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NDQUSD trade ideas

Bearish Alert: Nasdaq’s Downtrend May Deepen Beyond 5%Hey Realistic Traders, Will CAPITALCOM:US100 Bearish Trend Stop? Let’s Dive In.... On the H4 timeframe, Nasdaq continues to follow the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 . Both trend analysis tools clearly signal a bearish trend. The downtrend may persist as a rising wedge pattern has formed, followed by a breakout and a MACD crossover. Based on these technical signals, I anticipate a potential downward movement toward the first target at 19,077. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the decline continues toward a new low at 18,544. This outlook remains valid as long as the price move below the stop-loss level at 20,080 Besides technical factors, U.S. President Donald Trump still intends to implement new reciprocal tariff rates on April 2, adding further uncertainty to the market. This could limit growth potential and contribute to an inflationary environment by increasing the cost of imported goods. Given this uncertainty, we believe the market will continue to decline. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
2
NASDAQ: 4H MA50 broke. Time for a full recovery.Nasdaq is still bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.669, MACD = -426.120, ADX = 56.837) but crossed above its 4H MA50. The last time a bearish wave of this Channel Down crossed above the 4H MA50 was on August 9th 2024. It was achieved again after an oversold 1D RSI bounce and initially hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then peaked on the 1.382 Fib extension. The trade is long, TP1 = 21,500 and TP2 = 23,400. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
3
NASDAQ Bullish Reversal (Potential Tariff Resolution?) NASDAQ price action went through a massive correction with a drop from the top worth approx. 14%. However after the passing of the latest FOMC Meeting, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape. This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the 4 HR and shorter timeframes. Trade Plan : Entry @ 20045 Stop Loss @ 19070 TP 0.9 - 1 @ 20923 - 21020
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by LevelsBySBT
US100 Downtrend Analysis & Key LevelsAfter analysing the US100 chart, the index has been trading within a downtrend channel since Friday, February 21, 2025. After dropping to 19,131, it attempted a recovery but faced strong resistance at 19,957, leading to a decline. As the saying goes, “ Follow the trend—the trend is your friend. ” Given the ongoing downtrend, US100 may continue to decline toward the next strong support level at 18,489. Ensure you adhere to proper risk management for long-term success. Happy Trading
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SpicyPips
NSDQ100 The Week Ahead 24th March '25NSDQ100 bearish & oversold, the key trading level is at 20090 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NDX Trading-RoadMap Weekly • Context: Overall uptrend from 2022 is intact but under pressure as price slipped below some key weekly moving averages and trendline supports. • Key Takeaway: The bigger picture has not fully turned bearish yet, but momentum has cooled. If the weekly chart remains above ~17,800–18,000, that “long‐term uptrend” viewpoint is still viable. Daily • Trend: Lower highs and lower lows (short‐term downtrend). Price is below the 200‐day SMA (~20,300) and also below the 50/100‐day SMAs (~21,000). • Focus: Watch if price can reclaim the 200‐day SMA (20,200–20,700 zone) on a daily closing basis. That’s a major pivot for a potential reversal to the upside. • Support: 19,000–19,200 is the near‐term floor; losing that puts 18,400–18,800 in play. • Resistance: 19,900–20,100 (initial supply), then 20,200–20,700 (200‐day + Fib). 4H (Shorter‐Term) • Recent Development: A bounce off ~19,150. MACD turned bullish on 4H, RSI improved from oversold. • Trendline: The steep 4H downtrend line has been broken; price is testing overhead supply near 19,900–20,000. • Key Focus: Does the 4H momentum carry price above 20,000+? If so, next stops are 20,200–20,700. If it stalls, watch for a return to ~19,200 or lower. 2. Key Levels to Track 1. Immediate Support Zones • 19,600–19,700: Minor 4H pivot / mid Bollinger band on 4H. • 19,000–19,200: Major short‐term floor; also a bullish order block from prior lows. 2. Deeper Supports • 18,400–18,800: Strong demand if 19k fails. • 17,800–18,000: Critical weekly zone, where the longer‐term uptrend would truly be at risk. 3. Immediate Resistance Zones • 19,900–20,100: Overhead supply on Daily/4H; first real challenge for bulls. • 20,200–20,700: Major confluence (200‐day SMA, Bollinger mid band on Daily, Ichimoku lower cloud boundary). • 21,000–22,200: Larger daily/weekly supply if the index fully recovers. 