As per the call outs for the last few days, Nasdaq has been pushing out nicely. Before you follow someone either Long or Short ask yourself, the following things,
- Do I understand their reasoning for taking the trade, and therefore my reason for being in the trade. - Do they trade on the same time horizon as me, short, mid or long term trade. - Do they trade in the same manner , scalping, intraday, swing, or positional.
If after all that you are confident in taking your own trade (as it is your own account you are using not theirs) , do you understand what success and an exit will look like and what failure and the exit will look like. (Basic risk management)
If you are following blindly and loosing blindly, those who you follow will happily flip and flip to suit their own style or circumstance but this may not reflect your reality.
Minds is full of opinions and egos and well "mind-less-ness" do not be fuelled by desperation or emotion, but by logic and reasoning. Understand what the market drivers and levers are and how they impact your trading decisions. People "feeling like its too low , too high, too over bought, too over sold" is not how markets work. There are underlying assets that have real organisations evaluating if they deem them to be priced reasonably enough to keep purchasing based on potential value, or valued right , or valued too high based on potential value. Anyone stating its at a ATH and has to sell will do well to remember its climbed 3 times this week alone from an ATH to a new ATH, it does not mean that all underlying components of this index are over valued, whilst there is room to stretch markets will stretch and expand, until they find reason to halt or withdraw. This is usually event driven such as earnings or projected earnings risks, operating environments and overall economic risks.
Don't be that person who this its just some lines moving up and down and that's as simple as it is, it is this mentality that is proven in broker websites globally stating most users between 85-95% loose trading.
Level up your game and yourself through knowledge and understanding.
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US100 anyone here good at wave counting? I’ve revisited the weekly chart counting from the low of 2020. This years low was the start of wave 5 and I see this ending some where around 24-24500 but could get extended to 25600. Any thoughts?
NAS100 When you strip away the noise, the numbers tell a very different story than the headlines. From June 27 to July 18, net long positions more than doubled, climbing from 16,500 to 35,000 NET LONG contracts according to COT data. That’s a 112%+ surge in institutional buying in just over half a month — the kind of positioning shift that doesn’t happen by accident.
Yes, on July 25 we saw a brief bout of contract offloading, with total open interest slipping from 135,000 to 120,000 (a 10% volume reduction). But such pullbacks are often profit-taking within a larger accumulation phase, not the start of a structural downtrend.
Statistically, given this scale of accumulation, the probability of an immediate market collapse — the kind of “black swan” event that wipes out gains — sits closer to 1%. In other words: fear is cheap, conviction is expensive.
This is why serious traders focus on objective fundamentals: COT positioning, volume profile, and order flow etc etc etc — not emotional narratives like “the AI bubble will pop” or “prices are too high to sustain.” Markets don’t crash simply because the crowd feels they should.
The data says institutions are buying. History says you want to be on their side.
Institutional Buying Zone Identified – Volume Profile & COT Data Alignment
Analysis of Week 1,2,3 of July (designated “Yellow Box”) revealed a substantial increase in institutional net long positioning, as reflected in public Commitment of Traders (COT) data. Net long contracts rose over 200%, climbing from approximately -net longs of 16,000 to 34,000 within the two-week period.
This accumulation phase, confirmed by volume profile structure, provided a high-probability long setup. Maintaining exposure through the full move would have delivered minimum a floating 1:20 risk-to-reward ratio. tradingview.com/x/dNQ5lJts/
NAS100USD some say, all moves up are fake pumps. some say Trendlines not gonna help ya, some say go short go short like 5 times in 2 days. some say ...u gonna be dying to know where ma's are in a recession. some say "kansas is flatter than a pancake!" the chart does not lie! how can u predict it's outcome? have a good weekend
NASDAQ If market goes against us, it is sometimes better to cut loss short, and then open a new position with a trend, as to wait until price comes back to you. This is what happened to me today. Trade safe , wish you all very profitable week ahead, and a happy weekend folks
NAS100USD 
USTEC 
