Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18030
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 17830
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
NQCUSD trade ideas
NASDAQ-100 (NDX) daily analysis by TradingDONAlright, folks: here’s my take on today’s 15‑minute CAPITALCOM:US100 action—Buckle up.📈
**When the Market Faked Us Out**
I was watching price flirt with a fresh high up around 18,500–18,550, but it couldn’t stick. You know that moment: the rally teases you into thinking bulls have taken over, then promptly rolls over. I marked the false higher‑high with a tiny red “X” on my chart—classic stop‑hunt before the reversal. In plain English: institutions swept buy stops, then handed off into those get‑rich‑quick hopes.
**Key Zones:**
- **Premium (18,800+):** Smart money sells here—price always stalls or dumps.
- **Discount (18,000–18,100):** Institutions buy the dip—bounces here carry weight.
**FVGs & Stop‑Hunt:**
I’ve got Fair Value Gaps around 17,600–17,750 that act like magnets on a pullback. The drop to 17,562.6 was a classic sell‑side stop hunt before the big reversal.
- Distribution hit the Premium zone.
- Accumulation’s brewing in the Discount zone + FVGs.
- That sweep of 17,562.6 was classic smart‑money stop‑hunt + scoop.
- 💡My long at ~17,880 sits at a neat support confluence—so, for now, I’m leaning bullish to the next structural level.
*This is my educational breakdown of ICT concepts—not trading advice. Do your own homework and manage risk.*
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio.
Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending.
Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey.
The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending.
A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before.
On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario.
Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession.
One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy.
The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index.
Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path.
Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
Downtrend looks to be continuing with a new lower highAre we targeting a new lower low? Time will tell, but with every passing day the true nature of a sitting president full of hot air comes to light. The words that are spewed will have less and less gravity on the markets until his words are put out onto deaf ears and the markets can get back to a functioning state. When you hear a liar speak the first time you don't know the words are lies, but eventually you just stop listening to the nonsense because it all seems like lies after. Either way the words hold little punch. Shock and Shock is the ploy, I guess? I'm not shocked any longer and maybe the markets will get it too eventually.
NQ: On its way to complete Wave 2NQ has completed both Initial and retrace swings of wave 2 and now NQ is in its way to complete the Impulsive swing.
We got a breakout and retest of the upper TL and price is moving up.
We have Manufacturing and Services data in a few.
1- Inline data: A shy retrace and continuation up/
2- Undershoot: Price might retest again the upper TL.
3- Overshoot: Direct move up.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 18,144.20 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 18,800.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 16,779.34 which is a swing-low support.
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NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRRisking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Definite downward trend. Great buying potential in near future.Hello all traders and learner charters. As you can see definite downward trend.
Some are even saying sell everything.
I added the five year percentages, as you can see its not very promising for the moment,
but definitely promising for anyone wanting to get into nasdaq or SP500.
There are seldom opportunities like this.
I would suggest to keep watching it, as a lot of people who rode the bull market after
Trump call, have taken there profits and sold. This trend will force others to sell as no one
wants to make a loss on nasdaq. So with that in mind, it will be red all over for a while I would say about two weeks maybe even more, but if you just keep on buying little amounts
DCA dollar cost averaging, you will get some good buying positions down low. And then hold them for the next few years. This is a great opportunity. Good luck.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18160
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18000
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
NAS100USD: Bearish Momentum Likely to Extend in NY SessionGreetings Traders!
At present, NAS100USD continues to reflect clear bearish institutional order flow. This is evidenced by the consistent formation of lower lows and the way bearish arrays—such as fair value gaps and order blocks—continue to hold as effective resistance zones.
Key Observations:
Sustained Bearish Structure:
The market has maintained a downward trajectory, with each rally being absorbed by bearish arrays. This behavior reinforces the dominance of institutional selling pressure.
High Volatility Window – New York Session:
With the New York session now underway, heightened volatility is expected. This presents a favorable environment for bearish continuation trades, particularly if price respects the key supply zones.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Consideration:
I am awaiting a retracement into a key bearish array—either a fair value gap or a bearish order block. Upon confirmation of rejection from these zones, I will seek to enter short positions.
