Inflation did not break out of a 40 year base for nothing.Inflation did not break out of a 40 year base for nothing.
Producer Price Index versus US equities also agrees.
#stagflation #inflation #recession #fintwit #gold
USIRYY trade ideas
US inflation yearly rateSecular inflation was previously delivered in 3 cycles.
We are still in the first.
#stagflation #fintwit
This recession identifies as an apache helicopterChart displays the US inflation rate and US unemployment rate. Red zones mark recessions (from stlouisfed.org).
6/8 of the past recessions are lead by inflation rates surpassing 5%. Only the dotcom recession had an inflation rate below 5%, and the other was COVID, which we are experiencing the resulting inflation currently.
so, every time the inflation rate jumps, unemployment follows on a lag. we can see that the ends of recessions are usually marked by a declining inflation rate and peaking unemployment rate.
but remember, this is not a recession and our country is in great hands.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
FRED:UNRATE
FED vs Inflation - The doomsday chartThe current administration says the FED today has "more credibility than Volcker FED". I didn't think I had to clarify why this is a poor joke, but considering the state of afairs... Let's us examine that statement.
Above is a chart comparing the CPI vs the interest rates and is very clear to me how bad this administration is, but nobody seems to realize yet how big of a f**up this is. America's time as the world wealthiest and most powerful country are counted. I don't think China is the future, but certaintly America doesn't have one to boast about it. As far as I can see it, these next generations won't have much of a future at all. The worst part is that the US debt is so large that even if they want it, they couldn't raise the rate more to control inflation, at the current size every 1% increase of the rates would mean 300bl more paid annually by the US government, that means that 2% would end the military budget (the US largest expense). Volcker had to push rate well into 2-digits to control inflation, today that would colapse the whole economic system by itself. That's it boys. This is how the world ends. Not with a boom, but with a click.
US inflation, FED rate, housing price and S&P since 2007The indicators are not the same as they were in 2007 housing crises.. what could come out of this?
US Inflation RateThe US Inflation Rate Observers an Al-Time High Since the 1980s. Will the US Recover from this level any time soon? or are we yet to see another Higher High?
Inflation peak in 2025So you think we've hit peak inflation? In this new inflationary period, it seems that the 1065-day cycle between when the FED acts too late, and consumer prices peak, may be back in effect.
United States Inflation Rate Possible Top Coming In For Inflation In the U.S... RSI & MFI Are showing it and If it continues in the Parallel channel. While Also hitting a .618 on fib retracement
BTC vs the Dollar Inflation Rate :-)I thought this was an interesting chart Dollar Inflation vs Bitcoin BTC percentage different with the Bitcoin BTC price on top since the start of the pandemic. I used this Date Jan. 31, 2020 since it was short of a worldwide reset of the financial system. It appeared to give about a week notice before the BTC price collapse. I will follow this chart thru the next bull run to see if gives any earlier indicators or not.
BTC vs the Dollar Inflation Rate :-)I thought this was an interesting chart Dollar Inflation vs Bitcoin BTC percentage different with the Bitcoin BTC price on top since the start of the pandemic. I used this Date Jan. 31, 2020 since it was short of a worldwide reset of the financial system. It appeared to give about a week notice before the BTC price collapse. I will follow this chart thru the next bull run to see if gives any earlier indicators or not.
Don't worry Deeper Network DPR Crypto i have not forgotten about you. Your just taking to long to play out your Bearish M Pattern and i am getting bored waiting..................................
Unemployment is inevitable part 2INVERTED GRAPH
Unemployment rates in black.
INVERTED Michigan consumer index in blue.
As consumer sentiment falls, unemployment rises.
Every.
Time.
The consumer index just fell to all-time lows.
Unemployment hasn't risen.
Either we have done something completely unique in the history of the stock market redefining how modern economics work...
Or there's a lot of unemployment coming.
US Inflation.US inflation is very correlated with the extreme rallies we have seen in US stocks, Oil and crypto, FED are increasing rates frequently to counter this abnormal levels inflation show as the bar graph in my chart, one thing that is going to directly affect asset prices is rates, the dollar should look to gain strength too. So increased Inflation will see rising asset prices, and a falling inflation should drop asset prices from their highs. FED are beginning to try tackle the major inflation seen in the US, and the market conditions are going to change, so be prepared and manage your risk very safely, these coming market conditions are going to be a tough sea in my opinion.
US Inflation is Nearing a Harmonic PeakIf we are to base our views of this chart like we would any other price chart, the harmonics we see forming here would imply that US Inflation is reaching a peak and that we will see Inflation come down signfiicantly over the the coming years. If i were to give a target i'd say we'd wanna see it come down to atlest 3% as a first target but it could go down even more depending on how tight things get.
The smaller harmonic is a Bearish Butterfly with a reversal zone between the 1.272 and 1.618 and the bigger one if we get that high is a Bearish Shark. Ideally we'd like to see the Butterfly playout and us not to have to go as high as the Shark.
🔥 Has Inflation Peaked? A Century Old Trend Suggests YesWith inflation rising, the FED is applying quantitative tightening to the US market and the Dollar, which has caused chaos in the market of 2022. The market fears that the FED is not doing enough to combat this inflation, which will cause higher inflation, which will eventually cause further chaos in the markets.
However, looking at the chart it seems that inflation is currently at a massive "resistance" which has developed over the last 100 years or so. If inflation were to adhere to the trend, we can assume that inflation has peaked and will move down from here onwards, which would result in much better (bullish) market conditions.
I'm aware that applying TA on fundamental data like inflation is generally speculative at best. I think that inflation will rise further as long as the FED is unable (or unwilling) to rise the interest rates further.
Nevertheless, I think this analysis can shed a different light on on the most important piece of data of 2022.
Time will tell.
Do you think think inflation has peaked? Share your thoughts in the comments.
US Inflation vs Fed Fund RateThe difference between US Inflation (YoY) and Fed Fund Rate reaches all time high, higher since 1955.
I conclude, The Fed is really fall behind the curve (vs Inflation).
The Fed must take a huge step. No wonder market worry.
Inflation is PeakingPeople are too fearful. Dumps have lost momentum. Bearish forecasts and bad news are not affecting stock and crypto price action too much (the opposite of so much bullish news not pumping equities and crypto too much last year).
Time to long.
USIRYY - Inflation 8.6%US inflation shows no signs of slowing down, Annual inflation rate in the US unexpectedly accelerated to 8.6% in May of 2022.
S&P 500 reacted to the peaking inflation by slowing the market by nearly 22% from ATH.
Is really America heading towards a recession?
Out of the Box chart !!!US Inflation has reached falling trendline where it has faced resistance
for three times.
Also, RSI has reached the upper range from where reversal is witnessed.
But, if it gives breakout above this trendline then the doors of huge upside will
be opened, as it's a symmetrical triangle pattern whose targets are huge.
Rising inflation is never favorable for stock market so it's a sign of caution.
us inflation rateunited states inflation rate is breaking the resistance level, not a good news . if this breakout sustained , equity will suffer
Peak Inflation - NoKeep the dream alive Blue Turtles.
It's typically when Food Inflation crosses 35% historically...
The HOI POLLOI get nasty.
it's coming.
Count on it.
34.47% YOY....
3 Bips... 3
12% INCOMINGyall aint ready for that are ya, better be prepared, dollar aint worth that much anymore
