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Dollar Bullish To $118?!During the last market analysis I said I remain bullish on the DXY for the upcoming future & that bias still remains the same. After the strong bullish rally from October - December 2024, The Dollar started off this year with an ease off, seeing prices drop for the first quarter of 2025. However, this cool off has not changed the long term perspective for the Dollar as we still remain bullish. This correction (sell off) this quarter was simply a dip. The Dollar has completed its Wave D consolidation phase & is now getting ready for further upside towards Wave E. Wave E being priced around $116 - $118.
TVC:DXYLong
by BA_Investments
Dollar Index 4hr analysisContinuing our scenario analysis and forecast on the weekly and daily timeframes, here are the reasons for which we believe that at the moment the most likely scenario to play out is scenario 1 (dollar strength), from now on or soon: 1. the flat most likely to play out in the daily is a regular flat (dark blue) because the flat inside it (light blue) is the one that looks most proper, or "ideal", as it has a perfect correction inside it to mark the b wave (marked by a circle, both on the chart and on the macd). 2. the contracting flat that you can see in part 2 of our daily analysis, is a terrible looking correction because even it it were a contracting flat, still the b wave inside it should be the most corrective piece, and it isn't. 3. there is growing divergence on the way down in this last move down on the 4hr, which indicates a potential turn. Please follow us if you feel that our analysis or setups can be of help! Thank you for viewing.
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingClear
DXY:Today's Trading StrategyTrump signed an executive order announcing a 25% tariff on all imported cars, aiming to force the return of many automotive manufacturing and related industries through the "tariff stick." However, the actual situation is more complex. Currently, there are significant issues within the US domestic industrial chain system, with declining quality and craftsmanship, failing to meet the needs of many automotive manufacturing enterprises. As a result, this measure is unlikely to achieve the desired effect and may even harm the US itself. The US Dollar Index is the first to bear the brunt. Upon the market's confirmation that Trump has officially signed the order and tariffs will be imposed, the pressure on the US Dollar Index suddenly emerged, squandering the hard-earned advantages accumulated yesterday. This led to a sharp decline in the US Dollar Index early today. Regarding today's trading strategy, it is recommended to adopt a trading approach based on the market's oscillatory trend. One can seize the opportunity to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs and buy non-US currencies at lows, as the current market demand indicates that the US Dollar Index cannot truly rise, nor will it experience a significant decline for now. Therefore, it is advisable to find opportunities to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs during the market's oscillation. Trading strategy: buy@103.70-103.80 TP:104.50-105.00 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYLong
by LeoBlackwood
DXY - How Instant Gratification Kills & Patience Pays Earlier in the month I shared a trading idea on the DXY looking at potential buying opportunities based on a Bullish Cypher & test of structure. There was some negative feedback from that original idea, simply because the trade didn't reverse "right away" - Today, I'm going to update you on this idea as well as share with you some thoughts on how instant gratification can ruin traders and how patience literally pays off when it comes to trading. If you have any questions and comments, please leave them below and I think the podcast episode that I'm referring to in the video was episode 1131 "How To Avoid Panic and Protect Profits" - Not 100% sure about that though. Akil
TVC:DXYLong
by Akil_Stokes
3
DXY Index: Wave Analysis & ForecastHi tradars! Based on the DXY index, considering the deep overbought conditions on the 4-hour timeframe and the reversal of indicators on the 1-hour timeframe, we can assume that subwave ((iii) within the larger third wave has now been formed. It reached approximately 100% of subwave ((i)), and in the coming week, we expect the development of wave 4. After that, likely next week—closer to the Federal Reserve meeting—we could see the continuation of the bearish rally in DXY from around the 104.70 level. Currently, the chart displays the primary wave count. Let’s see if this scenario plays out. #DSI #WaveAnalysis #Forex #Trading #FedMeeting
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AUREA_RATIO
Dollar milkshake theory is intactLots of people are trained bots against the US dollar. They have an instinctual reflex, saying it’s going up to freeze up into an Ice 9 situation, or inflate away like Weimar Republic. Neither has happened. These npc’s fail to understand that the US export most of those dollars. There’s more overseas demand for dollars that native demand. This keeps the inflation in the States at bay, and makes it impossible in the end for any other fiat to compete. We’re watching this play out in the charts with the Euro and the Canadian dollar. The euro is playing footsies with parity to the Dollar, and if parity cannot be stabilize between the pair, the Euro is destined to collapse against the dollar. All of this is in the apparent and what I’m reading into the candles. It’s not witchcrafts
TVC:DXY
by Shammus01
2
USD index bearish trendThe analyst expects the correction to end when the USDX reaches a value of 101.800. This is the predicted target for the end of the "C" wave of the correction. Once the index hits 101.800 (according to this analysis), the correction is expected to be complete, and the USDX may then resume its previous (likely upward) trend. In short: The USDX is expected to fall to 101.800 to finish a temporary price dip (correction) that's shaped like an ABC pattern.
