GDWA trade ideas
GDWA_A Deeply Underrated Asset Investment Decision Analysis for GDWA holding company has shares as following:
1) 72.3% of Electro Cables (ELEC) market Cap 9.15B
2) 47.9% of Arab Dairy (ADPC) Market Cap 1.58B,
3) 73.9% of Universal for Paper &Packaging Materials (UNIP) Market Cap 621.74M
4) 74.7% Egyptian Integrated for Food Industries (EIFI) Market Cap 101.74M
Minimum Market Cap Estimate: If GDWA's value is purely based on its investments, the minimum estimate is 7.91B.
value-based price of EGP 7.54/share, you would gain approximately +28.0 % profit from your investment at the current price (EGP 5.8/share).
The fair value of GDWA's share price can be determined based on the valuation data provided in the reports and financial metrics. Here’s a detailed calculation and analysis:
A) Historically, GDWA's financial performance tends to be stronger in the second half of the year due to operational seasonality and project completions.
Q4 Financial Performance
B) EBIT for Q4: EGP 1.15 billion, up by +185.81% compared to previous periods. This indicates strong operational growth.
C) Net Income for Q4: EGP 430.05 million, up by +203.65%, suggesting solid profitability improvements in the company.
Gadwa is a leading industrial development and investment company that boasts holdings in the industrial sector, particularly high growth-potential consumer-related businesses, and defensive business models.
1. Projected Price by End of 2025: EGP 10.4/share
2. Projected Price by End of 2026: Refer stockanalysis.com the company The enterprise value
is 16.37 billion. what shou be prices of share DWA would be approximately
EGP 15.59 per share.
long Stock Performance & Valuation
Current Price: 5.9 EGP/share (🔼 +10.8% gain so far)
Fair Value: 7.1 EGP/share (🔼 20.3% undervalued)
P/E Ratio: 4.1X (very low, strong value play)
Market Cap: 5.48B EGP
Price Target: 8.1~9.5 EGP (+37% upside potential)
Holding Period: 12 months
Financial Performance (1H 2024)
📈 Revenue Growth: +80% YoY → Strong top-line expansion
📈 Gross Profit Growth: +110% YoY → Higher profitability efficiency
📈 Operating Profit Growth: +123% YoY → Improved operational execution
📈 Net Profit Growth: +115% YoY → Bottom-line strength
📈 Net Profit Margin: 13% (up from 11%) → Profitability improving
📌 EPS Growth: 0.81 EGP vs 0.38 EGP (YoY) → +113% growth in earnings per share
💡 Sector Strength:
Cable product revenue: +79% YoY (65% of total revenue)
Dairy product revenue: +60% YoY (16% of total revenue)
Real estate & contracting revenue: +166% YoY (8% of total revenue)
Investment Outlook & Strategy
✅ Bullish Signals:
✔ P/E ratio of 4.1X → Stock is undervalued relative to earnings
✔ Strong revenue & profit growth → +115% net profit YoY is a major positive
✔ Fair value (7.1 EGP) & TP1=price target (8.1 EGP) → Stock has a potential 37% upside
✔ Higher profitability margins (13% net profit margin)
❌ Bearish Signals & Risks:
⚠ Finance expenses surged (+176%) → Higher debt burden
⚠ Currency translation differences (-91%) → FX risk exposure
⚠ Lower gains on asset sales → One-time earnings boost may not be repeated
#GDWA Egyptian stock #GDWA time frame 1 DAY
created a patter flay pattern , also the stock in critical point .
Entry level at 4.10 to 4.20
Stop loss 3.90 ( loss may go to up 6% )
First target at 4.85 ( with profit around 15% )
Second target 5.45 ( with profit around 29% )
Third target 5.85 ( with profit 39% )
the positive thing here is MACD created a positive diversion ,
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
In addition EGX70 is in critical point
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#GDWA Egyptian stock#GDWA time frame 1 day
created a bullish Gartley pattern
entry level at 4.80 to 4.85
stop loss 4.75
first target at 5.40
second target 5.80 up to 6.00 and 6.40
MACD indicator show positive diversion , may that is support our idea.
NOTE : this data according to time frame 1 day
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck