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US Tech (NDQ) / US Dollar

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Technical Breakdown on US100 (1H) TIME FRAMETechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 21,280 Value Area Low (VAL): 21,190 Point of Control (POC): 21,259.75 High-Volume Nodes: Dense volume between 21,200–21,260 indicating consolidation and potential distribution. Low-Volume Gaps: Below 21,100 down to 20,800 — fast movement zones with limited participation. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters: Above 21,300 (recent swing high zone and consolidation top) Below 21,190 (VA Low, likely stop cluster from long positions) Absorption Zones: Strong absorption near 21,000 and again around 20,800 (marked by reversal attempts with high delta volume) c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing Highs: 21,291 (confirmed by peak CVD and high rejection) Swing Lows: 20,060 (prior major volume base and support) d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Bearish Bias emerging (CVD divergence at highs, falling structure) ADX Strength: ADX > 20 + DI- > DI+ → Confirmed downtrend in progress CVD Confirmation: Falling CVD + Bearish Price Action = Clear supply dominance 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 21,190 Lower POC: 20,060.91 Resistance: VAH: 21,280 POC: 21,259.75 b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Gann Swing High: 21,291 Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 20,060 Retracement Levels: 1/2 = 20,675 1/3 = 20,537 2/3 = 20,812 → aligns with minor absorption 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bearish (confirmed by ADX > 20 + falling CVD and price) b) Notable Patterns: Distribution Zone forming at highs (flat top) Descending Channel (Bear Flag) forming after topping — potential continuation lower Rejection from POC + VAH convergence = strong signal for supply takeover 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (watch for reversal confirmation): Entry Zone: 20,800 (channel bottom/absorption + Gann 2/3) Targets: T1: 21,000 T2: 21,190 (VAL retest) Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (confirmed trend setup): Entry Zone: 21,250–21,280 (POC + VAH) Target: T1: 20,800 Stop-Loss (SL): 21,320 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade to maintain long-term equity curve health
FX:NAS100
by ProspireWealth
How to Master Premium & Discount For Better EntriesA lot of traders talk about premium and discount, but very few actually know how to use it properly. Most just draw Fibonacci tools on random legs and try to catch reactions at the 61.8% level. That kind of trading lacks structure and context. If you're serious about using Smart Money Concepts the right way, then you need to understand where value exists in the market and how to position yourself accordingly. This guide is all about mastering the premium vs discount model using a 4H bias, entries on the 1H or 15M, and refinements based solely on Fair Value Gaps. No order blocks. No guessing. Just clean structure, displacement, and a focus on institutional logic. Establishing a Valid 4H Dealing Range Your entire analysis starts with the 4H chart. That’s where you define the dealing range, the leg of price that caused a significant shift in market structure, usually confirmed by displacement and a break of a previous swing. To do this correctly: Identify a 4H swing high to swing low (or low to high) that broke structure and created an imbalance. Anchor your range from that swing point to the extreme, this becomes your dealing range. Mark the 50% of this range — this is your equilibrium line. Everything above this midpoint is premium, everything below is discount. You’re not drawing fibs for retracement levels. You’re using them to separate cheap price from expensive price. Premium vs Discount: Why It Matters The logic is simple: institutions buy at discount and sell at premium. They don’t place large positions in the middle of the range, they accumulate when price is cheap and distribute when price is expensive. Once you’ve marked out your 4H range, you now have a framework: Price in discount (below the 50%) = potential buy setups. Price in premium (above the 50%) = potential sell setups. The key is to only look for trades in the right part of the range. If price is in premium and you're trying to long, you're working against smart money. If it's in discount and you're trying to short, you're fading accumulation. Refining the Setup on 1H or 15M Once price enters the zone you’re interested in, premium or discount. Drop to the 1H or 15M charts to look for entries. But we’re not trading any structure or supply/demand zone. We’re only interested in Fair Value Gaps. Why? Because FVGs are the cleanest way to spot imbalance — they show where price moved too aggressively and left inefficiency behind. Here's what to do: Watch for displacement on 1H or 15M once price taps into the 4H premium or discount zone. The move should break short-term structure and leave a clear FVG. Wait for price to retrace into that FVG. Entry is placed inside the gap, preferably in the upper or lower third depending on direction. Your invalidation is the low or high of the displacement move. The FVG gives you a clean risk-to-reward setup that is backed by structure, context, and smart money intent. Example: Long from Discount Let’s say price is trading inside the