Nasdaq analysis: 20-Jan-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
NDQUSD trade ideas
The key is whether it can be supported at 21673.4
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Important factors when analyzing charts are
- Support and resistance points
- StochRSI indicator
If you have the above two factors, I think you can analyze the charts quickly and briefly.
Support and resistance points should be drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
You can analyze the chart by checking whether the line drawn in this way is supported or not while referring to the movement of the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart.
The 21673.4-22013.5 section, which is indicated as a high point boundary section, is likely to act as resistance.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is important to see if it can break through the high point boundary zone upward.
In other words, we can see that the high point boundary zone is more likely to act as resistance.
The volatility period is expected to occur around January 29.
Therefore, in order to maintain an upward trend, it must show support at the high point boundary zone after the volatility period.
If not, it will eventually fall.
At this time, what we should pay attention to is the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
The longer the StochRSI indicator remains in the overbought zone, the more likely it is that the StochRSI indicator will show a large decline if there is a slight price decline.
When the StochRSI indicator falls to or below the 50 point, if it shows support at around 21673.4, it is highly likely that it will show an upward trend by breaking through the high point boundary zone upward.
To maintain the current short-term uptrend, the price needs to stay above 21068.2-21321.9.
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The settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The source value is ohlc4.
With these settings, you can see the movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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NASDAQ short anticipation I projected the Long few days back. Now I'm anticipating a reversal from that daily key-level. I won't be shorting aggressively, I would wait for rejection from that zone then look for sell opportunity
NASDAQ One more low to go.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down since the December 16 2024 High. So far it has made two Lows and each one bottomed after the 4H RSI made Double Bottom as seen on the chart.
Right now the 4H RSI just turned oversold below 30.00, so technically we still have room for one last Low before we see a rebound. We expect the next Bullish Leg to target at least 21300, which is marginally below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that formed the previous two Lower Highs of the Channel Down.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Trump's inauguration sends the Tech sector's 'time to shine'The 2nd inauguration of Donald Trump (now to sworn as the 47th president of the United States) is here and expected to take place on Monday, January 20, 2025.
Crowds are gathering in Washington DC in freezing conditions ahead of this most anticipated over past several months event.
Tech sector stocks are about to have a welcome moment also.
The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 indicates here's "time to shine" as positive fundamental and technical catalysts converge.
A rising potential for AI monetization via agentic AI as a technology can autonomously accomplish complex tasks on the user's behalf.
The fact is that widespread AI adoption has happened heavily more rapidly than PC and internet adoption in prior major technology cycles, which could mean that AI is closer than expected.
As a result, qualitative commentary on ramping up enterprise AI adoption during earnings calls will likely evolve into indications of incremental revenue boosts this year, before more meaningful monetization as early as 2026, they add.
Such a trajectory would likely be a welcome development for many AI investors who expressed worries last summer after pouring such huge amounts of money into the tech with little signs of a return on investment.
In technical terms, Tech heavy Nasdaq-100 futures has been supported a week ago by 100-Day SMA, and now an epic breakthrough of the Reversed Head-and-Shoulders technical figure is coming.
Descending Bearish channel seems is clearly broken in this time.
NASDAQ 100 Overview
🚀 US100 Analysis: Testing Key Levels 📊
The US100 remains in a strong long-term uptrend on the daily, but recent weakness has emerged as we approach a key order block and important support zone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the intermediate trend is bearish, so patience is key for disciplined traders.
👀 Levels to Watch
🔹 Upside Trendline Touch: 21450 : This could act as a liquidity grab, signaling potential opportunities.
🔹 Ichimoku Cloud Break: A break above the cloud may suggest strength, but the thin cloud warns against overconfidence in this signal.
📈 Short Setup in Focus
• We are monitoring price action closely at the top resistance zone.
• On the 4-hour chart, retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the December 16th downtrend is a key level to keep on your radar.
⚡ Volatility Alert: January Insights 🌪️
Historically, January is a volatile month, and 2025 has been no exception! Expect more movement until the month closes. This close will likely set the tone for the next 11 months 📅.
🎯 Trade Strategy
Counter-trend longs? Not at this time.
