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JPN225 trade ideas

Nikkei 225 Short: Break and rejection from trendlineNikkei 225 was ranging in an ascending triangle which, by itself, is a bullish setup. However, the odds of this setup breaking up is not high (last I remember, it's about 66% but please don't quote me or ask me to verify). Now we are focused on 2 facts: 1. It has broken down from the lower trendline, and 2. price was rejected at the broken trendline. What this means is that the breakdown from the ascending triangle is real and not a fake breakout. And what this also means is that Nikkei is now in a downtrend. Likely we are going to see a crash coming.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by yuchaosng
Nikkei 225: When Will it Break Out of its Range?Chart Analysis: The Japan 225 index remains within a clearly defined horizontal range, suggesting consolidation and indecision among market participants. 1️⃣ Key Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance: The upper boundary near 40,236 serves as a key resistance, capping upside attempts. Support: The lower boundary around 37,708 offers a critical level of demand, preventing deeper pullbacks. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA (blue) at 39,018 aligns closely with the current price, acting as a pivot point within the range. The 200-day SMA (red) at 38,706 reflects the broader bullish structure and serves as a longer-term support level. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 53.12, reflecting neutral momentum with no immediate overbought or oversold signals. MACD: Showing flat momentum near zero, consistent with range-bound trading conditions. What to Watch: A breakout above 40,236 or a breakdown below 37,708 will likely signal the next major directional move. Watch for price action around the 50-day SMA for clues on short-term direction. Monitor RSI and MACD for any divergence that could indicate an impending shift in momentum. The Japan 225 is in consolidation mode, with well-defined boundaries providing traders with clear levels to monitor for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. -MW
TVC:NI225
by FOREXcom
JPN225 (The Nikkei) slowly being squeezed to the upsideTake a look at the daily chart - the flat top and an upward sloping trendline. You would agree that for the past 4 months, a slow squeeze to the upside has been happening. Price is now also above the 200dma and this gives me a bullish bias. Ideally, price being contained in the upper part of the triangle would be another factor of confluence. Another one or two bounces off the trendline will add more confirmation. The situation will become clearer in the next few days and continued build up to the bullish side will motivate me to go long with 42,400 as target. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
EIGHTCAP:JPN225Long
by Trading_Vista
2
Nikkei 225 Struggles to Hold Above the Psychological LevelNikkei 225 Struggles to Hold Above the Psychological Level The Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) has risen nearly 20% in 2024, marking its best performance since 1989, according to Trading Economics. This impressive gain is especially noteworthy considering the market plunge in early August, triggered partly by the Bank of Japan’s historic interest rate hike. According to today's chart of the Japanese stock market index Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen): → Late last week (marked with an arrow), the index surpassed the psychological 40,000 level, reaching a 5-month high. → However, as this week began, the Nikkei 225 dropped below 40,000, failing to sustain its position above this key level. Potential influencing factors: → Portfolio adjustments as the new year begins. → News about a potential merger between Nissan and Honda. → A weakening yen, which supports Japan’s export-driven industries. Technical analysis of the Japan 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) chart shows that: → Bulls have been forming an A-B-C-D-E structure of higher highs, outlining an ascending channel (shown in blue). Despite this, the 40,000 level remains a strong resistance point. → The bears are gaining an edge with Line 1, which splits the channel into quarters and signals increasing resistance. Given these dynamics, Friday’s peak could be a false bullish breakout. The Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) might retreat towards the median line or drop further to test support around 37,800. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
FXOPEN:J225
by FXOpen
3
Symmetrical pattern forming in Nikkei 225 I am of the opinion that the stock price is more likely to fall than continue going up. So, let's wait for the confirmation where the share price breaks down from the green bullish trend line. You can see the risk reward ratio is very attractive, using little capital for a good profit margin. We can also see after the peak on 11 July 2024, it has come down to a lower high at the 40,000 price level 4 times but fails to break above it each time. This is a clear signal that the market is exhausted and selling or profit taking is here. Could I be wrong and the price breaks out from the symmetrical pattern and goes higher ? Of course! That is why you need a tight stop loss to protect yourself so that over time your losses are lesser than your gained capital netting a profit.
FOREXCOM:JP225Short
by dchua1969
Nikkei 225 leads gains in AsiaJapan's Nikkei 225 (Ticker AT: JP225) closed Friday with a rise of 1.5%, accumulating a weekly gain of close to 4%. This advance was driven by economic data reflecting a partial recovery in the Japanese economy. The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a higher than expected increase in December, reinforcing expectations of a possible adjustment in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy. Some BoJ members believe that conditions are ripe for a rate hike in the short term, which has injected optimism into the markets. Although manufacturing output fell in November, the contraction was less than expected, offering some respite from weak external demand. In addition, a weaker yen benefited the automotive sector, with Toyota Motor Corp leading the gains. Meanwhile, other Asian markets such as the Shanghai Composite and the CSI 300 posted slight gains, while South Korea's KOSPI fell more than 1.5% due to the political crisis in the country. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was up 0.4%. The Nikkei 225 continues to stand out as one of the strongest indices in Asia, supported by solid fundamentals and an optimistic outlook. Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Long
by ActivTrades
Nikkei 225 Shaken by the BOJ and the FedAsian markets experienced a session of high volatility, impacted by the monetary policy decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ), along with the growing political uncertainty derived from Donald Trump's presidential campaign. The declines were led by technology sectors, while Japanese stock markets managed to trim some of their initial losses. Fed Cools Expectations The Fed met expectations by cutting rates by 25 basis points, but generated surprise by projecting a slower pace of cuts by 2025. This triggered a massive sell-off in risk assets, with the Nasdaq Composite leading the losses (-3.6%), its worst day in five months. This implied tightening hit the Asian technology sector in particular, which is sensitive to interest rate changes. The Bank of Japan and the Yen In Japan, the Nikkei 225 and the TOPIX started the session with declines of more than -1%, but closed with more moderate declines of -0.5%. The partial recovery came after the BOJ decided to keep interest rates unchanged. The BOJ reiterated its caution regarding the economic outlook and indicated that inflation could pick up in 2025, remaining close to its 2% target. Although some investors had expected a rate hike in December, the decision to keep policy steady boosted export sectors, driven by the depreciation of the yen following the announcement. Trump Adds Uncertainty Nervousness was also fueled by political tensions in the U.S., as Donald Trump doubled down on his protectionist rhetoric and his election campaign continues to generate uncertainty about global trade relations. Effects on Other Asian Markets - South Korea: The KOSPI retreated 1.7%, with declines in technology giants such as SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. - China: The CSI 300 (-0.4%) and the Shanghai Composite (-0.7%) moderated losses on optimism about higher fiscal spending in 2025. - Australia: The ASX 200 led regional decliners with a decline of 1.8%. Perspective Overview. The combination of a tighter Fed and a cautious BOJ has added to uncertainty in Asian markets. While the stronger dollar and tightening global financial conditions are pressuring markets in the region, the weaker yen could provide some relief to Japanese exports in the near term. Attention now turns to the future decisions of major central banks, especially in the context of an increasingly fragile global economy. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Short
by ActivTrades
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FXOPEN:J225Long
by Thief_Trader
JAPAN 225 INDEX Bullish Projection CHART Technical Analysis of Japan 225 Index (4H Chart) Overview: The Japan 225 index, as depicted on the 4-hour chart, is currently navigating through a complex pattern with multiple trend lines and Fibonacci retracement levels in play. RSI signaling bullish technically, within zone of "overvalued." This is in alignment with both Trends and Horizontal Support along with multiple other indicators. Also to note, it is falling towards the 200 EMA, it is about to close a gap on a pattern that has broken out bullish, which aligns with a major trend and horizontal support area, which then takes us to the next trendline, which is a bearish trend trading in a bullish direction. Essentially, this is a really important zone. Price either breaks downward, and likely closes another gap showing in yellow on the chart OR price hits support and we really start to see an upward climb. This movement would be similar to how the SP500 is melting up towards the 6500 range. Here's a detailed analysis: Trend Analysis: Support Trend Line: The price is holding above a key ascending support trend line, which has been in place for several months. This trend line acts as a bullish indicator, suggesting that the index has been in an uptrend. Descending Resistance Line: There is a descending resistance trend line that the price is approaching. A breakout above this line could signal a continuation of the uptrend and potentially lead to higher targets. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 38.2% Retracement: The price is currently testing this level around 39,015.11. This is a common retracement level where price often finds support or resistance. 