The week's fundamental highlightsThe financial markets are currently under the influence of a conjunction of themes of fundamental concern, the most important of which are :
- the trade war and the current phase of trade diplomacy
- the current phase of disinflation in the West, which could be threatened by tariffs
- the intransi
Key data points
Last release
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Observation period
Mar 2025
Next release
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Forecast
2.20 %
Highest
11.60 % on Mar 31, 1980
Lowest
−1.47 % on Jul 31, 2009
About United States PCE Price Index Annual Change
In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).
Modeling a shift in SRAS and AD over the past year, I think. I used the U.S PCE YoY as the base, I then overlaid the M1 YoY and Real GDP YoY. I used the beginning of this years as a reference point as that is roughly when the fed began increasing interest rates.
As the price level declines demonstrated by a decline in the money supply and PCE YoY declini
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