DXY Clear LiquidityI'll still be going long on USD/XXX pairs as I see we still have room for some more upside on the dollar. Need to be paying close attention this week as we have NFP and election date is approaching. Patience!!!
USXUSD trade ideas
US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Local Bearish Reversal?!We spotted a strong bearish reaction to a significant daily horizontal resistance on the 📉Dollar Index.
Following a test of the highlighted blue zone, the price began to consolidate and created a horizontal range on the 4-hour timeframe.
The support level was violated, indicating strength from the sellers. We anticipate a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially reaching 103.44.
DXYLooking for second leg after 4h tr break.
I think now DXY is in base and second drop will be happen.
R/R2.5
Bearish candle setup in 15m.
Analysis Dollar / DXY Hello everyone,
I haven't been active the whole week. I'm sharing my analysis for the upcoming week.
The dollar's bullish momentum was purely market manipulation. What I see is a significant amount of liquidity below that the price wants to collect before continuing with its bullish movement.
On the weekly (W) chart, the price is still in consolidation, which could last for a while longer.
The daily (D) chart has been in a downtrend so far, but there was a BOS (Break of Market Structure). For this reason, I believe the dollar will be bearish next week.
DXY HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE SETUP !!“The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading… I know this will sound like a cliché, but the single most important reason that people lose money in the financial markets is that they don’t cut their losses short.” – Victor Sperandeo
USDX-SELL strategy 3-DAILY CHARTThe index seems overdone and showing potential for a decline towards 101.00 area in the short- to medium-term. Elections are the key of courser.
Strategy SELL @ 104.10 - 104.50 and take profit @ 101.67 for now. SL based on your own risk appetite.
DXY TRI MONTHLY CHART -- A LONG JOURNEY OF WEAKNESS.The chart should speak for itself.
DXY long term view (tri-monthly data) is conveying shifting trend on the dollar index -- to the downside.
Expect more long term correction, as this time frame don't change mind too often.
Spotted at 102.25
TAYOR.
safeguard capital always.
Dollar indexHi traders in daily time-frame in dxy; we have an Engulf itself sign of market direction. Believe me!!
Trump 2.0: What to Expect If Donald Trump Returns to the W.HouseWith Donald Trump once again campaigning for president, his economic policies and views on international trade are resurfacing. Known for his aggressive protectionism, deregulation, and tax cuts, his economic approach has been dubbed the “Trump 2.0” by the media.
But what does the Trump Trade really mean for investors? During his first term, Trump’s policies produced mixed results. While sectors like finance and energy thrived, the federal budget deficit widened, healthcare coverage decreased, and income inequality grew. Now, with the prospect of Trump returning to the White House, we could witness "Trump 2.0." What impacts might this have on the economy, and how should investors prepare?
Key Points
-The Trump Trade emphasizes lower taxes, deregulation, increased tariffs, and reduced immigration to stimulate U.S. growth.
-Trump’s policies benefited sectors like finance and energy but also increased the federal deficit and triggered trade wars.
If re-elected, Trump’s economic agenda could boost the stock market and select industries but also bring risks like higher inflation and global retaliatory tariffs.
Understanding the Trump 2.0
The "Trump 2.0" represents Donald Trump’s economic strategy, which centers on stimulating growth through deregulation, tax cuts, higher tariffs, and reduced immigration. While this approach benefited specific sectors, it also led to rising federal deficits and global trade conflicts.
Highlights of Donald Trump (2016-2020)
1. A Strong Economy Under Trump, the U.S. economy remained robust, with low inflation and consistent job growth until the COVID-19 pandemic struck. However, the economic momentum seen during Trump’s presidency was largely a continuation of the post-Great Recession recovery initiated by the Obama administration.
2. Job Creation and Wage Growth Prior to the pandemic, job creation and wage growth continued their upward trend, with unemployment hitting a 50-year low of 3.5% in 2019. Wages increased steadily in 2018 and 2019.
3. Tax Cuts The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, Trump’s most significant policy, represented the largest tax overhaul in 30 years, reducing the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. The tax cuts spurred consumer spending and increased private sector investment, but also added significantly to the federal deficit.
4. Booming Stock Market The stock market thrived under Trump’s administration, with the S&P 500 setting new records until 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 57% during his tenure, fueled by high employment, wage growth, and tax incentives.
S&P500 During Trumph Election
5. Widening Federal Deficit Trump’s tax cuts and increased defense spending expanded the federal deficit. In 2018, the annual deficit hit $779 billion, escalating to over $1 trillion by 2020.
