AIH -Long Arabia Investments Holding (EGX:AIH)
Arabia Investments Holding engages in the non-banking financial, engineering, contracting, and manufacturing businesses in Egypt. Arabia Investments Holding was founded in 1985 and is based in Cairo, Egypt.
At close: Apr 6, 2025 0.490 EGP/share is slightly undervalued
Key Investment Highlights
1. Undervaluation Opportunity
o Current Price (0.49 EGP) vs. Book Value (0.91 EGP): Trading at ~46% discount to book value.
o Fair Value (1.18 EGP): Ostoul Securities estimates 141% upside based on sector P/E.
o Low Trailing P/E (10.52): Suggests earnings are reasonably priced.
2. Strong Financial Growth (2023)
o Revenue Growth: +11.48% (1.41B EGP).
o Earnings Growth: +27.95% (90.16M EGP).
o Market Cap CAGR (5.17% since 2013): Steady but modest long-term appreciation.
3. Technical Indicators Suggest Bullish Reversal
o Wyckoff Accumulation Phase (Since Oct 2024): Potential upward breakout.
o Falling Wedge Pattern (Monthly Chart): Targets 1.01 EGP.
o Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 1 target at 0.721 EGP.
o Point of Control (POC) at 0.6 EGP: Near-term resistance.
o EMA200 Below Price: Indicates bearish trend, but reversal signals emerging.
🔑 Strategy Suggestion:
• Entry Zone: 0.48–0.52 EGP
• Stop-loss: Below 0.44 EGP
• TP1 refers to volume Money flow profile =POC is 0.6 EGP/share
• TP2 refers to Elliot analysis current in wave 1and TP is 0.721 EGP/share
• TP3refers to daily falling wage 0.737 EGP/share and Flag in monthly to be 1.01 EGP/share
• TP4 refers Book Value Per Share 0.91 EGP/share
📌 Investment Thesis Summary
✅ Positives
• Undervalued vs. Book Value and Sector P/E
• Strong revenue and earnings growth in 2023
• Technical setup suggests a bullish reversal (accumulation + falling wedge)
• Fair value (1.18 EGP) implies significant upside (~141%)
AIH trade ideas
Triangle pattern breakoutA bullish opportunity by breaking the upper side of the triangle at 0.54 which also represents a previous resistance, today marked the highest traded volume ever, the potential target price is around 0.7
Meanwhile by breaking 0.65 area there is a giant cup and handle breakout with a potential target of 1 EGP
Aih Gann analysis - Important levelsWelcome to a new analysis, and today we’re breaking down the Arabia Investments Holding stock on the Egyptian Exchange. We’ll go through the chart in detail, highlight key technical levels, and discuss potential future scenarios. 🔥
🔎 Quick Overview of the Chart
🔹 The stock is currently trading at 0.519 EGP after testing strong resistance at 0.524 EGP and slightly pulling back.
🔹 We can see that the stock is moving within a rising channel defined by the white trendlines and is attempting to hold above the lower boundary to continue its uptrend.
🎯 Key Levels on the Chart
📌 Important Resistance Levels:
✅ 0.524 EGP – A very strong level. If the stock successfully breaks above it with strong closing, we could see further upside.
✅ 0.583 EGP – A key resistance zone. Breaking above it could lead to a move toward 0.645 EGP in the medium term.
📌 Support Levels:
🛑 0.469 EGP – The nearest support level. If it gets broken, we might see a drop to 0.416 EGP.
🛑 0.416 EGP – A major support zone and a potential area for a strong rebound if a correction occurs.
🚀 Possible Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario (Uptrend):
If the stock stabilizes above 0.524 EGP with a strong daily close, we could see an upward move toward 0.583 EGP, followed by 0.645 EGP.
Breaking above 0.645 EGP would signal a strong bullish phase.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Downtrend):
If the stock fails to hold above 0.524 EGP, we might see a corrective move down to 0.469 EGP.
A break below 0.469 EGP could push the stock lower toward 0.416 EGP, which is a key support level for a possible bounce.
🕵️ What Should We Watch for Now?
✅ Monitor the daily closing price: If we see a strong close above 0.524 EGP with high trading volume, the stock could move higher.
✅ If a pullback happens, keep an eye on 0.469 EGP as a key support zone.
✅ The overall bullish structure remains intact as long as the stock is trading within the rising channel.
💬 What’s your take on this analysis? Do you agree or see another scenario? 👇👇 Let’s discuss in the comments!
#AIHAIH Stock: Excellent Opportunity – Price Set to Explode Soon
Target: 0.95 EGP
Stop Loss: 0.46 EGP
Entry: 0.554 EGP
The stock is currently forming a Falling Wedge pattern in Daily chart, which is a strong technical signal indicating that the price could soon rise. The indicators also provide a strong buy signal. This makes the stock a great opportunity for investors looking for potential upside.
Arabia Investments: A Promising Opportunity
The stock exhibits several promising signals:
- RSI has crossed the 50-line, indicating potential buying momentum
- MACD has crossed its signal line, hinting at a bullish trend
- Trading volume has surpassed the moving average, suggesting increased market activity
- The stock has gained ground for 2 consecutive weeks, outperforming the 200-day moving average
Market structure analysis reveals:
- The stock has touched the 150% Fibonacci level twice, forming a double bottom pattern.
Factors to monitor:
- An upcoming stock split on May 24th
- The stock is currently trading at a strong resistance level, with the 21-day moving average providing support
- The stock is expected to face significant resistance at the 0.6 and 50-day moving average levels
- A potential test of the 0.634 price could signal a very strong resistance zone
Arabia Investments: A Promising Opportunity
The stock exhibits several promising signals:
- RSI has crossed the 50-line, indicating potential buying momentum
- MACD has crossed its signal line, hinting at a bullish trend
- Trading volume has surpassed the moving average, suggesting increased market activity
- The stock has gained ground for 2 consecutive weeks, outperforming the 200-day moving average
Market structure analysis reveals:
- The stock has touched the 150% Fibonacci level twice, forming a double bottom pattern.
Factors to monitor:
- An upcoming stock split on May 24th
- The stock is currently trading at a strong resistance level, with the 21-day moving average providing support
- The stock is expected to face significant resistance at the 0.6 and 50-day moving average levels
- A potential test of the 0.634 price could signal a very strong resistance zone
Risky targets long positions for day tradersFirst Target is 0.536EGP as we are having a strong resistance there, so we can sell half and try to catch the 2nd target of 0.573EGP (that's the highest point in the downtrend started 14 Dec.),
The risk/reward ratio is 0.8-0.85 that's why i see it risky, but why not!!
you can paper-trade it anyway to see the results and regret or celebrate later xD
My Analysis is just for fun and educational purposes not financial advice, Best of luck!