DER30DER30 Broke its COCH broke its Structure, took out its Biasis now targeting the Liquidity below.
GER40 trade ideas
DE30 DAX Technical AnalysisWhen the DAX 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the parallel channel. It is evaluated that the index price can target the 19,919 level by exceeding the 19,024 level in price movements above the 17,957 level, but it is evaluated that it can retreat to the 16,544 level by breaking the 17,022 level in price movements below the 17,957 level.
GER30 ICT AnalysisThis is the 4H chart of GER30 which shows potential bearish continuation. I dont really know if we are going to just drop but the aggression leaves a huge room of a retracement possibility
#202437 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax: Full bear mode. Bull trap and of August after making a new ath. Market is clearly in a hurry to go down again. Stairs up, elevator down. Most likely the bear gap to 18750 will stay open and every short sl has to be around that price. 1. tp is 50% pullback 18000 and as of now I expect a pullback there or more sideways movement. Below 18000 we will see 17400 fast.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls printed a new ath and if you would look at the RSI, which I don’t, it would show a divergence. You really really don’t need the RSI to tell you that. Even so, market could go higher and there is no reason to short this yet. I am 90% certain this is not a W1 of a new bull trend that will break above the bull wedge but rather a retest of the highs, in this case a higher high, and it will reverse soon enough. A bigger pullback is overdue but that does not mean you can short this yet.
comment: Selling is already too strong for a pullback in a bull trend. We are in a big trading range and on our way to test the lower range somewhere between 17000 - 17500. Do we get there in a straight line like we went up in August? Highly unlikely but so was the climactic selling and the insane reversal over the past 5 weeks.
current market cycle: big trading range
key levels: 17000 - 19000
bull case: As expected, the first decent selling on Monday and bulls are running for the exits. Climactic buying, followed by climactic selling. I don’t expect the bulls to fight this, like the bears did not fight anything from 17400 to 18990. The 50% pullback at 18000 is a decent target where the bulls could try to stall it and hope for a bounce. At this point it’s useless to try to call a top or anything beyond the next 2 weeks. If anything, it’s 50/50 if we make another ath this year or not.
Invalidation is below 18500.
bear case: Bears came around right below 19000 and produced strong enough selling to trigger many stops. Bulls are fearful that we test all the way back down to 17000 and that’s why we don’t see much resistance from them. In any bear case over the next weeks, the bear gap to 18730 has to stay open. On the weekly chart it’s now an expanding triangle which is a form of a trading range. To hit 17000 over the next 1-2 weeks would be amazing for the bears again but I highly doubt they could get the market below, without any serious deterioration of macro schmackro stuff. Something has to break for this market to trade back to not maximum overvalued bubble territory. If you don’t think dax above 18000 is bubble territory while gdp is -0.3% for 2023 and flat at best in 2024, I can’t help you.
Invalidation is above 18700.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral again. I’m confident we will reverse soon but it’s too early to be looking for shorts. Bears need to start making lower lows and lower highs before I start. What do I need to go long? Only scalps after pullbacks for me. Very little interest in buying up here because I do not see this going to 19200.
→ Last Sunday we traded 18906 and now we are at 18301. It was too early for shorts last Sunday but during Tuesday’s session it became clearer that the market wanted to go down.
short term: Bearish but only on momentum again. Any pullback has to stay below 18700. Next targets for bears are 18000 and below that is 17500. Fun times ahead.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: 4 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Next 2000 Points will be made to the downside but it’s too early to short this.
current swing trade: Decent to be in swing shorts now. Stop has to be 18700 or even 19000. Will join the bears on Monday, if they go straight below 18270 or on a decent pullback to 18500.
chart update: Nothing. Removed the bull wedge and added the bear gap.
DAX KEY LEVELS FOR 09/09/2024**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. It considers volume, past prices, and price range.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the GREEN line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the GREEN line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next GREEN line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5-minute timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
DAX40 Breakout in PlayThe DAX40 has just triggered a rectangle pattern, which has been developing over the past two days and six hours. The difference between the high and low of this rectangle is approximately 153 points. The breach at 18,518 indicates that the price could reach 18,363.