4. Fibonacci Confluences • From the larger swing: 50% retracement ~19,893. • From the smaller daily swing: 23.6% ~19,886, 50% ~20,706. • Keep an eye if price clusters or reverses around these fib levels. 3. Indicators You’ll Watch Each Day • Daily Ichimoku: Price below the cloud → short‐term bias still bearish. A daily close back inside/above the cloud (~20,200–20,400) would be a significant bullish sign. • Daily MACD: Still negative, but flattening. A bullish crossover on the daily could confirm the 4H bounce is turning into a multi‐day uptrend. • Daily RSI: Hovering near 40–45. If it reclaims 50+, that’s a better sign of daily upside momentum. • 4H MACD: Already bullish; watch if it remains that way or starts to roll over near resistance. • 4H RSI: Currently ~45–50 or slightly higher. Over 60 would reinforce short‐term upside. • Volume / OBV: See if up moves come on higher volume or if OBV slopes upward. That would show genuine buying pressure. 4. Daily Checklist / “If‐Then” Triggers Use this section as a morning or intraday reference when you see price approaching certain zones. A) Bullish Attempt • IF price breaks above ~19,900–20,000 THEN: • Check for 4H or daily candle close above that zone. • Confirm if 4H MACD/RSI remain bullish. • Potential next target: ~20,200–20,700. • IF price subsequently closes above 20,200–20,300 THEN: • This reclaims the 200‐day SMA → a bigger shift to bullish. • Daily RSI likely near or above 50. • Next target: ~21,000–21,500, with an eye on the 22k supply zone. • IF 19,600–19,700 holds as support on a pullback, THEN watch for 4H bullish patterns to confirm a bounce. Potential to re‐attempt 19,900–20,000. B) Bearish Continuation • IF price rejects ~19,900–20,100 (4H or daily closes back under 19,600) THEN: • Expect a drift back to test 19,200–19,000. • Check if 4H RSI crosses below 40, MACD turns down again. • If that zone fails, 18,800–18,400 is next support. • IF daily closes below 19,000 THEN: • The bullish bounce scenario is invalidated. • Target a deeper move to 18,400–18,800, possibly 18,000 if momentum is strong. 5. What to Avoid 1. Over‐Leveraging: With the index near pivotal levels, volatility can spike. Keep position sizes within your risk tolerance. 2. Chasing Mid‐Zone: If price is between major zones (e.g., 19,600–19,700), entering randomly without a clear signal can lead to whipsaws. Wait for a confirmed break or test of a zone. 3. Ignoring Conflicting Timeframes: Weekly vs. Daily vs. 4H may conflict. If you see a 4H bullish signal but daily is still firmly bearish, manage risk accordingly (e.g., smaller size, quicker profit targets). 6. Risk Management & Positioning • Stop Placement: • For short‐term trades, use 4H ATR (~300 points) or place stops just beyond key swing highs/lows. • For swing trades, consider daily ATR (~400–450 points) to avoid normal intraday noise. • Targets: • Set at least two profit objectives. For bullish trades, T1 near 20,200–20,300, T2 near 21k+. For bearish trades, T1 near 19k, T2 near 18.4k. • Moving Stops to Breakeven: • Once T1 is reached or a clear pivot forms in your favor, consider moving your stop to entry to lock in any open profit. 7. Potential News/Events That May Override Technicals • U.S. Economic Data: Watch for major releases (CPI, Fed announcements, Tech sector earnings). These can create sudden volatility that breaks your technical zones. • Global Sentiment Shifts: If risk aversion hits equity markets broadly, NDX could gap lower through supports. Alternatively, any strong bullish news in major tech names could swiftly break resistances. 8. Weekly Summary Action Plan 1. Check Weekly & Daily: • Are we still below the daily 200‐SMA (~20,300)? If yes, short‐term momentum is likely bearish unless proven otherwise by the 4H breakout. • Is the index forming a weekly candle that regains the prior trend channel or 50‐week SMA? That would be a bullish sign. 2. Monitor 19,900–20,100 & 19,000: • These levels will dictate a lot of the week’s direction. A break above 20,000 on solid volume is your bullish trigger; a fail at 19,900 or a breakdown below 19,000 reaffirms the bearish narrative. 3. Intraday (4H) Observation: • If price hovers between 19,600 and 19,900, remain cautious until a decisive push emerges. • Use the 4H MACD/RSI to gauge if momentum is building up (or rolling over). 4. Risk Profile Guidance: • Aggressive: Trade around 19,600–19,700 with tight stops, aiming for quick breaks. • Moderate: Wait for 4H closes above or below key pivot zones (19,900–20,000 or 19,200–19,000). • Conservative: Look for daily closes beyond 20,200 or under 19,000 before committing to positions. 5. Adapt & React: • If you see a bullish break that fails intraday (price wicks above 19,900 but closes back below 19,600 on a 4H candle), that’s a potential short signal. • Conversely, if price dips intraday to 19,200–19,300, but the 4H closes back above 19,600, that’s a potential bullish reversal cue.