discount zone of a 4H bullish dealing range. You now drop to 15M and see a sharp move higher that breaks structure and creates a clean 15M FVG. Now you wait. If price retraces into that gap and shows some form of reaction (volume, reaction wick, or small lower timeframe shift), you have a valid long. The trade is high probability because: It’s inside 4H discount The 15M displacement confirms smart money is stepping in The FVG is your refined entry zone Target is always the next liquidity pool inside premium. Example: Short from Premium Opposite logic applies. If price trades into the premium zone of a 4H bearish range, you drop to 1H or 15M and wait for displacement to the downside. When you get a strong bearish move that leaves behind a Fair Value Gap and breaks intraday structure, you mark the FVG. When price retraces into it, you execute your short. Stop is above the displacement high. Target is the first liquidity level inside discount, such as an old low or a clean equal low. Rules for FVG Entries (1H/15M) To keep your execution sharp, stick to these: Only enter FVGs that form from displacement moves. The FVG must break intraday structure. It must form inside the 4H premium or discount zone, no exceptions. Avoid FVGs that form in the middle of the range or during chop. Make sure higher timeframe context supports the direction. This filters out 90% of weak setups and forces you to trade in sync with value. Targets and Exits Where you enter is based on imbalance and structure, but where you exit is based on liquidity and the premium/discount model in reverse. If you long from discount, you should be targeting premium levels. If you short from premium, you should be targeting discount levels. More specifically: Look for old highs/lows Clean equal highs/lows Unfilled FVGs in the opposite zone This way, you’re always exiting into areas where the market is likely to reverse or stall, and not overstaying your trade. Conclusion Trading from premium or discount zones isn’t just a concept, it’s a framework that puts you in line with institutional activity. When you combine it with FVGs, you have a clean, mechanical way to structure your trades. Keep your bias on the 4H. Mark your ranges clearly. Drop to 1H or 15M only when price is in a valid zone, and only take entries on FVGs that form from strong displacement. If you stay disciplined with this model, you’ll avoid chasing price and start trading from areas of true value. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by TehThomas
66
US Tech 100 setting sight for ALL time highs - Target 23,671Buy the dip. Never fails as the American markets will always recover. The question is however, where is the bottom of the DIP and have I considered what risk to take if it continues to dip. That is what actually causes portfolios to get blown. However, I don't buy Dips. In fact, I don't buy low, sell high. I buy HIGH sell HIGHER. Always have always will. When momentum is on the way, it is better to get on the trend and ride it on up. And that is WHAT the US Tech 100 is showing or the Nasdaq. Technicals look great too. Inv Head and Shoulders Price>20 and 200MA Target 23,671 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:USTECLong
by Timonrosso
9
NDQ100 Bulls in Control – Eyes on Major Resistance Ahead!Nasdaq 100 (NDQ100) Daily Analysis – May 14, 2025 The Nasdaq 100 has made an impressive recovery, surging from its April lows and now heading toward a key resistance zone. Key Technical Insights: Support Held Strong: Price rebounded perfectly from the 20,288 support zone (marked in blue), showing clear buyer interest at that level. Clean Breakout Structure: The current rally is structured with higher highs and higher lows – a textbook bullish trend. Next Target: All eyes are on the major resistance zone near 21,300, which previously triggered heavy sell-offs in February. Volume + Momentum: Momentum is rising, and unless there's a sharp rejection near resistance, we might see a breakout continuation. Trade Plan to Watch: Bullish Bias: While price stays above 20,288, bulls are in control. Bearish Setup? Watch for rejection candles or divergence near 21,300 to consider a short-term pullback. What’s Your Take? Will NDQ100 blast through resistance or face another rejection like in Q1? Let’s discuss it below! Drop your trade setups, like, and follow for more clean price action charts. #ndq100 #nasdaq100 #indices #usmarket #priceaction #supportandresistance #breakouttrading #bullmarket #tradingview
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by FrankFx14
NASDAQ US100 Overextended? Waiting for the Pullback🚨 NASDAQ #100# Analysis 🚨 I'm currently watching the NASDAQ (US100) 📊, and in my view, it's looking overextended. Price is now trading into previous daily highs 📈 without showing a meaningful retracement. Historically, when we look back at the chart, we rarely see such strong rallies without some form of pullback 🔄. A healthy trend typically follows a natural rhythm — rally, retrace, rally or expand, pull back, expand again. In this case, that retracement is missing ❌, which raises caution flags for me 🚩. 🎥 In the video, I break down: Price action & market structure 🧩 The current trend 📉📈 A potential long opportunity — but only if price pulls back into my point of interest (POI) 🧲 and we then get a bullish break in market structure (BoS) 🟢. 🔒 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly!
