China A50 rally loses steam amid trade war concernsThe 46% surge in the China A50 index appears set to deflate further as investors factor in trade tensions and the absence of significant stimulus from the Chinese government to support the economy. The bearish trend is likely to persist as long as the price remains below 13,453.
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CN50 trade ideas
CHINA 50 Index Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist CHINA 50 Index Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry 👇 📉: Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point.
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Short side, If you've got a money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
China A50: Super Bull is hereOver here you can see that I've given a super bullish case for China A50/CSI300. I've also fully labeled the down move and subsequent up move. This is a super bullish case for China.
This analysis also goes beyond TA. I've a Douyin account (China equivalent of TikTok) and I can tell you that right now, all the biggest influencers are pushing for a super bull market. Yes, the sentiments there are still "in doubt", but definitely not "doubtFUL". This is in line with Elliott Wave's wave 2 and changing into wave 3.
CHINA 50 Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hello! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist CHINA 50 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Chinese Market: Key Stocks Poised for Significant GrowthWith a pivotal rebound anticipated in China’s economy, we at Vital Direction see an exceptional opportunity in select stocks across diverse sectors. Our technical analysis of the FTSE China A50 Index points to a powerful recovery following a decade-long correction. Below, we profile eleven companies across sectors such as biotechnology, infrastructure, and consumer goods. Each is uniquely positioned to benefit from China’s resurgence, offering strong potential for returns in an increasingly favourable economic climate.
1. Sinovac Biotech Co., Ltd. (Ticker: 300122)
• Price: ¥30.64 CNY
• Sector: Biotechnology
• Overview: Sinovac is a leader in vaccine development, benefitting from increased focus on public health. Its innovative pipeline positions it as a linchpin in the sector, poised for growth amidst expanding healthcare needs in China.
2. Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical Co., Ltd. (Ticker: 600104)
• Price: ¥13.56 CNY
• Sector: Industrial Manufacturing
• Overview: Bridging aerospace and automotive sectors, this firm plays a critical role in China’s high-tech manufacturing ambitions, appealing to the nation’s drive for self-sufficiency in advanced industries.
3. China State Construction Engineering Corporation (Ticker: 601668)
• Price: ¥6.54 CNY
• Sector: Construction
• Overview: The world’s largest construction firm, benefitting from China’s infrastructure push, which includes urbanisation projects and ambitious infrastructure investments both domestically and globally.
4. China Railway Construction Corporation Limited (Ticker: 601766)
• Price: ¥8.82 CNY
• Sector: Heavy Machinery
• Overview: A cornerstone of China’s high-speed rail and infrastructure expansion, this company is set to benefit from the country’s grand infrastructure agenda, particularly in transportation.
5. LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (Ticker: 601012)
• Price: ¥19.18 CNY
• Sector: Renewable Energy
• Overview: LONGi’s leadership in solar technology aligns with China’s clean energy ambitions. This renewable energy giant is well-placed to capture growth amid escalating global and domestic green initiatives.
6. China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (Ticker: 601888)
• Price: ¥76.92 CNY
• Sector: Gaming & Entertainment
• Overview: As China’s largest duty-free operator, China Tourism is set for gains as tourism revives, driven by domestic and international consumer spending rebounds.
7. Hangzhou Robam Appliances Co., Ltd. (Ticker: 603288)
• Price: ¥48.74 CNY
• Sector: Consumer Goods
• Overview: A premium appliance provider, Robam is capitalising on a growing middle class and demand for quality home goods, positioning it for steady growth within China’s consumer market.
8. Guangdong Electric Power Development Co., Ltd. (Ticker: 600111)
• Price: ¥26.61 CNY
• Sector: Utilities
• Overview: This utility provider is crucial to supporting China’s power demands, particularly as the country modernises its energy grid and diversifies its energy sources.
9. WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. (Ticker: 603259)
• Price: ¥56.72 CNY
• Sector: Pharmaceuticals
• Overview: WuXi AppTec is a pharmaceutical powerhouse, specialising in outsourced R&D, making it a key player in China’s expanding biotech landscape and benefiting from global trends towards pharmaceutical outsourcing.
