$DXY - First signs of recovery, but no confirmation yet.To find confirmation, I would like to see a clean break of the blue Line on 1d or 3d chart and a bullish MacD cross.`
USXUSD trade ideas
Politics is a show. Live watching the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell News Conference
(FOMC Conference)
and at the same time,
Dollar just swept liquidity,
Hit EQ,
Filled 1hrFV Array,
Sent to buyside.
This is crazy.
Its all a game. Its not real.
DXY: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 98. 059 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 98.148 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dollar In Fifth Wave-Reversal In Trend May Not Be Far Away.The Fed will announce its latest policy decision later, and expectations are that Powell will keep rates on hold, especially after last week's slightly higher inflation print and still solid US jobs data. We can see some stabilization in the US dollar ahead of this event, but we have to keep an eye on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which coudl also play a key role in driving safe haven flows.
Meanwhile, the stock market continues to trade sideways, and I don't expect any major breakouts or strong moves ahead of the Fed. Also, tomorrow is a holiday in the US, so that could contribute to slower market conditions into the end of the week, unless, of course, the situation in the Middle East gets worse.
Looking at the DXY waves structure, I see athree-wave move from the most recent lows, so the fourth wave I highlighted a few days ago could now be approaching completion near this week’s key resistance around the 99 level. That’s definitely a level to watch for a potential fresh, but possibly final sell-off toward new lows around 97, maybe even 96.
That’s where the DXY could stabilize, as ending diagonal pattern signals that we are likely in the late stages of wave five, meaning this bearish cycle could soon come to an end.
dxy 1hr chart analaysis The current bullish trend in the DXY is likely to face a strong rejection around the 99.55–99.65 zone. Unless there is major news that significantly shifts the market direction — such as a surprise policy announcement like the tariffs introduced during Trump's era — the dollar index is not expected to break above that level. That zone could act as a major turning point, and a bearish reversal is likely to emerge from there
DXY 2H Analysis – June 18, 2025Pair : dxy ,,💲
Is the bullish move fading out? 📉
Price reacting near upper trendline resistance 🔵
Potential correction or final push before deeper drop ❗
Wave count suggests i–ii–iii–iv completed; wave v setup expected 🔁
Watch the reaction in the highlighted zone 📦
Either short continuation or a bullish trap loading 🧠
📌 Strategy: Elliott Wave + Trendline Confluence
📅 Stay sharp. Events approaching 📰
📈 Trade with a plan, not hope.
🔔 Follow @Greenfireforex for more real-time setups and ideas.
USXUSD LOTD SetLOTD Set
Looking for Unemployment Claims / FOMC Delivery Higher on USXUSD.
Nice buildup of Asia Highs below draw.
Let's see.
Dollar - Coming back into Consolidation (Short Term Bullish)Been following dollar with videos for over a month and we have been in sync from the highs highlited in the video. We hit our target last week and now looking for a short term bullish run on stops at 94.40s
Give us a follow. Support the channel. Videos are regular
Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚
Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 .
Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers:
Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤
Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪
Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy!
Final Vibe Check
That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
DXY bullish here, sell XXXUSD! Do miss this trade plsAs per my previous post on dxy, I'm looking for higher prices now. I dont know the news or war or tariff or rate cut that will push it up. I'm just reporting what I'm seeing on the charts, most times, it doesn't lie. Just when everyone was bullish back in Jan, 2025. I turned bearish, now I'm telling you that we go up slowly or range.
This means you have to sell EURUSD, GBPUSD etc
TP1 @ 98.9
TP2 @ 99.4
Enjoy
Follow me and turn on notification so you'll see my trades on time and enter them on time
DXY June 18 2025We believe that Trump's tariffs and the downward trend in U.S. interest rates will continue to put pressure on the dollar, leading to further depreciation.