Profit Targets:
The primary objective will be to target liquidity pools residing at lower discount levels. These areas represent external liquidity where institutional participants are likely to complete order execution.
By aligning with the prevailing bearish institutional narrative and waiting for high-probability confirmations within premium zones, we can strategically position ourselves to benefit from further downside momentum during this high-impact session.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🧐
Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path 🏦, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment.
1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture 🗺️
The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively.
A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating.
2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure 🏗️
My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4).
This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area.
Anticipated Scenario:
I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it.
Point of Interest (POI):
The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. 👍
3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15):
Entry Confirmation Trigger 🔫
The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level).
What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows).
Confirmation Signal:
For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for:
A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high).
Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows.
Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level.
Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary).
Synthesized Outlook & Strategy:
The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback.
The Strategy:
Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). 🧘♀️
Confirmation:
Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). 📉
Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry.
Targets:
Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. 🎯
Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. 🛡️
Fundamental Check:
cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. 📰
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation After FVG RebalanceGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the institutional order flow remains bearish, continuing the momentum established during last week’s trading sessions. In alignment with this directional bias, we are strategically focused on identifying high-probability bearish opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Sustained Bearish Order Flow:
Institutional behavior continues to reflect a bearish narrative, suggesting that smart money remains committed to driving price lower.
Rebalancing a Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price is currently rebalancing a notable fair value gap—an internal range inefficiency—providing the perfect confluence zone for bearish setups. This rebalancing typically precedes a draw on external liquidity.
Targeting External Range Liquidity:
As the market rebalances internal inefficiencies (FVGs, order blocks), it subsequently seeks external range liquidity such as sell stops, liquidity pools, and engineered lows. This is a fundamental principle of institutional price delivery.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Consideration:
Monitor price action within the fair value gap for confirmation of bearish intent. This zone serves as an internal liquidity area, optimal for institutional order execution.
Profit Targets:
Focus on external liquidity resting below previous lows—particularly sell stops and liquidity pools. These levels represent the logical draw where institutions aim to finalize order pairing and take profit.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
Its good to be back,
The_Architect
Bearish opportunity if support is broken📉 US100 – Watching for a possible bearish breakout
After reaching the key level of 19,151.5, the US100 price has shown weakness by breaking out of an ascending wedge. It is currently testing a dynamic support zone at 18,695.4, just before a liquidity zone marked in red.
A break below this zone could trigger a move towards 18,434.1, and in extension towards 18,185.8, if bearish pressure continues.
This structure suggests that momentum is shifting in favor of the bears, especially if the blue support fails to sustain the price.
🧠 Action plan: Monitor a breakout with volume and a bearish structure to seek short entries with appropriate risk management.
What is ICT Order Block and How to Trade it
👉🏻 ICT order block is basically an area on the price chart which indicates the huge institutional orders and signals the strong reversal or continuation of price.
You can use the order block as a confirmation of your trade entry or for the reversal of price.
In this article, we will teach you all about order block trading strategy from definition to its identification and to use along with examples.
You can jump to the part of this guide, you are most interested in or you can continue reading the whole article :
Table of Contents 👇🏻
1 : What is ICT Order Block?
2 : Types of Order Block
3 : Bullish Order Block
4 : Bearish Order Block
5 : Bullish Order Block Trading Strategy
6 : Bearish Order Block Trading Strategy
7 : Final Thoughts
What is ICT Order Block? ⚡️
ICT Order block is the area in the price chart, where a large number of orders are executed by institutional traders in the market and market shows sudden strong move from that area.
Retail traders follow institutional foot prints, so they wait for these order block zones to buy or sell in the market & make profit along with big institutions like banks.
You can see the example of order blocks in the picture given below :
Types of Order Block
As you know market has two price moves bullish & bearish. So on the basis of price moves, order block is divided into two types.
(I) Bullish Order Block
(II) Bearish Order Block
Bullish Order Block
A bullish order block is the last bearish candle before the bullish impulse (strong sudden) move, it typically consist of two candles, with the first candlestick being a bearish and the second candlestick being a bullish one.
How to Identify a Bullish Order Block? ⚡️
To identify a valid bullish order block you need to check following things.