Corrections toward the breakout point that do not push the price above 18,572 will keep this pattern valid. However, with the US payroll data due today, volatility could push the price either beyond the target or back into the rectangle formation, triggering a loss.
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SHORT DAX40/GER40We are currently shorting DAX/GER40 at 18508
with stop loss at 18565.10
Target 1 at 18430.50
Target 2 at 18145.60
once it hit our 1 target, take 50-70% partial and target for second one at 18145
GER30Both weekly and Daily timeframe concluding that we have a strong Bullish Flag Pattern on both timeframe so strong bearish momentum expected. Expecting TP at 19111.00 as it is nicely aligned with previous structure.
Ger30's current stanceI dont believe that the bears have rested. I juss think theres something to have the markets go high manipulating us and then trench. I JUST THINK. By the way i left all the platforms .sorry
Germany DAX 30 sell setupI think we can enter this position with market price execution.
Please consider the risk management.
Goodluck
Dax Buys In the Making!Displacement during London session Open may indicate a strong move up.
Im looking for a IRL to ERL having the weekly candle sweep the previous weeks low and the daily having been in a support area.
Dax - Morningstar for CPRDax just printed a Morningstar Candlestick Pattern on the intraday chart.
This is a strong reversal pattern. Since it is only on a lower time frame, the reversal is expected to be small.
The target is the Kijun Sen, which coincides with the Fibonacci 50% retracement level and the central CPR zone.
Price is moving up after being in the RSI oversold zone.
Short term bias is long.
DAX H1 | Potential bearish breakoutDAX (GER30) is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 18,488.94 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 18,700.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance and a descending trendline.
Take profit is at 18,248.14 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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LONG ENTRY DAX/GER40 at the current marketTeam, earlier today, we were predicting further down trend toward 18480. However, we wait for the price confirmation entry. we are long at 18573, stop loss at 18472.
Target 1 at 18692.80
Target 2 at 18809.20
Once the price break hit first target - take 50-70% partial and trail your stop loss to BE (entry level.)
DAX40 stress: Volkswagen in retreat shakes Germany
The DAX 40, which fell by 0.97 %, reflects the tension in various sectors of the German economy, not just the automotive sector. In addition to Volkswagen, other companies in the technology and manufacturing sectors are also under pressure. The TecDAX, which groups the main technology firms, fell by 1.50 %, affected by the fall of Infineon Technologies, whose value fell by 4.68 % due to the slowdown in demand for semiconductors and growing global competition.
The consumer goods and manufacturing sector also showed signs of weakness, with the MDAX losing 1.05 %, reflecting the vulnerability of mid-sized companies that depend on the European domestic market. Companies such as Daimler Truck Holding AG, linked to transport and logistics, plunged 3.47%, hit by high costs and economic uncertainty.The combination of labor disputes, retrenchment strategies and a challenging economic environment is hitting multiple key sectors of the DAX, highlighting a complicated outlook for the German stock market and its investors.
In the technical analysis, DAX40 (Ticker AT: GER40), shows the control point (POC) at 18,459.84 points and an RSI in the middle zone with 52.59%. Meanwhile, Volkswagen AG (Ticker: VOW3:XETR) is trending sideways after an August without significant movement. The selling pressure could continue in the coming weeks, until the financial situation of major technology and automotive firms such as Volkswagen stabilizes, marking a critical period for the German stock market and its investors. It would not be unusual to see the index price retest the mid-channel zone if it pierces the POC price this week.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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GER30I would like to see Ger20 pull back up a little bit before it sells off. Sniper entries or nothing, remember to use proper risk management, entries will be taken after a pull back. Not now, you can use a pending order. Lets Download Success .
DAX to continue in the upward move?GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 18973.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 18886.