NASDAQ:NDX
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Nasdaq 100: First Stage of a Major CorrectionThe Nasdaq 100 has plummeted over 11% from its record high of 22,222. With prices now testing key support at 19,437, the index closed slightly higher at 19,753 (+0.39%) on Friday. However, weakness remains evident, indicating the first stage of a potential major correction. Historically, corrections unfold in four stages as part of a healthy market reset. If support at 19,437 holds, a short-lived rebound could target 19,932, 20,054, 20,433, 20,744, and potentially 21,050. Failure to maintain this level could trigger stage two, aiming for 17,825. Historical patterns suggest a possible four-stage correction of around 33%, targeting approximately 14,835.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Rotuma
US100 NASDAQ TRADE IDEA 24 MARCH 2025The Nasdaq 100 (US100) recently broke below its long-term ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in market structure. A Break of Structure (BOS) around the 19,800 level suggests that sellers are taking control, with a possible retest of the 19,700 - 20,200 supply zone before further downside. The price action indicates a liquidity grab above 20,758, followed by strong bearish momentum, confirming institutional participation. Additionally, a fair value gap (FVG) between 19,000 - 18,155.9 suggests that price may seek to fill this imbalance before reaching demand at 18,155.9 - 17,699.3, with a deeper support zone at 16,572.0 acting as a key target for bearish continuation. From a fundamental perspective, ongoing US-China trade tensions, particularly restrictions on semiconductor exports, could weigh on major tech stocks such as Nvidia and AMD. If China retaliates with bans on rare-earth metal exports, it could disrupt global supply chains, further pressuring the Nasdaq 100. Additionally, Federal Reserve policy uncertainty plays a crucial role. If inflation remains stubbornly high, the Fed may delay rate cuts, leading to higher bond yields, which typically make riskier tech stocks less attractive. This environment could drive further downside for Nasdaq-listed companies. Moreover, the upcoming earnings season presents another risk. If major tech firms like Apple, Microsoft, and Google report weaker-than-expected earnings or issue cautious forward guidance, investor sentiment could deteriorate, accelerating the bearish trend. Given this confluence of technical and fundamental factors, a short trade setup becomes favorable. The ideal entry would be around the 19,700 - 20,200 supply zone, with a stop-loss above 20,500 to invalidate the bearish setup. Take profit targets include 18,155.9 (first demand zone), 17,699.3 (major liquidity level), and 16,572.0 (higher timeframe support and strong demand zone). However, if price reclaims 20,500+, a bullish reversal may occur, with potential upside towards 22,138.3. This trade aligns both Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and supply and demand principles, while also factoring in macroeconomic risks that could influence Nasdaq 100 price action in the coming weeks.
SKILLING:US100Short
by karabompesi
NQ: Weekly/Daily AnalysisGood Week and Day! Finally, buyers showed up late Friday and market opened with a gap up. Both Asian and European sessions continued the move up. We should expect NY session to continue up. Few notes here: 1- As I mentioned it few times now, this is not "buy the dip", this is just to allow large hands to clear their positions. The chart identifies the VA area to sell. 2- The ST/MT/LT outlooks for all US Equities is Sell. Unless, major change happens to US policy (i.e., tariffs, bullying) which it has 0.0001% chance! The self-inflicted destruction is so amazing! Three months ago, US economy was almost the only solid economy worldwide! 3- April 2nd: tariffs come into effect. 3- Money is fleeing US market towards BRICS and European Markets. So, for this week, price will continue up until 20500-20700 area. We have key economic data to fuel the move up. But it won't change anything fundamentally. The damage is structural. So good news is good news for Equities, but bad news it will be neutral.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by OTM-Fadhl