Prepare for the storm, unload the dustsHave an odd feeling that dollar will dive before it goes strong throughout the year. Orange man wish to have a weak dollar, but I doubt he'll make it.
USXUSD trade ideas
"Bearish Pressure on DXY: Key Levels to Watch"🔹 Technical Analysis of U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - 4H Chart
▪️Market Structure & Trend Analysis:
- The chart shows a clear downtrend in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
- The price is trading below the 200-period moving average (blue line) and 50-period moving average (red line), reinforcing bearish sentiment.
🔹Key Levels:
1. Strong Resistance Area ( 107.300 - 107.400)
- This is a significant supply zone where sellers have aggressively pushed the price down in the past.
- The price recently tested this area and failed to break higher, indicating strong resistance.
2. Resistance Level for Further Downside ( 106.700 - 106.800)
- The price is struggling to stay above this level, which has now become a short-term resistance zone.
- If price stays below this level, further downside is likely.
3. Target Area ( 105.453)
- This is the next major support level, where price could find buying interest and potentially reverse or consolidate.
▪️Market Expectation:
- Bearish Continuation:
- If price remains below the 106.700 resistance level, it is likely to continue downward towards the 105.453 target zone.
- Invalidation of Bearish Bias:
- If price breaks and closes above 107.400, it could signal a trend reversal or deeper retracement.
🔹Conclusion:
- Bias: Bearish
- Trading Plan: Look for sell opportunities below resistance zones and target 105.453 for a potential move lower.
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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis – Weekly ChartThis chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) shows a potential Elliott Wave correction (A-B-C) pattern with Fibonacci retracement levels.
Key Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.618 (109.846): Price touched this key retracement level before reversing downward.
0.5 (107.235): Also acted as a resistance zone.
0.236 (101.394): Possible short-term support level.
Elliott Wave A-B-C Structure:
Wave A: The initial decline from the peak.
Wave B: The corrective upward move (retraced to the 0.618 level).
Wave C: Expected further downside movement.
Moving Averages (MA):
The 105.08 MA was recently broken, signaling a possible trend shift downward.
The 102.28 MA could act as a short-term support level.
Bearish Scenario:
If the C wave completes, the price could drop toward 96.172 or even lower.
Confirmation of a breakdown below 102.28 would increase bearish momentum.
Trade Plan (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Short position if price breaks below 102.28.
Stop Loss: Above the recent high (~109.85).
Target Levels:
101.39 (0.236 Fib level)
96.17 (Full retracement)
Conclusion:
The DXY is showing bearish signs, having rejected the 0.618 Fib level and breaking key support zones.
If the Elliott Wave pattern plays out, we could see further downside toward the 96–98 range.
A confirmed move below 102.28 will validate a stronger bearish move.
DXY Shorts 2025DXY's Trump rally seems to have run out of juice with Tarif wars ad uncertainty. Looking major sellside to be taken in the future. At the moment favouring a retracement into Equilibrium of range into monthly buyside-imbalance sellside-inefficiency. Latets CoT Report shows a start to the selling from non-commercial entities.
DXY BUY SETUPPrice is coming off an overall monthly retest with a DAILY choch and a DAILY choch retest to continue up towards 114 price point.
Falling towards overlap support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 103.53
1st Support: 102.36
1st Resistance: 105.62
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EURUSD LTF BIASGood morning, this morning is a mixed bag of news, so we need to be cautious starting at 9. Still, the EURO is unstoppable due to the "pricing in" concept of Trump's policies. I’ll try to position myself for buys.
Correction vs. Upside Break: Key Thresholds at 107 and 110My primary scenario is a correction. The current wave structure suggests the completion of an motive wave forming an ‘ending diagonal.’ After testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, the market shows signs of a downturn. If the index settles below the nearest support (around 107), a deeper pullback toward 105 and lower becomes possible.
The alternative scenario is a breakout to the upside. The area around 110 serves as the key invalidation level for this scenario: a decisive break above 110 would indicate the potential for renewed growth.