6. Trade Tariffs Trump imposed tariffs on steel, aluminum, solar panels, and Chinese imports, triggering a “trade war” with China and other trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and the European Union. While intended to protect U.S. industries, these tariffs led to global retaliations, impacting American consumers and workers negatively.
What to Expect If Trump Returns to Power
If Trump returns to the White House, his economic policies could have significant implications for various sectors:
1. Impact on the Stock Market
Historically, the stock market performs positively during election periods, regardless of the candidate. If Trump wins, expect market gains due to extended tax cuts, increased oil and gas production, and deregulation. While Trump’s policies could boost corporate investment, stock market performance will ultimately depend on broader economic fundamentals.
2. Impact on Bond Yields
Trump's pro-business agenda, combined with increased spending, could drive inflation upwards. If inflation rises, the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates, which could increase bond yields but reduce bond prices. This would likely result in a more muted bond market under a Trump administration.
3. Impact on Dollar Strength
A strong economy under Trump could bolster the U.S. Dollar. External factors, such as economic weakness in Europe and Asia, may further support dollar strength. However, a stronger dollar could hurt U.S. exporters, making their goods more expensive abroad and reducing their competitiveness.
4. Impact on Specific Sectors
-Financial Services: The sector could benefit from deregulation, enabling banks to expand operations and increase profitability.
-Technology: Tech companies may gain from extended corporate tax cuts, leading to higher investments, stock buybacks, and dividends.
-Energy: Trump’s “drill, baby, drill” policy aims to expand domestic oil and gas production, supporting the energy sector and boosting U.S. exports.
-Manufacturing: While a strong dollar could reduce export competitiveness, Trump’s emphasis on domestic production (e.g., the CHIPS and Science Act) could support U.S. manufacturers.
-Infrastructure: Trump's support for infrastructure projects could benefit construction and civil engineering companies, building on the existing Infrastructure Act passed by Biden.
Global Implications of Trump 2.0
-Universal Tariffs: Trump’s proposed universal tariffs could trigger significant global retaliation, leading to reduced trade, disrupted supply chains, and higher global inflation.
-Renewed Trade War with China: Trump has hinted at increasing tariffs on Chinese imports to as high as 60%, which could hinder China’s economic recovery and create broader global economic uncertainty.
Preparing for Trump 2.0
Investors should keep a close eye on sectors likely to benefit from Trump’s policies, such as finance, technology, energy, and infrastructure. At the same time, be prepared for volatility in the bond market and potential retaliatory tariffs impacting global trade dynamics.
Diversifying portfolios, hedging against potential inflation, and maintaining a long-term investment outlook can help manage the uncertainties associated with a potential Trump return to the White House.
Conclusion
Trump 2.0 could have a significant impact on the U.S. economy and global markets. While certain sectors may experience growth under Trump’s policies, the risks of higher inflation, trade conflicts, and federal deficits remain. Investors should approach a potential Trump presidency with cautious optimism, focusing on sectors that align with his agenda while being prepared for increased volatility. By staying informed and adaptable, investors can capitalize on the opportunities and navigate the risks posed by a possible Trump comeback.
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End of week review: DXY As we reach the week's closing, the dollar is expected to create another swing high here.
With the supply in place after reaching a take profit level, it may be expected to be a failure to reach a higher high.
We will see come next week what they decide on 🧐
DYX Monthly vs Crypto & Stocks: The Most Bullish Ever!The DXY is at its most bullish since June 2021. Here we can see it bouncing strongly from EMA55 as support.
We looked at the DXY and how it is related to Bitcoin ( see here ).
Now we want to consider the DXY on its own.
➖ How far up can the DXY go and for how long?
To start, we can see that the last time the DXY went bullish it closed green for four consecutive months. This would be the first green month, so we have another three of potential bullish action.
The bounce in July 2023 also produced four months of growth. Now, the action in the last bounce and back in 2023 were part of a consolidation pattern, what we are seeing now is the start of a bullish wave.
➢ First, within several months, or weeks, the DXY is set to hit 109. Long-term, it can go higher and hit a new All-Time High.
➢ The first long-term resistance will be around 114, which is the September 2022 peak. 111.1 would be an intermediate target.
➢ The new ATH can settle around 124/5. The last ATH was hit around 121.
This is all based on the long-term.
This is the monthly timeframe.
