EGX30 in a Higher RegionEGX30 stock is currently in a higher region than before. In the case of taking an upward trend, it is expected to breach the resistance line at 32,026.185 and then reach the resistance line at 32,055.750. And reach the third resistance line at 32,095.170 points. In case of falling, it's expected to break the 1st support line 31,976.910 points, then the 2nd support line 31,947.346, then the 3rd support line 31,907.926. It's an outstanding performance among the current situation, which is fulfilled with news like Egypt's blue-chip index EGX30 was up for a fourth consecutive session, rising 0.2% with E-Finance for Digital gaining 3.2% and Palm Hills development reaching 3.4% besides signing an agreement to develop 1.87 million SQM plot of land in Abu Dhabi. On the other side, Gulf markets declined following the latest tariff threat on European Union goods and the statement on Truth Social on Friday recommended a 50% tariff from June 1 on all EU goods sent global markets roiling.
EGX30 trade ideas
EGX30 Trend Line AnalysisEGX30 stock is currently falling but rebounded at the support line 31,365.902. In case of taking an upward trend it is expected to breach the resistance line at 31,543.291, then reach the resistance line at 31,681.261. In case of falling it's expected to break the 1st support line 31,316.627 then the 2nd support line 31,227.932, then the 3rd support line 31,198.367
EGX30 Movement AnalysisEGX30 stock is currently in a higher region than before. Unfortunately it rebounded to the support line 31,907.926. In the case of continuing downward it's expected to reach the support line 31,858.651 then break the support line 31,829.086. In case of taking an upward trend, it is expected to breach the resistance line at 31,907.926 and then reach the resistance line at 31,947.346. And reach the third resistance line at 32,095.170 points.
The EGX30 index is performing wellThe EGX30 index is performing well, though it will probably face some resistances. It's likely the EGX30 will fill the gap and could rise to 31,200. A closing price near that level would break the downward trend. Then, with strong upward movement from hitting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, it might retest 32,480, potentially reaching a target of 32,900.
EGX30 Downward Trend Line AnalysisEGX30 stock is falling, reflecting the sellers' dominance over the buyers. In case of taking an upward trend it is expected to breach the resistance line at 31,720.681, then the 2nd resistance line at 31,769.956 then 3rd resistance line at 31,819.231 points, but in case of falling it's expected to break the 1st support line 31,704.167 then the 2nd support line 31,661.682, then the 3rd support line 31.631.986
EGX30 Neutral Zone AnalysisEGX30 stock is currently in a neutral zone, between the 31,970 resistance line and 31,424.07 support line, reflecting the buyers' and sellers' wait and taking their time for market analysis, especially with the investment atmosphere that is full of unaligned points of view. In case of taking an upward trend, it is expected not to breach the resistance line at 32,464.493 points, but in case of falling, it's expected not to break the support line at 29,989.245.
EGX30 Downward Trend AnalysisEGX30 stock started to fell reaching the 31,661.82 support line, showing the sellers' dominance over the buyers. This is a result of investors' waiting for the outcome of U.S.-China trade talks on the weekend. In addition, blue-chip developer Emaar Properties reported Q1 net profit of 3.71 billion dirhams that missed the analysts' estimate of 4 billion dirhams.
EGX30 Trend AnalysisEGX30 stock started to fall, reaching the 32,383.579 support line, the 32,343.473 support line, and the 32,283.315 support line, showing the sellers' dominance over the buyers. This is because investors are cautious about the U.S. meeting with many countries, including China, on trade deals, aiming to secure a fair trade deal. In addition, it was expected that the EGX30 would not breach the resistance line 32,463.789, as there is no historical upward trend in this zone.
EGX30 Chart AnalysisEGX30 stock has shifted gradually to a higher zone, reaching the 32,291.751 resistance line, the 32,344.197 resistance line, and the 32,422.866 resistance line, showing the buyers' dominance over the sellers. Additionally, the upward trend is because Egypt's blue-chip index EGX30 closed 0.7% higher, which led to a 1.6% increase in TMGH, which strengthened the fundamental analysis about the CBE's decision about cutting the interest rate and the advanced massive ads and negotiations initiated by TMGH with different aspects.
EGX30 Upward TrendEGX30 stock shifted to a higher zone, between 32,191 resistance line and 32,006 support line, reflecting the buyers' dominance over the sellers'. It is expected to not breach the resistance line at 32,191 points since that there is no historical trend, but in case of falling it's expected to reach the support line 32,147 then 32,094 then 32,006 points.
The Central Bank of Egypt's Decision Impact on EGX30EGX30 stock shifted to a new zone, between the 31,865 resistance line and 29,991 support line, reflecting the buyers' dominance over the sellers'. It is expected to reach the resistance line 31,949 then 32,025, and in case of falling, it's expected to reach the support line 31,831 then 31,798. In addition, this zone is a result of the decision of The Central Bank of Egypt concerning the interest rate cut that was expected by most investors which didn't recognizably impact the stock market.
