290, possibly further, if this in turn gives way. Possible Resistance Levels: The 17404/17749 support range is still intact, and while this remains the case on a closing basis, attempts at price strength could still be seen. However, with the declining Bollinger mid-average currently at 18648 and having recently seen it reverse attempts at price strength, closing breaks above this level might be required to trigger a more extended phase of strength. That said, as proved the case in early April, 19258, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, may also now need to give way on a closing basis, to suggest further attempts to develop price strength towards higher resistance levels. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100 - Stock Market Waiting for a New Stimulus?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index continues to move upwards towards the specified supply zone, one can look for further Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, financial markets experienced a brief sigh of relief as U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to ease tensions by signaling a limited retreat in the tariff war with China, sparking hopes for reduced friction. However, this optimism quickly faded once it became clear that Trump’s retreat was neither substantial nor impactful. From Beijing’s perspective, the trade war has transcended economic concerns, becoming an issue of national pride and sovereignty. As a result, China, the world’s second-largest economy, is not retreating as easily as Trump anticipated. This stance has evolved into a significant challenge for the White House. U.S. officials indicated that tariffs of 145% could be reduced within two to three weeks if an agreement is reached. Nonetheless, according to Chinese authorities, negotiations have yet to even begin, raising doubts about Trump’s negotiation tactics. Additionally, other concessions, such as reducing tariffs on American automakers, remain uncertain, and Trump has even threatened to raise tariffs on Canadian car imports. This environment not only fails to clarify U.S. trade policy but also deepens uncertainty for domestic businesses. Although the White House claims it is monitoring markets closely and Trump is eager to strike deals with key partners, these assurances have not alleviated concerns about the future of the U.S. economy. In the upcoming week, critical economic data could either intensify or ease current worries. On Tuesday, the Consumer Confidence Index for April and the JOLTS job openings data for March will be released. The highlight, however, will be the preliminary estimate of GDP growth, scheduled for Wednesday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasts a 2.2% annualized contraction in the U.S. economy for Q1 2025. Meanwhile, a Reuters survey of economists projects a modest 0.4% growth rate, a significant slowdown from Q4’s 2.4% growth. Accompanying these reports, the ADP private-sector employment data and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be published. The core PCE for March is expected to show a monthly increase of 0.1% and an annual rise of 2.5%, down from 2.8% previously. Personal spending is anticipated to maintain its 0.4% monthly growth, reflecting resilient household expenditures. Additionally, on Wednesday, the Chicago PMI and pending home sales figures will be released. Thursday will bring the Challenger layoffs data for April, but market focus will be on the ISM manufacturing PMI, expected to drop from 49 to 47.9. The week’s main event will be Friday’s release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Forecasts suggest job growth will slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.2%. Wages are projected to rise by 0.3%.If NFP and PCE data come in weaker than expected, market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in June could intensify, although the likelihood of a cut in May will remain low. Such data would likely be bearish for the U.S. dollar but could support equity markets if recession fears do not dominate sentiment. Some Federal Reserve officials have suggested that if economic conditions deteriorate significantly, rate cuts could start as early as June. Currently, the Fed has maintained high rates to combat inflation but may lower them to support growth and prevent a sharp rise in unemployment if necessary. Trump’s trade wars pose a dual risk of increasing inflation while hurting employment, complicating the Fed’s monetary policy strategy. Presently, the Fed is in a “wait-and-see” mode, but several officials indicated last week that cuts could begin if economic data worsens. Beth Hammack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, told CNBC on Thursday that the Fed might lower rates starting in June if signs of economic weakening due to Trump’s sporadic tariffs appear. Christopher Waller, a Fed Board member, stated on Bloomberg TV that he could foresee rate cuts if the labor market collapses but does not expect such a scenario before July. On Thursday, Waller remarked, “It would not be surprising to see an increase in layoffs and a higher unemployment rate, especially if major tariffs return. I would expect faster rate cuts once signs of severe labor market deterioration emerge.” These comments highlight the Fed’s current dilemma as it awaits clearer evidence of significant economic fallout from Trump’s trade wars. The Federal Reserve’s mandate is to maintain low inflation and unemployment levels. Its primary tool, the federal funds rate, influences borrowing costs across the economy. The Fed can stimulate growth by lowering rates or curb inflation by raising them. Economists warn that Trump’s tariffs present the risk of simultaneously driving up inflation while damaging employment, forcing the Fed to prioritize which challenge to address first.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🧐 Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path 🏦, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment. 1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture 🗺️ The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively. A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating. 2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure 🏗️ My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4). This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area. Anticipated Scenario: I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it. Point of Interest (POI): The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. 👍 3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15): Entry Confirmation Trigger 🔫 The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level). What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows). Confirmation Signal: For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for: A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high). Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level. Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary). Synthesized Outlook & Strategy: The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback. The Strategy: Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). 🧘‍♀️ Confirmation: Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). 📉 Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry. Targets: Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. 🎯 Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. 🛡️ Fundamental Check: cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. 📰
