NQCUSD trade ideas
Nasdaq Bullish Flow | 5M OB Execution PendingPair: NAS100
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 30M / 5M
Price remains heavy bullish — structure aligning perfectly across the board. Ever since the 30M OB was mitigated, I’ve been following Nasdaq’s order flow step-by-step.
I was watching for full-bodied confirmations inside the 30M zone, but instead, price gave clarity through the lower timeframes. That 5M flip gave away smart money’s intent — showing me exactly where accumulation is happening.
Now waiting for price to tap into the 5M OB to shift into execution mode. This setup has been mapped with precision — no guessing. Once entry presents itself, I’ll follow through.
Entry Zone: 5M OB
Target: 5M highs
Mindset Note: Still in analysis mode — patience until price hits my zone. Smart money doesn’t rush, it accumulates. So do I. 💼
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index continues its upward trend in the medium to long term. Yesterday, it tested the 23,000 USD level and bounced higher toward 23,290 USD.
1️⃣ If the price breaks below 23,100 USD and closes beneath it, we may see a decline toward 23,000 USD, followed by 22,920 USD.
2️⃣ However, if the price holds above 23,290 USD, further bullish momentum could lead to a new high around 23,400 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. Please monitor the markets and analyze the data carefully before making any investment decisions.
Will USTEC Continue Its Rallies Amid Better Market Sentiment?Macro approach:
- USTEC advanced modestly this week, supported by upbeat corporate earnings and resilience in economic data amid ongoing policy uncertainty.
- The index benefited from strong expected results in major tech firms such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA), as top giant AI leadership, helping to bolster sentiment despite lingering concerns about tariffs and Fed policy direction.
- US macro data showed sticky inflation in key categories, robust retail sales, and falling jobless claims. This prompted the Fed to retain its cautious stance on rate cuts while markets reassessed policy expectations. Policy-related headlines and manufacturing sector developments also partly drove market volatility.
- USTEC could remain sensitive to incoming tech earnings, the 29-30 Jul Fed meeting, and potential US tariff announcements in early Aug. Persistent inflation and any surprises in central bank communication may drive volatility in the sessions ahead.
Technical approach:
- USTEC trended higher and created a new record high. The price is above both EMAs, indicating a strong bullish momentum.
- If USTEC stays above the support at 22900, the price may continue toward the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at around 23867.
- On the contrary, breaking below the support at 22900 and EMA21 may prompt a deeper correction to retest the following support at 22000.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NASDAQ100| - Bullish Bias RemainsPrice didn’t give me the deep candle retrace into my 30M OB — just a wick tap — but that was enough. That wick shows me smart money touched in.
Dropped to the LTF and got my shift in structure confirming bullish intent.
Now I’m locked in, watching for price to sweep a 5M sell-side liquidity pocket into a clean LTF order block for the next entry.
🎯 Target: Short-term 5M highs
🚀 Bias: Still bullish unless structure breaks
This is a patience game now — execution only after confirmation.
US100 Analysis Report (15m Chart)1. 🔍 Liquidity Grab (Sell-side taken)
Price swept below 23,040 and sharply reversed from 22,978, clearing out weak sellers.
2. 📈 Break of Structure (BOS)
A bullish BOS occurred after price broke above 23,162, confirming short-term bullish intent.
3. 🟪 Rejection Zone
Price is now testing 23,287.42 — a supply/resistance zone. Watch for signs of rejection or breakout.
4. 📊 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks 23,287 cleanly, expect next moves towards 23,387 and then 23,482.
5. 📉 Bearish Setup Possibility
Rejection from 23,287 could pull price back to 23,162 or 23,040 before the next move.
NSDQ100 another bullish flag developing ?Donald Trump has agreed a new trade deal with Japan, setting 15% tariffs on US imports like cars and launching a $550 billion fund to boost investment in the US. This is lower than his earlier 25% tariff threat. Other allies saw mixed outcomes—the Philippines got a small tariff cut, while Canada’s talks stalled. Goldman Sachs now expects the US baseline tariff rate to rise to 15%.
Trump also suggested that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may not stay in his role much longer, and he’s considering removing capital gains tax on home sales, which could affect the housing market.
Separately, a Chinese-linked cyberattack breached the US nuclear weapons agency, though no classified data was stolen. Meanwhile, SpaceX’s investor documents flagged Elon Musk’s political activity as a potential risk as the company targets a $400 billion valuation.
Conclusion for Nasdaq 100:
The Nasdaq 100 faces short-term uncertainty due to rising trade tariffs, Fed leadership questions, and geopolitical risks. While some US-focused investments could benefit, traders should stay cautious as policy and global tensions evolve.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23265
Resistance Level 2: 23670
Resistance Level 3: 23480
Support Level 1: 22953
Support Level 2: 22840
Support Level 3: 22740
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USNAS100 Eyes 23350 Ahead of Powell & Earnings StormUSNAS100
The price maintains bullish momentum, as outlined in the previous idea, with a clean rejection from the 23280 zone. Today, volatility is expected to increase ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech and a wave of key earnings reports.