(I) Second candle being a bullish candle, should grab the low of previous bearish candle. Price should go below the low of previous bearish candle.
(II) Second candle being a Bullish candle should close above the high of previous bearish candle.
(III) Imbalance in lower time frame in the order block zone.
(IV) Structure shift in lower timeframe.
To sum it up we can say, second candle should completely engulf the first candle – body to body & wick to wick.
You can see the example of bullish order block in the picture below :
Bearish Order Block ⚡️
A bearish order block is the last bullish candle before the bearish impulse move, it typically consist of two candles, with the first candlestick being a bullish and the second candlestick being a bearish one.
How to Identify a Bearish Order Block? ⚡️
To identify a valid bearish order block you need to check following things.
(I) Second candle being a bearish candle, should grab the high of previous bullish candle. Price should go above the high of previous bearish candle.
(II) Second candle being a bearish candle should close below the low of previous bullish candle.
(III) Imbalance in lower timeframe in the order block zone.
(IV) ICT Market Structure Shift in lower timeframe.
To sum it up we can say second candle should completely engulf the first candle – body to body & wick to wick.
You can see the example of bearish order block in the picture below :
Bullish Order Block Trading Strategy ⚡️
In bullish order block trading strategy you would look for shift of price delivery from bearish to bullish and then execute a buy trade utilizing a bullish order block.
When the trend is bearish and it approaches a demand zone where you would seek reversal of price and at that area price shifts its structure to the buy-side.
Then you will be looking for the order block at the bottom of the impulse move which changed market trend.
When you find the bullish order block in that move, it means it was a move involving institutions so you need to wait for the price to test the bullish order block zone to execute a buy trade.
When price retraces back and tests the bullish order block zone you can execute a buy trade as shown in the picture below :
When tradin bullish Order block trading strategy your stop loss will be 10/20 pips below the low of order block zone.
Bearish Order Block Trading Strategy ⚡️
In bearish order block trading strategy you would be looking for the shift of trend from bullish to bearish and then execute a sell trade utilizing a bearish order block.
When market trend is bullish and it approaches a supply zone where you seek reversal of price and at that area price shifts its structure to the sell-side.
Then you would look for the order block at the bottom of the impulse move which changed price trend.
When you find a bearish order block in that move it means it was a move involving institutions so you need to wait for the price to test the bearish order block zone to execute a sell trade.
When price retrace back and tests the bearish order block zone you can execute a sell trade.
A real market example of bearish order block trading strategy is shown below in the picture.
Final Thoughts⚡️
When trading using bearish Order block trading strategy our stop loss will be 10/20 pips above the high of order block zone.
Order blocks can also be found in a trend after a pull back and these order blocks confirm the strength of trend. We can use these order blocks to trade the trend or to add new positions in the trend.
Like in a bearish trend after a bullish pullback a bearish order block may form, which confirms the strength of bearish trend and we can add a new sell order to enjoy the bearish trend.
Likewise in a bullish trend after a bearish pullback a bullish Order block may form which confirms the strength of bullish trend and we can add a new buy order to enjoy the bullish trend ❤️ .
Consolidating at lower levels, gathering strength for a rebound(The following is solely a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Due to the Easter long weekend, there were only four trading days last week. Despite the Trump administration's renewed escalation of U.S.-China tariffs and its threats of war against Iran, the Nasdaq remained largely range-bound over the week. Crude oil prices saw a modest increase, while gold experienced a stronger rally driven by rising risk-off sentiment.
Nasdaq Outlook:
After the market opens next Tuesday, the Nasdaq has a high probability of filling the price gap between 18,600 and 18,800. However, before the full impact of the tariff policy is priced in, the market may still test lower support levels.
Key downside support lies in the 17,000–17,300 range. If the market fails to find strong buying interest above this zone, prices may retest the previous low of 16,349, or even fall further toward the 15,500 level.
That said, the Nasdaq is currently in a deeply oversold condition on the daily chart. In the absence of further negative developments, there is a high likelihood of a significant rebound in the coming weeks. Next week may still require patience as the market digests the negative implications of the tariff news.