50% Retracement: Located at 38,015.11, this level could act as a strong support if the price breaks below the 38.2% level. 61.8% Retracement: Around 37,015.11, this is a critical level where a deeper pullback might find support before a potential reversal. Volume Analysis: Volume Indicators: There is a noticeable increase in volume at key support and resistance levels, indicating strong buying or selling interest. The recent volume spike suggests significant market activity, which could precede a major move. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD Line and Signal Line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which is typically a bullish sign. However, the histogram shows decreasing momentum, which might indicate a potential slowdown or reversal in the current trend. Price Targets: Upside Targets: If the price breaks above the descending resistance trend line, the next resistance levels to watch are around 39,015.11 (38.2% Fibonacci), followed by 40,015.11 and 41,015.11. Downside Targets: A break below the ascending support trend line could see the price retesting the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels, around 38,015.11 and 37,015.11, respectively. Conclusion: The Japan 225 index is at a critical juncture, with multiple technical indicators suggesting both potential continuation of the uptrend and possible consolidation or pullback. Traders should watch for a breakout above the descending resistance or a breakdown below the ascending support for clearer directional cues. Monitoring volume and MACD for confirmation of these moves will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
TVC:NI225Long
by nicktussing77
WHAT'S FLOWING: NIKKEI225 (BULLISH)The JP225 (Nikkei 225) is showing strong upside potential as it breaks higher from key consolidation zones, reflecting renewed buying interest and optimism in the Japanese equities market. Key Observations: 1. Trend Shift: • The index has successfully reclaimed critical levels around 38,580.85, confirming a bullish reversal. • Price action is supported by higher lows and a breakout from the value area. 2. Volume Profile Insights: • Point of Control (POC) at 38,580.85 acts as a springboard for further gains. • Value Area High (VAH) at 38,770.50 signals the next resistance to monitor. 3. Bullish Targets: • Initial target at 39,181.18. • Extensions toward 39,750.00 and beyond align with the prevailing uptrend. 4. Risk Management: • Stop Loss: Below 38,316.05 for downside protection. • Take Profit: Incrementally at 39,181.18 and higher levels. Market Context: The JP225’s upward momentum aligns with broader equity market gains, potentially driven by favorable economic data and positive global sentiment. Traders should watch for any pullbacks to key support levels, offering re-entry opportunities. Stay tuned for updates as we track this bullish move.
BLACKBULL:JPN225Long
by moneymagnateash
WHAT'S FLOWING: NIKKEI225 (BULLISH)The JP225 (Nikkei 225) is showing strong upside potential as it breaks higher from key consolidation zones, reflecting renewed buying interest and optimism in the Japanese equities market. Key Observations: 1. Trend Shift: • The index has successfully reclaimed critical levels around 38,580.85, confirming a bullish reversal. • Price action is supported by higher lows and a breakout from the value area. 2. Volume Profile Insights: • Point of Control (POC) at 38,580.85 acts as a springboard for further gains. • Value Area High (VAH) at 38,770.50 signals the next resistance to monitor. 3. Bullish Targets: • Initial target at 39,181.18. • Extensions toward 39,750.00 and beyond align with the prevailing uptrend. 4. Risk Management: • Stop Loss: Below 38,316.05 for downside protection. • Take Profit: Incrementally at 39,181.18 and higher levels. Market Context: The JP225’s upward momentum aligns with broader equity market gains, potentially driven by favorable economic data and positive global sentiment. Traders should watch for any pullbacks to key support levels, offering re-entry opportunities. Stay tuned for updates as we track this bullish move.
BLACKBULL:JPN225Long
by moneymagnateash
Nikkei 225 short: Wave 3 downThis is a follow up to my previous idea to short Nikkei. I've cleaned up the waves so that it does not look so cluttered. Those lower degree wave counts from previous waves are removed. If you are interested to know the breakdown, please see my previous ideas. What I am showing now is that the wave 3 is taking a longer time because it is building crash power and thus we are actually 3 degrees down from primary wave while building this wave 3 down move.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by yuchaosng
4
JPN225 Update JPN225 Update. what im seeing right now is that JPN225 is in an area where it can determine from here if to take advantage and dump down like crazy touching another Daily sellside liquidity zone signaling a sellside liquidity chase (shift into a bearish trend) or it can do a short sell down to the 4hr liquidity zone and continue for a buy after that signaling a possible higher high on daily down the line. its still up in the air. so narrowing down to a trade idea analysis would be a short sell to 4hr liquidity and just wait to see how it reacts from there, I wouldn't take profit until I have one 4hr bullish candle print after taking sell side liquidity on the 4hr.And to me this also goes for US30,NAS100,S&P500,GER40 ill be back to follow up.
BLACKBULL:JPN225Short
by DgenJoe_007
1