As long as price holds above 23140, the outlook remains bullish toward 23230 and 23350.
A short-term correction toward 23045 is possible if we get a 1H close below 23140.
Resistance: 23230 · 23350 · 23510
Support: 23045 · 22920
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,818.27 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,590.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 23,274.42 which is a swing-high resistance.
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NAS 100 Potential PullbackHi there,
NAS100 has the potential to drop as it keeps testing the resistance zone in the range of 23100. This looks more like bull exhaustion than a reversal. The 22695.50 is the target for a bias of 22499.12
The overall bigger trend is bullish, with price highs aiming as far as 23717.44, 24837.28, and 26222.31, making this a potentially massive bullish trend, and it will take time to reach those highs.
Happy Trading, 🌟
K.
Trade Setup Description (Buy Side) – US100 (Nasdaq 100) 5-MinuteI am taking a buy-side trade on US100 based on the following confluences:
Support & Trendline Respect:
Price respected a horizontal support level near 23,079.2 and is currently bouncing from a rising trendline, showing potential for a bullish move.
Bullish Candlestick Reaction:
After testing the trendline, bullish candles formed, indicating buying interest at this zone.
EMA 50 Reclaim Potential:
Price is attempting to reclaim the 50 EMA (currently at 23,141.3). A successful break and hold above it would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI Confirmation:
RSI is currently around 47 and curving upwards, indicating a potential reversal from oversold/neutral territory. The RSI yellow moving average is also turning up.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with the stop loss placed just below the trendline and recent wick low, and the target placed above the recent high around 23,264.5.
SELL USTEC 22.7.2025Confluence trade order: SELL at M15
Type of entry: Limit order
Condition:
- If the price break down THE LAST TOP confirming the down trend into H1.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom (23,146)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,184
- SL at 23,212
- TP1: 23,146
- TP2: 23,080
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
NAS100 Bullish Setup: Clean Structure & Entry Zone Pending📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) remains bullish, showing a clean, well-structured uptrend—higher highs and higher lows 🔼📈.
Price has now pulled back into my optimal entry zone 🎯. At this stage, I’m waiting for a bullish break in market structure before considering an entry 🟢🔓.
Patience is key—let the structure confirm first.
Not financial advice ❌💼
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on PositionsApril Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
Markets swing between greed and fear—unless the whole country collapses. Right now, greed is taking the lead, but the real blow-off top volatility hasn’t even started yet.
Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
US 100 – All Eyes on Tariffs, Trade Deals and Tech EarningsRenewed demand for US assets has been evident throughout July so far and this has helped to lift the US 100 index to new heights with gains of over 2.5% across the month. The technology heavy index has risen from opening levels around 22650 on July 1st, then recorded several all time highs, before eventually finding some selling interest after printing the most recent record peak at 23282 yesterday afternoon.
This upside has been supported by fresh trader hopes of interest rate cuts, after Federal Reserve (Fed) policymaker Waller suggested last Thursday that he would consider a 25bps (0.25%) reduction at their next meeting on July 30th, despite Fed Chairman Powell maintaining the view that the US central bank are currently pursuing a wait and see approach, as they look for more information on inflation and growth trends to assist them to determine the on-going impact of tariffs.
Part of the reason for the Fed’s reluctance to cut rates has also been the resilience of US economic data. With US consumers still spending and employment yet to feel the negative impact of President Trump’s tariff policies, leading to a potential positive knock-on impact for growth and corporate earnings, when considered against prior downbeat market expectations.
This all leads nicely onto what could be a key sentiment driver for the direction of the US 100 this week, the start of earnings updates from the ‘Magnificent Seven’ tech companies, two of which, Alphabet and Tesla, report their earnings after the market close tomorrow. These are then followed by Microsoft and Meta on Wednesday July 30th, then Amazon and Apple on Thursday July 31st.
Traders will be keen to judge actual earnings against market expectations, alongside updates on AI spending and investment, forward guidance on the impact of tariffs and more specifically for Tesla, the time Elon Musk may dedicate to the company, rather than the distractions of politics.
The technical outlook could also be important.
Technical Update: Can The Positive Trend Extend Further?
There appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift in the US 100 index yet, as fresh buying has continued to develop above support provided by the rising daily Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785 (see chart below).
Of course, there is no guarantee this positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows will continue, especially given the on-going trade discussion between the US and its allies, as well as the earnings announcements from Alphabet and Tesla.
However, it can be useful for traders to prepare for any future volatility by assessing potential support and resistance levels that could impact the direction of the US 100 moving forward.
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785, represents a first support focus for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves could see a deeper sell-off towards 22533, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 18th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With fresh price strength emerging with the US 100 index above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers are currently willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the July high at 23282 (July 21st). Closing breaks above this level might be required to suggest further strength, towards the next potential resistance level at 24084, which is the weekly Bollinger upper band, even 24482, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
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