Egypt’s Sovereign Debt: A High-Yield Opportunity for InvestorsEmerging markets often present a delicate balance of risk and reward, and Egypt’s sovereign debt market is no exception. In recent years, Egypt has undergone significant economic reforms, positioning its government bonds as an attractive option for yield-hungry investors. With double-digit yields and a stabilizing economic backdrop, Egypt’s bonds offer a compelling case for those willing to navigate the associated risks. This article explores why Egypt’s sovereign debt is worth considering in 2025.
Attractive Yields Amid Market Shifts
Egypt currently has 18 outstanding sovereign bond issuances in foreign currencies—16 in U.S. dollars and 2 in euros. These bonds have recently caught investors’ attention due to their elevated yields, which have climbed into double-digit territory. For instance, a dollar-denominated bond maturing in 2029 offers a yield of 10.2%, while its euro-denominated counterpart yields 9.6%. These figures reflect a notable increase from earlier levels of 8–9%, driven by recent political uncertainties in the region. For investors seeking high returns, these yields are hard to ignore, especially especially in comparison to other emerging markets with similar credit ratings.
A Stable Rating with Room for Growth
Egypt’s sovereign credit rating stands at B with a stable outlook, as reaffirmed in November 2024 when it was upgraded from B- to B. This rating reflects a cautious optimism about the country’s economic trajectory, though it is constrained by persistent inflationary pressures. Inflation in Egypt currently sits at 13.6% as of March 2025, a significant improvement from peaks of 24–27% in previous years. However, this rate remains higher than in peer countries with a B rating, limiting further upgrades for now. If inflation were to fall to 5% or below, a rating improvement could unlock additional upside for bond prices.
Economic Reforms Bolster Confidence
Several factors underpin the appeal of Egypt’s bonds beyond their yields. First, the country has embarked on a privatization drive, moving away from its historically military-dominated economy. Post-Arab Spring, many enterprises were state-controlled with tax privileges, but recent reforms aim to transfer these assets into private hands. A notable example is the 2024 IPO of United Bank of Egypt, where the central bank sold a 30% stake, signaling a commitment to reducing state ownership.
Second, Egypt’s international reserves have grown impressively, rising from $12 billion in 2024 to $45 billion currently. This bolstered reserve position enhances the country’s ability to service its external debt, reducing default risk for bondholders. Additionally, Egypt has adhered to an IMF-backed economic recovery program, which includes maintaining a flexible exchange rate. For over a year, the central bank has refrained from currency interventions, allowing market forces to determine the Egyptian pound’s value-a key IMF condition that has strengthened investor confidence.
Inflation and Interest Rate Dynamics
Inflation, though still high at 13.6%, has been trending downward from its 2023–2024 highs of 24–27%. The central bank forecasts further declines, potentially accompanied by a reduction in the key interest rate. Lower rates could spur deposit growth in Egyptian banks, with funds likely flowing into government securities. This dynamic could drive up bond prices in 2025, offering capital gains on top of the already attractive yields. For investors holding bonds at current levels (e.g., 10.5% yield), this presents a dual opportunity for income and price appreciation.
Risks to Consider
Despite the positive developments, investing in Egypt’s sovereign debt is not without risks. There are three primary concerns stand out to note:
High Key Interest Rates: If the central bank struggles to lower rates, the government’s borrowing costs will remain elevated, straining its ability to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio (currently at 86%, down from 91% last year).
Currency Policy Reversal: A return to a fixed exchange rate regime could signal economic distress, deterring foreign investors and weakening reserves.
Geopolitical and Tourism Risks: Egypt’s economy relies heavily on tourism and Suez Canal revenues. Any regional conflict or global downturn could disrupt these income streams, impacting fiscal stability.
Comparative Appeal
When benchmarked against other B-rated sovereigns, Egypt’s bonds appear undervalued. For comparison, Cameroon, also rated B, offers an 11% yield for bonds maturing in 2031, while Armenia (B+) yields 6.7% for a similar duration. Egypt’s higher yield relative to its rating, combined with its reform momentum, makes it a standout choice. Investors may find greater comfort in Egypt’s economic trajectory compared to less familiar markets like Cameroon.
Conclusion
Egypt’s sovereign bonds offer a rare combination of high yields and improving fundamentals, making them a compelling option for emerging market investors in 2025. The country’s privatization efforts, growing reserves, and IMF-backed reforms provide a solid foundation, while declining inflation and potential rate cuts could further boost bond prices. However, risks tied to interest rates, currency policy, and regional stability warrant careful consideration. For those seeking yield in a volatile global environment, Egypt’s debt market presents a balanced opportunity worth exploring.
The Effect of US Tariff Exemptions on EGX30.EGX30 stock stabilized in a consolidation zone, failing to breach the 29991 support line. Despite breaking the 30041 support line to the downside, it corrected its upward trajectory between the 30529 support line and the 31302 resistance line, reflecting the bulls' dominance over the bears. This is because Egypt agreed to work towards a package of $7.5 billion in direct Qatari investments, according to a joint statement released by the Egyptian president's office on Monday. In addition, Egypt is pushing ahead with efforts to secure funding from Gulf neighbors and foreign partners as it seeks to tackle heavy foreign debts and a gaping budget deficit.
