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GER40 trade ideas

Bearish drop?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 19,953.44 1st Support: 19,614.24 1st Resistance: 20,192.48 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Short
by ICmarkets
DAX40/ Reversing From (ATH)DAX Technical Analysis: The price reversed from their ATH, and it looks like now has a bearish momentum as long as trades below the last high level of 20460 especially if breaks below 20360 to continue the bearish trend toward 20020 and 19910. Otherwise should break the ATH closing 1h or 4h candles above it to be a bullish area toward 20575 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20350 Resistance Levels: 20460, 20580 Support Levels: 20360, 20220, 20020 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by SroshMayi
Bullish rise off 50% Fibonacci support?DAX40 (DE40) is currently reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 19,665.45 1st Support: 18,980.32 1st Resistance: 20,494.80 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
#202451 - priceactiontds - year end special - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. dax xetra - outlook 2025 comment: We look at the chart from the beginning of the current bull trend in 2022-10. Dax has gained 71% while German GDP is now negative for two consecutive years. The bull trend has 3 clear and big legs up. The upper and lower trend lines were respected and we have seen an acceleration upwards in the last leg. This is not the start of a new and stronger one but the climactic ending which traps the weak & late traders. These are the people who started gambling with Bitcoin as it hit 100k because they wanted some of that fairy dust. A healthy correction would be around 20% which is very close to the 50% retracement of this whole trend, the 2023-11 previous ath and the big bull trend line from the Covid lows. More than enough magnets to test down to that price around 16000. How will we get there? Absolutely no idea and all of my drawings with a potential wave series, are just rough guesses how I think it could potentially play out. Sometimes those are accurate and other times they are way off. It’s a good habit of anticipating what markets could do and take the trade if they do it. Final thoughts. Buying the dax above 19000 hoping for a new and stronger trend upwards because surely this time it’s different, is as unwise as can be if you want to invest your money. Meaning buying and holding or trading on a daily/weekly chart. The odds of this breaking above two major trend lines while we already made 70%+ without any meaningful correction, are so slim that the only reason your are doing it is because of FOMO. current market cycle: Bull trend of the past two years has likely ended and new lows below 18780 will be the confirmation. key levels for 2025: 16000 - 20000 (decent chance we will see 20000 only in the first couple of weeks and then only in a couple of months or years again) bull case: 2 years, 70%+. What more can you dream of? No matter how you draw your technicals on the chart, you can only see this as bullish, if you think we can break strongly above the two upper trend lines and go for 25000 or more. That is trading on hope and nothing else. If you have bought any dip the past two years you were never wrong and that is why we have so many articles about “this time it’s different”. In a bull trend, everyone is a genius. I can not come up with any legitimate reason why this should go meaningful above 20600. The absolute best I can do for this section is that we will likely see a lot of sideways price action at the big magnets. 19000 will be the first over the next days/weeks and at this point, we can’t expect the bulls to just give and let the market melt through those prices. BTFD mentality has been profitable and it will take a while or a huge drop, before it ends and we shift to STR (sell the rips). Invalidation is below 14600. Below that price, an event has happened or is happening. For now it’s unreasonable to ever think this market could see prices below 12000 again. bear case: Peak bullish sentiment and option positions over the past weeks can only go on for so long before the market reverses big time. It’s perhaps because there is literally no one left to buy because everyone and their dog went max long. The chart is clear and the downside risks are much greater than any coke-induced perma-bull argument on why the markets will break higher another 10-20%. Bears short term targets are the weekly 20ema near the small bull trend line around 19000. There we can probably expect more sideways movement before we get another impulse down to the huge support around 17700. My chart is a best guess about price but the timing could be way off. My biggest target for 2025 is the 2011-11 previous ath 16290, which is very close to the 50% retracement of this bull trend. There is also the big bull trend line from the Covid low and I expect this to be tested in Q1 or Q2 2025. Invalidation is above 20700. short term: The year end rally could give us another new ath or lower high. It does not matter because the upside will probably be very limited. My highest price is 20700 give or take. I fully expect 19000 to be hit over the next 2-6 weeks. medium-long term: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: None but I think any short ETF, levered or not, is reasonable. Short term is 19000 and medium term (2-5 months) is 17000-18000.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
2