10. China Communications Construction Company Limited (Ticker: 601800)
• Price: ¥11.96 CNY
• Sector: Transportation
• Overview: Central to the Belt and Road Initiative, China Communications drives domestic and overseas infrastructure projects, positioning it for growth as connectivity and infrastructure investment remain priorities.
Vital Direction’s Strategic Perspective
China’s economic and policy landscapes appear primed for renewed growth, and our extensive analysis highlights the FTSE China A50 Index’s alignment for a rally after a prolonged correction. These companies represent China’s economic backbone, embodying the resilience and innovative drive expected to propel the market forward. The focus on self-sufficiency, clean energy, infrastructure, and consumer-driven growth enhances the investment appeal of these firms.
With technical indicators pointing to positive momentum, we anticipate strong price appreciations in the coming months. This basket of stocks offers a diversified approach to capturing the upside in a rebounding Chinese market, providing exposure to essential sectors driving the nation’s growth trajectory.
FTSE China A50 Index: Navigating a Potential Major ReboundAt Vital Direction, we’ve conducted an in-depth analysis of the FTSE China A50 Index, focusing on its long-term trend and potential turning points. Since its all-time high back in October 2007, the index has experienced a complex and extended correction, which we interpret as an ongoing ABC corrective pattern within Elliott Wave Theory.
Analysis of the FTSE China A50’s Correction Pattern
The correction that began after the October 2007 peak appears to have taken the form of an ABC sequence, with each phase representing a significant shift in the market’s trajectory. Wave A, marking the first leg of this downturn, concluded in October 2008, reaching a notable low. Since then, we believe the index has been within a prolonged wave B, which has exhibited its own internal complexities.
This B wave consolidation appears to be a second-degree ABC formation. Within this structure, we identify wave B as part of a WXY pattern, where the X wave unfolds as an ABC formation, and the B wave forms a contracting triangle (ABCDE). This intricate correction phase seems to have concluded around January of 2024.
Potential for a Major Rebound and Future Outlook
Following the completion of wave B, our analysis suggests that the FTSE China A50 Index is poised for a significant rebound. We anticipate that the index could retest or even break above the 2007 peak, forming a double top or establishing new highs. This potential rally, however, may be temporary, as we foresee a final leg down, wave C, completing the ABC correction. This could bring the index back toward the 2008 wave A lows, around the $5,700 level.
Hang Seng Short: Resistance at 20SMAFollowing my warning about Hang Seng on 2nd Oct regarding Hang Seng reaching an important price point, I have yet to publish another idea about this index. One of the reasons is to let the dust settles, the other is to observe what is happening in the US markets.
Now, I am convinced that the US market will be going down and it will pull global equities with it. Hang Seng is no exception. Technically speaking, I like to observe the 20 SMA. Hang Seng seems to be rejected at this SMA and thus I would say that any short will have a stop loss above the 20 SMA.
News Failure and Favorable Winds for Chinese StocksFundamentals & Sentiment
CN50A:
- PBOC has officially ramped up support for the stock market, relending facility launched
- Couldn't hold lower after bad Industrial profits release
USD:
- De-escalation sentiment after the attack on Iran
Technical & Other
Setup: S(RTF)
Setup timeframe: 4h
Trigger: 1h
Medium-term: Sideways
Long-term: Up
Min target: Local high
Stop loss: 0.9%
Position size: 0.5 of the normal Risk Unit
Buy Limit
1M Bull White Swan China50 has 26500+ price targetOn the monthly timeframe a white swan harmonic pattern is now active, heading to pt1. Recent signal in retracement to .618 then should continue upward to top of the white swan triangle with the next price targets at ~26600 and 36600 levels. This is a monthly timeframe chart, but the trend is now bullish (in bearish retracement lower timeframes) and the general trend should be very bullish over the next year.
See my recent bear deep crab post for NQ1 (Nasdaq futures)--if that bearish scenario plays out, expect major rotation into non-US emerging markets--especially China and Hang Seng (HSI).
CN50 to find buyers at previous swing low?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Pivot support is at 13000.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 13500 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 14250.