EGX30 - Egyptian market index - good news#EGX30 - time frame 1 DAY
created 2 Bullish pattern ( Gartley and AB=CD ) , Action price in this point already done ,but in anther hand we are still in a downtrend targeted 28050 to 27000 unless closed weekly uber 32200 .
now we have a chance to improve our investment as follow :
Entry level at 28515 ( already done , closed today at 28967 )
Stop loss 28515 ( daily close , may index achieve this target but close uber it )
First target at 29700 ( if index close uber 29700 it will be good support )
there is resistance point at 30200 before achieve next target
Second target 30500
Third target 31000 ( if index achieved this target and closed weekly uber it , It will be a good indicator of the beginning of entering an upward phase and the end of the decline )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY ,
NOTE ; EGX30 still have lower target up to 27000 so my advice is don't be Very optimistic but be careful .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
EGX30… Our Warning Came True, and Our Followers Didn’t Lose!We previously warned about EGX30 and clearly stated: Confirmation is required for the breakout! But what happened? It was a false breakout, and now the index has broken the channel downward and breached important moving averages! ⚠️📉
🔴 The biggest risk: If it breaks below 29,315, the trend will turn strongly bearish, and the probability is very high!
⚠️ Our warnings were clear, and those who followed us avoided this risk! Don’t make the same mistake—follow us now so you don’t miss future insights!
💬 Have any questions? Drop them in the comments, and follow us now to stay ahead! 🔥👇
#EGX30 #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #Investing
EGX30 on Watch – Weak Weekly Candle!The weekly candle is weak, signaling caution! Don't rush—wait for a channel breakout and confirm stability. Entry conditions:
✅ Two consecutive sessions closing inside the channel
✅ Closing above the lower boundary of the channel
🚨 Entering before confirmation = high risk! Stay patient and make smart decisions!
⏳ Follow me for real-time updates and don’t miss the next move!
🔔 Hit Follow & Stay Ready! 📊📉
#EGX30 #StockMarket #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #Investing #Stocks #TradingSignals #FinancialMarkets #TradingView
EGX 30 end of correctionMy point of view for the EGX 30 next coming days and we have a good hammer in weekly frame and tomorrow in shaa allah closing above the mentioned entry point will give us a turbine jump above on daily basis , and closing above the hammer in weekly frame, thank god for coming back EGX 30 ,
Hesham Fouad
note please wait for entry points to be achieved before entering the market , don't forget to use stop loose for risk management
Play the patience game!(Egx30 Recommendation )Don't let greed push you into impulsive buying or selling. Wait for breakouts to confirm the next move!
🔻 Support level: 29,214
🔺 First resistance: 30,076
🔺 Second resistance: 30,543
⚠️ Recommendation:
No entry before a confirmed breakout above 30,543. This level indicates a strong bullish move. Until then, stay on the sidelines and avoid unnecessary risks."
#TechnicalAnalysis #TradingTips #Patience
Egx 30 Egyptian stock As appearing on the chart
EGX30 has made ab=cd pattern
That's give it 2 low targets
1- 29630 ( done then made a little correction )
2- 28057 up to 27500 ( in progress )
In addition MACD appears negative diversion
Lower bottom than the previous although egx30 show the opposite
Note : This vision according to the ab=cd pattern And the MACD diversion
And it's cancelled by closing daly above 32185
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Technical Analysis of EGX 30 Index ChartHello Dear Traders,
### **1. Overview of the Chart**
- **Gann Trend 1/1 Line:** Represented by the red diagonal trendline, indicating a significant Gann angle.
- **Parallel Channels:** Yellow and white lines represent upward-sloping price channels.
- **Current Price:** **30,474.90 EGP**
- **RSI Indicator:** The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is displayed at the bottom to show market momentum.
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### **2. Key Observations**
1. **Price Position Relative to Gann Line:**
- The price is hovering **near the Gann 1/1 line** (red trendline) acting as resistance now..
- This line acts as both a **support** and a **resistance**. A break above this line may trigger further bullish momentum.
2. **Price Channels:**
- The price is trading within an **upward-sloping channel**.
- **Midline (white):** The price has been consolidating near this critical area. A sustained move below this level could target the lower channel boundary.
- **Upper Boundary:** Resistance lies near **32,000 - 33,000 EGP**.
- **Lower Boundary:** Support near **30113 - 29,000 EGP**.
3. **RSI Analysis:**
- **Current RSI Value:** **39.60**, which indicates the market is **approaching oversold conditions**.
- **RSI-based Moving Average:** **49.92** shows bearish momentum.
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### **3. Potential Scenarios**
#### **Bullish Scenario:**
- **Condition:** Price holds above the **Gann 1/1 line** and rebounds towards the upper channel.
- **Target Levels:**
- **32,000 - 33,000 EGP** (upper boundary).
- **Current support from here to **30,113 EGP**
---
### **4. Recommendations:**
- **Short-term Traders:** Watch for price behavior near the **Gann 1/1 line** and RSI support.
- **Breakout Watch:** Monitor price for a break above the current channel midline.
- **Confirmation Signals:** Use **RSI divergence** or price reaction near **30,113 EGP** for entry signals.