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
3
Nasdaq - This Is Still Not The End Yet!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) cannot resist bearish pressure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past three months, we saw such a harsh correction on the Nasdaq that a lot of people are freaking out entirely. However technicals already told us that something feels wrong and this is the result. If we see another -10% from here, buying the dip will most likely pay off. Levels to watch: $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
13
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend. Key Technical Observations: The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns. Notable price levels include: - Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation) - Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low) - Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices Market Dynamics: The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way. Trading Considerations: A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion. The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions. Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels. Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by wdstrades
25
NSDQ100 INTRADAY trend change supported at 18950 Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 19590 Resistance Level 2: 20070 Resistance Level 3: 20344 Support Level 1: 18460 Support Level 2: 17820 Support Level 3: 17330 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NASDAQ-100 (NDX) daily analysis by TradingDONAlright, folks: here’s my take on today’s 15‑minute CAPITALCOM:US100 action—Buckle up.📈 **When the Market Faked Us Out** I was watching price flirt with a fresh high up around 18,500–18,550, but it couldn’t stick. You know that moment: the rally teases you into thinking bulls have taken over, then promptly rolls over. I marked the false higher‑high with a tiny red “X” on my chart—classic stop‑hunt before the reversal. In plain English: institutions swept buy stops, then handed off into those get‑rich‑quick hopes. **Key Zones:** - **Premium (18,800+):** Smart money sells here—price always stalls or dumps. - **Discount (18,000–18,100):** Institutions buy the dip—bounces here carry weight. **FVGs & Stop‑Hunt:** I’ve got Fair Value Gaps around 17,600–17,750 that act like magnets on a pullback. The drop to 17,562.6 was a classic sell‑side stop hunt before the big reversal. - Distribution hit the Premium zone. - Accumulation’s brewing in the Discount zone + FVGs. - That sweep of 17,562.6 was classic smart‑money stop‑hunt + scoop. - 💡My long at ~17,880 sits at a neat support confluence—so, for now, I’m leaning bullish to the next structural level. *This is my educational breakdown of ICT concepts—not trading advice. Do your own homework and manage risk.*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by iamtradingdon
NASDAQ: Stop the noise. Long term investors are buying here.Nasdaq may be recovering on its 1D technical outlook but remains bearish on the 1W (RSI = 37.616, MACD = -451.790, ADX = 38.564) as the timeframe is still under the dramatic effect of the 3 month correction. The market however appears to be finding support a little over the 1W MA200 and may turn out to be the new long term technical bottom as the 1W RSI rebounded from oversold grounds. The last three times that happened, the index rose aggressively. The 15 year pattern is a Bullish Megaphone and every rally inside it obviously gets stronger. As long as the market is holding the 1W MA200, the trend will be bullish and this is the right opportunity to buy for the long term, aiming at another +113.90% bullish wave (TP = 36,000) to get hit towards the end of 2027. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
2
Nasdaq 100 Prepares for Launch — Reclaiming Critical GroundNAS100 8H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 💻🧠 OVERALL TREND 📈 UPTREND — Structure is shifting bullish. Recent higher lows and strong rebounds from April lows confirm the current upward momentum. This is supported by 12/13 Moving Averages flashing BUY , including critical 50- and 200-period EMAs/SMA clusters. MACD and Momentum indicators also favor continued upside. 🔴 RESISTANCE ZONES 22,248.00 — 🔴 SELL STOPLOSS | Final Pivot High 21,955.77 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 2 21,364.19 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 1 🎯 TARGETS & BUY ORDERS 21,065.42 — 🎯 TP4 | EXIT THE RALLY 19,989.54 — 🎯 TP3 | Momentum confirmation 19,291.55 — 🎯 TP2 | Mid Pivot Zone 18,286.55 — 🎯 TP1 | Initial Profit Target 17,258.99 — ✅ BUY ORDER 1 16,630.74 — ✅ BUY ORDER 2 16,335.10 — ✅ BUY STOPLOSS | Pivot Low 🟢 SUPPORT STRUCTURE PIVOT LOW @ 18,286 — Support holding for now PIVOT LOW @ 17,258 — Strong confluence with previous structure BUY ORDER zones between 16,330 – 17,258 — Demand cluster for reversals 🤓 STRUCTURAL NOTES MACD shows bullish divergence with a rising histogram and crossover confirmation Momentum (+694) and RSI (66.69) suggest strength, though nearing overbought territory Price has reclaimed 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 MA levels — rare alignment of major trend confirmation Only outlier: Hull MA (9) signaling short-term overextension — may suggest brief consolidation before continuation 🌍 GLOBAL TECHNICAL SUMMARY 📊 12 of 13 Major Moving Averages = BUY 📈 MACD & Momentum Oscillators = BUY 🧭 Majority of Oscillators = Neutral — supporting a “calm before breakout” thesis ⚖️ CCI shows slight overbought = caution near resistance zones 📉 No major bearish divergence detected — trend remains intact TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📈 Bullish Bias above 18,286.55 (TP1) targeting 19,291.55 (TP2) and beyond 📉 Bearish rejection likely near 21,065+ if volume fades — monitor RSI/MACD 👀 Watch for volume confirmation as we approach 19,989.55 🧪 STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE BREAKOUT ENTRY: — Entry: 18,286.55 — TP Levels: 19,291.55 / 19,989.55 / 21,065.42 — SL: Below 17,258.99 RISK-ON DIP BUY STRATEGY: — Buy Zone: 16,630 – 17,258 — TP: 18,286.55 / 19,291.55 — SL: Below 16,335.10 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ProfessorCEWard