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Forex Weekly Round-Up: DXY, GBPUSD, EURUSDKey Price Zones (DXY): 97.422 - 97.685 🟦 DXY (Dollar Index): On paper, USD had a strong week: 🔹 Durable Goods smashed expectations (+8.6% vs 0.5%) 🔹 PMIs, GDP Price Index, and Jobless Claims came in solid But the market ignored it: 🔻 Consumer Confidence disappointed (93.0 vs 99.4) 🏠 New Home Sales missed 🕊️ Fed Chair Powell stayed soft — no aggressive tightening talk Result? Despite strong fundamentals, DXY broke down, sweeping daily lows and printing fresh bearish structure. It’s now down ~10% YTD — the worst first half in over 50 years. 📈 EURUSD & GBPUSD: Holding Strong Despite Weak Data EURUSD German Retail Sales: –1.6% Import Prices: –0.7% ECB tone: muted Still, EURUSD held daily support and gained — thanks to broad USD weakness. GBPUSD Current Account widened (–£23.5B), GDP unchanged No standout UK catalyst Yet GBPUSD held its ground and edged higher as DXY continued to fall. 🧠 What This Tells Us Strong data isn’t always enough. When price action, market sentiment, and liquidity targets align — they override the numbers.
TVC:DXYLong
by LegendSince
DXY (LONG) Elephant in room: To all the fake Business Development Managers in SA; claiming to have database/business they dont have, then jumping broker to broker every 3months to just get money knowing very well you cannot meet the requirement to claim you can have caused the following 1) International brokers to not hire South Africans anymore 2) Some good brokers to leave the country therefore jobs opportunities to be lost. We complain about lack of employment and opportunities while we are greatly the cause Be Better have integrity, professionalism and be hournest, your selfish acts have a greater negative impact than you can imagine.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by MR_US30_ZAR
DXY 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025DXY 7/6/2025 DXY 4hour Bearish Idea Monthly - Bearish Weekly - Bearish Dailly - Bearish 4hour - Bearish All timeframes are suggesting we are sitll very much bearish. Going into this week we can spot two scenarios that will consider DXY either bullish or bearish. Bearish Continuation - Ideally we can see price action stay below our 97.500 resistance zone which is also our 38.2% fib level. Look for price action to reject 97.500 with strong bearish conviction. This will most likely confirm a bearish dollar for the week ahead. Keep in mind, price action can push up to the 98.000 zone and still remain bearish. Reversal - This is the less likely move for the week ahead but not impossible. For us to consider DXY bullish again on the 4hour timeframe we would need to see price action push above our 98.000 resistance area with a confirmed higher low above. Look for strong bullish rejection above & off of 98.000 acting as support. This is the first step for DXY in becoming bullish again.
TVC:DXYShort
by ForexLeague
DXY Holds Above Channel Support: Next Leg Higher?Hey Traders, The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is consolidating just above a strong support cluster around 97.325, aligned with ascending channel structure and historical demand. Price action is suggesting a potential bullish continuation if this support zone holds firm. Current Market Conditions: * DXY is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining higher highs and higher lows. * Price is currently hovering above the 97.325 key support area and mid-channel dynamic trendline. * Recent candles show rejection from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, indicating buyers may be stepping in again. * Structure remains bullish unless price closes decisively below 97.325. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: The dollar remains buoyed by persistent inflation pressures and Fed Chair Powell’s continued hawkish tone. Markets are pricing in fewer rate cuts in the near term, reinforcing USD strength. Today’s USD resilience is also supported by mild risk-off sentiment ahead of U.S. CPI data and Powell’s congressional testimony, which could further move the greenback. Targets: * TP1: 97.756 * TP2: 98.085 * TP3: 98.373 Risk Management: * Stop-loss: Below 97.325 to invalidate bullish structure. * Risk-to-Reward (R\:R): Minimum 1:2 setup. Consider adjusting position size based on support behaviour and macro event volatility. Technical Outlook: * Price needs to hold above 97.421–97.325 zone to maintain bullish bias. * Watch for bullish engulfing or momentum candles as confirmation for long setups. * A break above 97.630 could accelerate the rally toward higher resistance at 98.373. Conclusion: DXY is at a decision point. If bulls maintain control above 97.325, the index could push higher toward the 98.00+ zone. Keep an eye on U.S. economic data and Fed commentary for directional confirmation. Sign-off: “In markets, clarity often lies just beyond the fear. Trade the levels, not the noise.” 💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to boost and follow for more insights. Trade safe!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalSage_Ben
DXY DOLLAR INDEX The DXY has declined from its current high 114.54 to 96.59 reflecting a weaker dollar against a basket of major currencies including the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Despite this decline, the dollar remains supported by strong US economic growth and higher US 10-year bond yields, which have widened the yield gap with other developed economies . The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy has been relatively hawkish, with fewer rate cuts priced in compared to other central banks, helping to underpin the dollar. Trade tensions and tariff uncertainties continue to create volatility, but the dollar benefits from safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties Composition of the DXY Basket: Euro (EUR): 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6% British Pound (GBP): 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6% context Drivers: US economic strength, Fed policy, bond yield differentials, trade tensions, and safe-haven flows keeping dollar on support hold. Ongoing US tariff announcements and trade policy changes have contributed to volatility and risk aversion, pressuring the dollar lower. US Economic Policy the Market is concerned about fiscal policy, Federal Reserve independence, and rising US debt which have led to reduced demand for US assets, further weighing on the dollar. Interest Rate Differential: The US Fed funds rate remains at 4.50%-4.25%, but with global central banks adjusting policy, the relative appeal of the dollar has diminished. Conversely, a sustained move above 98.00 could signal a reversal and renewed dollar strength. hope we can get back to 100 aagin. #dollar
