USXUSD trade ideas
DXY STRUCTURE The unemployment claims news release had no significant impact on the DXY which means our bias is still going to be followed as we wait for what NFP will give before we apply discretion to what we will be seeing next for now it is time to exercise patience and wait for what the market will show us before we make decisions. do well to like share and follow. stay tuned for more updates.
DXY: Bullish To Next SupplyPrice swept the key liquidity level at 100.600, also capturing the last minor structural liquidity through a manipulation move. Following this manipulation, the price began to rise with significant volume, leaving imbalances in its wake. We can anticipate a retest towards the equilibrium level, potentially sweeping the last minor low as indicated on the charts, before a strong bullish movement could propel the price towards the 102.500 level.
DXY - Head and shoulders
Hello Traders !
After a huge bearish move,
The Dollar index retreated to the resistance level (101.770 - 102.075).
The price formed a head and shoulders pattern.
Currently, The neckline is broken🔥
So, I expect a bearish move📉
________________
TARGET: 101.000🎯
DXY: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 101.022
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
DXY is currently at support zonethis support zone is likely to break as the dollar is going to weak further and once it breaks good setups can be found as EURUSD, GBPUSD, and NZDUSD would be bullish, and on the other hand, USDCAD and USDCHF would be bearish
Levels discussed on livestream 5th September 5th September
DXY: Currently at 101.25, needs to break 50% retracement level, to trade down to 100.90 (ADP Pending)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6165 SL 20 TP 60 (if DXY recovery)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6685 SL 20 TP 45 (if DXY recovery)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3080 SL 25 TP 100
EURUSD: Buy 1.1105 SL 20 TP 55
USDJPY: Sell 143.20 SL 40 TP 120
USDCHF: Sell 0.8450 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.35 SL 20 TP 55
Gold: At 61.8%, if broken, above 2508 could trade up to 2520
Shorts in orderPrice is in a strong sell off targeting the recently formed HTF swing low at 100.538 which is our 2023 low. This area has a lot of orders both buys and sells which will increase the volatility in the market. This drop is good news for US indices/Stock markets as money will be flowing out of the Dollar to Gold and stock market.
Daily Technical Analysis of Gold,Currencies,and Indices 5/9/2024Daily Technical Analysis for Gold, Currencies, and Indices - September 5, 2024
Introduction:
Hello, this is Mohammed Qais Abdulghani, a financial markets expert, with your daily technical analysis for the major currency pairs, commodities, and indices for Thursday, September 5, 2024.
Before we begin our technical and economic analysis, let’s highlight the key economic data that will be released today and could impact price movements:
• 3:30 PM Mecca Time: Unemployment Claims Report.
• 4:45 PM: Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).
• 5:00 PM: Non-Manufacturing PMI from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
• 6:00 PM: U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Report.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis:
We observe that the U.S. Dollar Index continues to trade under pressure and below the 50-day moving average on the daily frame. It is also trading below the main downward trend line and the secondary downward trend line. As long as prices remain below the 102 level, the bearish bias is favored, potentially targeting the 100.300 and 99 levels. The recent data showed significant negativity, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to abandon its monetary tightening policy, possibly leading to a further decline in the U.S. dollar.
EUR/USD Pair Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair continues to trade within a positive scenario, with prices holding above the 1.1000 level, supporting the bullish outlook targeting 1.1210 and 1.1315 in the medium term. This positive scenario would be invalidated only by a break below the 1.1000 level.
GBP/USD Pair Analysis:
The GBP/USD pair maintains its positive stance with prices staying above the 1.3100 level, potentially driving gains toward 1.3250 and 1.3360. This upward scenario would be invalidated by a break below the 1.3100 level.
USD/JPY Pair Analysis:
The USD/JPY pair is attempting to return to its downward trend. Continuing prices below the 145 yen level could return the pair to a bearish path targeting 140 yen and also 134 yen.
USD/CHF Pair Analysis:
The USD/CHF pair continues to trade under pressure, with prices staying below the 0.8510 level, favoring a bearish bias targeting 0.8370 and 0.8240.
AUD/USD Pair Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair remains in a positive scenario, with prices holding above the 0.6670 level, which may push the pair to achieve gains towards 0.6900 in the short term and 0.7100 in the medium term. This positive scenario would be invalidated by a break below the 0.6670 level.
NZD/USD Pair Analysis:
The NZD/USD pair is looking to end its corrections and resume its upward trend, which will only be confirmed by breaking the 55-day moving average and surpassing the 0.6225 level. This could drive the prices upwards towards 0.6450 and 0.6550 in the medium term.