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
2
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 21,250 Value Area Low (VAL): 20,850 Point of Control (POC): 20,847.54 (Previous), 20,084.76 (Earlier POC) High-volume nodes: Strong cluster near 20,850–21,000: confirmed price acceptance. Minor node around 21,235–21,250: current area being tested. Low-volume gaps: Between 21,050 and 21,150 – fast move area if price breaks. b) Liquidity Zones: Upside: 21,250 (new high, recent wick rejection) – likely stop clusters above. Downside: 21,000 – last breakout consolidation zone. 20,850 – absorption and prior POC zone. Absorption Zones: Significant delta volume activity near 20,850 – signs of large orders being filled. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Volume spike reversal high: 21,250 (upper wick + rejection) Volume spike reversal low: 20,850 (strong bounce) d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Confirmed uptrend, now showing signs of range-bound behavior post-breakout. ADX Strength: ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- earlier = strong uptrend. Currently flattening, indicating possible transition to range/consolidation. CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD during breakout leg, now diverging (sideways/slight dip) = demand exhaustion possible. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 20,850 POC: 20,847.54 Psychological & structural: 21,000 Resistance: VAH: 21,250 Previous intraday top: 21,243–21,250 b) Gann-Based Levels: Swing High: 21,250 Swing Low: 20,084 Key retracement levels (from 20,084 to 21,250): 1/2: 20,667 1/3: 20,472 2/3: 20,889 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish overall, transitioning into range-bound consolidation at the top. b) Notable Patterns: Channel/Wedge forming above 21,000 with downside risk to mid-level support. Potential double top near 21,250 with divergence in CVD. Volume gap retest likely if price slips below 21,100. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend continuation): Entry Zone: 21,000–21,030 (retest support + consolidation base) Targets: T1: 21,200 T2: 21,250 Stop-Loss (SL): 20,850 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm trend reversal): Entry Zone: 21,240–21,250 (supply zone + divergence) Target: T1: 21,000 Stop-Loss (SL): 21,300 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade for optimal capital preservation.
FX:NAS100Long
by ProspireWealth
Nasdaq100 (US100) Bearish Reversal Opportunity from ResistanceThe Nasdaq 100 is trading within a rising parallel channel on the 4H timeframe. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, showing signs of exhaustion near 21,240. This area also aligns with a psychological resistance zone and may attract selling interest. Trade Idea: A potential short setup is forming, anticipating a rejection from the upper trendline and a move back toward the lower channel support. Entry: Near 21,238 Stop Loss: 21,748 (above the channel) Take Profit: 20,009 (lower channel + previous support) Fundamentals: With tech stocks appearing overbought and rising interest rate expectations still looming, a corrective move in US indices may follow. Caution is advised around key economic releases. Call to Action: 👉 Follow for alerts on breakout/breakdown scenarios. 👉 Share this analysis to empower others with data-driven decisions. Engage with My Latest Trading Setup & Share Insights! NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Support: Like & follow for more trade ideas!
CFI:US100Short
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 13 May 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 21500.00 Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 20220.00 (which has been reversing the index from March) and the resistance trendline of the Ascending Triangle from April. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction 2 from last month. Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 21500.00 (target price for the completion of the active wave 2).
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by FxProGlobal
NASDAQ: Time for a 4H technical correction.Nasdaq is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.775, MACD = 371.830, ADX = 37.524) and has reached the top of its 4H Channel Up. The two HH that the pattern has both pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before the 4H MA50 provided the necessary support for the next bullish wave. Consequently we expect a small correction to at least the 0.382 Fib next (TP = 20,675). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestingScope
NDX - NOW IT IS ALMOST READYMorning, I was a bit gun shy this morning for that trade - there was no rejection of resistance and it kept going, luckily without confirmation I never entered. However we are now seeing the start of a potential confirmation to retest down to previous support. Hourly: Oversold RSI with two tops forming. Volume is starting to dip and has rejected higher volume profile. Momentum is starting to top out just waiting to see if it wavers downwards. Just waiting on that candle to close lower on the hourly and will continue following if our RSI crosses the EMA point. I know being patience sucks but its better than loosing money! Enjoy
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by mindfullylost
Perspective CheckOANDA:NAS100USD | OANDA:SPX500USD – Perspective Check We’ve moved nearly 5,000 points from the April lows on NASDAQ, and over 1,000 points on the S&P 500. Yet despite that clear, tradeable move, many are still waiting — either for a crash that hasn’t come, or a runaway rally that already happened. Let’s keep it simple: Say you caught just 50–60% of the NASDAQ move. That’s 2,500 to 3,000+ points. If you layered in properly, shaved risk, locked profits, and rode the structure, that’s meaningful ground gained — not theoretical, not hindsight — just reactive, structured trading. But here’s the friction point: The hardest psychological shift isn’t finding entries. It’s accepting when: You’re wrong The market has changed It’s time to let go of a losing bias Ask around, and you’ll hear it: “I want it to drop because my TA says X” or “I need it to break even — I’m stuck in a position” That’s not analysis. That’s hope. We always return to this principle: Trade what’s happening, not what you want to happen. Take profits, not chances. You don’t need the full move. You just need enough of it, often enough, with a process that protects your edge. The rest is just noise dressed up as conviction.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Rizq-FX
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Bearish Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 21200 🩸 Key Reasons for Entry: ☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap). ☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence. ☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure. ☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level. 🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed. 🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR Status: trade active 👌
FX:NAS100Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1