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
DXY Trade Setup✅ Trade Setup Details: Entry: 96.850 Stop Loss (SL): 96.650 Take Profit (TP): 97.350 ✅ This is a good RRR. A 2.5:1 ratio means you're risking $1 to potentially earn $2.50 — favorable for consistent trading. 📈 Chart & Technical Analysis (based on your image): ✅ Entry is near the middle Bollinger Band and above Ichimoku cloud — a technical support zone. ✅ SL is placed below recent support and Ichimoku base, giving some buffer in case of volatility. ✅ TP at 97.350 aligns with the recent swing high or top of the breakout channel. ⚠️ Things to Watch: If DXY drops below 96.700, it may signal weakness or a shift in sentiment — watch volume and price reaction. If price stays above cloud and rising trendline, your trade remains valid. 🟢 Summary: Bias: Bullish Setup: Good technical entry with solid support below and clear resistance target. Risk-to-Reward: Excellent (2.5:1) Strategy: Hold unless price breaks below 96.650 with volume.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Harry_Megat
Continuation of DXY bullish narrative, who says NO?Like I said in my last published post, dxy is bullish for now till we see otherwise. The first TP has been reached, more than 100 pips bagged, the trade is still on but I'm looking at a possiblity of compounding here. I told you guys, this trade will make you a huge amount of money if you're willing to ride it with me. This means bearish EURUSD AND GBPUSD et al. Trade accordingly. We may have a final sweep of 97.260 area. You can wait for that sweep before entering. I'm not, I won't be on chart then but the stop will hold. Few pips won't change the trade idea will it? Follow me as my trades are usually market order, so you'll see them on time and enter on time. Enjoy
TVC:DXYLong
by UGBOR
US dollar, Trump has done it!Since the start of 2025, the US dollar has established itself as the weakest major currency on the Forex market, falling by over 11% against a basket of major currencies. If we extend the reference period to include Donald Trump's return to the presidency, the slide even reaches 12%. This spectacular decline is no accident, but the fruit of a strategy deliberately implemented by the Trump administration. The stated aim is clear: to restore the commercial competitiveness of American companies, boost exports and restore the price advantage of products made in the USA. In this respect, the fall of the US dollar on the FX has fulfilled its mission. Can we now envisage a low point for the US dollar on the FX? 1) US dollar: the battle for currency competitiveness has been won for US companies, and this should have a positive impact on the second-quarter results of S&P 500 companies published this July Indeed, the fall in the dollar translates directly into a much more favorable environment for exporting groups, particularly those which generate the bulk of their sales in Europe or Asia. The conversion of foreign currencies into dollars mechanically boosts revenues and margins. For many multinationals, this factor is likely to contribute to strong earnings releases in the second quarter, as the reporting period takes place this summer. Beyond the immediate impact on corporate accounts, the greenback's depreciation is also encouraging a more structural trend towards reindustrialization and support for domestic production. The effects of this dynamic can already be seen in certain manufacturing segments, which are regaining international market share. Nevertheless, this scenario is not without its downsides: a weak dollar makes imports more expensive, especially raw materials, and weighs on companies dependent on foreign inputs. On the whole, however, the exchange rate policy implemented since January represents a successful gamble by Donald Trump to boost American competitiveness. 2) Technical analysis: can we anticipate a low point for the US dollar? The crucial question today is whether the US dollar can pull back further, or whether a technical and fundamental bottom is emerging. From a technical analysis point of view, the DXY index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of currencies weighted 57% by the euro and 13% by the yen, remains anchored in a bearish trend. Some of the theoretical targets evoked by Elliottist analysis have been reached, but not all. However, long-term supports are visible on monthly charts: an uptrend line, particularly visible on the arithmetic scale, could act as a short-term stabilizer. Note that a potential bullish divergence is also possible on the weekly timeframe. But a bullish reversal pattern is still lacking to speak of a major low point, so let's not put the cart before the horse. 3) Scenarios and stakes for the rest of the year for the US dollar on FX Beyond technical considerations, the persistent weakness of the US dollar acts as a revealing indicator of the tensions between trade policy and financial stability. On the one hand, a dollar under pressure is a powerful lever for supporting exports and consolidating US growth in an uncertain global context. On the other, a prolonged fall in the greenback fuels concerns about international confidence in dollar-denominated assets, and makes imports more expensive, which could rekindle inflationary pressures. This dilemma lies at the heart of the forthcoming trade-offs between the White House and the Federal Reserve. For investors and companies exposed to Forex, several scenarios are conceivable. If the U.S. political agenda leads to a trade compromise, and if second-quarter publications confirm the robustness of the U.S. economy, the dollar is likely to find a technical floor around the supports identified on the DXY. In this scenario, a stabilization phase, or even a moderate rebound, could set in during the second half of the year. Conversely, if the trade stimulus policy is accompanied by a hardening of relations with Europe and China, or if the Fed is slow to react, the downward momentum could be prolonged. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
DXY LONG TERM ANALYSISI anticipate dollar to trade down towards 80. After which we shall look for longs towards 144. This is a long term outlook. 1. first we trade down towards sellside liquidity at 87. 2. Next key level is the 3 month fair value gap at 84 3. Eventually hitting the 25 DRT of the current dealing range at 80. 4. Then we can look to go long targeting 75 DRT of the parent Dealing Range. 5. We shall be coming here weekly to review and correct course as the market unfolds. THANK YOU.