For larger accounts, consider risking 0.3–0.4% for a speculative move higher, only if you’re comfortable with potential losses.
📚 Learn & Grow
Big things are coming!
We’re launching an educational platform to share the secrets behind our analysis. Follow us for updates and precise entries into the short setup
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) before trading. 📌
Let me know if this strikes the balance you’re aiming for!
ustec buy trade The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move
Ending the day by a NQ shortGood trades are not easy trades ! Minimize risque to end the day in green or bleue !
US100 POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.786 Fib area. Based on Daily and 4HR TF, the market seems to be a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
US100 Trade LogMarket Context:
- The CPI session’s top wick aligns with a 4H FVG rejection , signaling a high-probability short setup. Oscillators confirm exhaustion, supporting bearish momentum.
Trade Parameters:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum .
- Base Risk: 1% account risk for initial positions.
- Additional Risk: Two half-contract size positions added, bringing total risk to between 1% and 2% to capture extended targets if price runs higher.
Missed Entry:
- Ideal short entry at the 0.5 level of the FVG , confluenced with the daily Kijun resistance. Hesitation led to a missed opportunity.
Retracement Importance:
- Small retracements, while frustrating, are necessary to sustain upside momentum. They provide clean re-entry points for continuation trades.
Conclusion:
- Strategic use of added risk positions and focusing on high-probability zones like FVGs and Kijun levels is crucial for optimizing profits.
idea
This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
US100US-100 Analysis Recap
Weekly Chart Overview
• Trend: The US-100 remains in an ascending channel on the weekly chart, respecting key trendlines. There are arguments for the presence of two overlapping channels, both of which have been marked for analysis.
• Current Outlook: The previous consolidation appeared to suggest a potential move down toward the lower boundary of the channel, but recent price action indicates this is unlikely. Instead, the next significant target could be around 23,280, contingent on the continuation of bullish momentum.
• Fibonacci Levels: Using the bullish wave that began on 9th September, the recent bounce aligns with the 0.382 retracement level at 20,700, which has shown strong support and adds to the case for bullish continuation.
Daily Chart Overview
• Trend: On the daily chart, price has broken out of a Rising Price , with significant bounces off a daily order block at 20,700–20,713 After testing support on the 100EMA. This level aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish wave, often a critical make-or-break zone for bullish retracements.
• Elliott Wave Analysis: Applying basic Elliott Wave principles, the price action suggests that the consolidation from 30th October may have marked the end of Wave 2, with the next potential Wave 3 targeting the upper channel boundary around 23,550. This projection aligns with the expected characteristics of a strong impulse wave.
• Key Patterns: The consolidation pattern resembles previous corrections observed in July 2023 and October 2023, marked by lower highs but with eventual breakouts into bullish continuations.
4-Hour Chart Overview
• Trend: The price has broken out of a descending trendline wedge but currently sits at a 4-hour order block. While these are not as significant as daily order blocks, they may still act as resistance or support.
• Next Steps: A deeper retracement could occur, potentially testing the trendline or sweeping liquidity below the descending trendline before moving higher.
• Fibonacci Extensions: The price is nearing the 100% extension level of the recent downward move, which could act as a short-term resistance. Any push higher may target the lower boundary of the daily channel before a retracement, offering an opportunity for long entries near 21,486–21,137.
Exclusive Indicator Insights
• Weekly Buy Region: After weeks of no activity since 16th December, the Weekly Buy Region indicator has printed its first green bar, signaling a potential shift toward bullish activity. If the coming week also prints a green bar, it would strengthen the case for a breakout and continuation toward higher levels.
• Daily Buy Region: The Daily Buy Region indicator has not yet shown buying activity, reflecting a lack of short-term confirmation. However, early signs of market strength suggest that this may change soon.
• Proprietary Tools: These custom indicators are invaluable for identifying areas of buying and selling activity, giving a clear edge in market positioning. While we don’t reveal the full methodology behind these tools, their accuracy and application are integral to our analysis and setups.
Summary
The US-100 shows strong signs of bullish potential, with the weekly channel holding and a critical bounce from key Fibonacci and order block levels. However, near-term resistance levels suggest that some retracement or liquidity grabs may occur before the next significant bullish wave.
