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US Tech (NDQ) / US DollarUS Tech (NDQ) / US DollarUS Tech (NDQ) / US Dollar

US Tech (NDQ) / US Dollar

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NDQUSD trade ideas

NASDAQ 🔍 Market Overview: Instrument: US Tech 100 (NASDAQ 100) Timeframe: 15 Minutes Current Trend: Short-term downtrend, indicated by the descending trendline connecting recent lower highs. 📉 Trade Setup (Short Position): Entry Point: 22,700 Price has broken below the trendline and a horizontal resistance zone around 22,750–22,770, confirming bearish pressure. Stop Loss: 22,770 Placed just above the previous resistance and trendline. A break above this level would invalidate the downtrend structure. Target: 22,070 This level aligns with a previously tested demand/support zone, offering a logical take-profit area. 📊 Risk/Reward Analysis: Risk: ~100 points Reward: ~640 points Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:6, which is excellent and indicates a high potential reward relative to the risk. 📌 Technical Observations: Trendline: Clearly established downtrend with lower highs. Breakout Confirmation: Price rejected from trendline + horizontal resistance = confluence zone. Volume & Momentum (not shown but advisable to check): Traders should confirm the breakout with increased selling volume or bearish momentum indicators (e.g., RSI dropping below 50 or MACD crossing down). ✅ Conclusion: This is a well-structured short (sell) setup with: Clear trendline rejection, Defined entry, stop loss, and target, A favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
IG:NASDAQShort
by IbrahimTarek
Bollinger Bands: How to Stop Being a Slave to the Markets.Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis indicator widely used in trading to assess the volatility of a financial asset and anticipate price movements. Created in the 1980s by John Bollinger, they consist of three lines superimposed on the price chart: The middle band: a simple moving average, generally calculated over 20 periods. The upper band: the moving average to which two standard deviations are added. The lower band: the moving average to which two standard deviations are subtracted. These bands form a dynamic channel around the price, which widens during periods of high volatility and narrows when the market is calm. When a price touches or exceeds a band, it can signal an overbought or oversold situation, or a potential trend reversal or continuation, depending on the market context. What are Bollinger Bands used for? Measuring volatility: The wider the bands, the higher the volatility. Identify dynamic support and resistance zones. Detect market excesses: A price touching the upper or lower band may indicate a temporary excess. Anticipate reversals or consolidations: A tightening of the bands often heralds an upcoming burst of volatility. Why is the 2-hour time frame so widely used and relevant? The 2-hour (H2) time frame (TU) is particularly popular with many traders for several reasons: Perfect balance between noise and relevance: The H2 offers a compromise between very short time frames (often too noisy, generating many false signals) and long time frames (slower to react). This allows you to capture significant movements without being overwhelmed by minor fluctuations. Suitable for swing trading and intraday trading: This TU allows you to hold a position for several hours or days, while maintaining good responsiveness to take advantage of intermediate trends. Clearer reading of chart patterns: Technical patterns (triangles, double tops, Wolfe waves, etc.) are often clearer and more reliable on H2 than on shorter time frames, making decision-making easier. Less stress, better time management: On H2, there's no need to constantly monitor screens. Monitoring every two hours is sufficient, which is ideal for active traders who don't want to be slaves to the market. Statistical relevance: Numerous backtests show that technical signals (such as those from Bollinger Bands) are more robust and less prone to false signals on this intermediate time frame. In summary, the 2-hour time frame is often considered "amazing" because it combines the precision of intraday trading with the reliability of swing trading, thus providing superior signals for most technical strategies, particularly those using Bollinger Bands. To summarize Bollinger Bands measure volatility and help identify overbought/oversold areas or potential reversals. The 2-hour timeframe is highly valued because it filters out market noise while remaining sufficiently responsive, making it particularly useful for technical analysis and trading decision-making.
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
NASDAQ Bulls Defend Pivot – Can 23,000 Break Next?USNAS100 The Nasdaq 100 is currently holding above the pivotal 22,720 level, supported by market optimism amid recent tariff-related developments from the White House. Bullish Scenario: Sustained price action above 22,720 keeps bullish momentum intact. A break and 1H close above 22,815 would confirm strength, opening the path toward the psychological milestone and potential all-time high at 23,000. Bearish Breakdown: A 1H or 4H close below 22,720 would invalidate the bullish bias and strengthen downside pressure, with initial support seen at 22,615 and deeper correction likely toward 22,420. Key Technical Levels: • Resistance: 22,815 · 23,000 • Support: 22,615 · 22,420
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ Potential Bearish Reversal Analysis NASDAQ Potential Bearish Reversal Analysis 🧠🔻 The chart illustrates a potential bearish setup forming after a recent uptrend in NASDAQ. Let's break it down professionally: 🔍 Technical Overview: Ascending Trendline Break ✅ Price had been respecting a steady ascending trendline. A break below this trendline indicates a possible momentum shift from bullish to bearish. Bearish Pattern Formation 🔷 A bearish flag/pennant-like formation can be observed after the sharp rise. This consolidation followed by a breakdown could be a continuation pattern, hinting at further downside. Resistance Rejection 🔴 A red arrow marks a clear rejection from the resistance zone near 22,800 USD. Strong wick rejections and bearish candles suggest selling pressure at that level. Support Turned Resistance (SUPPOT 🛑) The previously broken support zone is now acting as resistance (note: "SUPPOT" appears misspelled—should be "SUPPORT"). Bearish Target Zone 🎯 The chart marks a "TAEGET" zone (should be "TARGET") near the 21,900 – 22,000 USD range. This aligns with prior consolidation and demand zones, making it a likely area for price to retrace. 📌 Key Zones: Resistance (Rejection Area): 22,800 USD Current Price: 22,739.7 USD Bearish Target Zone: 21,900 – 22,000 USD ⚠️ Conclusion: The market shows signs of a bearish reversal with a confirmed trendline break, resistance rejection, and bearish pattern formation. If the price fails to reclaim the 22,800 level, there’s a high probability of downward continuation toward the 22,000 target.