We look to Buy at 13000 (stop at 12680)
Our profit targets will be 13800 and 14050
Resistance: 13500 / 14000 / 14250
Support: 13250 / 13000 / 12750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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CHINA A50 Buy signal couldn't have gone any better!Last time we looked at the China A50 index (CN50) was almost 2 months ago (September 06, see chart below) when we called for a buy opportunity:
As you can see, it couldn't have gone any better as the price rebounded exactly on our mark, hitting our 12100 Target in a matter of days.
Now the index is on a relief consolidation following this enormous rally that broke above the nearly 4-year Channel Down. Every time we had a similar bullish break-out, the market reached at least its 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, we expect to see 19500 by mid 2025.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
China A50, riding the PBOC stimulus IF the monetary stimulus keep pushing Chinese stocks, we could be building a new impulse to retest the 16,500 area. If broken, it could speed up to 20,500 points.
What I find positive: lots of shorts still pressing the price to the downside, that could be gone if the price squeezed to the upside.
What I find negative: movement has been too fast, no rise-consolidation-rise patterns.
For confirmation, breakout above 14,500 (upper Mogalef band)
China A50 Poised for BreakoutCentral bank funding sparks share repurchase frenzy among listed companies. Technicals suggest:
- Successful retest of 61.8% retracement support
- Eyes on 61.8% resistance zone next
www.reuters.com
www.reuters.com
CHINA 50 Index Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist CHINA 50 Index based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
CN50 Move to range highs nextHad a range deviation and now trading back inside the range range. Looks set to retest the top of the range. Excellent risk to reward from here.
China's Stimulus Surge: A Short-Lived Rally?In late September, we published a piece titled China A50 Stimulus Surge, detailing how Beijing’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies could spark a powerful rally in the China A50 index. At its peak, the index gained more than 40%, breaking free from months of downward pressure. However, the rally has lost momentum in recent days, with the index now down 16% from its October highs. So, what’s behind this sudden shift?
Stimulus Optimism: A Double-Edged Sword
The excitement began to fizzle on October 8th, following an underwhelming briefing from the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC). While the commission pledged $28 billion to local governments and vowed to accelerate fiscal spending, it wasn’t enough to sustain investor enthusiasm. Markets had been hoping for more significant measures to follow the September stimulus, and without those, the optimism was short-lived – triggering a bout of profit taking following the near exponential rally.
China A50 Back at Key Technical Levels
From a technical perspective, the China A50 index is now trading back at the VWAP (volume-weighted average price) anchored to the pre-breakout lows. This level, which has the potential to act as a strong support zone in pullbacks, will be crucial to watch. It reflects a battle between short-term traders who are taking profits and longer-term investors who might see this as an entry point following the sharp correction.
However, it’s worth noting that while the index has pulled back to a key support zone, there remains uncertainty around whether the fundamental catalysts are strong enough to reignite bullish momentum.
CN50 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
What to Watch Going Forward
Now that the China A50 has returned to its anchored VWAP, the market could consolidate at these levels as it digests the recent stimulus measures. For any sustained rally to take hold again, more aggressive policy actions, like consumption vouchers or further infrastructure spending, may be required. Investors will be keeping a close eye on any new announcements from Beijing, especially as China seeks to meet its year-end growth targets.
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China A50 Bear Move Looks to Continue The China A50, an index focusing on mainland stocks, rose impressively by 46% from September to its peak on Monday, October 7th. However, since then, the index has slumped by 17%, making it an exciting market to trade.
There is a risk of continued downside, as the price remains in a downtrend, and this will persist as long as it trades below the critical level at 14,569. The next support levels are at 13,259, followed by 12,747 and 12,024.
While a breach to the 14,569 level, the market may attempt to reach the October 8th high 16,111, especially if the Chinese government releases new details on its support programs.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
CN50 - What’s Next?After a strong bullish rally, the weekly chart shows the completion of a Bearish Gartley pattern around the key resistance zone near 16,000, and now the market faces a big question:
Are we going to see a reversal, or is the bullish momentum strong enough to break through?