TVC:DXYShort
by Ibrahim1984
Dollar Bullish To $118?! During the last update I said I remain bullish on the Dollar for the upcoming future & that bias still remains the same. After the strong bullish rally from October - December 2024, The Dollar started off this year with an ease off, seeing prices drop for the first quarter of 2025. However, this cool off has not changed the long term perspective for the Dollar as we still remain bullish. This correction (sell off) this quarter was simply a dip. The Dollar has completed its Wave D consolidation phase & is now getting ready for further upside towards Wave E. Wave E being priced around $116 - $118.
TVC:DXYShort
by BA_Investments
DXY Analysis - 31 March - 4 April 2025Key Observations: Break of Structure (BoS): Multiple bullish BoS on H4 and H1 suggest a potential bullish reversal in the coming week. Demand Zone (DZ): The H1 demand zone is still holding, indicating a possible liquidity sweep before resuming bullish momentum. Supply Zone (SZ): Two H1 supply zones above current price act as resistance levels. Critical Level at 103.84: If price breaks below 103.84, a bearish reversal may align with the higher time frame (HTF) bearish outlook. Support & Resistance: Several significant support and resistance levels are marked. RSI Indicator: The RSI is around 31.24, indicating the market is approaching oversold conditions. Outlook: Bullish Scenario: If the demand zone holds, the price could reverse upwards, targeting the supply zones. Bearish Scenario: A break below 103.84 may trigger a deeper drop, aligning with the broader bearish trend.
TVC:DXYLong
by nelsonn_fx
1
Skeptic | DXY Showdown: Battle at 104.403Welcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic Today, we're diving deep into the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), analyzing key levels and potential triggers. 🔍 Recap & Current Structure: As highlighted in our previous analysis , the major daily support (0.618 Fib) held strong at 103.303 , with price reacting precisely at this level. Currently, the DXY is testing a critical 4H resistance at 104.403 , which aligns with: A 4H consolidation range breakout zone A potential fakeout trap if price fails to sustain momentum The RSI (65.92) suggests building bullish momentum, but confirmation requires a clean break above 104.403. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): Trigger: Break & close above 104.403 Confirmation: RSI holding above 65.92 Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 104.000 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Trigger: Rejection at 104.403 + drop below 103.936 Confirmation: RSI reversal below 50 + bearish 4H candle close ⚠️ Key Notes: Fundamentals: Recent economic data favors dollar weakness—trade longs cautiously. Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
3
Dollar Weakens Amid Concerns Over New TariffsThe U.S. dollar traded weaker on Thursday, dropping 0.22% in the DXY index, despite the release of economic figures that slightly exceeded market expectations. This negative move becomes technically significant as it occurs near the 200-period moving average, a key level that was breached earlier in March, placing the greenback under greater short-term selling pressure. The key economic data released was the Q4 2024 Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which showed an annualized growth rate of 2.4%, marginally above the expected 2.3%, though representing a notable slowdown from the previous quarter’s 3.1%. This growth was primarily driven by consumer spending, which rose 4%, its fastest pace since Q1 2023, and higher government expenditures (3.1%), partially offsetting declines in fixed investment and exports. Despite the apparent economic optimism suggested by these figures, the underlying strength of the dollar remains questioned due to recent trade policy decisions by the Trump administration and the significant deterioration in consumer sentiment during Q1 2025. Particularly noteworthy is the announcement of new 25% tariffs on imported vehicles and auto parts, effective from April 3. Trump labeled this date as the "Liberation Day" for the U.S. automotive industry, asserting the primary goal is to