The DXY going bullish can have a very strong negative effect on the stock market and even Cryptocurrency but this is only initially, after several months of the DXY being strongly bullish, the Cryptocurrency market can recover and do great. I don't know about the stock market, it can be different but Crypto will be fine.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1
Some large market gaps seen across US30 and US100, XAUUSD also gapping to the downside, trading as low as $2725/oz. DXY still remains below our area of resistance and supply, which trades at around 104.500 price. 105.000 would usually be a good technical psychological trading zone, that being said, there isn't much else on that price that would act as any real method of confluence for the moment.
Lets see what happens around this 104.500 price level, we have had a couple of days trading into that zone and a red engulfing candle close on that daily timeframe back on Thursday last week. Could we expect some dumps on DXY this week?
DXY Trade Idea👀👉 The US Dollar Index (DXY) has retraced and showing signs of upward momentum. We are looking to buy on this 4H pullback. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.📊✅
Depreciation of DXYGeopolitical conditions can help to increase the value of the currency to some extent, but eventually it will face a decrease in value. In this analysis, I compared different currency pairs such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, AUDUSD with DXY, and the result is a decrease in the value of the dollar and a return to the previous value. Yes, we may see other short-term increases, but eventually the dollar will cause the growth of other currencies by reducing its price.
Sasha Charkhchian
😱 COLLAPSE OF THE DOLLAR 2022 - 2045 - END OF EMPIREHello ladies and gentlemen! I bring to your attention my very global view of the US dollar solely from the point of view of technical analysis, namely the Elliot wave theory.
The graph shows the projection of the missing waves in the impulse of the supercycle - I-II-III-IV-V, the impulse is fully completed and ended back in 1985.
In my opinion, from the point of view of technical analysis and the Elliot wave theory itself, a zigzag has been forming globally on the US dollar index in the corrective phase since 1985, with a triangle in wave-(b). The ultimate goal of this zigzag is a collapse of the dollar index by minus -80% from ATH.
Ultimately, the Fed will lose in the fight against inflation, after the triangle is fully formed, a descending impulse five will begin in wave-(c) of the zigzag, I believe around 2030 plus or minus the triangle will be broken down, this will be a distress signal and confirmation I'm right, from now on, save your savings, because after the dollar index finds a bottom in the region of 20-30 points, for 100 dollars you can only buy a roll of toilet paper. BRENT oil will be $300-400 per barrel, and gold $5,000-6,000 a troy ounce, and that's even better. Naturally, after this collapse, the dollar will lose its status as the world's main reserve currency, the economy will stagnate amid hyperinflation, it will be many times worse than the Great Depression, and the markets will remember this apocalypse for a long time.
After the collapse of the US dollar, a new world order will be established, there will be a new leader and a new major world reserve currency. I believe this will end the approximately 250 year dollar cycle and the US Dollar Index will never again update its ATH.
❌ This trade idea should be reconsidered if DXY exceeds the 121 level, which is unlikely in my opinion. In this case, it will definitely not be a triangle.
This is my purely personal author's opinion, whether you share it with me or not is your own business, always think with your own head - I wish you good luck!
USDX: Trend in 4H time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
Ascending channel in USD may suggest upside breakout. Intraday Update: USD index is respecting the rising trend line which means that the 104.20 level is critical for bulls to hold, a break of the 104.56 level would be a bulls breakout as the trend line from the 2022 highs would be broken.
Levels discussed on 28th October Livestream28th October
DXY: Retracing from top of 104.55, could trade down to 104.20 before retesting high again. Needs to stay above bullish trendline.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5980 SL 25 TP 65 (Test and reject bearish trendline)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 20 TP 80
GBPUSD: Sell 1.30 SL 25 TP 90
EURUSD: Ranging between 1.0780 and 1.0840, could trade up in smaller timeframe
USDJPY: Retracing, could test 152.50, look for rejection, Buy 153.10 SL 50 TP 200
USDCHF: Buy 0.8705 SL 15 TP 45
USDCAD: Look for possible retrace and reaction at 1.3850
Gold: Likely to fluctuate between 2720 and 2747 while directional bias develops
Dollar index on the floor of the trading rangeAccording to the weekly chart of the dollar index and since tomorrow and next week we have important data such as unemployment claims, and also these data will probably strengthen the strength of the dollar, it is expected that the dollar index will rise to the middle of the trading range in the first step. .
DXY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in an
Uptrend and the index
Is already making a bullish
Rebound from the rising
Support line so we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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DXY: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 104.315
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
