NAS100 no big news next week…but here is something to think about… put/call ratio 1.58 (optioncharts.io/options/$NDX/open-interest) , musk new party may tank Tesla since is again a new distraction , Tariffs letters coming out soon / end of pause July 9, may be 1-2 fed cut in 2025 due to strong labor and inflation uncertainty ..ai chip export restriction to be further expanded to Thailand/Malaysia, next week will be the crypto one …sell in May and go Away they say … really ? Not this year everyone is staying around !Nasdaq 100 Cash Index / US Dollar forum
NAS100 no big news next week…but here is something to think about… put/call ratio 1.58 (optioncharts.io/options/$NDX/open-interest) , musk new party may tank Tesla since is again a new distraction , Tariffs letters coming out soon / end of pause July 9, may be 1-2 fed cut in 2025 due to strong labor and inflation uncertainty ..ai chip export restriction to be further expanded to Thailand/Malaysia, next week will be the crypto one …sell in May and go Away they say … really ? Not this year everyone is staying around !
NAS100USD In my hope, final summary of whole July 2025 is 👎👎👎
NDX it will go to moon on monday, tqqq 🤤
NDX i've just looked at news calendar and damn we have basically no news monday, tuesday and friday, seems to be interestingshould be doing its own action this week
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US100 Huge tax cuts on capital gains, Trump said don’t sell until the bill passes.
NAS100 End year target for Nas100 should be around 25-30k assuming a 20-30% YoY (conservative growth) Only buys for the long term on US. Good luck short sellers. Keep your TP’s open, but your SL tight✌🏼
US100 US100 Strategic Outlook – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown (W1 to M5)
The weekly trend remains decisively bullish, but short-term exhaustion signals are building. This week’s framework balances macro alignment with tactical precision — respecting long-side dominance while identifying structured opportunities to engage only after key confirmations.
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Weekly (W1):
The primary uptrend is intact. Price remains well above the prior resistance shelf at 22,100–22,200, now acting as strong structural support. The 50-week SMA sits around 20,400, leaving significant buffer room for any healthy corrective activity without threatening the higher-timeframe thesis.
Daily (D1):
Momentum is extended. RSI is flattening in the mid-60s, and price is pushing the upper Bollinger Band near 23,025. Momentum remains positive, but this type of structure historically invites either a controlled pullback or range-bound consolidation toward the 20-SMA near 22,430.
4-Hour (H4):
A rising wedge formation is taking shape, typical of late-stage trends. Volume and MACD are flattening. Critical support and decision zone sits at 22,350–22,450 — where wedge structure, anchored VWAP (from the June swing low), and the 21-EMA converge. This is the primary battleground for buyers if trend integrity is to be preserved.
30-Minute (M30):
Micro-structure is compressed between descending resistance around 22,725 and rising support near 22,690. Price is coiled at the apex, which typically precedes either an impulsive breakout or a short-term reversal. EMAs are turning down, indicating temporary loss of control by buyers.
5-Minute (M5):
Immediate flow bias favors sellers. Price remains below intraday VWAP and 9-EMA, with momentum oscillators mid-range. No edge for longs until VWAP is reclaimed and volume confirms intent.
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Trade Structure for the Week
1. Swing Long (Buy-the-Flush):
If price moves into the 22,350–22,450 confluence zone, I will look for confirmation via a 30-minute bullish reversal candle and a 5-minute VWAP reclaim. This is a high-probability trend-continuation zone provided buyers respond with size.
2. Intraday Fade (Counter-Trend Short):
If price rallies into the 22,725–22,760 supply zone (broken trendline, 5-minute VWAP, and prior session resistance), I will consider short exposure on a confirmed 5-minute rejection with above-average volume. This is a scalping structure only — reduced size, aggressive trailing.
3. Breakout Long (Continuation Entry):
If a 30-minute candle closes above 22,845 on at least 150 percent of average volume, I will watch for a clean 5-minute bull flag to form and hold above the breakout level. Only actionable if volume confirms fresh participation.
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Execution Framework
• Risk per trade: Maximum 1% of account capital (0.5% for counter-trend)
• Stop-loss placement: Below structure or liquidity sweep, with ATR-adjusted buffer
• Position size: Calculated using stop-distance × dollar value per point
• Trail stop to breakeven after 0.75 × risk has been achieved
• ATR(14): 4H ≈ 120 pts, 30m ≈ 80 pts
• Do not execute both long and short scenarios simultaneously — directional conflict invalidates both
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Key Timing Considerations
• Overnight: Does price stay below the 30-minute 21-EMA, or begin reclaiming ground?
• London Open: First reaction at the 22,725–22,760 zone determines whether bulls or bears control early flow
• New York Cash Open: Volume spike will validate breakout or confirm fade conditions
• End of Day: A daily close below 22,450 on strong volume may unlock a deeper corrective move into the 22,000–21,985 zone next week
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Closing Notes
The higher-timeframe trend is still supportive of long exposure, but conditions on the daily and 4-hour charts now require added discipline. I am positioning for either a deep, defended pullback into the 22,350–22,450 zone or a confirmed continuation breakout above 22,845. Everything in between is low-conviction and will be treated as opportunistic scalps only.
US100 anyone else thinking 22600 level - 23200? before a pullback. could align witht the seasonals. first two weeks of july very bullish before we hit that massive block off sell orders waiting around 23200. price roughly 200 difference between cfd chart hence readings are 200 higher
NDAQ100 happy weekend everyone!! let’s go get it next week 🫡