Key Considerations:
Bearish Gartley Pattern: Traditionally signals a potential reversal, especially when coinciding with strong resistance.
Strong Resistance: The 16,300-16,600 zone has held back prices before, making it a key area to watch.
Momentum: The recent rally has been strong, but are the bulls running out of steam, or is there still room for further gains?
Questions for Discussion:
1. Will we see a reversal at 16,000, or is this a consolidation before another leg higher?
Is the current rally supported by strong fundamentals, or is this purely technical?
2. What are your preferred strategies here – waiting for a breakout or looking for short opportunities?
Share your thoughts! Is CN50 heading for a reversal, or are the bulls ready to push through this critical zone?
CHINAA50: Chinese Indices SpeedsUp on Economic StimulusChinese markets are poised for a major rebound after the Golden Week holiday, buoyed by expectations of further economic stimulus measures from the government. Among the indices expected to lead this recovery is the China A50, which groups the top 50 companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. The optimism comes on the back of the announcement of more supportive policies by the Chinese government designed to revitalize domestic demand and strengthen key sectors such as finance and technology. In addition to Chinese indices, other Asian markets have also been helped by optimism about China, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising 0.6%. However, Asian currencies, such as the Japanese yen, have suffered losses against a strengthening dollar due to expectations of lower interest rate cuts in the United States.
Key Elements:
• Economic stimulus in China: the country's top economic planner is expected to announce further supportive measures, which has led to expectations of a significant rebound in indices such as the Shanghai Composite and the CSI 300, both recovering from eight-month lows. Recent stimulus policies, designed to boost domestic demand and support key sectors such as technology and financials, have revitalized investor optimism. This has allowed the Shanghai Composite and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300, which had hit eight-month lows, to show signs of recovery.
• China A50: This index, which groups together the top 50 companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, is a benchmark for international investors. The large corporations in the financial, technology and consumer sectors that make up the China A50 could benefit directly from stimulus policies, attracting greater foreign investment. The China A50 is a benchmark for large Chinese companies, such as Ping An Insurance and Tencent, which could benefit from the new credit facilities and tax measures. These companies, with weight in the financial and technology sectors, are well positioned to capitalize on the stimulus and generate value for investors.
• Dollar strength and Asian markets: Despite optimism about China, Asian currencies have suffered losses against a strengthening dollar. Expectations of lower rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve have boosted the value of the dollar, affecting the Japanese yen and the South Korean won.
• Comparison with other indices: While other Asian markets such as the Hang Seng and the KOSPI have experienced slight gains, the China A50 stands out as the index with the highest growth potential thanks to the imminent stimulus measures.
Technical aspect: Looking at the chart, the index has been boosted on September 29 and then at the beginning of last week with several impulses that have moved the index in 15 days 41.12% upwards with 15,864 points at record highs and positioning it as one of the most interesting indexes following the performance of companies such as Tencent with excellent results. We can observe a highly overbought RSI at 89.41% and the bollinger bands very wide, the volume candles of the last 24 hours indicate a decrease in demand, which could indicate that the price of the index could be corrected.
Conclusion: The FTSE China A50 Index is positioned as a key index in the Chinese stock market environment, leading the way with high growth expectations driven by economic stimulus. Investors will closely monitor its performance, which could set an uptrend in the coming months. The resumption of trading after the Golden Week will be key to observe how markets react to these policies and what growth opportunities will emerge.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
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CHINA50This is the only bullish bet I can take currently. Not at this level for sure. Let is consolidate and make some contraction pattern then I will buy it
China A50 Surges on Stimulus, Bull Flag Breakout PossibleThe China A50 index has surged following significant stimulus measures by the Chinese government and central bank. The price is currently consolidating in a bull flag pattern, with a potential breakout above 15,156 possibly driving the price as high as 15,540.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
China Stock Market Rally To Continue?Chinese outlook is looking more positive after posted stimulus.
Rallies are occurring fast and come with significant risk.
Do not FOMO in. Do not short a massive amount. Just trade it carefully with light entries, only buy on significant dips.
Any shorts come with danger and must be light and spread out.