USD/CAD Pair Analysis:
The USD/CAD pair continues to trade under pressure, with prices remaining below the 1.3600 level, which could lead to further declines towards 1.3550. If this level is broken, losses could extend to 1.3300.
GBP/JPY Pair Analysis:
The GBP/JPY pair is trading under pressure, with prices staying below the 196 yen level, favoring a bearish bias that could push the pair to drop to 184 yen.
EUR/JPY Pair Analysis:
The EUR/JPY pair is trading under pressure, with prices remaining below the 164 yen level, potentially leading to a continuation of the downward trend towards 158 yen.
EUR/GBP Pair Analysis:
The EUR/GBP pair is trading under pressure, with prices remaining below the 0.8450 level, which could push the pair to decline to the 0.8375 and 0.8300 levels. This bearish scenario would be invalidated by a return to buying positions above the 0.8450 level.
USD/TRY Pair Analysis:
The USD/TRY pair is attempting to rise, and if it succeeds in surpassing the 34 lira level, it could drive prices upwards towards 34.50 and 35 lira. This scenario would be invalidated by a return of prices below the 34 lira level.
BTC/USD Analysis:
Bitcoin is trying to shake off the selling pressure. If prices successfully surpass the psychological barrier of 60,000 dollars, we could see a bullish wave targeting 66,000 dollars and 72,000 dollars. This optimistic scenario would be invalidated by a decline below the 60,000-dollar level.
ETH/USD Analysis:
Ethereum is attempting to reduce losses. If prices manage to break above the 2,550-dollar level, this could drive the price to retest 2,800 dollars.
XRP/USD Analysis:
Ripple is attempting to hold above the 0.55-dollar level, which could reduce previous losses and drive a rise towards 0.60 and 0.65 dollars.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis:
Gold continues to trade positively as long as it remains above the 2,460-dollar level. A break above the 2,520-dollar level on the 4-hour frame could lead to new record highs, targeting 2,600 dollars and 2,700 dollars. This bullish scenario would be invalidated by a break below the 2,460-dollar level.
Crude Oil (WTI) Analysis:
Crude oil continues to trade under pressure, approaching a crucial level at 70 dollars per barrel. The bearish scenario would be invalidated by a return of prices above the 73-dollar level.
Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis:
Silver is attempting to reduce losses. Holding above the 27.50-dollar level could drive prices to rise to 29 dollars, and surpassing this level could achieve gains targeting 30.50 dollars.
Natural Gas (NG) Analysis:
Natural gas continues to trade below the psychological barrier at 2.20 dollars, which could drive prices to close the price gap and target 1.80 dollars.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Analysis:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is attempting to hold above the 41,000-point level, and surpassing the 55-day moving average could indicate a strong rise targeting 42,500 points. This positive scenario would be invalidated by a break below the 40,000-point level.
S&P 500 (SPX) Analysis:
The index remains stable above the 5,500-point level, which could drive prices upwards towards 5,700 and 5,900 points. This positive scenario would be invalidated by a break below the 5,500-point level.
NASDAQ Analysis:
The NASDAQ index continues to trade under pressure, but surpassing the 19,250-point level could push prices upwards towards 20,400 points.
Russell 2000 (RUSSELL 2000) Analysis:
The index could see an upward movement towards 2,225 points if it succeeds in surpassing the 2,150-point level, with gains potentially extending to 2,320 points. This positive scenario would be invalidated by prices remaining below 2,150 points.
FTSE 100 (FTSE 100) Analysis:
The index maintains its positivity above the 8,200-point level, which could drive prices upwards towards 8,400 and 8,600 points. This positive scenario would be invalidated by a break below the 8,200-point level.
DAX (DAX) Analysis:
The index could see a freefall towards 18,000 points if it remains below the 18,750-point level. This bearish scenario would be invalidated by a return to buying positions above 18,750 points.
CAC 40 (CAC 40) Analysis:
The index is trading under pressure, with prices remaining below the 7,600-point level, potentially driving the index down towards 7,200 points.
Nikkei 225 (NIKKEI 225) Analysis:
The index could experience a freefall towards 35,000 points if it succeeds in breaking the 37,000-point level.
Conclusion:
We have reached the end of today’s daily technical analysis. Thank you for following along, and we wish you a successful trading day. Best regards, and stay safe.
DXY outlookWe have a change of character at 100.940 and a break of structure at 101.600. Waiting for price to make a retest of 100.940 to see the continuation of the bullish leg beyond 101.850.
Let's wait and see and act accordingly. Keep in mind tomorrow is NFP (6 Sept).