IG:NASDAQShort
by MrStellanSight
1
Pullback before next leg up NASDAQ’s looking weak short term. We’ve seen multiple rejections from the highs, an M pattern forming on the daily, and RSI divergence creeping in on the daily — momentum is clearly fading. I already took profit around 21980. And a few small swings between the range since 3rd of June. The rally off the tariff drop was sharp, but it feels mechanical. Bulls look tired here. You can see price is stalling — pushing into the same highs but getting nowhere. Classic signs of distribution. That said, this isn’t the start of a full-blown bear market. The long-term trend remains bullish. AI investment is still piling into the U.S., tech’s still leading globally, and structurally we haven’t broken down yet. Some weakness is starting to show though. But short term, I think we see a pullback. The Fed’s still sitting on the fence with rate cuts, which is creating uncertainty. Add that to the current geopolitical tensions, and there’s enough on the table to justify a temporary risk-off move. If price breaks and closes above 21,860, I’ll reassess and potentially shift back to a bullish bias. Until then, I’m leaning short and letting price action do the talking. My key downside levels: TP1: 21,483 — scale out and protect. TP2: 21,322 — potential bounce from this area. TP3: 21,145 — structure starts to weaken. TP4: 20,894 — bears starting to control and a deeper flush, I’ll reassess bias at this level. SL @ 21850 on my second entry short Short term: pullback likely. Big picture: still bullish — but bulls need to reset before any next leg up.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by In-de-trend
1
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily • Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill) o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus. o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages). o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns. • Seasonality o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks. • Monthly structure o Strong bullish monthly candles. o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852. • Weekly / Daily structure o HH-HL sequence continues. o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300. o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet. ________________________________________ Key Levels • Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH) • Recent swing high: 22,900 • Daily pivot: 22,470 • Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP) • Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish) ________________________________________ My View – Most Likely Path 1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone. o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs. o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus. 2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300: o Expect strong rejection from that zone. o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs. o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation. 3. Alternate scenario (less likely) o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH. o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend. ________________________________________ Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing Intraday Long (Most Likely) • Bias: Bullish continuation • Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP) • Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up • Stop: Below 22,300. • Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300. ________________________________________ Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal) • Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab • Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300 • Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle • Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation). • Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates. ________________________________________ Swing Long (Continuation) • Bias: Bullish trend intact • Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up. • Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates). • Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above. ________________________________________ Swing Short (Only if structure breaks) • Trigger: Daily close below 22,200 • Bias: Bearish trend shift • Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA. ________________________________________ Summary – My Final Opinion Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by In-de-trend
1
Nasdaq100 Bulls ready to drive the price to 23,300 handle With the choch on the market structure and with Key data released on Thursday, reflected strength in the U.S. economy. Stocks rose this Thursday, buoyed by fresh economic data reports and a slew of corporate earnings releases. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has advanced 0.4%, and quarterly earnings reports released this week have exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, fueling investor confidence. I am expecting that by the end of this week or the beginning of next week will see the bulls drive the market to our 23,300 handle. I am with the bulls on this one Tp1.23,300.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by que
NAS100 Forecast 24HAs of Tuesday, July 15, 2025, 2:03:11 AM UTC+4 the forecast for US100 (Nasdaq 100) in the next 24 hours presents a mixed outlook, with underlying bullish sentiment but caution due to ongoing market dynamics and potential for short-term pullbacks. Factors Contributing to a Bullish Bias: Underlying Strength and Breakout Behavior: Despite some short-term bearish technical signals, the Nasdaq is described as being in "breakout mode," decisively overriding key levels. This suggests underlying bullish momentum. AI as a Growth Driver: Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a primary growth driver for the US economy and the technology sector, which heavily influences the Nasdaq 100. Confidence in secular tailwinds like cloud computing and semiconductor demand also persists . Temporary US Dollar Weakness: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a retracement phase, pulling back after strength. A weaker dollar can