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USD Index (USX) / US Dollar

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USXUSD trade ideas

DXY Game Plan - USD IndexIt is important to watch the DXY to understand the strength of the USD across global markets. The DXY is a key index that reflects the U.S. dollar’s dominance in foreign exchange. Therefore, tracking it can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of all major asset classes. In this post, I’ll break down both technical and fundamental expectations. Technical Analysis DXY has been in a retracement phase (bearish) since January 2025. During this time, we’ve seen EUR and other major forex pairs form strong bullish trends. Currently, the DXY is approaching a weekly bullish trendline, where I expect a potential bounce. Additionally, DXY is trading within a discount zone (below the 0.5 Fibonacci level, also known as equilibrium). Personally, I’m watching for a deeper move into the maximum discount zone (around the 0.75 Fib level). This area also aligns with key liquidity concepts. Ideally, I want to see a deviation below the bullish trendline, with a sweep of one of the weekly liquidity levels marked on the chart (two black horizontal lines). I'm not relying on a clean triangle trendline retest, but it's a possibility. Game Plan DXY taps the bullish trendline Deviates below it, running weekly liquidity (black lines) Hits the max discount zone (~0.75 Fib) Then shows signs of reversal and strength Once that setup completes, I’ll be expecting strong USD performance, and will look to short risk assets — including stocks and major forex pairs. Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve is currently resisting pressure to cut interest rates, while Trump is vocally pushing for rate cuts. The market is already pricing in a 79% probability of a September rate cut (source: CME FedWatch Tool), so if that happens as expected, I don’t anticipate major market reaction. However, a surprise rate cut in July would likely trigger a flash crash in DXY/USD — though based on my game plan, I would expect a V-shaped recovery shortly afterward. EUR, GBP, AUD, and CAD have also hit key resistance zones, so I believe we're likely to see USD strength for a while.
TVC:DXYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Weekly Outlook. Dollar Strength🗓 Economic Outlook – 2025-06-30 💹 RSI Divergence and Dollar Strength 🟢 Summary A bearish divergence in the RSI combined with strong U.S. fundamentals suggests continued upward pressure on the Dollar Index (DXY). This trend may persist, particularly if upcoming economic data supports current expectations. 📊 Technical Insight RSI Divergence Observed On the DXY chart, we observe a hidden bullish divergence in the RSI, where price makes a higher low while RSI makes a lower low. This pattern suggests potential continuation of the uptrend despite short-term corrections. 🧮 Fundamental Overview ADP Employment Report (Wednesday) Expected stronger results could support the dollar’s bullish trend through next week. Watch for surprise upside in employment numbers. NFP Index Currently above 100, indicating a healthy U.S. economy. Even if it reaches 120 as expected, the impact may be muted due to prior pricing-in by the market. "I try to share an overview of the data a day in advance to give you a general perspective." 🔴Remember, the long-term outlook for the dollar is bearish.🔴
TVC:DXY
by mehrshad31
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse DXY together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 96.706 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 96.819.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
DXY BANK VAULT BREAK-IN: Your Dollar Index Profit Blueprint🚨 DXY BANK HEIST: Dollar Index Breakout Robbery Plan (Long Setup) 🚨 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Dollar Bandits! 🏦💰💸 Using the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, we’re plotting a DXY (Dollar Index) bank heist—time to go LONG and escape near the ATR danger zone. Overbought? Yes. Risky? Absolutely. But the real robbery happens when weak hands panic. Take profits fast—you’ve earned this loot! 🏆💵 📈 ENTRY: BREAKOUT OR GET LEFT BEHIND! Wait for DXY to cross 99.300 → Then strike hard! Buy Stop Orders: Place above Moving Average. Buy Limit Orders: Sneak in on 15M/30M pullbacks (swing lows/highs). Pro Tip: Set a BREAKOUT ALARM—don’t miss the heist! 🛑 STOP LOSS: DON’T GET LOCKED UP! For Buy Stop Orders: Never set SL before breakout—amateurs get caught! Thief’s Safe Spot: Nearest swing low (2H chart). Rebels: Place SL wherever… but your funeral! ⚰️ 🏴‍☠️ TARGET: 102.300 (Bank Vault Cracked!) Scalpers: Long only! Trail your SL like a pro thief. Swing Traders: Ride this heist for maximum payout. 💵 MARKET CONTEXT: DXY IS BULLISH (But Traps Await!) Fundamentals: COT Reports, Fed Plays, Geopolitics. Intermarket Sentiment: Bonds, Gold, Stocks—all connected. Full Analysis: Check our bio0 linkks 👉🔗 (Don’t trade blind!). ⚠️ ALERT: NEWS = VOLATILITY = TRAP ZONE! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Lock profits with trailing stops—greed gets you caught! 💥 SUPPORT THE HEIST (OR GET LEFT BROKE!) Smash that Boost Button 💖→ Stronger team = bigger scores! Steal profits daily with the Thief Trading Style. 🎯🚀 Next heist coming soon… stay ready! 🤑🐱‍👤🔥
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
