NDQUSD trade ideas
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
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☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18700
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
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🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
• 3245 – Equal highs
———
🩸No rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force.
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
US100 Technical Analysis by TradingDONHere’s the CAPITALCOM:US100 lowdown: That “bullish reversal??” tag’s throwing up a question mark because nothing’s set in stone yet—if the market holds above the 18,400 sweep low and starts pushing past recent swing highs around 18,650–18,700, especially knocking off that short label near 18,700, it could kickstart a short-term bullish turn; but if it rallies into that 18,700 zone and then stalls or flips, we’re still in bearish territory, with a likely retest of the 18,400 level or even a deeper dive to snag more liquidity.
Oversold but Not Safe – NAS100 Bears Still in Control
Currently trading below the 20-day SMA (middle of Bollinger Bands), indicating bearish momentum.
Support zone: ~17,600 (recent lows and high volume area)
Resistance zone: ~18,800–19,200 (middle Bollinger Band & recent highs)
Failure to break above 18,800 and another test of 17,600 could lead to continuation downward, possibly toward 17,000–16,800.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest Tech stocks tumbled after the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia chip exports to China and ASML posted weaker-than-expected results, sparking renewed trade war fears. The selloff wiped out $155 billion in market value between the two companies.
Meanwhile, China is holding off on trade talks, wanting the U.S. to take certain steps first—like toning down harsh rhetoric from officials—according to a source familiar with Beijing’s stance.
U.S. stock futures trimmed losses after that China news but still point to a lower open due to the tech slump. The dollar slid to a six-month low, while investors moved into safe havens, gold hit a record high and the Swiss franc gained.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19200
Resistance Level 2: 19550
Resistance Level 3: 19870
Support Level 1: 17250
Support Level 2: 16773
Support Level 3: 16300
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Incoming fall and riseNasdaq is struggling to move past the 19200 and 19000 barriers, and this may lead to a bearish correction aiming for 17,886 and 17,333 support. If price action does fall, the 17k region will be the likely barrier, which may spearhead the bullish continuation targeting 19,700 and 20,200.
Currently, price action is rising from 18,500, trying to reach 19,200 and 19,000. As long as price action is under the 19k zone, the bearish correction may likely occur. Failure to fall and finding strength above the 19k barriers, the indice may continue its upward trajectory!
Exclusive Analysis: Key Reversal Zones & Time Targets for NAS100Dear Trader,
I’m excited to share my latest analysis of $Subject with you! This report uses advanced mathematical strategies to pinpoint potential market reversals—both in price and timing—to help you trade smarter.
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✅ Price Targets: Clear horizontal lines mark key support/resistance levels (north/south targets).
✅ Timing Tools: Vertical lines highlight potential reversal times (UTC+4 time zone) with +/- 1-2 candle accuracy.
✅ Actionable Tips: Monitor the 5M/15M charts for high-probability reversal signals like:
Doji
Double Top/Bottom
Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
Hammer/Inverted Hammer
Morning/Evening Star
Shooting Star
Triple Top/Bottom
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Stay Connected for More:
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On the chart numbers are printed those are for Reversal of Time
328, 391, 400, 463, 424, 472, 535, 295, 520, 319, 544
And these are Key price levels
Bear. Bull
18694.55 18733.46
18679.82 18748.22
18645.66 18782.46
18577.45 18851.05
18509.36 18919.76
18441.40 18988.60
18373.56 19057.56
18305.85 19126.65
18238.27 19195.86
18170.80 19265.20
17902.21 19543.79
17635.61 19824.39
17371.01 20106.99
17108.41 20391.59
16847.81 20678.19
16589.21 20966.79
16332.62 21257.38
16078.02 21549.98
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
USNAS100 30M CHART PATTERN echnical Analysis Summary
Chart Pattern Observed:
The chart shows a clear ascending triangle pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern. This is formed by a horizontal resistance level (around 19,550) and a rising trendline (higher lows), suggesting buying pressure is building up.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 19,550
Support Trendline: Rising from ~19,050 to current level
Current Price: ~19,580
Breakout Target: 19,800.00 (as marked)
Interpretation:
Price has tested the 19,550 resistance multiple times without breaking lower significantly, indicating strength.
A breakout above this resistance would confirm the bullish triangle pattern.
The projected target, calculated using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level, is around 19,800.
Volume confirmation would further strengthen the breakout's validity (not shown here).
Potential Strategy:
Buy on breakout above 19,550, ideally with volume confirmation.
Take Profit: Around 19,800, per the measured move projection
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s the detailed breakdown of the US100 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX):
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,383
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,220
Point of Control (POC): 19,291.79
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 19,220 to 19,300 (heavy acceptance).
Low-volume gaps: Above 19,400 and below 19,200 — price can accelerate through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at: Above 19,400 (recent swing highs). Below 19,200 (recent breakout area).
Order absorption zones: Around 19,291 (POC) and 19,220 (high bid absorption).
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 19,382 (testing resistance with moderate volume).
Swing Low: 19,220 (breakout launch pad).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 and DI+ > DI-, confirming strong bullish momentum.
CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + bullish candles = Strong demand and genuine buying pressure.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support: 19,291.79 (POC) 19,220 (VAL & previous demand zone)
Resistance: 19,382-19,400 (current tested highs and potential breakout point)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Gann Swing High: 19,382
Recent Gann Swing Low: 19,220
Key retracements: 1/2 level: 19,301 1/3 level: 19,274 2/3 level: 19,328
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Strong Bullish (confirmed by rising ADX and CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Ascending Channel: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows inside the purple channel.
Breakout retest: POC retest around 19,291 before moving higher.
No major topping signals yet — still holding structure.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,290–19,310 (near POC support zone)
Targets: T1: 19,400 (swing high breakout) T2: 19,500 (measured move from channel)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,220 (below VAL and previous swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,380–19,400 (at resistance failure)
Target: T1: 19,290 (POC retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,450 (above resistance breakout trap)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of trading capital per trade.
Gold Vs. Nasdaq, since 2022Fairly clear here that Gold and Nasdaq correlated in direction until December 2024, at which time the equities market peaked. The two continued to correlate in trend direction until February, where, after several years divergence finally occurred.
Gold continues upward, equities continue lower. This seems to be a clear indication that equities, in this case the Nasdaq, will continue into downward correctional territory while Gold continues into a positive trending direction.
Is a reversal about to happen?Hello, traders
Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle.
If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below).
If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H).
Trend remains down.
Entry 19300
TP 18300 below
Target 14k.
Trendline break out NAS100## Entry
- Enter on 4H confirmed trendline breakout
- Look for retest of broken trendline as support
- Ensure price remains above key MAs on 4H
- Verify with increased volume on breakout
## Risk
- Stop below recent swing low/structure
- Risk 1-2% capital
- Size position accordingly
## Targets
1. 20000- 20200 as psychological level
2. 200 MA on daily timeframe
3. 1.5x risk-reward ratio
## Management
- Wait for clean 4H breakout confirmation
- Move stop to breakeven after momentum continues
- Trail stop as price advances toward targets
- Scale out at major resistance levels
NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Earnings season: In my view, it's irrelevant in terms of the data itself! It reflects the pre-tariffs era. Market is always looking forward. However, it gives market the opportunity for a relief, consolidation and rebalancing. So beside the kneejerk reaction, uncertainty is in the driver seat.
2- Trump's policies: The 90-day pause has a big chance to become an Eternity pause. Cracks inside Trump's team about the impacts of these tariffs on their own corporations will make them fleeing Trump's boat. Hence, the rational supporting the Eternity pause. This said, we'll see many tweets highlighting how much Trump is winning to feed his mindset.
3- Key economic data: Economic data will take over the driver seat. Recession and Inflation are the key data for market. Bad data is bad for Equities and vice-versa.
4- FED: Rate cut has increased probability during the next meeting, but for the wrong reasons. Both Trump and market will continue their pressure on the FED. This pressure is translated via Sell-off of stocks and equities.
5- Risk: Beside the uncertainty context, I think agreements between Iran-USA and Ukraine-Russia are underway. This is positive for equities. Gold is your indicator in this front.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
- Not much to update from two weeks ago analysis! Price is in its way to complete Wave 2. Crumbles left.
- Price broke out and closed above the 90-day pause weekly/daily candle. This tells you a continuation up is expected but not too much left in the upper side.
- Economic Data will drive the move. This might last 1-2 weeks.
Daily TF:
- Green daily close with a small size candle.
- A consolidation period is expected to end this Wave 2. So there is no rush to jump in the sell side to catch the top of Wave 3. Here is a good opportunity for swing position that you can build incrementally as the price creates LL from lower TF up to Daily and Weekly TF.
GL!
Price breaking out of a wyckoff balance to go unbalanceMy approach the market was pointing out market had found a balance zone starting on April 9th- today. Today I notice high volume on the bull side towards one of the resistance points which it broke and retraced. One it started to retrace I went to the smaller time frame to look for a sniper entry( 5min bullish and strong delta candle stick rejecting of a low volume node and the session vwap ). The balance zone was $1450 wide so it should go imbalance for the same amount or close. This trade is really a 25rr but im going for 8rr to pass my 2nd phase in my challange. This trade will not hit instill like Wednesday maybe even to the end of next week.
The Interest Rates Paradox and How it'd Predict a Market Top NowIt is a common assumption that higher interest rates naturally slow economic expansion and cool overheated markets.
However, the historical record over the past 50 years tells a more nuanced story when it comes to bubbles. In several major crashes—the dotcom bubble, the U.S. housing bubble, and the Japanese Nikkei bubble—a pattern emerges: monetary authorities began increasing rates well before market tops were reached.
Surprisingly, instead of slowing the market in the short term, these rate hikes coincided with a parabolic run-up in asset prices .
The paradox lies in the fact that while rising rates are expected to dampen market exuberance, during these bubbles, they coexisted with—and arguably even fueled—frenzied market behavior.
