Get started
US inflation rate YoYUS inflation rate YoYUS inflation rate YoY

US inflation rate YoY

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview History News
Ideas
Discussions

USIRYY trade ideas

$USIRYY - U.S Inflation Rate Unexpectedly Slows (April/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY April/2025 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the US eased to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021, from 2.4% in March and below forecasts of 2.4%. Prices of gasoline fell at a faster pace and inflation also slowed for food and transportation. Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.2%, rebounding from a 0.1% fall in March but below forecasts of 0.3%. Meanwhile, annual core inflation rate steadied at 2.8% as expected, holding at 2021-lows.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
gold and inflation in 1970s stagflation fomc member repeatedly saying this is not stagflation like 1970s but gold bug on social media constantly pump stagflation narrative after gold historic run from $2000 to $3000 in just one year with usa cpi and gold chart in one image you can get idea how gold moved in last stagflation crisis with big political news : when paul volcker comes into fed and when Ronald Reagan wins election gold first makes double top before multi year bear market inflation peaked after volcker get fed control but before election result. is this is really replay of 1970s ? we got same old president trump and same old fed chair powell ✅ biden forced fed to do big size 50bps cut pre election to choose inflation over higher unemployment which is stagflation ✅ in his first term trump in election year March 2020 use covid as excuse to cut 0% and do QE and trillion dollar fiscal policy stimulus check. choosing inflation over high employment which is stagflation but it was biden who has to face most of the inflation spike to 9% ✅trump raise tariff to 100 years high to choose high employment over inflation which is recession ✅ in next 4 years it will be clear is this replay of 70s or not. in future we will have more inflation and gold price data to confirm
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Sangam-Agarwal
$USIRYY -United States CPI (March/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY (March/2025) source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the US eased for a second consecutive month to 2.4% in March 2025, the lowest since September, down from 2.8% in February, and below forecasts of 2.6%. Prices for gasoline (-9.8% vs -3.1%) and fuel oil (-7.6% vs -5.1%) fell more while natural gas prices soared (9.4% vs 6%). Inflation also slowed for shelter (4% vs 4.2%), used cars and trucks (0.6% vs 0.8%), and transportation (3.1% vs 6%) while prices were unchanged for new vehicles (vs -0.3%). On the other hand, inflation accelerated for food (3% vs 2.6%). Compared to the previous month, the CPI decreased 0.1%, the first fall since May 2020, compared to expectations of a 0.1% gain. The index for energy fell 2.4%, as a 6.3% decline in gasoline more than offset increases in electricity (0.9%) and natural gas (3.6%). Meanwhile, annual core inflation eased to 2.8%, the lowest since March 2021, and below forecasts of 3%. On a monthly basis, the core CPI edged up 0.1%, below expectations of 0.3%.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Inflation rate vs FED FUNDS RATEThe inflation rate and the Federal Funds Rate are deeply interconnected, with the Federal Reserve using the latter as a primary tool to manage the former. When inflation rises above the Fed's target (typically around 2%), the Fed often increases the Federal Funds Rate to tighten monetary policy. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, which can reduce consumer spending and business investment, thereby slowing economic activity and helping to curb inflationary pressures. Conversely, when inflation is too low or the economy is sluggish, the Fed may lower the Federal Funds Rate to stimulate borrowing, spending, and investment, which can help boost economic activity and push inflation toward the target. However, this relationship is influenced by external factors such as supply chain disruptions, energy prices, and global economic conditions, which can complicate the Fed's ability to control inflation solely through rate adjustments. For example, during periods of supply-driven inflation (like during a oil price shock), raising rates may have limited immediate impact on inflation but could still be used to anchor inflation expectations. Thus, the Fed's management of the Federal Funds Rate in response to inflation reflects a balancing act between stabilizing prices and supporting sustainable economic growth.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by juanfortuno
Inflation Leading Indicator Data with Agricultural Commodities Inflation leading indicator data is not derived solely from CPI numbers; more importantly, we must consider what drives these CPI numbers. By understanding this, we can stay ahead of the mass market. Looking at past trends, we can observe that CPI numbers and agricultural commodities tend to move in tandem. In this discussion, we will explore why agricultural commodities are an effective tool for projecting inflation direction and examine where these commodities may be heading. Micro Agriculture Futures: . Corn: MZC . Wheat: MZW . Soybean: MZS . Soybean Oil: MZL . Soybean Meal: MZM Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
ECONOMICS:USIRYYLong
by konhow
4