DXY JUNE DELIVERY NOTES & NFP week aheadDXY JUNE DELIVERY NOTES *June was a distribution candle rebalancing a BISI from March 2022 *daily chart shows price consolidate beginning of June, then mid month breaking to lower prices taking key equal lows, third week price retraces to make a 1 pip high, last week a trending sell off cycle to close the month *Price is a discount parent range- anticipating a pull back this week for NFP *Monthly price has broken structure and expecting it to gravitate to the .70 level 96.672 and rebalance the volume imbalance from Feb 2022 for the next coming weeks target ideas *4 hour chart shows price in a consolidation Thursday and Friday-expansion expected Monday June 27 DELIVERY *Price opens in Asia in a expansion cycle to take minor buy side and create a wall of equal highs *21:00 retraces creates equal lows *0:00 price takes minor equal highs *2 London macro price rallies for my suspected equal lows target *3 macro small retrace of delivery *7 macro price fake swing to equal lows -creates a wall of equal lows *9 macro price rallies for equal highs *13:00 price expands to take session buy stops *closes retracing to the 50 level JUNE 30 IDEAS *I suspect for Sunday's delivery to take minor equal lows possibly the equal lows for a deep discount set up for a buy day- Monday *last liquidity Friday buy side *Price is in a deep discount over sold is my thought with the sell off we saw Monday through to Wednesday we could see Price retrace to the 50 level 98.204 for this weeks pull back? *NFP week ahead parent bias is KING and we are still bear on this pair
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
Make Dollar Great AgainDXY Big Picture While looking at other DXY charts to use a clean chart for HTF, I saw that it touched historical trend support. It didn't touch only on the TVC chart, so I am adding it with the other charts and accepting that it touched the trend. According to the fractal I added in August last year, the price is moving very well. I expect a correction from these areas. I think we have reached the reversal areas due to both the momentum in the declines and the oversold. The decline fatigue I mentioned is more evident in LTF charts. The price cannot reach the EQ zone of the decline channel that has been going on since February on the daily chart. Although it is a very inclined channel on the 4h chart, it can no longer reach the channel bottom. For this reason, I think this region is where reversal should be sought. After the first 0.38 of this decline, I think a pullback to 0.5 is possible.
TICKMILL:DXYLong
by mooniron
DXY 4Hr And Daily Bearish ( A minor & aslight bull trend)The DXY (US Dollar Index) could potentially rise to the 100.257 level to complete a bullish structure or flag pattern. However, it's also possible that it may face rejection around its current zone and resume its bearish trend, targeting support levels between 99.00 and 98.25. As always, our entries should be guided by what the market and its structure are showing us. For now, the broader trend for the DXY remains bearish until it potentially reaches the lower support zone around 96.00 – 94.00, or even below that range. This extended downside expectation is driven by several fundamental factors: anticipations of interest rate cuts in the coming months, potential tax policy changes under Trump, and persistent inflation concerns within the U.S. economy. In light of these uncertainties, the market demands extra caution at this stage. Good luck and trade safe!
TVC:DXYShort
by ProfissionalGoldHntryhunter
TIME FOR THE DOLLAR TO STRENGTHEN OR FURTHER WEAKNESS.So what are we lookin at? We have been looking at the weakest price in dollar yet.Yesterday we tested the yearly lows at 97.700 which we are using as current baseline. I will mark up that price range to use as our support. Geopolitical tensions are cooling off as Trump called for ceasefire between the two war torn nations but we still have lots of economic data flowing in. Most attention fall towards Fed chair Powell speech as this will shape up the direction of the dollar going forward as we head to a new month. Correction higher means USDJPY will rise as we are having a steady Yen currency. We saw the dollar fail to hold above 99.300 which is our nearest resistance level marked by a horizontal ray.So focus is on those two price levels so as to enable us find opportunities to trade.
TVC:DXYLong
by Muchangi
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.59 1st Support: 97.69 1st Resistance: 99.25 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
EUR/USD Macro Structure | Don’t Miss the Cycle ShiftAfter reviewing the 12M, 2M, and currency indexes — this isn’t just a bounce, it’s a potential macro reversal. EUR/USD (2M Chart) We’ve now got two Morning Star Dojis followed by a bullish engulfing — price is climbing steadily toward 1.16319 (neckline zone). If we break and retest clean, 1.25560 becomes a high-probability target. I view this as the neckline of a multi-year W-formation. 💶EUR Index (16D Chart) The breakout has already occurred. Retest is happening now around the 1.057 zone. Fibonacci structure supports continuation, and volume confirms strength. If momentum holds, 1.085 – 1.130+ are valid extensions. 💵 USD Index (DXY - 16D Chart) Meanwhile, the dollar is breaking down from a neckline around 98. If the 97–98 range gives way, we may revisit 88.253, confirming a shift in USD dominance. 🌐 Fundamental Alignment: The Eurozone is pushing hard for digital transformation, with the ECB advancing legislation on the digital euro. Christine Lagarde has been vocal about blockchain innovation — and XRP’s involvement in cross-border integration is no coincidence. 🎯 Key Price Levels: 1.16319: Neckline (retest zone) 1.25560: Mid-term target 1.60195: Macro expansion (long-term, structure-dependent) 📌 I encourage all traders to zoom out and track structure across multiple timeframes. Sometimes the past holds clues to the future.
TVC:DXY
by MoNi_MoN