Key levels to watch:
• Support: 20,700 (daily order block), 21,137–21,486 (retracement zone for long entries).
• Resistance: 23,280 (upper weekly channel boundary), 23,550 (Wave 3 projection).
💡 Stay Ahead of the Game
Our proprietary indicators, including the Weekly and Daily Buy Regions, have been developed to identify key zones of activity with precision. These tools enable us to capture actionable opportunities in real-time and are especially effective for major indices like the US-100.
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For more insights and refined strategies, stay connected! Watch as we demonstrate the power of our indicators and provide actionable setups. Don’t miss out—stay ahead of the market with real-time updates and in-depth analysis! 🔥
NAS100 ICC Long Trade SetupNas is showing strong buyers presence by breaking recent highs, I'd enter buys if Nas breaks above the next high giving us indication to push higher.
SL HIT ON NASDAQAs I post my winning trades, I'm going to post my losing one, so people, especially beginners know that trading isn't always wins and wins, and no strategy always brings back profits for you.
Every strategy has downsides and upsides, this is the first thing I teach to my students who fully understands it.
In case you wondered how I trade, I'm a reversal based trader. hich means I trade reversals, ans as every strategy it works 80% of the time and having a losing day of the week, but the unforgivable thing is to let your emotions take over your trading and lose all the profits you made.
The first thing I teach is don't let your emotions take over your trading, and don't make more than 2 losing trades a day. STICK TO THE PLAN.
Follow for more!
4-hr NASDAQ: 1000 Points Drop on the RadarToday is CPI day, and technical analysis often falters on major news days. Nevertheless, here's our take on the US Tech 100: we anticipate a potential drop of 800-1,000 points. December's Fed comments triggered a selloff, with bears dominating the index for weeks. The strong downward momentum aligns with Death Cross patterns—short-term moving averages crossing below long-term ones, a classic sell signal.
We’re also monitoring a Descending Triangle pattern. If the price breaks below the support line, theory suggests a drop equal to the triangle’s height. Adding weight to this bearish view, the price recently tested, broke, and closed below the crucial 61.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A break below this level often signals a trend reversal rather than a correction. Based on these setups, we foresee the US100 dropping to 20,000 or lower.
However, if CPI data comes in below expectations, all this could change, and the index may spike north by 400-600 points.
NAS100 Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 21,543.12.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 22,044.19 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NASDAQ // countertrend breakThe market is at the countertrend break.
There is a clean (not tested) H4 breakdown close to the highest daily peak that needs attention and position management, but above that, the target fibo levels are valid targets.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
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Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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Actionable Nasdaq insights: 17-Jan-2025Rise and shine, traders! End your week trading with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
US100 T/Aprice action has been respecting this channel to date so I wouldn't be surprised to see it stay inside for another while. 👽
Possible Buy Opportunity on NAS100Price seems to be in the reversal phase and is showing an impulsive move to the upside. We wait for the pullback to the level to take the trade.
NAS 100 Analysis Based on the technical analysis of US 100 Cash CFD appears to be trading near a key support level, suggesting a potential reversal. Multiple bounce points on this support level (marked with circles) indicate its strength. The entry point is strategically set just above the support, with a target price (TP) of 21,200, aligning with a previous resistance level. A tight stop-loss is placed below the support to minimize risk.
Fundamentally, potential catalysts for this trade might include positive economic data or earnings reports, which could drive market sentiment higher. However, monitoring broader market trends and news related to tech-heavy sectors is crucial to validate this setup.
Note This Analysis Fir Education purpose Only trade safe thanks must support
NASDAQ (US100): Bullish Momentum Poised for New HighsThe NASDAQ (US100) continues to display strong bullish momentum, having recently broken above its previous higher high. The price has since retraced to test this level as support, aligning with the structure of a proposed ascending channel. With no bearish signals currently evident, the index shows potential to establish a new high.
*Trade responsibly and implement proper risk management strategies.
USTECH - SELL CALLMarket is making series of LH and LL. DXY is Bullish which further confluence to bearish trend. market is 4H support level. if this breaks, market will test FIB Extension Levels as mentioned. market has also rejected from trend line resistance. HAPPY TRADES and ENJOY WEEKEND CALL.
