CPI forecastThe CPI represents changes in prices of all goods and services purchased for consumption by urban households. User fees (such as water and sewer service) and sales and excise taxes paid by the consumer are also included. Income taxes and investment items (like stocks, bonds, and life insurance) are
Key data points
Last release
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Observation period
Mar 2025
Next release
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Forecast
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Highest
10.90 % on Feb 28, 1975
Lowest
0.30 % on May 31, 2020
About United States Core CPI YoY
In the United States, the "core core" inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods excluding cost of food, shelter, energy, and used cars and trucks.
How Inflation Works and Why Traders Must Understand ItInflation has become one of the most important topics in modern economics because of its recent prominence, affecting forex pairs, commodities, as well as everyday goods and services. In this post, our team will provide educational clarity on inflation, what it means, and the important definitions t
Cutting The Fed Funds Rate Does Not Necessarily Cause CPI RiseThe chart proves it. Too many times people throw around the theory that cutting interest rates causes inflation. If this were true we would have seen CPI rise considerably from 2009 to 2015 when rates were near zero, yet we did not see anything of the sort occur. In fact, CPI continued to fall throu
FED vs ECB Interest Rate DifferentialIn this chart you can see the interest rate differential for the FED versus the ECB.
I have outlined a possible scenario in rate cuts highlighting a bearish Euro/bullish US Dollar.
If the ECB will cut rates before the FED it will enlarge the differential, which is a bearish outlook for the Euro.
Inflation is not going to go awayI posted in March 2020 that we had likely seen a generational low in yields following the spike driven by Covid fears.
We are now STILL in the early innings of a generational (at least 20 years) BULL market for inflation and yields
Position accordingly over coming years
2024 inflation lower but 2026-2028 might be different trendnote: this is just precaution, a risk management, a bad scenario when happen, and know why it could happen
there an article in twitter posted by Kobeissiletter (the source of picture)
it making similar movement like stagflation which potentially could see a higher inflation later
but we are not in
Choosing Your Inflation Tracker: Core CPI or CPICore CPI vs CPI - Some say core CPI is a better benchmark compare to CPI data to track inflation.
Knowing which way CPI inflation is going, it will sharpen our investment decision?
If CPI inflation is still trending up, majority of stocks will be under pressure. However, there will be other sector
CPI tomorrowU.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) tomorrow at 8:30am. If CPI comes in below 3% the stock market will rally strong. If the CPI print is an upside surprise the stock market will go red. If CPI comes in at 3.1% forecast the stock market will whipsaw and then go up.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure
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