stimulate local production and correct historically unfair trade practices. However, substantial risks emerge from this policy, including potential disruptions to global supply chains, a significant increase in new vehicle prices (ranging from an additional $4,000 to $12,200 per unit), especially affecting electric vehicles highly dependent on imported components, and inflationary pressures that might compel the Federal Reserve to reconsider its current pause on restrictive monetary policy. Additionally, the auto industry immediately reacted negatively, with shares of giants like General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis declining, while Canada and the European Union strongly opposed the measure, considering potential retaliatory actions that could escalate global trade tensions. In this scenario, markets closely watch Friday’s release of the PCE inflation report and the University of Michigan's inflation expectations index, indicators that could provide crucial insights into the Federal Reserve's next moves. The Fed remains cautiously on the sidelines, evaluating the real impact of governmental trade policies on inflation and economic growth. Ultimately, although today the dollar exhibited technical and fundamental weakness, its future outlook continues to hinge significantly on domestic and international political and economic dynamics, promising continued high operational volatility in the near term. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Pepperstone
$DXY IdeaWhen analyzing the weekly DXY chart, we identify the presence of two CRTs: one bullish and one bearish. However, the bearish CRT has a low probability of success due to the candle formation and the fact that the price is still in a discounted region within the range. Given this, our initial expectation is for the price to drop at the beginning of the week to seek liquidity in the equilibrium region of the daily range, which coincides with the 50% level of the bearish CRT. This movement may act as a correction within the predominant trend, pushing the price up toward the premium region of the weekly range. From that point, we will once again look for selling opportunities, as the market may resume its downward movement. Based on this analysis, we initially seek selling opportunities down to the equilibrium region. Once this level is reached, we will wait for confirmation of a bullish reversal to look for buying opportunities up to the 50% mark of the bullish CRT.
TVC:DXY
by Pilucax
DXY 1H – Potential Sweep Before Uptrend ContinuationThe Dollar Index recently closed above a previous lower high, signaling a possible bullish trend continuation. However, the recent drop has only seen wicks covering the higher low, suggesting this may just be a liquidity sweep rather than a true bearish reversal. 📊 Key Observations: ✔ Higher Low Sweep: Current price action suggests liquidity is being grabbed before a potential move higher. ✔ Daily Structure: This move aligns with a possible sweep on the D1 timeframe, meaning a bullish reaction could be imminent. 🔎 Next Steps: Watching for bullish confirmation before taking long positions. If price reclaims support, a continuation toward higher levels is likely.
TVC:DXYLong
by Marshall-FX
Hope you sold DXY and still selling?This dxy really tested my resolve this week. I was expecting this sell on Wed and Thurs because I have no other objective to the upside as I said in my previous post. But it continued ranging and in that range I lost money. Reason been I was breaking even, entering again since I thought it was a sure move and stopped out many times. It made me also lose my 3 open positions. Now I'm left with just one. The market can be irrational more than you can remain solvent. It is okay to reduce risk, it is okay to wait for higher timeframe confirmation. What is not okay is rushing into a trade and losing money even when you're right. My objectives for the downtrend are highlighted on my chart. Look at them, I will also update you when I see a possibility of a retracement. Follow me as most of my trades are market order and not just lines on chart. You will be able to see them on time and trade them with me.
TVC:DXYShort
by UGBOR