$USIRYY -U.S CPI (January/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 2.9% (January/2025) source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the US likely held steady at 2.9% in January 2025, matching December’s figure, which was the highest since July. On a monthly basis, the CPI is expected to have risen by 0.3%, slowing from 0.4% in December, with food and energy prices continuing to increase, particularly natural gas. Meanwhile, annual core inflation, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy, is anticipated to decline for a second consecutive month to 3.1%, marking the lowest level since April 2021. In contrast, monthly core inflation is projected to edge up to 0.3% from 0.2% in December, driven primarily by an increase in new and used car prices.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Unemployment - In big pictureThe history of periods when unemployment was rising and key indicators illustrating economic stimulation through interest rate cuts. For comparison, the impact on BTC and altcoins. Interestingly, throughout Bitcoin's entire history, the best periods have been when unemployment was declining. The only exception was during the COVID era, when the largest amount of money in history was printed, inflating the markets. Currently, we are facing rising unemployment, unregulated inflation, escalating global conflicts, and a trade tariff war. How will the stock market and the crypto market react?
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Marek_Jasinski
1
The history of periods when unemployment was rising For comparison, the impact on BTC and altcoins. Interestingly, throughout Bitcoin's entire history, the best periods have been when unemployment was declining. The only exception was during the COVID era, when the largest amount of money in history was printed, inflating the markets. Currently, we are facing rising unemployment, unregulated inflation, escalating global conflicts, and a trade tariff war. How will the stock market and the crypto market react?
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Marek_Jasinski
Inflation vs gold correlation 60's to 80's Pattern.Gold seems to like inflation. Or, is inflation food for gold? These are chars that no one is showing you. According to this chart, Gold has a seven year bull run ahead of it that should top at some point in 2032. This a chart of the US Inflation rate on the 2 month (Blue line) right from the horses mouth, Bureau of labour statistics. On the top in gold or yellow is the gold chart. As you can clearly see, in the seventies gold was very heavily correlated with inflation. This is not my opinion this is a fact, and it will be again. THIS IS A 2 FOR ONE GUYS. INFLATION AND GOLD FORCAST ALL IN ONE!! Let me know what you think down below. Kind regards, WeAreSat0shi
ECONOMICS:USIRYYLong
by WeAreSat0shi
TARIFFS Will Lead To Inflation!? NOPE!So many talking heads crying TARIFFS will be inflationary, but it’s mostly uneducated fear-mongering. Let’s look at the cold, hard USIRYY and CPI data to figure out the truth behind this. From March 2018 through September 2019, President Trump had eight waves of tariff announcements on C-H-I-N-A, plus some steel and aluminum ones on Mexico and Canada. In order to combat these inflation worries, Trump did what he said he was going to do… DRILL BABY DRILL. For the first time since 1949, the US would be a net exporter of oil. We can see there was a quick spike in inflation from stockpiling imports before tariffs were fully implemented, but inflation quickly plummeted nearly in half as the US became a net exporter. Fast-forward to today, and coincidentally inflation is at 2.9% which is right around where it was when Trump imposed the tariffs during his last presidency. Funny how that works out, eh ;) Trump has declared the US will DRILL BABY DRILL bigger than ever, which should lead us to believe that this time is NOT different and inflation will go down again.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by jonnieking
4
$USIRYY -U.S CPI (October/2024)ECONOMICS:USIRYY @2.6% (October/2024) source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - US Inflation Rate Picks Up The annual inflation rate in the US increased to 2.6% in October, from 2.4% in September and in line with market expectations. On a monthly basis, CPI rise by 0.2%, consistent with the previous three months with shelter index up 0.4%, accounting for over half of the monthly increase. Meanwhile, core inflation stayed at 3.3% annually and 0.3% monthly.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
A capture of inflation, dilution and stimulus /2024As we see by the chart, we had a series of events mostly around mega-stimulus for Covid and a massive dilution of currency as triggering events. Inflation rose and is now back down close to the desirable 2% inflation. We don't want prices to go back to where they were, that is deflation and is not healthy for an economy. We want prices to stay near the same year after year with modest inflation. When inflation rises too fast, we increase interest rates to slow down spending, to reduce inflation. The best we can do is work on wage growth to accommodate the inflation from our past years while maintaining modest inflation. At 2.4% inflation currently, there really is pretty much nothing to fix anymore, we just need to keep it around where it is, a little lower really and work on modest wage growth. Looking at this data, it really looks like the vast majority of the culpability of that inflation we had came from 2020, one of the single worst years financially as a country with inflation starting to rise immediately in 2021, and exacerbated some in 2021. Looking at this chart, there is a tangible possibility that we see >10% inflation by 2027 Here is the M2 money supply chart:
ECONOMICS:USIRYYEducation
by EncryptShawn
Lower inflation do not mean things will become cheaperLower inflation and interest rates do not necessarily mean that prices will decrease. If I annualize the inflation numbers instead of focusing on the monthly figures, the overall picture becomes much clearer. 2 and 10 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY, 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
ECONOMICS:USIRYYLong
by konhow
7