DAX // The last one of 2024Dear Traders, This is the last one this year. I want to have a break and detach from the charts for some time now. This is the time of love, family&friends. But this chart actually shows the market phases I define quite well!😀 Thanks for you support in the past couple of weeks, since I became actve here! @TradingView asks us wishes recently... My wish for you is: patience discipline balance focus & confidence And vast amount of pips in the piggy bank!💰 Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays!🎄 Peter from The Market Flow 🏄🏼‍♂️ P.S. you may want to check out some of my ideas to get familiar with the terminology I use. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DAX - short term correction currently very Overbought!Hi guys, we are following up with our next opportunity DAX : Currently it has been perfoming fantastic as being part of the biggest Economy in Europe, and it reached a glorious All time High, following up with the western Indices , SP500,NASDAQ100 and Dow Jones. Currently the price has reached a very overbought level based on the RSI check on 1H time frame and 4H time frame, so for the time being I am looking into a short term correction with a follow up to maybe break down the current all time high and get passed it. Entry : 20,400 Target : 19,916 Let's see how things are going to formulate and move from there. As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
XETR:DAXShort
by DG55Capital
4
24-12-17 Dax: Dax the "Max" (20 337 EUR)DAX40 one of the most import Index beneath MSCI, SPX und DJIA und Nikkei. German economy leads the european economy. For shure, the DAX has not the performance like an SPX. But the 2024 rise is very impressive. And if I look, what germans politicians did the last years and also actually, i am still stunning what real economy does. But overall, big tasks ahead. And at the moment,no signs for a radical new direction for all these companies in Germany: Less regulations, less laws, lower taxes, more flexibility in labour things, high energy prices etc. Over all - I am not convinced, that actual prices in Dax will represent the real situation. A correction for about 10-20 Percent ist more expected, than a further rise for about 10 Percent. Dan, 14.12.24
XETR:DAXShort
by Flyerdan
1
DAX // Possible start of the CountertrendThe daily trend still holds at all-time highs and beyond every measurable target, but H4 has already turned south. The last clear breakout is on H1 at the countertrend line break, and the market crossed it by a couple of pips. Not significant, but still a close below the trigger level. The position should be closely watched at the daily impulse base. Either to close the trade, or to add to it. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TheMarketFlow
DAX is showing a dangerous pattern‼️DAX is showing a dangerous pattern The german index, XETR:DAX has been in a strong bull market for a long timet, but recently we had a confirmation of a RISING WEDGE PATTERN (in blue). ✅ What does a RISING WEDGE PATTERN imply? Rising wedges are usually formed at the end of trends and when the price breaks below the blue support trendline, a fast decline happens. The fundamentals in germany are quite bad, and if there is no response from Europe, we could see a dangerous fall in the german index. Sometimes rising wedges break up, BUT this only happens in extremly greedy situations, like the tops in $NASDAQ:TSLA. If there is an upper break, means that we are facing the LAST rally, so again a brutal falldown is likely to occur. 💰 How to trade this chart pattern? You should wait for the break of the blue trendline to short the market and search for a fast but very profitable trade. I do not recommend trading it if the break occurs on the opposite side, because panic moments are much more profitable with less risk. 🛡️ The risk management strategy As we have done in so many previous ideas, remember you can split the position in 2. - 50% of the position in a take profits as large as your stop loss (adapt SL and this 1st TP to local supports/resistance levels). In this case, a 2% will be ok. - 50% of the position to a price as large as the previous pattern, which would mean a profit of 15 to 20%. Anyway, to increase our chances to arrive to the second TP, we recommend using a 10% take profits. The second TP is less likely to happen, but as soon as the first one has been reached (extremely high probability), this becomes a RISK-FREE TRADE. ✴️ ENJOY AND FOLLOW for more 😊
XETR:DAXShort
by TopChartPatterns
2
German Index (DE40) – Daily and Lower Time Frame AnalysisGerman Index (DE40) – Daily and Lower Time Frame Analysis Overview: As we have been covering the German Index (DE40) over the past several days, we are finally observing a shift in momentum. On the daily time frame, the overall momentum has turned bearish, and the price is clearly moving downward. Key Observations: Bearish Momentum: The price is trending lower, signaling a potential continuation to the downside. Lower Time Frame Confirmation: Drop down to the 15-minute or 20-minute time frame for a more refined view. Look for a break of structure and a clear change of character (CHoCH). Observe if the price is forming lower lows and lower highs, indicating bearish structure. Entry Considerations: If the conditions align on the lower time frames, you can look for a short entry. We are anticipating the price to head towards the key level of 19,675, which is a significant support zone. Important Notes: Do Not Follow Blindly: This analysis is for informational purposes only; always use your own strategies and confirm your setups. Protect Your Capital: Keeping your capital intact is far more important than chasing profits. Trade Smart, Trade Reactive: React to the price action rather than predicting future moves.
