DXY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 106.184.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 107.245.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USXUSD trade ideas
#DXY 4HDXY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. This suggests that the downtrend is losing momentum, and a potential upward move could follow if the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price confirms a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, signaling increased bullish pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The falling wedge suggests potential bullish momentum. A confirmed breakout with strong price action can provide better validation for the buy setup.
USD INDEX ACTIVATING AGAIN ?The name of the game for the us dollar index was breaking bottom , retest and go during the last few weeks. The short term trend is not acting as bearish as expected at the moment. The previous bottom at 106.5 also unable to form the new top and its under attack since start of the week. Finding support on 106.5 will prepare a hike in the short term targeting 107.3 first.
DXY – Break or Bounce? Key Levels to WatchTVC:DXY
The DXY has broken below the 106.96 support, establishing a new fractal at 106.14 while testing the major April 2024 fractal resistance forged at 106.51. This price action leaves the dollar in a critical decision zone, with two main scenarios in play:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If the dollar holds above the newly formed support and reclaims the daily fractal resistance at 107.38, it could trigger a recovery attempt, potentially leading to a retest of previous highs and the weekly fractal resistance.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold current levels could push the DXY below the emerging triangle structure, targeting the weekly fractal support at 105.42. A break below this level increases the probability of reaching the 200% Fibonacci extension at 104.59, where a bullish Crab pattern is projected in convergence —a critical area for potential trend reversals.
🔍 Key Technical Factors:
📌 Consolidation Triangle: DXY is stuck below the double top neckline but above the most recent fractal support forged at 106.14.
📌 Fibonacci Levels : The dollar is currently trading at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (106.35) , with projected harmonic patterns aligning near the next 50% retracement level.
📌 Liquidity & Stop Hunts: Multiple bullish harmonic patterns emerging just below the weekly fractal support indicate possible stop-hunting activity against short positions.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 Resistance Levels:
Weekly – 110.17
Daily – 107.38
4H – 106.65
Monthly – 106.51
📉 Support Levels:
4H – 106.17
Daily – 106.14
Weekly – 105.42
Monthly – 100.15
⚠️ Final Thoughts: DXY is at a crucial inflection point. A breakout above 107.38 could fuel a bullish move, while a breakdown below 105.42 may accelerate a bearish extension towards 104.59-104.78.
Until the price confirms direction, it is advisable to remain neutral and wait for a clear signal before committing to a directional bias.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
DXY Bearish to 85-90The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A zigzag corrective pattern is identified.
Resistance levels at 113 and an inverse bearish level at 115 are highlighted.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9) and Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) are displayed.
Elliott Wave analysis appears to be used, indicating a possible downward correction.
A bearish scenario targeting around 90 in the long term is projected.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A weakening dollar will boost growth in the export sector. I believe this will occur during President Trump's term.
$DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZTVC:DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZ
(1/9)
Good afternoon, Tradingview! The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) sits at 106.47 today—tariffs and Fed vibes keep it humming 📈🔥. Down a hair from 106.60—let’s unpack this greenback glow! 🚀
(2/9) – YEARLY SURGE
• 2024 Run: From 100.16 to 107+ by Dec 💥
• Today: 106.47—off 0.12% from yesterday 📊
• Driver: Trump tariffs juice inflation fears
TVC:DXY ’s got grit—2025’s off to a zesty start!
(3/9) – BIG BOOSTERS
• Tariffs: Auto, chip threats—dollar darling 🌍
• Fed: Slow cuts—rates outshine abroad 🚗
• Crypto Nod: Pro- AMEX:USD admin vibes 🌟
Greenback’s flexing—policy packs a punch!
(4/9) – MARKET PULSE
• Vs. Peers: Outpaces euro, yen—rate gaps shine 📈
• X Chatter: 107 peak, post-swearing dip?
• Edge: U.S. growth trumps global woes 🌍
TVC:DXY ’s steady—king of the currency hill?
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• Deficits: Fiscal bloat looms long-term ⚠️
• Geo-Tension: Wars nudge safe-haven bets 🏛️
• Fed Pivot: Faster cuts could dim shine 📉
Tough tailwinds—can TVC:DXY dodge the drag?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Tariffs: Inflation lift—dollar darling 🌟
• Rates: Fed’s edge over ECB, BOJ 🔍
• Haven: Chaos loves $ USD—rock solid 🚦
TVC:DXY ’s got muscle—global star!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Debt piles—future wobble? 💸
• Opportunities: Tariff hikes zap rivals 🌍
Can TVC:DXY keep the crown or stumble?
(8/9) – TVC:DXY at 106.47—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—108+ by spring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Holds steady, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Dips below 100 soon.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
TVC:DXY ’s 106.47 glow—tariffs, Fed, and grit shine 🌍🪙. Deficits lurk, but strength rules—bull or bust?
Dollar Index (DXY): Pullback From Resistance
I think we may see a local bearish continuation after a test
of a key daily/intraday resistance.
A local Change of Character on an hourly clearly shows the strength of the sellers.
The index may retrace at least to 106.53
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Republican bear cycle / QELong-term sell-off in expectation of the Trump administration's projected monetary policies. In addition, on a technical aspect, the inefficiencies of the last DXY drop in Nov. 2022 are filled. The entry is given by the change in the daily structure after filling the aforementioned inefficiency. The target is looking for liquidity at the low of Jul. 23', coinciding at the 61.8 fibo of the bullish momentum of the Democratic Biden administration.