This paradox has played out yet again over the last years. With us seeing not only the parabolic rally phase during the interest rate hikes but also us having a current agreement with the interest rates and equites topping at the same time. As with all previous market tops. As we sit here today, we have followed the interest rate topping paradox to the letter.
Let's look more into it.
Historical Patterns and the Paradox
The Early Phase: Initial hikes into a heating up market.
In each of these historical cases, central banks initiated rate hikes as part of a broader strategy to temper what they viewed as emerging economic imbalances. In the late 1980s, for instance, the Bank of Japan began tightening monetary policy as asset prices soared, anticipating overheating in the economy. Despite these early rate increases, the Nikkei continued its upward trajectory, ultimately reaching its peak in December 1989. This pattern was echoed in the U.S. during the dotcom era. Leading into the 2000 peak, the Federal Reserve started to raise rates to control inflationary pressures—even as the technology-heavy market rallied to unsustainable heights.
The pattern has always been similar. Markets are starting to get hot and perhaps there's some unwanted consequence of this (like inflation). So the central bank takes actions to cool things down with the interest rate hikes. Although there have been reactions from this in the near term, overall the trend has become stronger and stronger during the hike cycle.
Let me give you an example to add some context. Alan Greenspan is famous for the "Irrational exuberance" comment. He said that in 1996! The Nasdaq absolutely boomed from there for another 4 years. What had happened before was nothing compared to what came after the interest rate hikes started.
The Parabolic Reaction: Markets Defy Conventional Logic
What seems paradoxical is that rather than a smooth deceleration, markets often reacted to these rate hikes with an intensified speculative fervor. During the dotcom and housing bubbles, small increases in rates did not immediately curb investor optimism; instead, they appeared to add urgency, fueling a belief that the market was resilient enough to outperform despite higher borrowing costs. The market’s parabolic rise in asset prices during periods of tightening monetary policy is counterintuitive, suggesting that investors were less influenced by the immediate cost of capital and more driven by momentum and fear of missing out.
By the high of these rallies it was firmly believed that this was a sign the uptrends would continue. Indeed, they could only get stronger as the interest rates came back down.
....Nah uh. Wasn't how it went all!
And we find ourselves in a strongly similar situation now in 2025.
Leveling Off and the Market Peak
It gets weirder still when you notice rather than markets slowing down on rate cuts they highs of the equites rallies always came rate increases eventually plateau.
Historical data shows that when interest rates stabilized—often within a narrow band of around 5% to 6.5%—this stabilization coincided with the market reaching its absolute peak. In these instances, the plateau did not signal the end of the monetary tightening cycle; rather, it marked the culmination of the bubble. Market participants, having pushed prices to their limits, were suddenly confronted with a reversion, as the underlying economic fundamentals could no longer justify the inflated asset values.
Knowing what happened before does not let you know what will happen in the future, but it's worth knowing. It may well just end up being useful in the future. In every instance of a big market top in the last 50 years the pattern was interest rate hikes and parabolic rallies in this phase, when the hikes stopped the first market sell off began.
We have an exact matching of these conditions now.
The Bear Market and Rate Easing
Once the market had peaked, and the bubble burst, central banks found themselves in a difficult position. In response to the ensuing economic downturns, monetary authorities were compelled to cut rates dramatically—even as equity markets remained subdued. This rapid reduction in rates was aimed at stabilizing economies and stimulating recovery, yet it often came too late to salvage the once-insatiable market exuberance. The inversion of the earlier paradox—where rate hikes were accompanied by soaring markets—serves as a stark reminder of the complexity of monetary policy in times of speculative excess.
All you have to do is look at any of the interest rate charts for the crash in question and it's clear to see these both peaked and reversed around the same time. During bubbles, historically correlation with equities and interest rates is close to prefect. From the start of our interest rate hikes to now, this has continued to apply.
A play out of the historical norms for this would now see rates continue to drop with equities dropping alongside them (Overall, maybe rallying on the news now and then).
Which would make this a rather risky time to be buying the dip.
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Realistic Examples of the Paradox
=================================
Nikkei Bubble (Late 1980s):
Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan initiated rate hikes to cool a rapidly expanding economy and soaring asset prices.
Market Behavior: Despite these increases, the Nikkei continued its parabolic climb, peaking in December 1989.
Aftermath: Following the bubble’s burst, rates were cut sharply as the market entered a prolonged bear phase.
Dotcom Bubble (Late 1990s to 2000):
Monetary Policy: In response to rising inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve began increasing rates before the bubble reached its zenith.
Market Behavior: Rather than curbing exuberance, the rate hikes coincided with an acceleration in market gains, contributing to an unsustainable rise in tech stock valuations.
Aftermath: The eventual plateau in rates occurred as the market hit its peak, soon followed by a dramatic downturn when investor sentiment shifted.
U.S. Housing Bubble (Mid-2000s):
Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s gradual rate increases were part of an effort to moderate the housing market’s explosive growth.
Market Behavior: Housing prices continued to rise, reflecting an underlying confidence in the market that outpaced the modest increases in borrowing costs.
Aftermath: When rates eventually leveled off, the market was near its peak, and subsequent rate cuts during the bear market underscored the stark reversal of fortunes.