Overall, the outlook points to a high likelihood of a correction. However, if the price breaks above 110, the bullish scenario regains relevance.
ICEUS:DXY CAPITALCOM:DXY TVC:DXY
DXY Shorts March 2025DXY's Trump rally seems to have run out of juice with Tarif wars ad uncertainty. Looking major sellside to be taken in the future. At the moment favouring a retracement into Equilibrium of range into monthly buyside-imbalance sellside-inefficiency. Latets CoT Report shows a start to the selling from non-commercial entities.
DXY|LONG SETUPHello, I hope you have a great week ahead. This is my outlook for the Dollar Index, and please feel free to leave your comments and share your own perspective with me.
Initially, on the lower timeframes, I expect a rise to the 108.570 level and a potential breakout into this resistance zone. Afterward, I anticipate a drop to 105.888, which could mark the start of a sharp upward trend from this level. This is just my analysis, not a signal.
DXY update#DXY made a rise as i told you before the descending wedge made a price rise and we have 2 levels as the target based on fibo levels
DXY BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅DXY is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 106.000
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target at 108.600
LONG🚀
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Elliott Wave View Dollar Index (DXY) Nesting Impulsively LowerShort Term Elliott Wave View in Dollar Index (DXY) suggests the decline from 1.13.2025 peak is taking the form of an impulse with extension (nesting). Down from there, wave 1 ended at 106.97 and rally in wave 2 ended at 109.88. The ETF extended lower in wave 3 which is unfolding in 5 waves in lesser degree. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 106.12 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Rally in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 106.79 and pullback in wave (b) ended at 106.16. Rally in wave (c) ended at 107.65 which completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree.
The ETF extended lower in wave ((iii)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 105.87 and wave (ii) rally ended at 106.38. The ETF extended lower in wave (iii). Expect wave (iv) rally to fail for further downside to complete wave (v) of ((iii)). Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((i)). This area comes at 101.59 – 103.9 where wave (v) of ((iii)) should end. Near term, as far as pivot at 107.65 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
DXY PARALLEL CHANNEL READ CAPTIONhello traders
DXY CURRENT PRICES 105.600
DXY working in parallel channel under work i think DXY little drop and then XXY support and pump upside to demand zone
support area 105.000
demand zone 107.00
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DXYLooking at DXY, We can see that price is approaching the value Area correctively. What I will be looking for is a Break of the value Area and therefore wait for a continuation pattern to the downside. The 2nd scenario which I am anticipating is price bouncing from the Value Area and wait for a continuation pattern to the upside, and our first target will be at the inflection as I am looking forward for DXY to fill the gap on the Daily Timeframe.
DXYDXY Analysis:
- Break of structure to the Upside after taking out sellside Liquidity.
- Price Displaced higher, while we are expecting it to retrace into a discount area (0.618 fib)
- This could be a potential buying opportunity aiming for range high.
Bearish then bullish I think open on Sunday, the USD Will bearish And then it’s probably gonna be bullish
Short Dolla Long BTCWe'll see
things haven't been great but it also feels like there's a lot of fear and uncertainty right now
The DXY maintains its bullish stance, The DXY maintains its bullish stance, reinforcing dollar strength as a wedge market structure develops. With mitigation around the 105.600s, the pattern suggests a continued push toward the 109.000s. As the Gold market declines .Traders should monitor key levels for confirmation of sustained momentum follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea .
STRONG DXY Over the Next 12 - 24 months? With Donald Trumps Tariffs will we see the DXY retest all time highs $132 - $150?
The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis
Description
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+ The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100.
+ This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run.
+ In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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VectorAlgo
EUR GBP & DXY Update--DXY Tanking as expectedFrom pre-new year analysis we expected by the printout that last year's high would be purged for liquidity and then we would fall out of the old imbalanced short range 🔑
Voila, what else could we expect. We are always on point with long term analysis.
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