We look to Buy at 18885 (stop at 18765)
Our profit targets will be 19185 and 19265
Resistance: 18973 / 19100 / 19200
Support: 18900 / 18770 / 18700
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Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
NOTE: These charts use the ‘Pro Trading Tools’ available on the SpreadEx trading platform. To use them, log in to your SpreadEx Financials Account and click ‘Technical’ from the menu on any chart.
*KEY
Trend direction is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods
Trend phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below)
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
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Analysis
Germany 40 has shifted into a bullish trend, entering an impulsive phase as it continues to rally into fresh record highs. The price has climbed to 18,871, easily above the updated VWAP of 18,397. Support has moved up to 17,630, while resistance is higher at 19,165. The RSI has increased to 67, indicating growing bullish momentum.
UK 100 remains in a neutral trend, continuing its consolidation phase but with the short term rally gathering pace. The price has edged up to 8,359, still above the VWAP of 8,308. Support remains steady at 8,193, with resistance slightly adjusted to 8,424. The RSI holds at 56, reflecting stable momentum.
Wall Street has transitioned into a bullish trend, now in an impulsive phase as it challenges previous record highs. The price has risen to 41,489, easily surpassing the VWAP of 40,689. Support has been lifted to 39,388, with resistance now at 41,989. The RSI has increased to 67, confirming stronger bullish momentum.
Brent Crude continues its overall bearish trend, although momentum has faded over the past few periods, it is now in an impulsive phase again. The price has decreased to 76.80, below the VWAP of 78.52. Support has been adjusted to 75.25, while resistance is higher at 81.78, reflecting a wider trading range. The RSI has dropped to 43, signalling continued bearish momentum but with some slowing.
Gold remains firmly in a bullish trend, in an impulsive phase as it sits near a record high. The price is slightly lower at 2,499, hovering around the VWAP of 2,495. Support has been adjusted to 2,438, with resistance at 2,545. The RSI has moderated to 55, indicating slightly cooling bullish momentum.
EUR/USD maintains its bullish trend but has shifted to a corrective phase after 3 large down days on the trot. The price has settled at 1.1065, matching the VWAP. Support is now at 1.0900, with resistance slightly higher at 1.1235. The RSI has eased to 53, reflecting the beginning of a potential consolidation or pullback within the broader uptrend.
GBP/USD continues its strong bullish trend in an impulsive phase. The price has dipped in the last 2 days to 1.3135, but remains well above the VWAP of 1.3031. Support has increased to 1.2711, while resistance is now at 1.3352. The RSI stands at 61, indicating persistent bullish momentum.
USD/JPY remains in a bearish trend, transitioning into a corrective phase. The price has risen slightly to 146.78, now above the VWAP of 146.12. Support is adjusted to 143.11, with resistance at 149.13. The RSI has moved up to 48, suggesting the bearish pressure is moderating but not yet reversed.
SHORT DAX40/GER40 at 18954Team I am shorting the DAX at 18954, stop loss at 18975 (weekly high)
Target 1 at 18911.30,
target 2 18869.20
and Target 3 at 18830.30,
Once it hit the first target, take 50% profit and trail your stop loss to your short entry position. and target 2.
Does the DAX index break its important resistance? Due to the important resistance in the 18950 range After breaking this zone, expect to climb up to the range of 19038 and 19119 otherwise, after the failure of its current support in the range of 18575, we can expect a drop to the range of 18668 and in case of strength to the support range of 18605
DAX(GER30), nuke is coming?I explained the fundamental part in my EURUSD post. Check it out here:
Now, let's talk about the technical part:
At the London opening, we saw significant manipulation downward with a liquidity sweep from the previous day's low (PDL) and other swings. Now, I would love to see an aggressive movement upwards toward the all-time high (ATH), where I'll be looking for a short setup. However, if the price closes on the 1-4h time frame with a big fat candle, I won't touch the GER40 (DAX) for a while because there won't be any targets ("sky is the limit") to get liquidity from.
There's one possible scenario: a move into premium after the first market structure (MS) shift today, followed by a second shift (break of structure, BoS). Bearish order flow will be confirmed, with the final target being the 4h fair value gap (FVG).
