USXUSD trade ideas
BEARS STILL IN CHARGE ! DXY- USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25
BEARS CRUSHING THE USD!
Professional Risk Managers 👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
✅ U.S. dollar index is a measure of the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies.
✅The currencies are the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
Pairs to look out for -
EURUSD - BUY
USDCHF - SELL
USDJPY - SELL
USDCAD - SELL
GBPUSD - BUY
- Perhaps it's time to accept that a recovery in the DXY is not occurring anytime soon...
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
DXY 4hr char anlaysis I expect the DXY to enter a temporary bullish phase, likely as part of a corrective move. The price may rise toward the 100.781 – 101.00 zone.
From that level, I anticipate a bearish reversal, with the potential for the price to decline toward the 97.00 – 94.00 region.
This outlook is based on my own understanding and experience in the market — it's not guaranteed to be 100% accurate, but it's a well-considered forecast. I estimate there's about an 80% probability that the market will follow this scenario.
DXY: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 98.579 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 98.459 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
My Thoughts #011What I see coming is sells
Here's why
Because the pair just gave a LH in the current bearish trend of the HTF
and the pair just choch and it's only sells after a retest
It could just continue selling
But I will wait to see the market's hand before taking my first trades
This pair could buy so use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Bullish bounce off overlap resistance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.78
1st Support: 95.22
1st Resistance: 101.81
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Disclaimer:
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DXY 1W (Dollar Index Weekly Chart)All eyes on the Dollar’s weekly support zone — it’s looking vulnerable and may attempt a breakdown next week. 📉
If that breakdown confirms, the Dollar could head toward Support 1, and possibly Support 2 in the coming weeks.
And you know what that means...
Bullish for crypto. 🟢🔥
Stay alert — the coming weeks could get exciting!
"DXY Dollar Index" Market Bullish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "DXY Dollar Index" Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Line Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (100.400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (99.000) Day/swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 102.300
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸"DXY Dollar Index" Bank Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DOLLARImpact of June 6 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data on Fed Rate Decisions
Key Data Points
Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (vs. 126K forecast, revised April: 147K from 177K).
Unemployment Rate: Steady at 4.2% (matches forecasts).
Average Hourly Earnings: 3.9% YoY (vs. 3.7% expected).
Labor Force Participation Rate: Declined to 62.4% (from 62.6%).
Fed Policy Implications
Labor Market Cooling but Resilient:
Job growth slowed (139K vs. 147K prior), with cumulative downward revisions of 95K for March and April. This signals moderation but avoids a sharp deterioration.
Stable unemployment rate (4.2%) and wage growth (3.9% YoY) suggest the labor market remains tight enough to sustain consumer spending but is losing momentum.
Inflation Concerns Persist:
Sticky Wage Growth: Elevated wage inflation (3.9% YoY) complicates the Fed’s inflation fight, particularly in services sectors.
Productivity-Sensitive Costs: Rising labor costs without productivity gains could pressure corporate margins and consumer prices.
Fed’s Balancing Act:
Near-Term Hold Likely: The Fed is expected to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in July, prioritizing inflation control over labor market softness.
Rate Cut Odds Shift: Markets now price a ~55% chance of a September cut (up from ~40% pre-NFP), contingent on further cooling in inflation (June 11 CPI data critical).
Market Impact
DXY (Dollar Index): Minimal immediate reaction, but sustained labor market cooling could weaken the dollar if rate cuts gain traction.
Equities: Mixed signals (slower jobs vs. stable wages) may limit gains, though tech and growth stocks could rally on delayed Fed tightening.
Bonds: 10-year yields (4.40%) may edge lower if growth fears outweigh inflation risks.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely delay rate cuts until September unless inflation softens decisively. While job growth is slowing, persistent wage pressures and a stable unemployment rate justify a cautious stance. Traders should monitor June CPI (June 11) and Q2 GDP data for clearer signals.
Summary:
No July cut expected; September cut remains contingent on inflation easing.
DXY range-bound near 98.50–99.50 until CPI release.
stay cautious
#gold #DOLLAR
Just got the May NFPs... Let's have a lookWe just received the May NFPs, which, overall, are not bad. Let's dig in.
TVC:DXY
TVC:DJI
FX_IDC:USDJPY
FX_IDC:USDCAD TVC:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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DXY June 6 Over all notesDXY
June 6
Over all notes
Parent bias is bear
Discount range current/previous
MONDAY-EXPANSION
*Expands to equal lows
TUESDAY REVERSAL
*gaps lower
*Rally to retrace
*Creates equal highs
WEDNESDAY REVERSAL-CONSOLDATION
*Gaps lower
* takes equal highs
*Expands lower creates equal lows
THURSDAY CONSOLIDATION-EXPANSION
*Asia retrace to minor buy side, taps a bearish order block, CE of hourly FVG
*London 2 macro expansion sell off
*classic 7 macro retrace fake out
*NY 8 macro ND Price expands to target of the week equal lows
*NY 10 macro SILVER BULLET reversal
*Consolidation
*dealers range retraces to 50 level
F DELIVERY RETRACE
Sell side taken expected buy day
*Asia on the 50 level previous session-sign that price is seeking buy side liquidity
*20:00 expands buy side
TAKE AWAYS- REMEMBER THIS
Parent bias is KING
*4 hour is bias and order flow
*1 hour confirm cycle where price has delivered to and what liquidity taken
*5 equal lows/highs and candle formations
TRADE CHECKLIST
confirming bias, direction, liquidity taken, previous session fib levels, and time of day are the keys
In hindsight price delivered perfectly to a equilibrium to premium logic, back tested logic for direction on Wednesday, Thursdays speculation for new driver. Wow it must be random ICT 2022 model
USDX-NEUTRAL BUY strategy Daily chart Reg.ChannelThe index is still under pressure, but am slightly cautious on SELL as we are near support 98.40 area, and as long it holds we should expect some recovery. Channel wise we have room further down.
Strategy BUY 98.60 - 98.75 and take profit near 99.75 for now. However, break below mentioned support opens 96.50 and lower.
DXY BULLISH Lets wait for High Impact news first.03 JUN 2025
DXY BULLISH,
currently retrace and price has break out to downside. but immidately reverse back to inside.
BUY USDXXX atau SELL XXXUSD & GOLD
BIAS To Bullish with momentum.
There is high impact news in 1 hours may change the outlook.
Lets wait and see.
1. "What do you think — is DXY ready to fly or fall?"DXY 4H Analysis – Decision Time for the Dollar?
After completing a falling wedge with a clean 5-wave Elliott structure, the U.S. Dollar Index is approaching a key demand zone.
Will buyers step in to push price toward the bullish target near 106 📈?
Or will we see another rejection from the supply zone and a deeper drop to 94? 📉
Wave A or Wave B?
Market structure shows signs of reversal, but confirmation is still pending a break of resistance or further rejection.
👉 What do you think — bounce or breakdown?
Comment your view below ⬇️
Let’s see who’s riding the next big wave 🌊
#DXY #USD #ElliottWave #SupplyAndDemand #GreenFireForex #ForexAnalysis #WaveTheory