ICMARKETS:DE40Short
by KainT21
DAX // What needs to happen before the deep correction?The market has almost reached the daily target fibo 238.2 after an unbelievable run! But every impulse has a correction, so mabe it's time to be prepared. The H4 structure already broke, but there is no new wave, and there is a clear H1 breakout that may push the balance for the sellers. Smart money (my tick-by-tick volume analysis indicator) is selling for more than a week. The daily impulse base is very close, and may trigger sell orders. If there will be a huge fight, we may also see a sideways market for some time. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TheMarketFlow
DAX // correction of the correction - neutralThe market turned south on H4 from the all-time highs and the H1 target fibo 138.2. As long as this short H4 countertrend is valid (the market is below the H4 impulse base), I'm waiting for a bearish H1 countertrend break to target again the correction fibo 23.6 The daily impulse base is in the way, so the trade has to be managed there - it may be a target or a scale-in opportunity. Of course, I'l try to publish how I pull my trigger line as the H1 countertrend develops. For me, long only above the highest clear breakdown (green). ——— Trading is just waiting "sometimes", but opportunities are endless, so why not wait for the right moment!🏄🏼‍♂️ We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DAX at Critical Resistance – Bearish Crab Pattern Could Trigger The German FX:GER30 The German Dax has formed a bearish crab pattern at €20,442, at the 224% Fibonacci extension. This pattern could potentially bring the index back to €19,874, representing a 38.2% retracement from the recent rally between the weekly fractal support at €18,814 and the latest resistance at €20,529 (the historical highs above the daily fractal resistance). Currently, the daily fractal support is established at €20,265, and is under pressure. The question remains: will the index pull back before Christmas? Key Highlights: Bearish crab pattern formed at €20,442. Potential retracement to €19,874. Daily fractal support at €20,265 under pressure.
FX:GER30Short
by Andre_Cardoso
Mastering the German 40 Index: A Comprehensive Trading Strategy 👀👉 In this detailed video, I examine the complexities of trading the German 40 Index (DAX), sharing my personal trading plan and strategies aimed at identifying lucrative trade opportunities. Most importantly, my goal is to provide you with the essential tools to effectively navigate the indices markets. 📈✨ KEY HIGHLIGHTS: ✅ Trading Strategy Overview: I outline a structured approach to planning trades and identifying optimal trading opportunities. ✅ Technical Analysis Techniques: We explore concepts such as Wyckoff Theory and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) principles, emphasizing their application in real-world trading scenarios. ✅ Timeframe Analysis: The video guides you through analyzing higher timeframes to inform lower timeframe entries, ensuring a well-rounded trading strategy. ✅ Entry Points & Risk Management: Learn how to pinpoint entry points, set effective stop-loss orders, and establish profit targets to maximize your trading success. 🎯 ✅ TradingView Features: I highlight essential features of TradingView, showcasing two advanced indicators: the Volume Profile and VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), which are crucial for intraday analysis and understanding market trends. 📊 🔔 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading activities. Join me on this journey to enhance your trading skills and gain valuable insights into the German 40 Index! Don't forget to comment and if you found the info of value, giving this post a BOOST would be awesome! 🙏
THINKMARKETS:GER40Education
by fxtraderanthony
19
DAX H1 | Bearish downturn to extend further?DAX (GER30) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 20,321.48 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 20,380.00 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 20,200.37 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Short
by FXCM
GER40 - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Maks_Klimenko