DXY USD 1WDXY ~ NSE:DOLLAR ~ 1W
#DXY Movement is always in the opposite direction of #Bitcoin.
Looking at this Chart, #DXY Loss of Momentum and breakdown of this support line.
Send Bitcoin price $100,000+ in 2025 Q1
DXY / US DOLLAR INDEX🔍 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe 📉
The DXY chart on a 4-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. It’s essential to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a comprehensive market view.
• BUY DATE - September 12, 2024, 04:00 - Green Line: This time indicates a potential local low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating DXY or entering long positions.
• BUY DATE - September 19, 2024, 00:00 - Green Line: Another potential local low, suggesting favorable conditions for buying.
• BUY DATE - October 7, 2024, 06:00 - Green Line: This time marks another potential local low, indicating favorable conditions to enter long positions.
When working with this 4-hour timeframe, remember to evaluate these movements within the context of the broader market trend, considering higher timeframes for a more global perspective.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
DXY HTF price actionDXY looking bearish here. .5 Fib level around the $89-$91 looks to be the next move on HTF charts if it can't hold $99-$97
This is not financial advice. Happy Trading!
Liquidity building up on the DXY. Will price respect the level?There's alot of liquidity above our current price (premium) if price really wants to go lower we can expect price to seduce people in with our current trend line then suddenly spike up, hitting people's stop loss and then pushing down to its intended direction.
Or price could do the complete opposite (Be flexible).
IDEA DXY SHORT hi traders
I think that the dollar index under these circumstances since "Persistent" inflation in the US is on the rise and Which will lead to a 25-point interest rate cut
i think us dollad index bearish this week
DXYDXY formed ,as shown, a five waves as impulse and a 3 waves abc correction, and that corrective move shows a good respect of the last bearish wave and make "throw under" .
DXY IS still not good enough to buy until price passing 101.783.
DXY "Dollar Index" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola ola My Dear,
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DXY A NEW BULL MARKET TO BEGIN from 99/98 Zone DEFLATION PHASEThe chart posted is the cash US $ based on the fib relationships we should see one last drop below 100.60 target and drop into a 98.14 to 99.60 focus on 98.88 . This should also see the PEAK in GOLD the SP 500 as Most markets around the world . The cycle of deflationary forces should VERY CLEAR come mid oct and be in force for the next 18.8 months to as long as 3.2 years Data based on ALL DATA going back to 1902 and some of which s dates back to 1626
DOLLAR INDEX DXY going below 100? cmp : 101.344
looking for 96 levels in upcoming few weeks.
looking to stabilize around 95-97 for rest of the year.
15 min entry DXY on BEARISH DAILY TFabove chart (daily)
- price move aggressively downward (BEAR BIAS) to swipe ERL
- followed by HIGH QUALITY FVG WHY?
CONDITION 1: TAKING LOW LIQUIDITY CONDITION 2 : STRAIGHT 3 CANDLE MOVES; CONDITION 3, CLOSING BELOW IFVG
below chart (15 mins)
- Price did manipulation taking upside liquidity
- Followed by bearish FVG
- I am waiting inside 0,5-0,618 being swiped and closing below 0,5 fib line
- entry SHORT toward lowest internal liquidity zone (iFVG) or creates another LOW
DXY - USD overview 04.09.2024Will we see such move on #Dxy and price to drop down to 97.5? or we will see the drop to that area (97.5) straight away without prior move to the upside?
The Beginning of DXY DeclineThe DXY (US Dollar Index) is showing strong signs of entering a downward trend. The attached chart reinforces this view, highlighting the development of Wave 4, which is likely nearing completion. A continuation of the decline in Wave 5 is expected, in line with technical analysis and external factors.
Wave Structure: The chart clearly shows the DXY in a corrective pattern, with Wave 4 approaching its peak around the 0.618 retracement level at 102.030. Once this wave concludes, we can anticipate the continuation of the downward trend towards the completion of Wave 5, likely targeting levels below 100.
Bearish Channel: The DXY remains within a well-defined descending channel, indicating sustained selling pressure. This suggests that the overall momentum is bearish, with further declines expected as the channel holds.
External Factors: Slower-than-expected U.S. economic growth, particularly in key areas such as manufacturing and employment, has weakened the dollar’s outlook. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will halt rate hikes are dampening investor confidence in the dollar.
In conclusion, both technical analysis and external economic indicators suggest the DXY is likely to continue its decline. Traders should remain cautious as Wave 5 approaches, with potential downside targets below 100 as the dollar weakens further.
