ETRC_strong investment opportunityEgyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS)
Company Overview:
Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS) is an Egyptian logistics provider offering a wide range of professional and cost-effective logistic services. The company was established in 1973 and is listed on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).
Investment Highlights:
• Significant Undervaluation: Trading at EGP 5.90, below fair value of EGP 9.10 (54.2% upside)
• Exceptional Financial Strength: Low P/E ratio, strong profit margin, minimal debt
• Positive Technical Outlook: Bullish trend in Elliott Wave and Wyckoff analysis
• Favorable Risk-Reward Profile: Upside potential (54.2%) outweighs downside risks (15-20%)
• Strong Sector Outlook: Egyptian transportation and logistics sector projected to grow at 7% CAGR.
Fair Value Range
• Ostoul Securities Brokerag Conservative Fair Value: EGP 7.82 (+32.5% upside)
• DCF Fair Value: EGP 7.6 (+28.2% upside)
• Optimistic Fair Value: EGP 11.00 (+86.4% upside)
• Cairo Financial Holding Research Fair Value: EGP 9.5 (+61% upside)
Base Case on the above Fair Value: EGP 9.10 (+54.2% upside)
ETRS is Financial Health and is considered a strong investment opportunity based on
Fundamentals:
• Low P/E ratio of 4.17
• High profit margin of 30.83%
• ROE: 45.14%
• Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09
• EV/EBITDA: 4.06 (Undervalued)
• P/FCF: 23.02 (Suggests weaker cash flow compared to earnings)
Technical analysis:
Based on my analysis average accumulation price:4.30 EGP by Smart Money Holdings
According to Wyckoff theory, smart money typically begins distribution likely begin distribution in the 8.50-9.50 EGP range the price approaches fair value.
• Primary Support: 5.00-5.20 EGP (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: 4.80 EGP (entry point)
• Strong Support: 4.30-4.60 EGP (previous accumulation zone)
• Elliott Wave Theory Analysis Wave 5 Scenario: If in early Wave 5, we would expect a final push upward with a price target of approximately 7.50-9.00 EGP forecast Oct.2025
• Long-term (12+ months) target is +11.00 EGP
ETRS trade ideas
Bullish Trend Analysis ,Trend is your Friend ### **📈 Egyptian Transport (EGYTRANS) – Bullish Trend Analysis 🚀**
Your chart on **EGYTRANS (EGX:ETRS)** shows signs of a potential **bullish trend**, but confirmation is needed. Here’s a detailed analysis:
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### **✅ Bullish Trend Confirmation:**
1️⃣ **Support Holding at 4.507 EGP** – Important level.
2️⃣ **Breakout Possible Above 4.968 EGP** – Key resistance zone.
3️⃣ **RSI at 48.89** – Neutral, needs to cross 55 for bullish momentum.
4️⃣ **MACD Crossover Forming** – Could push price higher.
5️⃣ **Volume Profile Shows Buyers** accumulating around 4.9-5.2 EGP.
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### **📈 Trade Setup:**
- **Entry:** Above **5.208 EGP** for strong confirmation.
- **Target 1:** **6.199 EGP** (Resistance level).
- **Stop-Loss:** Below **4.507 EGP** to limit downside.
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### **🔍 Key Observations:**
✅ If price **stays above moving averages**, bullish trend strengthens.
✅ **Volume must increase** on breakout to confirm trend shift.
✅ **Watch for a retest of 5.208 EGP** before a stronger rally.
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🔥 **Final Verdict:** **Bullish but needs breakout confirmation above 5.208 EGP.**
#ETRS Egyptian stock#ETRS time frame 1 hour
created a bullish Gartley pattern
entry level at 4.80
stop loss 4.75
first target at 4.90
second target 5.00
NOTE: if prices closed under 4.75 (1 hour frame) may go down to 4.30
MACD indicator show bottom less than last bottom unlike the data on chart , may that is support our idea.
NOTE : this data according to time frame 1 hour
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
Egytrans is preparing to target 4.60 soonDaily chart, the stock EGX:ETRS dropped from 4.84 to 4.10 and renounced to 4.30
The technical indicators RSI and MACD are telling the price will soon go to 4.50 extendable to 4.60
Note that 4.36 level is a resistance and there may be some fluctuation around this level; before resuming upwards.
Stop loss below 4.25 should be considered
Will ETRS cross the Resistance and see the 6 level?30-min chart, the stock is trading in a tough zone; there are 2 strong Resistance levels 4.84 and 5.19
So, be careful with this stock; as it flips quickly!
Closing and trading 3 candlesticks above 5.21 will activate the target of 6.04, then 6.20
Stop loss below 4.68 - should be considered.