Monthly Target: 95.445-101.977
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.89
1st Support: 98.29
1st Resistance: 99.60
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DXYThe DXY has faced severe sell off due to President Trump's policy and idea of how the dollar should be controlled/managed. Though it has fallen, a pullback will happen soon. I will be using the DXY as a good guide for all the USD/XXX or XXX/USD pairs. You as a trader can take what you can from this.
These 4HR FVG'S seem like a very good place where you can do one of two things. First you may be able to manage and hold a trade throughout the whole pullback. Another option is take complete profits instead of partials and enter in at good prices with this pullback in mind for bias.
$DXYAs tensions rise in the Middle East, the dollar remains a safe haven.
We could see a temporary bullish run on the dollar as capital seeks safety.
But for me, Bitcoin was the first signal that smart money is shifting into alternative assets like Gold, Silver, and beyond.
Stay alert. The market speaks before the news does.
DXY OVERVIEW AND ANALYSIS - SELLOFF AT FOMC PRESS CONFERENCE 🟣DXY🟣 H4 CHART
As we witness the unfolding of a conflict in the Middle East this week I expect the commodities of OIL and GOLD to raise more after a pullback that will offer buy entries.
On my view the DXY index will pullback to the previous broken support now resistance in the 99.200 - 99.340 area and selloff to the weekly targets 97.500 and 96.800.
FOMC on Wednesday should catalyse this move and I expect the pullback to take place between the first days of the week
DXY Long term targetI think the IV wave is finished. now in 1-2 year dxy next target will be around 120. probably in 1 year.
Dollar consolidating - Still long term bearishLets see if the Daily Volume imbalance can hold price lower here. If it breaks higher then the clean highs will be a target for a sweep then return lower again. FOMC Tomorrow!! Stay safe
DXY: US dollar To Drop Further Around 95?The US dollar has been steadily declining since the new president was elected in the USA. This decline has been accompanied by the ongoing trade wars. Numerous economic indicators have supported this trend, and we anticipate further depreciation in the coming days or weeks. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own analysis and gain a comprehensive understanding of the market.
We wish you the best of success in trading. Good luck and trade safely.
Like and comment for more, and as always, happy trading!
Team Setupsfx_
$DXY Dollar stays weak but is it bottommed?Have not many ANY trades based on the US Dollar. Have not been convinced in either way, yet.
TVC:DXY has been weaker lately but not by much. Well, at least compared to its previous low.
However, LONGER TERM we see it's biz as usual.
It is currently fairly oversold on the weekly chart & could be primed to change direction.
DXY HOTD SetDXY HOTD Set
Unemployment Claims delivery lower expected.
H1 FTB, Weak Low.
H1 FVG, H1 QM
LOWER !!!
Let's see...
DXY: WILL WE GO LOWER.What's next from this point.
The month of June signals the start of quarter three based on the quarterly theory.Q3 is also referred to as the distribution phase or expansion.Given that information we expect to see expansion in majority of the market charts.
Our main focus is on DXY( Dollar index) which we pair against a basket of other currencies to get more insight on the foreign exchange market.We have witnessed a weak dollar in recent times. Weak is not an understatement as this is the poorest it has performed in recent years. The current prices were last seen during the covid era and has been used as baseline support for the pair in recent times.There have been a number of reasons for this and some carry more impact than others. Trade wars between the US and China have had the most impact and have been shaping up Trump's first year of his second term as president. Then lately we have witnessed the rising tensions in the middle east and feud between Islamic states and Israel.
We cannot foretell how lower we will go but we can keenly follow through the structures being broken and major price points being respected which will serve as indicators to the direction taken by the dxy.
With a calmer economic environment and support of strong economic data then we expect the dollar to rebound and propel higher. Not a full rebound but a play in the range between current lows and 102 which serves as the high for the previous two months.But if the current political turmoil persists and involvement of the US government in the middle eastern conflict then this will lead to an economic shakedown and an unpredictable dollar.
I hope this information will serve as a guide through this quarter. # SAFE TRADING EVERYONE.