TVC:DXYShort
by kabiruchege1
1
Potential USD Strengthening Ahead | DXY vs BTCUSD Outlook ⚡ The DXY has now reached the lower boundary of its long-term ascending channel, a historically significant technical zone where rebounds have occurred in the past. 💡 If this pattern holds, a strong rebound towards the 121 level on the DXY looks probable in the coming months. What does this mean for BTC? Historically, a strengthening USD has often resulted in a reciprocal effect on BTCUSD, leading to downward pressure on Bitcoin prices. The chart suggests that if the DXY rebounds as expected, BTCUSD could witness a significant decline proportionate to the USD's strength. Key Takeaways: ✅ DXY at crucial technical support – rebound likely. ✅ Target for DXY: 121 zone. ✅ BTCUSD may face downside pressure as USD strengthens. ✅ MACD showing early signs of bullish reversal potential for DXY. Note: This is a technical analysis-based view. Always use risk management and combine multiple factors before trading decisions. For Educational purpose only. 💬 What are your thoughts? Will the USD rally put pressure on Bitcoin again? Share below!
TVC:DXY
by shekharvsingh1
3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value📉 According to J.P. Morgan, here are 3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value: 1️⃣ Oil and energy deals are now being done in other currencies 2️⃣ U.S. banks are excluded from new global payment systems 3️⃣ Countries are reducing their USD reserves The world is slowly shifting away from dollar dependence... #USD #DollarDecline #JPMorgan #ForexNews #DeDollarization #OilTrade #CurrencyShift #GlobalEconomy #SmartMoney #FXForever #MarketUpdate #ForexTraders #USDBreakdown #EconomicTrends #GlobalFinance
TVC:DXYShort
by FXFOREVER_87
DXY (Dollar Index) longs to shortsThe dollar has been bearish for several weeks, but we’re now starting to see signs of a potential retracement due to price being in oversold territory. Last week, DXY reacted from a key weekly demand level, suggesting that we could see some short-term bullish movement before any continuation to the downside. I’ll be watching closely for price to either push higher into liquidity or retrace slightly deeper into more discounted demand zones for a cleaner long setup. This would also align with my short setups across other major pairs, making DXY strength a key narrative this week. Confluences for DXY Longs: DXY has been bearish for an extended period — now showing signs of accumulation on higher timeframes Price may retrace upwards to collect liquidity before continuing its macro downtrend Recently reacted from a major weekly demand zone Imbalances and liquidity above, including Asia highs, remain untapped P.S. If price fails to react from any of my current POIs, I’ll patiently wait for new zones to develop and adjust accordingly — always staying aligned with what price tells us. Let’s stay sharp and crush the week ahead!
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
DOLLAR INDEX The dxy is the measure of the united state dollar relative to basket of six majors foreign currencies, it was originally developed by U.S Federal Reserve in 1973 to provide a trade -weighted average value of the dollar against global currencies. the six currencies are EURO 57%,JPY 13.6%,GBP 11.9%,CAD 9.1% SEK 4.2% CHF 3.6% The index rises when the dollar strengthens against these currencies and falls when it weakens ,its used to gauge the overall strength of the us dollar in the global market. US10Y THE US10Y ,the treasury note yield is the interest rate the U.S government pays to borrow money for 10 years ,it serves as a crucial benchmark for other interest rates and is a key indicator of the investor sentiment about the economy, in context it reflects the return an investor expect for lending money to the U.S. government for a decade . the interest is paid semi annually at a fixed coupon rate and the yield moves inversely to bond price; when bond price fall the yield rises, and vice versa . this have a direct effect on borrowing cost across the economy ,including mortgage rates and corporate loans . when yield is rising investor optimism is high about the economic growth and inflation ,while failing yield indicates economic caution and recession fear and concern technical interpretation of the monthly chart the dxy is in buy back position on ascending trendline line ,but price remains below supply roof and if we get monthly retest of broken demand floor we could see price selling off. trading is 100% probability.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
3