provide a relief rally for risk assets like the Nasdaq, making US tech stocks more attractive to international investors. Potential for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: While no rate cuts are expected over the summer, a rate cut is considered likely in September. Historically, phases of moderate interest rate cuts in the absence of a recession have been positive for the US stock market. "Buy on Dip" Mentality: Some analyses suggest that any short-term declines could be viewed as buying opportunities, indicating an underlying positive sentiment among investors. Strong Earnings Expectations (for some tech): Despite general market concerns, some technology companies associated with AI innovation are expected to perform well, contributing positively to the index. Factors Suggesting Caution and Potential for Bearish Movement/Volatility: Escalating Trade Tensions (Trump's Tariffs): President Trump's continued aggressive protectionist stance and new tariff threats (e.g., against Canada) are a significant risk. These can create uncertainty, weigh on corporate profits, and lead to market volatility. This is frequently cited as the main risk for US indices. Short-Term Technical Bearishness: Some technical analyses indicate a high chance of bearish candle closures across various timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly) , and some traders are eyeing selling opportunities from specific resistance zones (e.g., around 22,800-22,869). Overvalued Growth Stocks: Following a recent rally, US stocks, particularly growth stocks, are trading at a premium to fair value. This can limit upside potential and make the market more susceptible to corrections if tariff negotiations falter or earnings guidance disappoints. Market Seasonality: As we move into the latter half of July, market seasonality can shift from bullish to a more bearish stance. Earnings Season and "Sell on the News" : While major financial institutions are kicking off Q2 earnings season, there's a potential for a "sell on the news" response, even if earnings aren't particularly bad, given the strong rally stocks have already staged. Mixed Global Signals: European markets showing mixed performance and pressure from US futures suggest cautious global risk sentiment, which could cap upside for the Nasdaq. Unfilled Stock Imbalances: Some technical analysis points to an unfilled stock imbalance around 22,300, which could act as a reaction point if the price pulls back. Key Levels to Watch (Approximate): Support: 22,600, 22,300 (unfilled imbalance), 21,611 (resistance-turned-support), 20,673 (Fibonacci extension and prior high). Resistance: 22,800, 22,869, 23,000-23,100 (potential re-entry targets for rally continuation), 25,000-25,100 (approximate imbalance level to be filled). In conclusion, for the next 24 hours, the US100 is likely to face a battle between underlying bullish momentum driven by AI and potential Fed policy, and the immediate headwinds of escalating trade tensions and some short-term technical bearishness. Traders should be prepared for volatility and quick shifts in sentiment based on news flow, particularly regarding trade and upcoming earnings reports. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500. Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained. The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength. This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets. As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights. Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures. The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain. Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change. According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%. If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
NASDAQ - Long Bias explanation and Entry/SL/TP ideasTrend : NASDAQ is in a strong uptrend at the moment Retail : Majority have a BEARISH sentiment on this pair Institutions : Increase in week over week holdings Structures : No structures as we are at highs so targeting recent formed high + round number above makes sense Price action : Sitting on a support shelf at the moment Targets : Recent high + level at round number (23000) Stops : Many options to place stops below Entries : Positive bounce at current level, decent entry zone but further possible entry levels sit below too If trading on a shorter timeframe, perhaps the gap fill is a good point to take the trade off the table. Targeting higher than 23 might be dangerous as we are playing around at ATHs
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Gamblers-Fallacy
NASDAQ - BUYS📉➡️📈 USTEC 15min – Precision Long After Panic Drop 🎯 Reversal Detected | No Hesitation | Immediate Follow-Through Markets don’t always give second chances. But when they do — you want to be ready. This sharp drop on USTEC (NASDAQ 100) looked brutal to most... But the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion indicator calmly printed a double UP signal at the exact low. 🟢 The Signal: Two “UP” Prints at the Bottom After a fast and aggressive drop, the system triggered two stacked UP signals right into the final selloff candle — giving clear guidance for a high-probability reversal. 🔹 Hypothetical Trade Setup: Entry: On confirmation of the second UP signal Stop-loss: Below the signal wick (minimal drawdown) Reward: Price surged immediately, offering a strong rally of over 100 points in minutes ⏱️ No delay. No doubt. ✅ Traders were positioned before the herd caught on. 🧠 What Makes ELFIEDT Different? This isn’t about standard indicators. This is exhaustion logic fused with a proprietary RSI-based reversion model that works across indices, FX, metals, and more. 📌 Non-repainting 📌 Context-aware 📌 Built for real entries, not just “nice charts” 🔐 This is the public build. The private builds include even more firepower: Multi-timeframe confluence Smart volatility filters Divergence overlays Breakout-retest logic Institutional grade scalping layers 📩 DM to request access — limited spots, serious traders only. #NASDAQ #USTEC #ReversalTrading #SmartSignals #ELFIEDT #RSIBounce #15MinStrategy #TradingView #Indices #Tech100
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by ElfieTrader